Thursday 7/23/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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[superbeets]

Europa League TODAY 18:00

Astra Giurgiu

v

Inverness CT

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		1/2	3	6	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ASTRA GIURGIU	RECENT FORM
ADHWAWHDAWHL​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWAWHWALNWHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Astra striker Constantin Budescu has scored in six of his last seven competitive appearances

EXPERT VERDICT: Astra battled their way through to the group stages of last season’s Europa League and can put that experience to good use when hosting Inverness in the second leg of their second qualifying round match. The Romanians picked up a 1-0 victory at Caledonian Stadium last week and should follow it up with another success on home soil.

RECOMMENDATION: Astra
2

 

[superbeets]

Europa League TODAY 19:45

Aberdeen

v

Rijeka

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		5/2	23/10	11/10	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ABERDEEN	RECENT FORM
HLADHLADHDAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	AWHWALADHLHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Aberdeen have not conceded more than one goal in any of their 14 competitive games

EXPERT VERDICT: Aberdeen’s 3-0 win at Rijeka was hugely impressive but the Scots may be content to sit on their advantage in the return leg and a low-scoring draw could transpire. Rijeka are highly unlikely to get back into the tie but will be keen to show they are a much better team than they demonstrated last Thursday.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League TODAY 19:45

Birkirkara

v

West Ham

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
PMSK		9	15/4	1/3	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BIRKIRKARA	RECENT FORM
HLHD*HWHDAWAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	ALHLALHWAWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Birkirkara have won just one of their last ten European qualifiers

EXPERT VERDICT: West Ham have been far from convincing in the early stages of Europa League qualifying but have kept three clean sheets and another shutout will ensure they progress past Maltese minnows Birkirkara. An injury-time James Tomkins goal was needed to post a 1-0 win at Upton Park but the Hammers should be slightly more comfortable in the return leg.

RECOMMENDATION: West Ham 2-0
1

 

[superbeets]

Swiss Super League Sa 25Jul 19:00

Grasshoppers

v

Basel

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BT1		5/2	23/10	11/10	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT GRASSHOPPERS	RECENT FORM
AWHWHDAWALAW​ Most recent​	2 - 4 3 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1	AWHDALADHWHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Basel have lost just two of their last 16 Swiss league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Basel are firmly established as the top dogs in Swiss football and can maintain their 100 per cent record by beating Grasshoppers in Zurich. The champions eased to a 2-0 success at home to Vaduz in their opening match of the season and can exploit the defensive weaknesses Grasshoppers showed in a 5-3 triumph away to Thun last Sunday.

RECOMMENDATION: Basel
1

 

[palcsifej]

Requesting:
Winyourwagers
Wepicksports

 

[Scott602]

Spartans early football pick TIA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Nationals @ Pirates
Fister is 0-2, 5.29 in his last three starts; his last four stayed under.

Liriano is 1-0, 2.05 in his last four starts; he missed his last start (neck).

Washington won last seven games with Pittsburgh; home side won nine of last ten series games. Nationals are 5-3 in last eight games; over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Pirates lost five of last six games, three of those four stayed under the total.

Dodgers @ Mets
Kershaw is 2-0, 0.38 in his last three starts; his last five stayed under.

Colon is 0-4, 6.83 in his last five starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Dodgers lost three of last four games with the Mets; over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. LA split its last eight games; under is 14-4-1 in their last 19 road games. Mets lost four of last six games; over is 3-1-1 in last five.

Brewers @ Diamondbacks
Fiers is 2-0, 2.18 in his last five starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Godley is making MLB debut; he was 9-4, 2.75 in 15 AA starts.

Road team won seven of last nine Milwaukee-Arizona games; five of last seven went over total. Brewers won four of last five games- three of last four went over total. Diamondbacks lost eight of their last nine games- three of last four stayed under.

Marlins @ Padres
Koehler is 0-2, 6.00 in his last two starts; under is 4-0-1 in his last five.

