THURSDAY HOOPS!!!! (( 1 5 1 ))

Search

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
nc wilmington -pk 1 unit
Butler-1 1 unit

over 143 nc wilmington/e.car 1 unit
over 150 sacred heart game 1 unit
over 147 Fau/liberty game 1 unit
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
going to go with Lamar+3 vs UTSA should be a good game, has a chance at being a higher scoring game too, but 159 is high, Lamar has been good to me so far and as a dog they are 3-1 ats, they won this game last year 90-82 ,
I went over in the FAU/LIBERTY game, but this should be a good game, Liberty is 5-0 ats this year, they actually shoot better than FAU does, as they are averaging 82 pts a game and FAU is 83....Liberty is shooting 52.6% to 49.7% from 2 they shoot 63.2% to 57.6%, from 3 they are shooting 40.6% to 38%, and effective shooting is 62.1% to 57.5%..but both teams are holding their opponents to like 65 pts, thats why i like the over 147 , i think the lowest anyone gets will be like 73-75 points, and someone gets low 80's
UNCW i took because they are the better team i think for sure, they may end up favored here, E Car can score but their defense is weak, and UNCW is averaging 73 a game and giving up 72, E.Car is averaging 77 pts and giving up 76, so i do think Wilmington will get to the high 70's maybe 80, and i expect E car to be maybe low to mid 70's , UNCW wins like 78-74 here why the over play too,
and Butler at home they are playing really well right now and are at home, and Tex tech is just 1-3 ats after a win , and 2-4 on the year while Butler is 5-1 ats this year, 3-0 ats at home and 3-0 ats as a fav, they are scoring 10 more pts a game and i think they will control the tempo here, and texas tech will be made to play a diff game, they have not scored over 73 pts this year while Butler has scored over 80 3 times and over 90 twice, they are taking 4 more shots than Tech and making 5 more a game, they are shooting 47% to 41%, and from 3 they shoot 34% to 27%, and they commit 3 fewer turnovers a game

FAU has dropped from -7.5 to 7 and creighton has went from 8.5 to 8 also s.alabama went down from +2 to +1.5,


Lamar+3 1 unit
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
FAU has been good to me but right now i am favoring Liberty+7.5 buy to 8 at one book
 

Member
Joined
Jun 14, 2006
Messages
53,744
Tokens
R/151....thank you for your early write ups and thought's buddy....
solid capping....thank you....indy
 

Member
Joined
Nov 14, 2012
Messages
702
Tokens
going to go with Lamar+3 vs UTSA should be a good game, has a chance at being a higher scoring game too, but 159 is high, Lamar has been good to me so far and as a dog they are 3-1 ats, they won this game last year 90-82 ,
I went over in the FAU/LIBERTY game, but this should be a good game, Liberty is 5-0 ats this year, they actually shoot better than FAU does, as they are averaging 82 pts a game and FAU is 83....Liberty is shooting 52.6% to 49.7% from 2 they shoot 63.2% to 57.6%, from 3 they are shooting 40.6% to 38%, and effective shooting is 62.1% to 57.5%..but both teams are holding their opponents to like 65 pts, thats why i like the over 147 , i think the lowest anyone gets will be like 73-75 points, and someone gets low 80's
UNCW i took because they are the better team i think for sure, they may end up favored here, E Car can score but their defense is weak, and UNCW is averaging 73 a game and giving up 72, E.Car is averaging 77 pts and giving up 76, so i do think Wilmington will get to the high 70's maybe 80, and i expect E car to be maybe low to mid 70's , UNCW wins like 78-74 here why the over play too,
and Butler at home they are playing really well right now and are at home, and Tex tech is just 1-3 ats after a win , and 2-4 on the year while Butler is 5-1 ats this year, 3-0 ats at home and 3-0 ats as a fav, they are scoring 10 more pts a game and i think they will control the tempo here, and texas tech will be made to play a diff game, they have not scored over 73 pts this year while Butler has scored over 80 3 times and over 90 twice, they are taking 4 more shots than Tech and making 5 more a game, they are shooting 47% to 41%, and from 3 they shoot 34% to 27%, and they commit 3 fewer turnovers a game

