BB -
I would not touch this one, but if you are seeing something here, don't let me talk you out of anything. If I had to play it I'd lean UNDER here.
Lincecum is 2~0 with an ERA of 1.77 L3 and 1.05 L5. The kid is filthy.
Meanwhile Carlyle is also 2~0 with an ERA of 2.86 L3 and has not given up more than 3 runs in the L5.
Offensively neither team is really rolling or consistent. ATL has scored 1, 7, 4 & 2 in their L4 and SF has scored 2, 5, 2 & 5 in their L4. I am ommiting the 5th from last game here (ATL scored 14 and SF scored 8) since it seems less indicative of their recent performances.
The only thing suggesting a higher score is the recent wear and tear on the bullpens due to extended use.