Ross is 1-0, 2.53 in his last four starts; over is 2-1-1 in his last four at home.

San Diego won four of last five games with Miami; home side won eight of last ten series game; Padres lost last two games after winning previous five. Over is 16-6-1 in their last 23 at home. Miami won its last two games after it lost previous four- over is 5-3 in its last eight games.

American League
Orioles @ Bronx
Jimenez is 0-2, 4.32 in his last three starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

Tanaka is 2-0, 3.07 in his last two starts; six of his last nine stayed under.

Home side won nine of last 11 Baltimore-Bronx games; last three series games stayed under. Orioles are 3-8 in last 11 road games- under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games. Bronx is 10-4 in last 14 games; their last five stayed under.

Mariners @ Tigers
Iwakuma is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts; seven of his last nine went over.

Price is 5-1, 1.81 in his last eight starts; four of his last six went over total.

Seattle lost six of last nine games; under is 10-4-1 in Seattle's last 15 road games. Tigers lost six of last nine games; over is 25-3-1 in their last 29 games, 13-1-1 in their last fifteen at home. Mariners lost three of last four games with Detroit; six of last seven went over.

Red Sox @ Astros
Miley is 0-1, 4.26 in his last three starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight.

McCullers is 1-1, 2.63 in his last four starts; over is 2-1-1 in his last four starts at home.

Red Sox are 0-6 since All-Star break, outscored 34-9. Boston is 5-5 in its last ten games with Houston; seven of the ten games went over total. Astros lost seven of last eleven games (under 7-3-1).

Blue Jays @ A's
Hutchison is 1-1, 7.47 in his last three starts; his last five went over.

Kazmir is 3-1, 1.74 in his last seven starts; seven of his last nine went under.

Home side won eight of last nine Toronto-Oakland games; Jays lost five of last six games in Oakland- under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Toronto lost eight of last 12 road games. A's won five of last seven games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine.

Twins @ Angels
Santana is 1-0, 3.66 in three starts (under 2-1).

Richards is 3-1, 2.12 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Angels won last nine games with Minnesota; over is 7-2-1 in last ten tilts in series. Halos are 20-7 in last 27 home games, 11 of last 13 stayed under the total. Minnesota lost last four games; five of last six stayed under the total.

Interleague
Royals @ Cardinals
Young is 1-1, 4.77 in his last three starts; under is 3-1-1 in his last five.

Lackey is 4-1, 1.63 in his last seven starts; three of his last four went over.

Kansas City lost last three games with St Louis; under is 7-1-2 in last 10 series games. Royals won six of last eight series games- five of last seven stayed under total. Cardinals won four of last five games; over is 5-3 in last eight.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Wsh-Pitt-- Fister 4-8; Liriano 8-10
LA-NY-- Kershaw 10-9; Colon 9-9
Mil-Az-- Fiers 11-8; Godley 0-0
Mia- SD-- Koehler 9-8; Ross 10-10

Balt-NY-- Jimenez 10-8; Tanaka 9-3
Sea-Det-- Iwakuma 2-4; Price 15-4
Bos-Hst-- Miley 10-9; McCullers 5-6
Tor-A's-- Hutchison 12-7; Kazmir 8-10
Min-LAA-- Santana 2-1; Richards 11-6
Chi-Clev-- Samardzija 9-10; Bauer 9-9

KC-StL-- Young 9-5; Lackey 11-8

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Wsh-Pitt-- Fister 3-12; Liriano 2-18
LA-NY-- Kershaw 4-19; Colon 5-18
Mil-Az-- Fiers 1-19; Godley 0-0
Mia- SD-- Koehler 3-17; Ross 5-20

Balt-NY-- Jimenez 3-18; Tanaka 3-12
Sea-Det-- Iwakuma 2-6; Price 3-19
Bos-Hst-- Miley 4-19; McCullers 1-11
Tor-A's-- Hutchison 7-19; Kazmir 2-18
Min-LAA-- Santana 0-3; Richards 2-17
Chi-Clev-- Samardzija 10-19; Bauer 3-18