FAU has dropped from -7.5 to 7 and creighton has went from 8.5 to 8 also s.alabama went down from +2 to +1.5,


Lamar+3 1 unit

Been on FAU, they've got way to much experience, should be a good one runner, leaning Lamar
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
wrote this last night never sent and cal northridge did win outright i should have played ML pacific is a bet against for me , been against them 3 times in a row now and they won by 11


going to go with Lamar+3 vs UTSA should be a good game, has a chance at being a higher scoring game too, but 159 is high, Lamar has been good to me so far and as a dog they are 3-1 ats, they won this game last year 90-82 ,
I went over in the FAU/LIBERTY game, but this should be a good game, Liberty is 5-0 ats this year, they actually shoot better than FAU does, as they are averaging 82 pts a game and FAU is 83....Liberty is shooting 52.6% to 49.7% from 2 they shoot 63.2% to 57.6%, from 3 they are shooting 40.6% to 38%, and effective shooting is 62.1% to 57.5%..but both teams are holding their opponents to like 65 pts, thats why i like the over 147 , i think the lowest anyone gets will be like 73-75 points, and someone gets low 80's
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
my post on cal st north

Cal state North at Pacific , i have went against Pacific twice, Lamar won for me getting 9 and n dakota st , this team is not that good, and Northridge has already shown they can win on the road , and they have covered all 3 away games i think they can win this game out right tonight

Cal st Northridge +4 -120 BIG PLAY only one

gl 151

they won 80-69
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
well not sure if i feel good or bad, lines are going against me on some of the ones i put in , the o/u in Fau dropped 3 points, UNCW dropped 2 points, and Lamar is +3.5 now, usually they go with me, and i don't mind that i almost expect it, but it does not always mean something good, so to have them go against is ok i think, the sacred heart o/u went up 3 points, and Butler is from a pk to -3 so got a bit of both i guess
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
Delaware st @ Chicago st, i am glad i held off on this because it has went up, Delaware st and Chic st are both ranked at the bottom, but Delaware st has been playing really well actually, this team is 2 overtime losses from being 3-0 in their last 3 games, they lost in OT to Lamar 81-84, they beat Bethune Cook 72-64 and lost by 2 in OT to a very good longwood team, 82-84, they are 5-2 ats as a dog this year, 4-1 ats after a loss, and Chicago st is 0-3 str up at home, and 0-3 ats at home this year, this is another game where they have a good shot at winning outright , and Delaware st should win the rebound war in this game too, they average 5 more shots a game and make about 3 more a game, and Chicago st is only averaging 8 assist a game, assist are a huge thing, 8 a game means there is no passing going on, more assist means you are making more shots getting more scorers involved ......this is a BIG play for me here, only had 1 last night and it won

Delaware st +4.5

Confirmation: 2295883​

Date Placed: 11/30/23 10:58:05
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 165.00 win 150.00
Bet Details:
  1. 306591 Delaware State +4½ (-110) risk 165.00 win 150.00 (NCAA Men Extra Games)
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
also going with ULLafayette +4 vs Samford, looking at this game i do not think i have bet on or against either team this year, both teams are 5-2, Samford has won 5 in a row, but i am more impressed with the wins Lafayette has , they beat a decent Long beach st team 92-82, and beat Buffalo 68-60, , and beat Youngstown st 72-62, lost to Wright st 91-85, and lost at Toledo 78-87, and so they can play both up tempo or slower, they shoot at 46.6% to Samford's 43%, they shoot the 2 at 52.7% to 47.7%. the 3 37.8 to 37.1%, effective shooting is 54.3% to 51.1%, and one other thing i like is the defense on the 3 pt shot, Samford is giving up 35% and ULL is giving up 25%, rebounding is even, bit ULL commits just 11 to's to 15 for Samford, and they commit 17 fouls to 20 for Samford, that's worth maybe 4 points , they both average 63 shots a game which is good for a over, and they make about 2 more shots a game, which is why i like the OVER 153 here also, Samford is coming off a game where they scored 101-83, before that they beat Merrimack 79-71, then beat Alabama st 99-67, and beat s.car st 89-72, so you can see they are scoring, but if ya look at who they are playing compared to who ULL is playing, ULL playing the better teams but over is also a play in this game ULL 81-78 or 82-81 type of game i see

