Thursday: It's a Long Season

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1-4, -3.21 units. Lucky to be down only 3 units so far considering being 1-4.

Washington -1 (-122). 3 units. Let's consider that Zach Wheeler looks very good Thursday, pitches like the ace he may some day become. He'll only go about 5-6 innings at most, and then the Mets' bullpen come in to blow it all up. With closer Parnell out, this bullpen looks about as bad as the previous 2 years. Maybe worse. Zimmerman was incredibly good in the spring, trying to prove that he is a top of the rotation starter again. 18 IPs, 11 hits, one walk and 0 HR. The Nats bullpen is also very deep and very solid. The Mets, meanwhile, remind of the Phillies- destined for mediocrity(at best).

Chicago/ Minnesota- over 7.5. One unit. Both Hughes and Quintanna combined for 32 runs in their spring starts- in about 30 innings. Both pitch to contact. Hughes seems to have lost all confidence, while Quintanna gave up a .375 BAA. Remember, this is in the spring, vs. many AAA and AA players, and other scrubs. Both have decent bullpens, but 7.5 seems like a very good #- especially in the AL.

KC +145. One unit. I'm a glutton for punishment, but this game seems like a spring training warm up for Anibal Sanchez. He's had shoulder soreness in his throwing arm, and I have a feeling the Tigers won't want him to push it. He hasn't pitched much this spring. The Tigers still aren't hitting, although KC is about the same. Yordano Ventura has looked very sharp for KC, and looks like he can harness his high 90s fastball. Only 6 BBs in 23 spring innings.
 

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always appreciate the write-ups and info o fred, ill be following all season and I'm sure we will end up in the positive. Zimmerman is a scratch with the flu. roark will start in his place, like him a lot but assume the price will be much different if its still a play. gl today and for the rest of the season
 

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Royals game cancelled. Nats bet cancelled due to Roark start.
 

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Nats game not a play. Roark looks good, but he won't go very deep into the game. Also, if Zimmerman has the flu, more of the team might have it too.
 

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Late Play: Red Sox/ Balt.- over 4.5 (first 5) One unit.Both Doubront and Chen looked shaky in spring. Sox have killed Chen in the past, and Doubront usually starts a little slow in his first start or two in the season. Doubront had issues with his release point in the spring. We could see him walking guys. Both pitchers throw too many fastballs, especially likely first start of the season. Both lineups familiar with these pitchers.
 

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Late Play: Red Sox/ Balt.- over 4.5 (first 5) One unit.Both Doubront and Chen looked shaky in spring. Sox have killed Chen in the past, and Doubront usually starts a little slow in his first start or two in the season. Doubront had issues with his release point in the spring. We could see him walking guys. Both pitchers throw too many fastballs, especially likely first start of the season. Both lineups familiar with these pitchers.
Remind me to stay away from these over first 5ers. Chen has nothing, and the Red Sox have 6 hits, 3 line outs, and only 2 stinking runs.
 

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The above game won, but get this: 14 hits and a walk, and only 5 runs. Everyone in the lineup is a LOB. Should be about 5-4 by now.
 

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Good call ofred, tailed all of your picks today! Although I'm a Tigers fan so I try not to bet for/against them. Any opinion on the Seattle/Oakland game?
 

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I follow Seattle closely, being in Portland. They are doing everything right, but I'm not sure if that's because the Angels are just that BAD. The Angels' bullpen made all 3 of those games uglier than they should have been. Seattle has always struggled at Oakland, but Chavez is a RHP they can beat. Elias is such an unknown that I'm laying off.
 

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