KC-StL-- Young 1-14; Lackey 3-19

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Day made Canadian 'chalk'

Tournament: RBC Canadian Open
Date: July 23-26
Venue: Glen Abbey Golf Course
Location: Oakville, Ontario

After an eventful weekend at The Open Championship, the players head to Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open. This has been a pretty high-scoring tournament over the years and the winner has been double-digits under par in eight of the past 10 installments. The average winning score of the last three of these tournaments to be played at Glen Abbey has been 17-under.

This event will feature a rather competitive field, as five of the top-20 golfers in the world (OWGR) will be competing this year. Bubba Watson, Jim Furyk, Jason Day, J.B. Holmes and Matt Kuchar are the headliners, but Furyk is the one who will be drawing most of the attention. He is a two-time winner at the RBC Canadian Open and will be looking to win his third event after failing to crack the top-25 in the past two majors.

Let’s take a look at the field and find some guys who could be lifting the trophy on Sunday:

Golfers to Bet

Jason Day (15/2) - Day comes into this tournament in great form, finishing in the top-10 at both the U.S. Open and The Open Championship. He was -14 at the Old Course at St Andrews this past weekend and came up just short on a birdie attempt that would have sent him into a playoff to win the major. Despite that missed putt, Day is second in the world in birdie average (4.3) and third in the world in driving distance (308.2 yards) and that will give him a leg up on his competition in this tournament. He is the only player in the field that ranks in the top-five in that statistic and will be hungry to come away with his second win of the season this weekend.

J.B. Holmes (40/1) - Holmes is putting together a spectacular season and has already finished in the top-five four times on the year. He won the Shell Houston Open in early April and will come into this tournament looking to rebound on a lousy performance at The Open Championship. Like Day, Holmes has been exceptional with his putter on the year. He is eighth in the world in birdie average (3.9) and that has helped him shoot double-digits under par in two events this season. Holmes also has a big driver, ranking sixth in the world in driving distance (308.2 yards). He is worth a play at this event, especially considering he shot a -9 and finished tied for 15th the last time he played in the RBC Canadian Open.

Scott Piercy (45/1) - Piercy did not participate at The Open Championship but is coming into the RBC Canadian Open on a serious hot streak. Piercy won the Barbasol Championship last week and is now a combined 42-under over his past three tournaments. He has finished in the top-10 four times on the year and will now be playing in a tournament that he won in 2012. He was 17-under that year and will look to put forth a similar performance this weekend. Piercy is solid on the greens with a 4.0 birdie average and that should help him stay in the hunt come Sunday.

Tim Clark (120/1) - Clark is the reigning champion at the RBC Canadian Open and he is getting some pretty juicy odds at 100/1. One major issue is that he’ll come into this tournament after missing back/back cuts (Travelers Championship, John Deere Classic). Clark does, however, have a top-five finish this year after shooting 11-under at the WGC-HSBC Championship. He also finished in the top-30 in the two tournaments before missing consecutive cuts. He’ll look to regain his composure in an event that he is clearly comfortable at this weekend.

Ollie Schniederjans (120/1) - Schniederjans is only an amateur and doesn’t have a lot of experience under his belt, but he looked outstanding last week on a huge stage. The young golfer from Georgia Tech finished tied for 12th place at The Open Championship and shot a 67 in the final round. He has proved he belongs amongst the veterans in this sport and is worth a play with some extremely favorable odds.

