THURSDAY BEST BET 1/8

OccamsRazor · Jan 8, 2004

RECORD YTD 27-12 (.692)
SIDES 18-8 (.692)
TOTALS 9-4 (.692)

Detroit cashed a ticket for me, stepping up after the Utah/Memphis game was called off.

A little bit of harmonic convergence with the numbers up top here. Hopefully an indicator of good things to come. Wooooo

I'm always talking about the teams playing to form here, that's all I ask of them.

Tonight Minny is playing Portland in a revenge game and Minny should get the win when you take into account Portland's road woes. Personally, I don't get a good feeling on the side, (having said that, now be assured that Minny is going to blow away Portland) instead I'll look for the TOTAL to play to form.

In Minny you have the league leader in Offensive FG%. With Portland you have the league laggard in defensive FG%. You can't get any worse in allowing baskets per shots than Portland. Add to that mix the fact that Portland shows a propensity of having higher than average scoring games after 3+ days off and you have the makings of a good OVER. (A cursory look at Minnys games show that lately with some days off, that also have had higher than average scoring games.)

So there it is, IF they play to form it should go OVER. Giving us a little window into what might happen is the game these two played on 12/26, a 193 total.

OVER 189'

Line opened up at 190' and has been bet down, a good sign here as it increases the value. I have business to attend to and won't be back here till early am.

Good Luck Always.

OccamsRazor · Jan 8, 2004

Some technicals from COVERS to add to my fundamental views:

Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two.

Over is 10-3 in POR's last 13 overall.

Over is 16-6 in MIN’s last 22 overall.

Slammy2002 · Jan 8, 2004

I saw this last night and jumped on it. I was going to bet the Portland over in the snow game, I'm gonna do it again here tonight.

GL

POR O189 ***

mvbski · Jan 8, 2004

The Blazers announced that Derek Anderson would play tonight against the TimberWolves but did not know how long he could go. That will help as they are short-handed because Dale Davis missed the bus to Eugene to fly out to Minnesota.

OccamsRazor · Jan 8, 2004

Huge move down to 188' from 190'. Love it more now

NickfromNJ · Jan 8, 2004

OR - I have a strong feeling for a big 1st half. Took the OVER 95 as well as the over 189.5. Don't like the -9 though. Fear getting backdoored in this matchup. Good luck - Nickfromnj

OccamsRazor · Jan 9, 2004

The dreaded self Jinx,

"Tonight Minny is playing Portland in a revenge game and Minny should get the win... Personally, I don't get a good feeling on the side, (having said that, now be assured that Minny is going to blow away Portland). Instead I'll for with the total blah, blah, blah... Damn.

One of my betting rules that I keep breaking is. "If you like a favorite side, but you have to give too many points lay them!! Do not look at the total and talk yourself into betting that instead."

90% of the time you'll lose the Total and the big bunch O points you were afraid to lay will take care of themselves early, in what will become a blowout.

Back at em tomorrow

GLJJNOVA · Jan 9, 2004

OR..........A similar thing happened to me on Weds. I capped the game in 76ers favor and let the 7.5 points force me to pass. Of course they won by 20. I feel the same way about the Rams this week, bet is already in. I know you'll bounce back.

Gary