Confirmation: 2299306​

Date Placed: 11/30/23 13:17:44
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 747 UL Lafayette +4 (-110) risk 110.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

Confirmation: 2299317​

Date Placed: 11/30/23 13:18:27
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 747 UL Lafayette/Samford over 153 Buy ½ (-120) risk 120.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)
8-8 yesterday winning the one BIG play 144-117-5 need a big day damnit

gl 151
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
going to try one UNDER play here, the S.Alabama/Jax st game, this total opened at 130 went to 131 then dropped to 130 then back to 131 but since has dropped down to 127.5 i can get at 129 -113 so just going to try it here, could for sure see this as a 63-60 game even one team being in the high 50's i rarely try these but here i will and just a half unit game

Nov 30, 2023 01:45 PMTotal$56.50$50.00Basketball - 743 South Alabama/Jacksonville State under 129 -113 buying -½ for Game
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
My read on Lines and totals for games, in the Liberty/FAU game this total opened at 147 has dropped to 144, my read there is they are seeing Liberty as the cover, Liberty can score but this total drop points to a liberty cover and FAU maybe scoring in the mid to low 70's having a 72-68 style of game or a FAU big win like 80-63 , personally i think Liberty is good enough to not get blown out, a 10 pt win would be about the most, unless some meaningless ft's at the end push it to 12, but its why i liked OVER 147, i could go either way on +7.5 or -7 id buy to 8 , but FAU winning 81-72 seemed about right to me
UNCW o/u dropping 2 pts points to a UNCW cover or win, E.Car has a decent offense but bad defense, its why i liked over , UNCW did score 83 in a win over Murray st, and 83 in a win over NC Ash, so i am llooking at a UNCW win here of 80-76 or a 77-73 or even if E.car won i felt the same here 78-76 type of game , same as Butler the total is 138 my feel is, if you like Butler you have to like the OVER here, Butler i think will need to score high 70's close to 80 , if ya like Tex tech you may feel this will be a 70-67 type of game...Butler score 54 in their blowout loss to Mich st, and the only other time they scored under 71 was a win over Boise st 70-56, now i think you could get a 72-65 tpeof game but Butler has scored no fewer than 81 in the other 5 games, scoring 94,91,81,84,88..TT has scored no more than 73 this year, that is why this total is 138, can they hold Butler to 70? i think if Butler wins this goes over unless they win like 74-62
Creighton's total of 142 is another, Okla st is averaging 76 points a game and giving up 66, Creighton is averaging 84 giving up 63, so something tells me they are looking at a 75-67 game that is the 8 pt sppread and 142 we have seen Creighton look bad now, but can Okla st hold them to stay in the 70"s ?? if Creighton gets to 80 can Okla st cover?? i think it only stays under if Okla st can keep them under 74 personally i think Creighton gets to 75+ tonight , Okla st has already been beat at home by Abilene Christian in a very low scoring game 64-59, and theeir other 2 losses to N Dame and st bonnie were 66-64 in each 79-69 Creighton
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
also i am going to go with Tenn Martin +8 vs Rice, Tenn martin is another team that likes to score, they are averaging 81 pts a game and give up 82, while Rice is averaging 70 pts but they are giving up 89 pts a game which i think gives Tennessee Martin a good shot here in this game, Ricee has played the better teams but in those games they were beaten badly, losing by 13-30 points, and TM is 5-2 str up this year 2-1 on the road, the total is 163 which points to TM getting some points in this game, after all Rice is avg just 70, have to think TM can get 80 with Rice giving up so much , and TM is shooting 43.7% to 40% and from 3 they are shooting 35% to 30%, and Rice is giving up 40% from 3, and TM is averaging 67 shotss to 59 for Rice, Making 29 to 24....and they are making 8 3's to 6, and they should have the rebounding edge here also as they avg 10 offensive and 31 defensive rebounds a game comoared to 6 offensive and 20 defensive for Rice, turnovers and fouls are equal, i will grab 8 points here

