THURSDAY NCAA ^ 1 5 1 ^

[one51rum]

going to go OVER 152 in the Ark LR/Tenn Tech game, both these teams are giving up more points than they score is one good reason, LR is avg 78 pts a game giving up 80 (-2), and Tenn Tech is avg 65 pts a game and giving up 77 (-12) , on the road Ark is avg 78 and giving up 86, and at home Tenn tech is avg 67 and giving up 77 , so 2 defenses here that give up some points, and last year when these 2 played both road teams won with Tenn Tech winning 77-75 on the road and Ark LR winning 91-89 on the road so you can see why the spread is just 1 point, and the road team favored , and i would have to go with Ark Lr in this game too, they will have a big advantage in rebounding and should get extra chances shooting with the offensive rebounds, as they avg 13 offensive boards even on the road, and Tenn Tech is avg just 5 at home, they avg 14 assist on the road to just 10 for tech , also in the steals they have the advantage, and they avg about 3 fewer turnovers, and they force about 4 more a game, and they are scoring much better, but it does seem like it should be a tighter game, but i could see Ark Lr winning this by 6+, also they are averaging 62 shots a game making 27 while Tenn Tech is avg 56 and making 23, that is due to their advantage on the boards no doubt, but i do like the OVER here, also on the over Ark Lr is 5-1 over after a loss, and Tenn Tech is 4-0 over after a loss and both teams lost their last game ...

OVER 152 ark lr game 1 unit

may also add ark lr as a play

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

also i am going to go with Idaho at home -2 over Sac st, they have played well at home , they do have 2 losses at home both were very close games losing by 2 to Denver, and losing by 3 to Cal st North, but it seems they play much better at home, and they do have a +10 avg score margin, and Sac st has a -11 avg score margin, idaho is avg 68 pts a game and giving up 73, but at home they avg 76 and give up 66, while Sac st is avg 65 pts and gives up 78, and on the road its about the same, also Cal st is avg 17 turnovers a game and Idaho is avg 10 , also Idaho avg's 8.5 steals to just 4 for Sac st, and they avg 5 blocks to just 2 for Sac st, and Idaho is a better shooting team , but home and away its a huge diff, as Sac st is shooting 39% on the road to 46.5% for Idaho at home, 2 point shooting away for Sac st is 48% to 50% but the 3 point shooting Sac st away is 31% to 41 % at home for Idaho, the total for this game is 139, last year again both road teams won in higher scoring games, as Sac st won at Idaho 85-83 as a 3 point fav, and Idaho won at Sac st 82-76 as a 6.5 pt dog, so Idaho covered both games and the totals for those games were 131, and 135 so both were in the 130's like this one and both went well over the total, so maybe the total is also worth a look here , Sac st is giving up 79 pts away this year, and Idaho is avg 76 at home, but are only giving up 66 ,
Idaho-2 is a play

also i seen Idaho st is a 2.5 pt favorite over Mont st and Mont st has won like the last 10 and in all those Idaho was never a fav, but Idaho st is a much better team at home, as they score about 10 more than they give up and Mont st is giving up about 10 more than they score on the road, have not decided yet if i am playing this but just throwing this out there


gl Idaho-2

 

[one51rum]

well lose a small play on chicago st by a half pt of course, its remarkable , as they lost by 12

adding UCSB-1 buying the half, Vs uc davis...UCSB has won 7 of last 8, and UC davis is only 1-4 at home ats this year

Ticket Number:750390837
Accepted Date:12/27/23
Amount:$115.00
Status pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:Basketball - NCAA - Cal Santa Barbara vs UC Davis - Spread | 711 Cal Santa Barbara -1 -115 buying-½ for GAME | 12/28/2023 09:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

 

[indiana]

R/151....thank you for the write up and thought's buddy.....
BOL with your action today....indy

 

[one51rum]

also this morning i went with Albany -9, it went to 9.5 as i bet so i had to buy the half at -120 but Albany has been a good cover for me, and LIU is a very weak team , Albany is averaging 75 pts a game giving up 76, and LIU is avg 62 and giving up 80, so a huge diff there, even away Alabany is not too bad averaging 73 pts giving up 76, while LIU at home is averaging 67 and giving up 82 , so still very favorable for Albany, Albany won last year at home by 17 as a 8.5 pt fav, averaging 62 shots a game making 26.5 and LIU is averaging 56 shots making 22 ...also Albany has a Offensive reb% of 30% to 16% for LIU , ill lay the big number on the road

