THURSDAY BASKETS << 1 5 1 >>

[one51rum]

WELL lost my biggest play in the last minutes, again Miss st worst ft shooting team in the SEC and last night they were the best, GEE go figure, and got to get away from having a popular play be the biggest, Georgia was a popular play last night, ...but go 11-3 which is not too bad, won the other 2 bigger plays, to be honest i never have had bigger plays, in all my years, i have send outs which go out to my email list, and ill usually just give it as an opinion , last night is a good reason why go 11-3 and lose the biggest, the total i forgot to post should have been my top play...lol easy to say now, OVER FGCU/EKY covers by 50 and NO OT either game like that should be the BIG play, but anyway 11-3 is decent

2 games i put in last night early , and 1 i added about 10 pm

Lipscomb -8 just a better shooting team right now and at home they are tuff, Queens has not won a road game in a long time , Lipscomb gets them here by 11, Queens is 0-12 str up away this year and 3-9 ats away

also UNCW-3 vs Drexel BIG UNCW lost at Drexel earlier 63-78 big win for Drexel, well UNCW is playing much better since then, they have won 7 of 8 since, and in that game UNCW had 58 shots to just 49 for Drexel, it was just a bad night of shooting for Wilmington 18/58 6/30 from 3 but were 21/24 at the line, Drexel was 25/49 9/19 from 3 and 19/29 from the line, UNCW had 11 offensive boards to just 5 for Drexel, UNCW was called for 26 fouls to 19 for Drexel. but 3 of the main scorers for UNCW were a combined 7/28 they will turn this around at home and win this game by 7+, Drexel has lost their last 2 away but they were close, but i think UNCW wants this game, this was right before they started playing better ,

also going with Albany +3 it was 3.5 it dropped, they beat Binghamton by 20 earlier 95-75 and i just think they are a much better team and should maybe be a pk or favored by 1-2 so i went with them and glad i did too as Lipscomb is now -9 and Albany has dropped 2 more points, Albany won both halves of the 1st meeting eassily, by 10 each half, they also had 24 more shots than Bing did, they had 17 offensive rebounds in the game, and only 5 turnovers to 14 for Binghamton, partly why they had so many more shots, its hard to lose when you get 24 more shots, Binghamton also had 11 more ft's and Binghamton does not take a lot of 3's they only took 9 in that game making just 3, while Albany was 11/27 from 3, even though they are on the road i still expect Albany to win this game,

, its why i like to bet early, hard to look at every game before line moves , sometimes i am happy when line goes with me, kind of shows my thinking maybe was what others were too, and to know you were early on it, but it is a worry when it moves that much, Bottom line Handicapping is also about always trying to get the best line possible for what you like, and reading the public, should i wait and maybe it goes up or do ya think others will like it too so better get it now i have always been good at reading the bettors , don't mean they always win, but getting the best line matters,never seen a sport people bet on where 1 point matters so many times

Ticket Number: 760137604-1
Accepted Date: 02/07/24 08:02 GMT-5
Amount:$110.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Queens NC vs Lipscomb - Spread | 306548 Lipscomb -8 -110 For Game | 02/08/2024 | 08:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

Confirmation: 3506873​

Date Placed: 02/07/24 20:24:24
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 165.00 win 150.00
Bet Details:

1. 778 NC Wilmington -3 (-110) risk 165.00 win 150.00 (NCAA Men)

Ticket Number: 760139365-1
Accepted Date: 02/07/24 10:20 GMT-5
Amount:$105.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$100.00
Type:Spread
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Albany NY vs Binghamton - Spread | 306527 Albany NY +3 -105 For Game | 02/08/2024 | 06:05:00 PM (EST) | Pending

 

[one51rum]

also going to go with Oregon -6 i missed the 5.5 opening line but going with 6 here, Oregon has been very good at home this year, and they did beat Washington at Washington earlier by 2, 76-74, Washington comes into this shooting well, but on the road they are not as good as Oregon is at home, i think 6 is safe, i see them as a 9 pt win here, the Over could be a play just based on what Washington is scoring and giving up, i think Oregon could get 80 in this game, i just hope they can keep Washington to 70 or less, unless they can put up 85 but i have this more of a 81-71 type of game and the total is 153 , so just Oregon -6 here , can never buy down till after midnight, this line opened at 5.5 , i see it is even 6.5 at some books

Oregon-6 1 unit

Confirmation: 3511059​

Date Placed: 02/08/24 02:52:26
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 850 Oregon -6 (-110) risk 110.00 win 100.00 (NCAA Men)

 

