Thursday Bet O The Day 10/16

[OccamsRazor]

YTD 7-10
SIDES 4-5
TOTALS 3-5

Dropped 3 UNDERs here last time out. 1-4 last 5 here.

TCU running game has outgained its passing game in 5 of their 7 games. BYU is balanced, with the its running game complementing a passing offense ranked 8th in the country. What we have in this matchup is a passing team vs a running team and that makes the game defensive game plan for BYU easier to draw up and carry out.

The BYU defensive game plan is simple force TCU to pass, get TCU out of their comfort zone. Helping BYU's defensive game plan will be their offense, get a lead and force TCU to pass.

I'm looking for BYU's underrated defense (12 takeaways to 2 giveaways last 3 games)to bring home the cash. BYU is also #1 in redzone defense in the nation. TCUs defense is no slouch, we all know that and an interesting matchup will be the TCU leading the nation in sacks versus a BYU line that has only given up 2 sacks all season.

BYU is the better balanced team here. TCU QB situation has been in flux and that does not bode well for their timing.

Looking for the BYU defense to dominate their matchup, what the BYU offense does will be gravy.

BYU, the public wins another.


BYU ML-110

 

[billbeater]

great play Razor! I like this one.

Stick to games and the hell with totals, and i think your cash will increase nicely :aktion033

Good Luck my man

 

[OccamsRazor]

Money is coming in on TCU and you can now get BYU at +1'! Amazing. Bettors are going to Outwise and Outsharp themselves on this one.

BYU is the best defense that TCU has faced all season. True, TCU is the best defense BYU has faced all season, but I like my chances with the passing team over the running team.

I'll take the better team who has suddenly become an Underdog with wings.

BYU's defense will dominate, watch.

 

[bigbookie]

Money is coming in on TCU and you can now get BYU at +1'! Amazing. Bettors are going to Outwise and Outsharp themselves on this one.

BYU is the best defense that TCU has faced all season. True, TCU is the best defense BYU has faced all season, but I like my chances with the passing team over the running team.

I'll take the better team who has suddenly become an Underdog with wings.

BYU's defense will dominate, watch.

so far I got more bets on BYU but more money on TCU

 

[OccamsRazor]

Feels good to not be going with the masses. There has been a betting hysteria on TCU, I wonder what the TCU backers are seeing? Anyone?

I see a BYU defense that is lights out, complementing a balanced BYU offense.

 

[billbeater]

I feel good today and about the play! :aktion033 Good Luck RaZor

 

[OccamsRazor]

Line now BYU +2'!! Wow have to press my bet. Bought it to 3.

TCU bettors remind me of stock market participants, either panic or unbridled exuberance, all fueled by no rhyme or reason just emotions based on line movements.

"Somebody knows something."!!!

GL BillBeat.

 

[OccamsRazor]

Oh, Dr Bob is on TCU, that explains the line movement. Apparently Old Bob has quite a following. Makes this even better.

 

[w365]

nice reasoning. will be rooting for you and i believe you are on the right side of this one...at +3 byu is very tempting but i'll stay away. gl!

 

[billbeater]

we gonna take bob and shuv him into a very shitty toilet!

 

[OccamsRazor]

well that totally sucked. BYU defense did not show. TCU defense for real.

BYU had the turnover flu... mostly due to the aggresive Frog defense.
:drink: