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Long Sheet

Thursday, July 27

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MILWAUKEE (54 - 49) at WASHINGTON (60 - 39) - 12:05 PM
MICHAEL BLAZEK (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 54-49 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 26-25 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 42-39 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 67-70 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-21 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

MICHAEL BLAZEK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

MAX SCHERZER vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SCHERZER is 1-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.91 and a WHIP of 0.848.
His team's record is 1-4 (-6.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)

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CINCINNATI (41 - 60) at MIAMI (46 - 53) - 7:10 PM
ROBERT STEPHENSON (R) vs. CHRIS O'GRADY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-19 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 13-5 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 418-391 (+45.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
MIAMI is 12-21 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
MIAMI is 94-111 (-23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

ROBERT STEPHENSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
STEPHENSON is 0-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 8.44 and a WHIP of 1.876.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CHRIS O'GRADY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
O'GRADY is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.78 and a WHIP of 2.141.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (58 - 43) at ST LOUIS (50 - 51) - 7:15 PM
ZACK GODLEY (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ZACK GODLEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GODLEY is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

LUKE WEAVER vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (47 - 52) at SAN DIEGO (44 - 57) - 9:10 PM
CHRIS FLEXEN (R) vs. LUIS PERDOMO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 47-52 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 36-42 (-14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 64-67 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 35-28 (+14.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 83-96 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-21 (+8.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 27-17 (+11.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 109-86 (+37.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
NY METS are 425-438 (+35.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
NY METS are 18-9 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
NY METS are 215-164 (+40.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+1.2 Units) against NY METS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

CHRIS FLEXEN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

LUIS PERDOMO vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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LA ANGELS (49 - 53) at CLEVELAND (54 - 45) - 12:10 PM
JC RAMIREZ (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 19-5 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 530-507 (+43.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 183-149 (+47.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 29-23 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CLEVELAND is 54-45 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-48 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-24 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 29-27 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JC RAMIREZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

TREVOR BAUER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BAUER is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.291.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.4 units)

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OAKLAND (44 - 57) at TORONTO (47 - 54) - 12:35 PM
SEAN MANAEA (L) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 181-244 (-54.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 12-25 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 16-34 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 22-35 (-13.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 48-66 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MANAEA is 0-9 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 47-54 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 8-17 (-13.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 19-28 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 19-24 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-2 (+1.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.1 Units)

SEAN MANAEA vs. TORONTO since 1997
MANAEA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
STROMAN is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.63 and a WHIP of 1.371.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (53 - 49) at NY YANKEES (53 - 46) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 121-142 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 75-91 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARCHER is 22-32 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 8-17 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 14-21 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 6-19 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 37-19 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 73-63 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 12-4 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 8-1 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
SABATHIA is 20-8 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 19-12 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 17-25 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-4 (+0.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ARCHER is 6-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 8-7 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.3 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-14 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.249.
His team's record is 23-20 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 20-21. (-3.5 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (53 - 47) at CHI WHITE SOX (39 - 59) - 8:10 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 53-47 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 36-41 (-25.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-26 (-11.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 807-764 (-159.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
LESTER is 27-7 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 94-38 (+35.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-2 (+0.3 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

JON LESTER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
LESTER is 6-6 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.281.
His team's record is 8-6 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.5 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
PELFREY is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.66 and a WHIP of 0.969.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)
 
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Jimmy Boyd
Jul 27 '17, 12:35 PM
MLB | OAK vs TOR
Play on: UNDER 9 -115

Free Pick on A's/Blue Jays UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER on Thursday's total between the A's and Blue Jays. Both of these offenses have been struggling. Oakland has scored 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight games and Toronto has scored 4 or less in 6 straight and 9 of their last 10.

Adding value here is the pitching matchup. The A's send out Sean Manaea, who owns a respectable 3.82 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in 18 starts. His only career start against the Blue Jays came back in early June and he allowed just 2 runs on 4 hits in 6 innings. Toronto counters with the red-hot Marcus Stroman, who is now 9-5 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 20 starts. Stroman has been at his best at home (2.70 ERA) and owns a sensational 0.84 ERA in his last 3 starts. Take the UNDER!
 
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Brandon Lee
Jul 27 '17, 7:05 PM
MLB | Rays vs Yankees
Play on: Yankees -117 at GTBets

10* FREE MLB PICK (Yankees -117)

It use to be an automatic play on the Rays with Archer on the mound against the Yankees, as he started out his career going 5-0 with a 1.78 ERA in his first 8 starts against them. It's been a different story since, as Archer is a mere 1-6 with a 3.86 ERA in his last 8 starts. He's got a 4.12 ERA and 1.374 WHIP in 10 road starts and will facing a surging New York team that has won 3 straight and 5 of their their last 6 overall. Yankees will send out veteran C.C. Sabathia, who has been sharp in his first two outings out of the break, allowing just 1 run on 6 hits over 11 innings in wins on the road over the Mariners and Red Sox. Give me the Yankees -117!
 
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DAVE COKIN

METS AT PADRES
PLAY: METS -101

Chris Flexen opened the season as the #22 rated Mets prospect, according to Baseball America. I think it’s fair to speculate Flexen has risen in those rankings thanks to a spectacular run at AA Binghamton. Flexen has recorded some eye-popping stats down on the farm. He’s 6-1 with a microscopic 1.66 ERA. Flexen has surrendered only 28 hits in his 48.2 innings and one has to be impressed with his 7/50 BB/K ratio. I might as well throw in that the burly right-hander hasn’t allowed a single homer. Regardless of the level, that’s some pretty impressive material.