Odds to win RBC Canadian Open -

Jason Day 15/2
Jim Furyk 27/2
Bubba Watson 15/1
Matt Kuchar 15/1
Brooks Koepka 21/1
Luke Donald 21/1
Graham Delaet 30/1
Hunter Mahan 30/1
Ryan Palmer 30/1
Tony Finau 35/1
Charley Hoffman 40/1
J.B. Holmes 40/1
Scott Piercy 45/1
Kevin Chappell 55/1
Graeme McDowell 60/1
Brian Harman 65/1
Steve Stricker 65/1
Jerry Kelly 70/1
Matt Jones 70/1
Patrick Rodgers 70/1
Sean OHair 70/1
Andres Romero 80/1
Martin Laird 80/1
Nick Watney 80/1
Pat Perez 80/1
Retief Goosen 80/1
Rory Sabbatini 80/1
Seung-Yul Noh 80/1
Chris Stroud 90/1
Morgan Hoffmann 90/1
Scott Pinckney 90/1
Daniel Summerhays 100/1
David Hearn 100/1
Johnson Wagner 100/1
Scott Langley 100/1
William McGirt 100/1
Brendon de Jonge 110/1
Emiliano Grillo 110/1
Greg Owen 110/1
Austin Cook 120/1
Ollie Schniederjans 120/1
Tim Clark 120/1
Chez Reavie 130/1
Sangmoon Bae 130/1
Stewart Cink 130/1
Aaron Baddeley 140/1
James Hahn 140/1
Luke Guthrie 140/1
Chad Campbell 150/1
Ernie Els 150/1
Fabian Gomez 150/1
Adam Hadwin 160/1
Vijay Singh 160/1
Corey Conners 170/1
Hudson Swafford 180/1
Jhonattan Vegas 180/1
Michael Thompson 180/1
Robert Garrigus 180/1
Alex Cejka 200/1
Chad Collins 200/1
Chesson Hadley 200/1
John Huh 200/1
Ryo Ishikawa 200/1
Colt Knost 210/1
Jonas Blixt 210/1
Mark Wilson 210/1
Blayne Barber 230/1
Martin Flores 230/1
S.J. Park 230/1
John Peterson 240/1
Angel Cabrera 250/1
Brad Fritsch 250/1
Brian Stuard 250/1
Cameron Percy 250/1
Camilo Villegas 250/1
Charlie Beljan 250/1
Jason Gore 250/1
Jeff Overton 250/1
John Merrick 250/1
Jon Curran 250/1
K.J. Choi 250/1
Mark Hensby 250/1
Matt Every 250/1
Ricky Barnes 250/1
Spencer Levin 250/1
Vaughn Taylor 250/1
Zac Blair 250/1
Alex Prugh 300/1
Andrew Loupe 300/1
Billy Hurley III 300/1
Carlos Ortiz 300/1
Jim Herman 300/1
Ken Duke 300/1
Michael Putnam 300/1
Ryan Ruffels 300/1
Steven Alker 300/1
Tom Gillis 300/1
Troy Merritt 300/1
Whee Kim 300/1
Adam Svensson 350/1
Ben Crane 350/1
Brian Davis 350/1
Erik Compton 350/1
Lucas Glover 350/1
Nicholas Thompson 350/1
Robert Allenby 350/1
Steve Wheatcroft 350/1
Tom Hoge 350/1
Brice Garnett 400/1
Nick Taylor 400/1
Taylor Pendrith 400/1
Derek Ernst 450/1
J.J. Henry 450/1
Albin Choi 500/1
Andres Gonzales 500/1
Andrew Putnam 500/1
Andrew Svoboda 500/1
Austin Connelly 500/1
Bill Q. Walsh 500/1
Blair Hamilton 500/1
Byron Smith 500/1
Carlos Sainz Jr. 500/1
D.A. Points 500/1
Davis Love III 500/1
Derek Fathauer 500/1
Drew Weaver 500/1
Dudley Hart 500/1
Eric Axley 500/1
Garrett Rank 500/1
Heath Slocum 500/1
J.J. Spaun 500/1
Jim Renner 500/1
John Rollins 500/1
Jonathan Randolph 500/1
Justin Leonard 500/1
Kyle Reifers 500/1
Len Mattiace 500/1
Marcelo Rozo 500/1
Mark Hubbard 500/1
Max Homa 500/1
Neal Lancaster 500/1
Oscar Fraustro 500/1
Richard Jung 500/1
Richard Sterne 500/1
Roger Sloan 500/1
Ryan Armour 500/1
Sam Saunders 500/1
Scott Verplank 500/1
Tim Wilkinson 500/1
Tyrone Van Aswegen 500/1
Zack Sucher 500/1