[one51rum]

and this next play is one that i like but man do i hate going against FAU, they are a really good team no doubt, but in this spot i really like UAB here at +5.5 buying up to 6 .....FAU has won 7 in a row and they did beat UAB by 13 86-73, they lost that game mainly because FAU shot 49% and out rebounded them a little too, But UAB only had 8 assist, to like 17 for FAU, at home they have to have more, they did take 3 more shots in that game but only shot 19% from 3 5/26 they are going to have to shoot at least 32% or better i think at home and they should, and i think they will rebound much better at home also, they had 14 offensive rebounds on the road that is good, and only had 8 to's which is good, there only thing was their shooting was not up to par, they come into this game shooting better than FAU in the last 3 games so they will have to keep that up, an out right win is possible, but i see this a s a 3 point game , and i am going to go OVER the 155 in this game also , last 3 games UAB is avg 83 and giving up 80, while FAU is avg 79 and 63, at home UAB is avg 80 and 77.5 and away FAU is avg 83 and 76 , i see this game getting into the low 160's 83-80 , UAB is 9-3 str up at home and as a home dog they are 2-0 str up, FAU away is 3-2 str up and 3-2 ats as an away fav, as a favorite FAU is actually only 9-11 this year ats, and UAB as a dog are 8-1 ats this year...UAB is 7-4 OVER at home and 6-3 OVER as a dog this year i do think this line drops on the spread

UAB+6 -120 1.5 units

OVER 155 small half unit might add

Confirmation: 3511972​

Date Placed: 02/08/24 04:09:10
Header:
INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 180.00 win 150.00
Bet Details:

1. 836 UAB +6 Buy ½ (-120) risk 180.00 win 150.00 (NCAA Men)

Ticket Number: 760212156-1
Accepted Date: 02/08/24 05:36 GMT-5
Amount:$55.00
Status:
Pending
To win:$50.00
Type:Total
Description:
Basketball - NCAA - Florida Atlantic vs UAB - Total | 835 Florida Atlantic/UAB over 155 -110 For Game | 02/08/2024 | 09:00:00 PM (EST) | Pending

 

[one51rum]

Correction on last night 11-4 i did not count Georgia like an idiot, it's late, or early i guess

so 11-4 last night

698-544

 

[one51rum]

Correction on last night 11-4 i did not count Georgia like an idiot, it's late, or early i guess ...what i need is to put some better days together, that has been an issue this year, if i can maybe do that other things will start happening, like anything its how ya feel, getting a streak going gets the confidence going which maybe you'll start playing other games ya like , its hard to not let losses bother ya, i do not need the money, winning is always nice, but to be honest i do not play games to get rich, i just enjoy handicapping, and finding winners, and hopefully helping others make money, every loss bothers me, but its doing it right that is gratifying like the write up i did on New Orleans the other night and then having it win big and everything ya wrote happened, just wish i could have more of those...lol

so 11-4 last night

698-544

 

[CBBPHENOM]

Love oregon, it's-8 now still like it if I buy to 7. I'm guessing yes

 

[indiana]

R/151......nicely done (Wed.) buddy......thank you.....
continue your winning ways tonight....indy

 

[CBBPHENOM]

Thoughts on temple +7. They play competitive at home and lost to usf by 6 at home. I would argue usf is way better than memphis.

 

[CBBPHENOM]

Looks like temple is quite competitive in the 1st half at home. Think I'll play that angle.

 

[poppers]

Good Luck Rum!!

 

[one51rum]

Love oregon, it's-8 now still like it if I buy to 7. I'm guessing yes

sorry just got home yes if i like 6 i need 7 to win, so its at 8 now wow i never like a line that moves like that i mean i handicapped it i see the reasoning , but its game everyone is on it seems

 

[one51rum]

Thoughts on temple +7. They play competitive at home and lost to usf by 6 at home. I would argue usf is way better than memphis.

been gone for awhile just got back brother ill look things over have other messages also gl

 

[bustamove22]

No way am I playing oregon at -8

 

[one51rum]

another strange line Albany opens at +3 drops to +1 and then went back to +3

 

[one51rum]

No way am I playing oregon at -8

i would agree i just seen -8.5 now its even scaring me to be honest i was on it early this morning it moved a half pt is all which is what i expected, i thought maybe it would go to 6.5 but now its up 3 points , i would guess that spreads that move 3 points in a matter of hours, or in hoops its from 5 pm till next day i would bet they cover maybe half the time, now by cover i mean the closing line which would be 8.5 7 might cover 6 might but ill bet its a 50/50 on the closing line if it kept going up and never dropped at all

 

[bustamove22]

I'm seeing -9 now!