Confirmation: 2825051​

Date Placed: 12/28/23 08:40:20
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 306523 Albany NY -9 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men Extra Games)

 

[one51rum]

also i am going with Cal state Northridge here on the road -2 buying a half point, to be honest i am not big on road fav's but Northridge is playing really well on the road this year, they are 6-0 ats away this year, 1-0 ats as an away favorite, and are 4-1 ats as a favorite this year, they are the better shooting team also here, they have won 6 of last 7 games and 9 of last 11, with road wins at UCLA, Pacific, Idaho, and Chicago st, maybe the few days off gave them some rest but i hope they stay on track , shooting at 46.5% to 41% for Cal Poly, eff shooting 50% to 46%, 2 pt shooting 52.6% to 46% , and they should have a rebounding advantage also as they have a offensive reb % of 33.9# to 23.3% which should lead to extra shots, as they avg 62 shots a game making 29 of them and Cal poly is avg 56 shots, making 23...Last 3 games Northridge is averaging 79 pts a game giving up 73 and Cal poly is avg 56 pts giving up 64 thats a +6 to a -8 again i have to take the road fav =here

Ticket Number:750409690
Accepted Date:12/28/23
Amount:$120.00
Status pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:Basketball - NCAA - CS Northridge vs Cal Poly SLO - Spread | 723 CS Northridge -2 -120 buying -½ for GAME | 12/28/2023 10:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

gl all 151

adding a teaser on 2 i like talked about them yesterday when posting

Confirmation: 2827402​

Date Placed: 12/28/23 10:31:02
Header:
INTERNET: 2 Team 2T 5½ Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 705 Arkansas LR +4 (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
2. 717 Montana State +7 (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)

 

[one51rum]

Over 152 Arl Lr game
Idaho-2
UCSB-1 -115
Albany-9 -120
Cal st Northridge-2 -120

teaser ark lr+4/mont st+7 1 unit

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

Over 152 Arl Lr game
Idaho-2
UCSB-1 -115
Albany-9 -120
Cal st Northridge-2 -120

teaser ark lr+4/mont st+7 1 unit

gl 151

after a half pt loss last night AGAIN getting pissed about those need a run of wins damnit, 312-263 have about 20 pushes and i think 33 1 or half point losses, but do have like 16 wins of 1 or under , always hope those even out , still looking over Ark LR i have looked at this a lot and do favor Little rock like i wrote , want to play maybe 2 more is all

 

[one51rum]

ok i went back and forth here, this Tenn Martin team has won for me and lost for me , but they are getting 4.5 at tenn st, Tenn st is 5-0 at home but are 0-3 ats as a favorite, and the last 2 away games TM has pushed when they lost 98-91 at evansville, and they covered at NC st when they lost 67-81 aas 19 pt dogs, this team can score points, but they give up points also, thats why i also like this over even at 162, Tenn st only averages 69 points a game and they are going to have to score about 85 if they are going to cover this i think, so i am going to take a shot and go with TM+5 buy the half pt

also i am going to go with Ark LR i have already explained why i like this team, they are -125 ML or -1.5 ill go ML here and Montana was another i was looking at vs Weber state, the visiting team won each game last year and Montana is 4-1 ats away this year, so i will grab 5 points here, they have won their last 2 road games vs UC Davis, ans San Jose st, they lost 3 other road games but those were against very good teams, Nevada, Houston, Oregon, when they play on the road vs teams of their caliber they have done well so i will take 5 here also and Montana is 9-1 ats their last 10 road games


Ticket Number:750470898
Accepted Date:12/28/23
Amount:$120.00
Status pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:Basketball - NCAA - Montana vs Weber State - Spread | 709 Montana +5 -120 buying -½ for GAME | 12/28/2023 09:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Confirmation: 2832815​

Date Placed: 12/28/23 15:30:47
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 125.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 705 Arkansas LR (-125) risk 125.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 2832750​

Date Placed: 12/28/23 15:23:18
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 60.00 win 50.00
Bet Details:

1. 707 Tenn Martin +5 Buy ½ (-120) risk 60.00 win 50.00 (NCAA Men)

opinion over Tenn martin 162, Over 149 prarie view game


Over 152 Arl Lr game
Idaho-2
UCSB-1 -115
Albany-9 -120
Cal st Northridge-2 -120
Montana+5
ARK LR ML

Tenn Martin+5 small

teaser ark lr+4/mont st+7 1 unit

 

[poppers]

Good Luck Rum!!