icket Wager Detail​

print Ticket Number:743619131Accepted Date:11/30/2023 - ESTGraded Date:1/1/0001Wager Type:Spread (or run line)Wager Status pendingRisk:$115.00 (USD)To Win Amount:$100.00 (USD)Description:Basketball - NCAA - Tennessee Martin vs. Rice - Tennessee Martin
Item #:1Wager Type:SpreadOutcome pendingSport / Period:Basketball NCAA / GameLine:Basketball - NCAA - Tennessee Martin vs. Rice - Tennessee Martin 11/30/2023 8:00:01 PM- (EST)
+8 -115

gl 151
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
PLAYS
T.Martin+8 1 unit
ULL +4 1 unit
Over 153 ULL/Samford 1 unit
over 147 FAU 1 unit dropped to 144
Over 143 UNCW 1 unit dropped to 141
Over 150 Sacred Heart now 153 1 unit
Butler-1 1 unit
UNCW-PK 1 unit
Lamar +3 1 unit
Delaware St +4.5 BIG (y)

Under 129 Jax st half unit

good luck everyone :drinks:
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
Hofstra as far as stats looks like the play but USF did beat Hofstra at Hofstra last year 77-70 if each team has mostly same players back USF to me would be the play, i thought it looked low to be honest have to check into it
 

Member
Joined
Apr 24, 2023
Messages
8,124
Tokens
This has been a hard choice, Liberty and FAU are like 2 of my favorite teams to watch play, both are very good, FAU shootss the ball so well, like i said last night with the total dropping i think that points to a Liberty play, and thats who i am going to go with, because Liberty is a team who actually shoots better than FAU does ...both average 82-83 a game but both give up 64 and 67 something has to give, i find it hard to think both will not get 70+ thats why the total dropping surprised me, each team averages almost 40 a game, one at 39 the other is 40, i think if anything this could be a 80-78 game before it could be a 68-65 game but i am stuck with 147, but i am taking Liberty+8 FAU at home this is not an easy play, but 2 very good teams i have to take the points here
liberty shoots 52.6% to 49.4% they shoot the 2 at 63.2% to 57.6% the 3 at 40.6 to 38.2% but it will be hard for both to shoot like that tonight because they both defend well at the 3 Liberty is 31.1 and FAU is 28.3 so if either is above 34% it will be something,...Effective fg% is liberty 62.1% to 57.5% but they both defend that at 47%...Liberty 58 shots making 30, FAU 60 shots making 29.8 i mean its pretty even ..line opened at 6.5 is 7.5 and has stayed right at 7 7.5 so getting even action good line

Nov 30, 2023 05:25 PM Spread $120.00 $100.00
Basketball - 737 Liberty +8 -120 buying -½ for Game

also just 1 teaser tonight , i explained why i liked the OVER in the Creighton game earlier, but i also think Utah gets it done, Hawaii playing well 5-0 but who have they played, they will be out rebounded tonight for sure, Hawaii shoots better , but again who have they played it matters i think Utah covers 11 to be honest but them -6/ and over 137.5 Creighton i like

Confirmation: 2302768​

Date Placed: 11/30/23 17:14:39
Header:
INTERNET: 2 Team 2T 5½ Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 120.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:
  1. 760 Utah U -6 (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
  2. 757 Creighton/Oklahoma State over 137½ (NCAA Men) (5.5 pts)
gl everyone 151
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,985
Messages
13,575,768
Members
100,889
Latest member
junkerb
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com