Odds Subject to Change

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities
By BEN BURNS

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you're betting. Whether it's a team looking past this week's opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Ben Burns points out his favorites:

Lookahead spot

The Boston Red Sox are longing for the familiar form of Fenway Park, wrapping up a seven-game western road trip this week. Boston has stumbled since returning from the break. It was swept in four games against the Los Angeles Dodgers, getting outscored 4-24 in that series, and dropped the opener at Houston Tuesday.

Boston has two more games against the Astros before heading home. The Red Sox are just 20-29 and down -8.5 units away from Beantown, as of Wednesday, and could get caught looking ahead to an extended 10-game home stand which begins Friday.

Letdown spot

The Carolina Panthers are trying to hold on to their place in the NFC South as well as the conference, making the playoffs as a 7-8-1 SU team last season – enough to top the sub-par division. The Panthers can prove they’re not just a formality with a big win against the Green Bay Packers in Week 9 of the upcoming NFL season. Oddsmakers currently have Carolina set as a 3-point home underdog for that matchup.

However, the Panthers are in prime letdown position following this showdown with the Cheeseheads, traveling to play the Tennessee Titans in Week 10. Carolina is an early 2.5-point underdog on the road but the Titans will be coming home for the only time in a four-game span that has them in Houston, New Orleans and Jacksonville in November.

Schedule spot

There’s plenty of buzz in Ann Arbor this summer, with former San Francisco 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh taking over the sidelines at the Big House. However, Harbaugh’s debut will come away from home in a tough schedule spot for the Wolverines. Michigan opens play at Utah in Week 1, set as a +5.5 underdog, in what will be a closely-dissected game for loyal backers of the Maize and Blue.

Not only will Michigan be dealing with the pressure that comes with upholding Harbaugh’s standard but this showdown in Salt Lake City will also test the Wolverines’ early-season conditioning, which is never in game shape no matter how many wind sprints you run. The altitude at Rice-Eccles Stadium could quickly suck the air out of Harbaugh’s debut.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 1:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 75 - Purse:$3400 - ALL AGES N/W $200 P/S LAST 5 OR P/S IN 2015 $4700 P/C L/S J RYAN 1 OVER 7 W PARKER JR 2 OVER 3


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 BLOG HANOVER 6/1


# 8 TYMAL DAILED IN 5/2


# 4 SEMAJ SAM 10/1


BLOG HANOVER will not be denied the victory this time. This standardbred may have some hidden form, a win would be a pleasant surprise. TYMAL DAILED IN - Feel the need for speed, this entrant has been turning in some top notch speed ratings averaging around 80. This horse has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 82 average class number. Should play well for this race. SEMAJ SAM - Many selectors will recognize the exemplary TrackMaster speed fig in the last affair. Stacks up against any horse in this grouping. Monticello Raceway has been playing to this horse's running style, we're looking for a sharp effort.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Saratoga Harness

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Post: 4:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$6200 - 4-YEAR-OLDS & UNDER NON-WINNERS 1 EXT PARI-MUTUEL RACE OR $5,000 LIFE AE: NW 2 EXT PARI-MUTUEL RACES WHO ARE NW $750 LAST 5 STARTS SARATOGA