 

[one51rum]

Good Luck Rum!!

TY POPS

 

[one51rum]

took Kent st +10 tomorrow at St Marys ....and i am wondering if a hot Evansville team can cover 16.5 or 17 at Cinn, they are not that far apart, and evansville has really been scoring some points, the o/u in that game is 151 liking the over there for sure, Cinn at home is avg 84 and giving up 61, Evans away is averaging 76 pts and giving up 75, last 3 games Evansville is averaging 83 and giving up 67, seems like this could be a 84-75 type of game

 

[one51rum]

also i seen Idaho st is a 2.5 pt favorite over Mont st and Mont st has won like the last 10 and in all those Idaho was never a fav, but Idaho st is a much better team at home, as they score about 10 more than they give up and Mont st is giving up about 10 more than they score on the road, have not decided yet if i am playing this but just throwing this out there
My little write up from yesterday on this, i did take them teased up, but i do like Idaho st as i said, at home this team is a diff team thise year, and as i said Mont st has won like 10 in a row but they were always favored, tonight Idaho st is and for good reason, but i do see this being within 7 points, i have this as a 5-6 point win , both teams score in the mid 60's but give up in the low 70's except when at home, Idaho st is avg 76 and giving up 70, while mont st on the road is avg 65 and giving up 75, the total here is 134, i would favor the OVER here but it will be close, i have this as a 72-66 type of game, it's why i decided to go ML here at -125 this line has dropped even from 2.5 to 1.5 but i understand why as people see that Mont st has won last 10, i pointed it out last night but still favored Idaho st, i was surprised it went down, but again i know why hopefully i am right here
Idaho st ML -125

1.5 units

 

[one51rum]

also i seen Idaho st is a 2.5 pt favorite over Mont st and Mont st has won like the last 10 and in all those Idaho was never a fav, but Idaho st is a much better team at home, as they score about 10 more than they give up and Mont st is giving up about 10 more than they score on the road, have not decided yet if i am playing this but just throwing this out there
My little write up from yesterday on this, i did take them teased up, but i do like Idaho st as i said, at home this team is a diff team thise year, and as i said Mont st has won like 10 in a row but they were always favored, tonight Idaho st is and for good reason, but i do see this being within 7 points, i have this as a 5-6 point win , both teams score in the mid 60's but give up in the low 70's except when at home, Idaho st is avg 76 and giving up 70, while mont st on the road is avg 65 and giving up 75, the total here is 134, i would favor the OVER here but it will be close, i have this as a 72-66 type of game, it's why i decided to go ML here at -125 this line has dropped even from 2.5 to 1.5 but i understand why as people see that Mont st has won last 10, i pointed it out last night but still favored Idaho st, i was surprised it went down, but again i know why hopefully i am right here
Idaho st ML -125

1.5 units

hope the state of IDAHO is good to me tonight.lol

 

[one51rum]

also i do favor UCSD tonight but 8 might be a bit much, Last year Bakersfield beat them twice and they were a dog both times of like 2-5 points, they won at UCSD 75-69 as a 5 point dog and they won at home as a 2 pt dog 56-52, but Baker is 0-5 str up away this year and are 2-3 ats away, while UCSD is 5-1 str up as a home team and 4-1 ats at home this year and 3-1 ats as a fav, this line has went up a half pt to 8 from opening at 7.5 and the total has went up 6 points from 131 to 137..last 3 games each team has a + scoring margin, but on the road Baker is avg 62 pts and giving up 74, while UCSD at home is avg 75 and giving up 67 i do favor UCSD here but i do kind of like USC tnight so i am teasing the 2

USC+7.5/UCSD-3 1 unit -110 5 pt teaser

 

[one51rum]

well i teased Montana st up and bet Idaho st, should have went with my 1st play and just bet montana state, but i did think Idaho st would win that game, but maybe Montana state just has their number, sometimes there is a reason one team beats the other 10 times in a row, make it 11 in a row as Montana st wins out right by 8 good for them ..