 

[CBBPHENOM]

No way am I playing oregon at -8

I have a very different view on this line move. Oregon is 1 game behind Arizona in the pac-12. They are also on joe Lunardis last 4 out after losing to ucla. The ducks look and smell like a tourney team. I feel they will get in. They have to win this game. They already beat Washington in a close one. Now Vegas puts out a bug number and it steams to 8.5. Ducks are 10-1 at home. Huskies defense is suspect so a big number doesnt scare me. Brooks jr is the main scorer for washington. I expect Oregon to isolate him force Washington to score elsewhere, which wont happen. Reeks of a blowout to me. I'll lay whatever

 

[one51rum]

The Towson Tigers are ranked 326 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 40.5% while attempting 56.8 shots per game. The Tigers shooting percentages include 65.4% for free throw percentage and 33.5% for three point percentage so far this season.The Delaware Blue Hens are ranked 59 for offensive field goal percentage shooting 46.5% while attempting 58.5 shots per game. The Blue Hens shooting percentages include 71.0% for free throw percentage and 35.0% for three point percentage so far this season.

The Towson Tigers are 10-0 at home this season, 7-3 against conference opponents, and 7-6 against non-conference opponents.At home the Tigers are averaging 72.1 scoring, and holding teams to 62.2 points scored on defense.The Delaware Blue Hens are 6-4 while on the road this season, 6-4 against conference opponents, and 8-5 against non-conference opponents.On the road, the Blue Hens are averaging 75.0 scoring, and holding teams to 70.3 points scored on defense.

Towson just beat Delaware at Delaware 67-56 and in that game Towson was 22/59 4/18 and 19/26 Delaware was 18/46 5/18 and 15/21 so Towson took 13 more shots, and took 5 more ft's and won by 11, they did it by Rebounding as they had 44 reb's to 31 for Delaware, and they had 15 offensive to just 4 for Delaware, right there is how they got all the extra shots, and Delaware had 6 more to's than Towson did , so can Delaware play better away this time , Towson was up 8 at half 34-26, and in the 2nd half Towson maintained a 6-8 point lead, Delaware cut it to 4 with just over 2 mins left 59-55, then of course like i wrote earlier it followed what most games do, the the team trailing does not score to cut it to 2 they foul, then down 6 then they do not score again and foul down 8 all games come down to if the team trailing makes shots, so in this game i think Towson would be the play here, they have been winning at home but Delaware has won 3 of last 4 but i would have thought Towson would be a bigger fav here, i would think 6 , it shows this opened at 4.5 then was 3 at 5:44pm yesterday then was 3.5 at 3 am so maybe buy down to 3 then, then it was 4 at 7:49am and it has stayed there, so some are taking Delaware since this morning or else this would be 5 by now, .....2 of the last 3 were higher scoring games too, not the last one, Delaware does have a + score margin even away, on the year they are +4 last 3 games they are +7 away they are +3.4 Delaware comes into this game shooting better than Towson last 3 games, and they are shooting better away in almost all stats except the 3 and that is close, than Towson does at home, last 3 games Delaware is shooting the 3 at 38% to 31 for Towson, the 2 at 58% to 39% for ztowson, and over all is 50.6% to 36.6% for Towson and effective is 58% to 42% those are some good stats for Delaware, and away they shoot better like i said than Towson does at home, ft's aaway Delaware 67% at home Towson 65%, i mean just looking its Towson but digging into it i can see why Delaware is getting some action going to be a good game maybe.....when decent teams lose at home in conf, they want to return the favor if they can, both teams are 14-9 and Towson is 10-0 str up at home...Towson is 6-2-1 ats at home, Delaware is 8-5 ats away so they can cover on the road

i hope maybe this helps if you were looking into this game, told ya i just like breaking games down

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

I have a very different view on this line move. Oregon is 1 game behind Arizona in the pac-12. They are also on joe Lunardis last 4 out after losing to ucla. The ducks look and smell like a tourney team. I feel they will get in. They have to win this game. They already beat Washington in a close one. Now Vegas puts out a bug number and it steams to 8.5. Ducks are 10-1 at home. Huskies defense is suspect so a big number doesnt scare me. Brooks jr is the main scorer for washington. I expect Oregon to isolate him force Washington to score elsewhere, which wont happen. Reeks of a blowout to me. I'll lay whatever

well in my write up i said 81-70 so i agree i would call a 11+ pt win on a 6 pt spread a big win a big win

 

[one51rum]

I'm seeing -9 now!

crazy