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 IWANTMYTWODOLLARS 8/1


# 2 MICKEY'S DREAM 8/5


# 1 GOGH GOGH 7/2

If you want a really good play in here, feast your eyes on IWANTMYTWODOLLARS and look at those fair morning line odds. She's racing in fine form, recording bang-up speed figures. An excellent contender. Medication change (with second time Lasix) may be the key to a turnaround in today's race. Enters this competition with very good TrackMaster class figures relative to the pack - could be worth a shot. MICKEY'S DREAM - Had one of the finest TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the group of horses in his last outing. A good idea to use in your wagers. A formidable win pct has been achieved by entrants beginning from the 2 hole. GOGH GOGH - Can't forget based on TrackMaster Speed Ratings which have been stellar (67 avg) lately. Has a bang-up shot for this one, if she can perform to her back racing class.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arlington

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8550 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS OR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 23, 2015 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 IKER 3/1


# 2 ROAR OF SILENCE 2/1


# 3 MY MAN RICHIE 5/2


IKER looks to be a competitive contender. Has to be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Ought to be given consideration based on the respectable speed figure put up in the last contest. Looks to have a quite good class edge based on the recent company kept. ROAR OF SILENCE - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look respectable in this contest. Looks very good versus this group and will probably be one of the early speedsters. MY MAN RICHIE - Domenosky has him trained admirably to break promptly out of the gate. This lot is much easier than the last one he was up against.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $5400 Class Rating: 69

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 FITZ IS DANCING 8/1


# 8 MAGNETIC START 5/2


# 6 DEL RIO LEO 3/1


My pick in this contest is FITZ IS DANCING particularly if the morning line of 8/1 holds. Will more than likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the midpoint of the contest. With a strong 75 speed figure last time out, will surely be a factor in this race. Overall the speed figures of this racer look strong in this contest. MAGNETIC START - The Equibase class rating of today's race is much lower than his last race. Vaunts formidable speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of horses. DEL RIO LEO - Gorder has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Expect a strong effort with the class drop.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Valuline at Evangeline Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Evangeline Downs, Race 4 (Thursday July 23, 2015)

CRYPTO GOOD

EVD-4 7f DIRT Six Horses
"A" CLM 4,000 F/M 3YUP $9,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

2 CRYPTO GOOD 8/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $18,100 Class Rating: 76

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#9 BASES LOADED (ML=4/1)
#8 ASSEMBLY LINE (ML=5/1)


BASES LOADED - Aboard this mount on June 25th and Potts is right back in the irons this time. This speedball is running a shorter distance today. Should promote his winning probability. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where he finished in his last race (fourth). Should rebound right here, with some respectable odds. ASSEMBLY LINE - After the race aboard this horse on Jun 24th, the jockey is going to be in touch with the gelding much better. I have to figure Kreiser is making a good move here. This gelding can only profit from the shorter trip. The trainer is switching this thoroughbred to the turf for a reason. Let's take a shot on this magnificent animal.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ATTICUS FINCH (ML=9/5), #1 MELODIOUS TUNE (ML=9/2), #4 SILVER PEACH (ML=8/1),

ATTICUS FINCH - This racer made little impact last time finishing sixth. No reason to expect a reversal of fortune in today's event. Will be hard for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list. MELODIOUS TUNE - This colt is always in the money, but just doesn't get the job done. Hard to bet on him on the win end. SILVER PEACH - It looks like too much zip is on board in this event. This early speedball will probably get cooked up front.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BASES LOADED - One can presume, given he finished out of the money at Penn National last out, that this horse did not like the off track. I expect improvement with better footing today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #9 BASES LOADED to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [8,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Sacramento - Race #8 - Post: 4:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 BUFFALO HILLS (ML=6/1)
#8 SEEKING THE STITCH (ML=9/2)
#4 FIND WATER (ML=5/2)