And again when i bet early like the night before, and have no other things to look at my plays win, the other night i went 4-1 on night before posted plays and tonight i win the over Ark LR game , i win Idaho-2, i win Ark lr who i posted that i liked but did wait to play, so again 3-0 on plays the night before, thats 7-1 last 2 days and if ya go back its even better, probably more like 20-5 the last 25 , then the next posted plays were UCSB, Albany, Cal st North UCSB lost but Albany covered , and won my teaser Mont st/ark lr then i go and bet Idaho st like an idiot, but again i did think it would be a close win, and thats when i should have backed off , and Tenn Martin wins big tonight, and both of my games i posted as opinions won, the over TM game and the OVER prarie View game...as you mght know when i post those it means something else , usually send outs , but we'll let that go

lose idaho st
Lose Montana +5
UCSB loser

Idaho-2 Winner
Over 152 Arl LR Winner
Ark LR ML Winner
Albany-9 Winner
Tenn Martin+5 outright winner by 15+

opinions over 162 TM game Winner
opinion Over 149 prarie view easy winner as they scored 192

and i did not get my teaser in with USC it was late, as i posted it at 902pm and could not get it in, so i changed it to UCSD and UCLA-1 dont matter they are not str ups and nobody could have played it when i posted it late, i went to play it and i couldnt so made it a 5.5 pt teaser the USC game had started

Confirmation: 2842094​

Date Placed: 12/28/23 21:04:31
Header:
INTERNET: 2 Team 2T 5½ Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 726 UC San Diego -2 (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
2. 729 UCLA -1 (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)

 

[one51rum]

also i seen Idaho st is a 2.5 pt favorite over Mont st and Mont st has won like the last 10 and in all those Idaho was never a fav, but Idaho st is a much better team at home, as they score about 10 more than they give up and Mont st is giving up about 10 more than they score on the road, have not decided yet if i am playing this but just throwing this out there
My little write up from yesterday on this, i did take them teased up, but i do like Idaho st as i said, at home this team is a diff team thise year, and as i said Mont st has won like 10 in a row but they were always favored, tonight Idaho st is and for good reason, but i do see this being within 7 points, i have this as a 5-6 point win , both teams score in the mid 60's but give up in the low 70's except when at home, Idaho st is avg 76 and giving up 70, while mont st on the road is avg 65 and giving up 75, the total here is 134, i would favor the OVER here but it will be close, i have this as a 72-66 type of game, it's why i decided to go ML here at -125 this line has dropped even from 2.5 to 1.5 but i understand why as people see that Mont st has won last 10, i pointed it out last night but still favored Idaho st, i was surprised it went down, but again i know why hopefully i am right here
Idaho st ML -125

1.5 units

and i had this as going over by a little, i had idaho st winning 72-66 ..lol Montana st won 74-66 so i was almost dead on the total , i did not play the over but again my opinion was 138 which was 4 points over , and had the score almost dead on just wrong teams lol as i posted i favored the over but it would be close, i do not usually bet overs that i think will win in the last 30 sec's of the game, i hope they win earlier but will always take them, but when i bet them i am always thinking they should win with 2 mins or more, or i am hoping , but i was dzmn near dead on, so to be honesst i had 3 opinions on OVERS tonight and all 3 won

 

[one51rum]

ty for the lockout on the usc game as the other teaser won...lol would have lost USC by a half pt thank god 210.00 swing

lose idaho st
Lose Montana +5
UCSB loser

Idaho-2 Winner
Over 152 Arl LR Winner
Ark LR ML Winner
Albany-9 Winner
Tenn Martin+5 outright winner by 15+
Cal st Northridge -2 Winner

opinions over 162 TM game Winner
opinion Over 149 prarie view easy winner as they scored 192
gave opinion of 136 on the total in the idaho st game all 3 opinions won
UCSD-8 opinion

teaser winner UCLA/UCSD winner
teaser ark lr/mont st winner

and UCSD won by 12 said i liked them as i wrote below but thought maybe 8 was a bit high they won by 12 hope someone played it after reading the write up on it just like giving another opinion and they all won 4-0 on opinions 6-3

also i do favor UCSD tonight but 8 might be a bit much, Last year Bakersfield beat them twice and they were a dog both times of like 2-5 points, they won at UCSD 75-69 as a 5 point dog and they won at home as a 2 pt dog 56-52, but Baker is 0-5 str up away this year and are 2-3 ats away, while UCSD is 5-1 str up as a home team and 4-1 ats at home this year and 3-1 ats as a fav, this line has went up a half pt to 8 from opening at 7.5 and the total has went up 6 points from 131 to 137..last 3 games each team has a + scoring margin, but on the road Baker is avg 62 pts and giving up 74, while UCSD at home is avg 75 and giving up 67 i do favor UCSD here but i do kind of like USC tnight so i am teasing the 2


HUGE NIGHT TONIGHT 6-3 4-0 on opinions and 2-0 on teasers don't get much better i know a few who did go 9-3 tonight on these