The Padres will counter with Luis Perdomo, who was doing quite well until recently. Perdomo has seemingly hit a bit of a wall of late. He’s been very hittable in his last four starts, getting touched up for 30 hits in 18.2 innings. Granted, the Friars have been playing some very shaky defense behind him and that has contributed to having to face extra batters. But Perdomo is not sharp right now and I can easily make a case that he’s more fade than follow material at this juncture.

I’m a fan of backing first time starters as there’s no book on these sight unseen guys. That often contributes to success the first time around the loop. As hot as Flexen has been to earn this promotion, I believe he’s worth an investment in this game and I will be backing the Mets.
 
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Brandon Shively

Rays at Yankees
Pick: Under 8.5

Chris Archer is having the best season of his career. He has always been at his best in games against teams like the Yankees on the big stage to this point in his career, and I see this as another big start for him where he thrives. C.C. Sabathia is up against a Rays team that isn't any good against left-handed pitching. Both bullpens have been throwing the ball well lately. I see a low scoring contest here.
 
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Don Best Consensus

Cubs at White Sox
Pick: Cubs

The Cubs are 10-2 in their last 12 overall and 8-0 in their last eight road games.
The White Sox have sold off all their major league talent in a complete rebuild, they are 8-23 in their last 31 overall.
Lester has a solid 3.95 ERA over 123 innings this season.
 
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Robert Ferringo

Chicago Cubs (-1.5, -120) over White Sox

This Cubs game should be a blowout. This is the continuation of this mid-week rivalry series. I can't see a scenario where the Cubs don't take at least two of the final three games after losing the opener in Wrigley. Jon Lester gets the call for this one, and he has been excellent in his last two outings, giving up just six hits and three runs in 15 innings while striking out 16 and walking just one. The White Sox will counter with Piñata Pelfrey. He has lost six of his last eight starts, has a 4.50 ERA on the season, and he's given up 15 runs in his last 18 innings of work. The Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 interleague road games, and the White Sox are 6-16 in their last 22 against a team above .500. The favorite has won seven of nine in this series, and I see the Cubs taking this one big.
 
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Doc's Sports
Jul 27 '17, 7:15 PM
MLB | ARI vs STL
Play on: UNDER 9 -105

Free MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc’s Sports:
Take 'Under' Arizona at St. Louis (7 p.m., Thursday, July 27)
I like Adam Wainwright in this game. He has looked very good over his last few starts. Wainwright has given up two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts and the total is 1-5 in his last six starts. He shut down the Diamondbacks in a 4-3 Cardinals win on June 28. He only allowed two runs in six innings in that one. The Cardinals have played 'under' in nine of their last 10 series openers. I am going with the 'under' in this one.
 
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Mike Williams
Jul 27 '17, 8:10 PM
MLB | CHC vs CWS
Play on: UNDER 10 +100

1* on Cubs vs White Sox under 10 +100
 
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Eric Schroeder

My free winner for today is on the Cleveland Indians over the Angels from Anaheim. Play this game on the Run Line.

The Indians are one of the hottest teams in the American League.

They've won six straight games.

This is an early game for a West coast team, and that has to play a streaking team on its own field.

Cleveland runs away with this.

IMPORTANT: As you know every single Run Line play and Total wager will automatically list the scheduled starting pitchers at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who is pitching for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by betting the game over again in the event that takes place.

3* INDIANS (Do not list pitchers)
 
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Jack Brayman

My Bonus Play is on the Toronto Blue Jays in an early battle with the Oakland Athletics. Play this game on the Run Line.

Though pitchers are automatically listed when making Run Line wagers, I am insisting you DO NOT worry about who the scheduled starters are. In the event of a scratch, you MUST re-wager the game with the new pitcher(s) who are scheduled. This play will stand no matter who pitches for either team.

Oakland has dropped three in a row, and the Jays have now won three straight. This game will be over quickly, as Toronto's bats come to life.

4* BLUE JAYS RUN LINE
 
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Jeff Benton

Thursday freebie is the Under in the A's-Jays matinee from the Rogers Centre.

This series has not seen much offense, as Monday the clubs combined for just 6 runs total. On Tuesday, it was just 7 runs combined, and yesterday only 5 runs crossed between the teams.

Oakland needs to fly back to California after today's affair, so look for the pace of this game to be a little quicker than normal. Also look for a few starters to be given the day off after playing a night game last night.

The pitching matchup features a pair of capable hurlers in Sean Manaea and Marcus Stroman. Both should be able to make quick work of the batters this afternoon, as we see an Under in the series finale between Oakland and Toronto.

Play it low today in Canada.

3* OAKLAND-TORONTO UNDER
 
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John Martin
Jul 27 '17, 9:10 PM
MLB | Mets vs Padres
Play on: Padres -113 at betonline

1 Unit Bonus Play on San Diego Padres -113

The San Diego Padres have been a profitable bet at home this season with their 25-25 record and +3.3 units at Petco Park. I like this price of -113 today against the New York Mets. Chris Flexen will be making his major league debut here for the Mets. The Padres have gone 6-3 in Luis Perdomo's nine home starts this season as he has been consistently overlooked.
 

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