YTD 9-11
SIDES 5-6
TOTALS 4-5
Won with the UNDER in the Temple/Ohio game as I continue my quest to 50% and beyond.
In the AirForce/New Mexico game we have 2 teams that love to run the ball hooking up. The edge here as I see it is Air Force's 17 rated Offensive Passing Efficiency ranking vs New Mexico's 115, Ouch. AF can pass it when the need arises, (17 ranked Off 3rd down conversions, NM is ranked 76) AF #1 in sacks allowed... (I know, I know they hardly pass the ball, but still).
So if AF gets ahead, NM does not have wings to play catch up.
In addition, that AF defense can be formidable and they can Tee off without having to worry too much about the pass. 29th in tackles for losses. Overall AF is the better team and laying less that a TD at home to NM is coverable (is that a word?)
AIRFORCE-5
Here are some extra writeups taken from the service forum
Winning Points
SIDES 5-6
TOTALS 4-5
Won with the UNDER in the Temple/Ohio game as I continue my quest to 50% and beyond.
In the AirForce/New Mexico game we have 2 teams that love to run the ball hooking up. The edge here as I see it is Air Force's 17 rated Offensive Passing Efficiency ranking vs New Mexico's 115, Ouch. AF can pass it when the need arises, (17 ranked Off 3rd down conversions, NM is ranked 76) AF #1 in sacks allowed... (I know, I know they hardly pass the ball, but still).
So if AF gets ahead, NM does not have wings to play catch up.
In addition, that AF defense can be formidable and they can Tee off without having to worry too much about the pass. 29th in tackles for losses. Overall AF is the better team and laying less that a TD at home to NM is coverable (is that a word?)
AIRFORCE-5
Here are some extra writeups taken from the service forum
Pointwise
AIR FORCE 31 - New Mexico 30 - (8:00 - CBSC)) -- Home series, & Falcs on 11-3 ATS run, while piling up 747 RYs last 2 wks. But they've allowed 30 & 33 pts in their last 2 HGs, & Lobos are also cranking it up as well: 291 RYpg last 3 outings, & in off 70-7 pasting of SDSt. Visitor is 30-18 ATS in NewMex games.Goldsheet
*AIR FORCE 26 - New Mexico 24—We’re sure New Mexico enjoyed a rare chance to imitate Tom Osborne’s old Nebraska teams when running the ball down San Diego State’s throat last week. Dominating a capable Air Force bunch is an entirely different matter, but Lobos also on ascent because OL jelling and QB situation no longer dire with RS frosh Gruner getting comfy at
controls. Rocky Long’s unorthodox 3-3-5 “D” might unnerve Falcs’ exciting but green frosh QB Jefferson.
controls. Rocky Long’s unorthodox 3-3-5 “D” might unnerve Falcs’ exciting but green frosh QB Jefferson.
Sports Reporter
*AIR FORCE over NEW MEXICO by 11
The Fly Boys will like their chances to load the box and defend 35-40 runs by 235-pound Lobos loads Ferguson and Wright, without being taken hostage vertically by the 47% completion rate of QB Guner. Air Force out-gained New Mexico by 1.0 yards per offensive play over the course of last season’s game, but made five turnovers and began five turnover-free series on their own 19, 19, 24, 34 (with seconds till halftime) and 18, losing 34-31. Good lucky to Rocky Long’s D in getting them pinned back that far and frequent again and good luck to anyone looking for New Mexico to come anywhere near the 70 points they got vs. the
dying embers of the Aztec nation. AIR FORCE, 28-17.
The Fly Boys will like their chances to load the box and defend 35-40 runs by 235-pound Lobos loads Ferguson and Wright, without being taken hostage vertically by the 47% completion rate of QB Guner. Air Force out-gained New Mexico by 1.0 yards per offensive play over the course of last season’s game, but made five turnovers and began five turnover-free series on their own 19, 19, 24, 34 (with seconds till halftime) and 18, losing 34-31. Good lucky to Rocky Long’s D in getting them pinned back that far and frequent again and good luck to anyone looking for New Mexico to come anywhere near the 70 points they got vs. the
dying embers of the Aztec nation. AIR FORCE, 28-17.
Winning Points
Air Force* over New Mexico by 6 (Thursday)
Rocky Long has seen the Falcon schemes enough through the years to have a decent defensive game plan despite the short practice week, but the thought of the Lobos having to throw from behind on the road is not an appealing underdog
sequence. AIR FORCE 22-16.
Rocky Long has seen the Falcon schemes enough through the years to have a decent defensive game plan despite the short practice week, but the thought of the Lobos having to throw from behind on the road is not an appealing underdog
sequence. AIR FORCE 22-16.