BUFFALO HILLS - This gelding has 'tactical' speed, Herrera will use this advantage by laying in perfect striking position behind the early speed, and getting first run on the leaders. SEEKING THE STITCH - Ran in the last race against a better field at Golden Gate. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit him well. Recent speed ratings show powerful pattern of improvement. FIND WATER - I like that most recent outing on July 10th at Sacramento where he ran second. Don't often see a favorable return on investment like +62. This jockey/handler tandem has done well together over the last 12 months. Look at this gelding's PP lines. With each race he keeps getting closer. The 87 latest race speed figure looks good in black and white. The improved speed ratings over the last three races is solid. Matos drops him in this affair fit and ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JUSTA GUSTA (ML=2/1), #7 UPTOWN BIG BROWN (ML=6/1),

JUSTA GUSTA - You always think this equine has a shot to win, but he comes up short most every time. UPTOWN BIG BROWN - 6/1 odds isn't enough for this entrant when examining the most recent outings.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #5 BUFFALO HILLS on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mohawk: Thursday 7/23 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,3,5,8/1,2,5,6,7,9/1,4/3 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 7,8/2,3,5/3,6,9/2,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 188 - 604 / $1068.20 BEST BETS: 24 - 54 / $83.80

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 54 / $57.30

Best Bet: CAPRICE HILL (8th)

Spot Play: BYE BYE MICHELLE (6th)


Race 1

(4) SILKY FLASHY NFAST was demoted for interference last time out but she did race well otherwise. This well-related miss can make amends here. (5) ONE TOO MANY was the beneficiary of that placing but did have good speed both early and late in that mile. She's a top contender here. (9) MAGICAL WONDER has been first up in both starts and hung on reasonably well. A covered trip could make a world of difference. Keep her in mind if the price is big from the outermost post. It wouldn't be the biggest upset ever.

Race 2

(4) LEAN HANOVER qualified well enough that he should be competitive right away vs. this weak group of maidens. (7) MURS SON got another slice last time - his 5th in 15 losing efforts so far - and looks like a contender here by default. (8) UP THE ALLEY has been getting closer lately and would be no surprise here.

Race 3

(1) ROBOCALL HANOVER raced evenly in his debut and now gets a positive driver change. The $50K yearling purchase should show immediate improvement here; top call. (2) MISS PRINT got hung out in the fastest 1/4 of the race Sunday night at Georgian and stalled a bit late as a result. Henry will likely get more aggressive early here. (5) SHES LIGHTS OUT tried to move first up into an accelerating pace and hung in there fairly well. She too can improve here in her third start.

Race 4

(1) HE SAID makes his third start off the claim, adds Lasix and shakes Vegas Rocks, who has been deadly in this class. That could be a winning recipe; slight nod. (5) LMC NUKULAR STRYKE has made the exacta 10 times in 19 tries this season racing mostly out of town, but this isn't the strongest field and he should factor. (3) BIG DUTCH is interesting because his qualifier vs. Roses Are Red winner Lady Shadow was far more impressive than any of his pari-mutuel attempts. The last 1/4 especially stands out; using.

Race 5

(6) SKY ANGEL went first-over chasing what looks like one of the best 2-year-old trotting fillies out there and held 2nd in a good debut effort; slight nod in a wide-open dash. (2) READY ANY TIME led until very late in a Gold event out of town. She is one of several Kadabra fillies in here with a shot. (5) DEVILS ADVOCATE closed belatedly into a swift final 1/4 for 2nd. Having a Hall of Famer at the controls won't hurt her chances. This is a race to go deep in the early pick 4.

Race 6

(1) BYE BYE MICHELLE left like a rocket last time for the front but several lead changes mid-race did her no favors. There is speed to chase here and she should return to a closing style off cover. She's one of several that can win this. (4) NINETTE B produced a super first-over effort last time, hung a long way and still came on for the win; contender right back. (3) TABOO SEELSTER again put up some big fractions but couldn't withstand sustained pressure late. A bit easier trip may be all she needs.

