Thursday Bets O The Day 4/2

[OccamsRazor]

Denver -4
OVER 209 (<)<

Write up to follow Thurs. am.

Basically a poor traveling Utah versus a profitable and hot DENVER at home team.

Utah tends to leave the defense at Home while Denver likes to light up the scoreboard at home, thus the OVER.

GL

 

[AsianGodofGambler]

On it GL

 

[OccamsRazor]

This bet is based largely on Utah's Rd woes rather than Denver's prowess at home. Utah is dropping is Rd Dog games by an average of 8 points,while Denver is winning their Home Fav games by 9. Denver just clinched a playoff spot and might not show up tonight, a situation I believe is reflected by the low line of 4.

Denver is an OVER team at home while Utah is an OVER team on the Rd. Both teams sport top 10 offenses and below average defenses.

 

[OccamsRazor]

Early bird here for Friday

Bobcats are at home, fighting to get into the playoffs a huge game for them. Cats tied for the league lead in most ATS Home covers indicating good value.

Miami in the playoffs but plodding aimlessly.

BobCats-4

 

[jesse1111]

hope the hot streak continues:toast:

 

[OccamsRazor]

2-0 tonight. :toast:

Betting what's in front of us, a hot Denver team versus a poor traveling Utah holds to form; the trend continues.

2 below average defenses play to form and give up more than the league average in points allowed. Average is 99, Utah gave up 114 and Denver gave up 104.

Denver won the game despite only outscoring UTAH in one of the 4 qtrs. I felt more comfortable with the OVER than the Side, in that Denver had clinched a playoff spot and was in letdown mode. After the first Qtr I thought I had backed a team that was not in it emotionally, but they rallied in the 2nd Qtr enough to win the game.

Always looking for motivated teams. Bobcats on Friday fit that role. Let me go write it up and post it.

Congrats to those on the OVER and DENVER.