Race 7

(3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER was moved way too late and had to try to close into the fastest 1/4 as the winner sprinted. This filly's effort was tremendous, considering. The driver switch to Waples should do the trick here. (4) STRIKING CHEETAH showed late interest last time in her 2nd start with trotting hopples on. She should go forward from that effort; beware. (1) MARKETS UP closed well from far back and is a contender here if she minds her manners, which looks like it could be a big if.

Race 8

(7) CAPRICE HILL is so highly thought of by driver Gingras that he made the trek up to Georgian Downs to drive her in her debut. She missed Bee A Magician's track record by only 2/5 of a second in that winning debut and looks like she could be something special. Top call, but don't expect to get rich. (8) EMOTICON HANOVER was also an impressive winner the same night and merits respect. (1) COULD IT BE MAGIC has never been close to headed in two winning efforts and no doubt will be winging early here. Her presence alone makes things interesting.

Race 9

(5) DAY TRADE HANOVER couldn't get hold of a wet track in the pouring rain on June 27, but three weeks later knocked more than six seconds off his previous qualifying time when winning by daylight. It should be all systems go for the $57K yearling purchase. (2) SOUTHWIND MAYHEM didn't show much in the OSS Gold last time vs. a sharp winner that repeated last Saturday. These are mostly easier and he should get involved early. (3) BLAISE MM HANOVER showed little from the 10-hole in his debut in a race were the back half was four seconds faster than the opening half. He could improve dramatically here.

Race 10

(9) MILEYS BIG WORLD moves into Moreau's barn after another huge effort where she fell just short despite firing a 27 1/5 kicker. Don't be surprised if Filion sets sail for the lead early here. (6) ANDRO MADI parlayed a third quarter breather into a narrow win over the choice last time. She's sharp, but likely won't be left alone if she slows the pace here. (3) MURPHYS IDEAL had been racing well out of town prior to her last race in which she broke early. She can compete here.

Race 11

(2) BISTROBISTRO TAJ destroyed similar three back here then had two rough trips out of town. She should be very tough tonight. (6) COLORATURA gets Zeron back and he coaxed a quick brush out of her on the end of a winning mile on June 22. She is the main danger here. (4) RAILEE PRITI has been close several times but often gets free too late to get to the winner's circle. She's a good one for tri bets at a minimum. (8) CINCINNATTI MISS is the likely pacesetter and she should hang around for a slice. (5) AUNT LOTTIE either breaks or makes the board; toss-up which it will be here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Thursday 7/23 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 119 - 603 / $840.60 BEST BETS: 14 - 52 / $65.60

Best Bet: SHARP WEST HANOVER (4th)

Spot Play: I’M BLUE TOO (8th)


Race 1

(1) PASSION R VIRGINIE closed strong on the outside to settle for the show spot recently. Mare is very capable of moving forward with a favorable trip. (2) ODDS ON AVENTURE came first over, got some cover briefly and stayed on for the placing last time out. Threat at her best. (6) SPECIAL KIM raced exceptionally well down along the inside in her latest. Factor with these.

Race 2

If you go back two weeks ago, (4) NUTMEGS DESIRE shot like a cannon down the stretch to miss the victory by a neck; improvement expected. (3) CASE SOLVED flashed good speed, but made no moves in her last try. Might be on the engine? (5) SADIES PLACE was sitting second the entire trip facing odds-on favorite Cracker Coffee, but could not get by the winner; factor.

Race 3

(5) ALIBI HANOVER was last here on March 9th and has been bouncing around down south. She might be able to handle these at her best. (4) BROOKLYNS BEST had easy fractions on the lead in her last trip, but faded away. Maybe Brennan will try new tactics. (6) IDEAL A LITTLE came outside and pulled away to an easy victory last time out. Bad post, but capable.

Race 4

(1) SHARP WEST HANOVER was not sharp on June 26. He finished dead last in a five-horse field. The good news is this gelding catches a weak group tonight, plus the rail slot can only help his cause. (4) KEEMOSABE could not handle the $15k ranks. So the 12.5k might suit him well. (3) MILITARY STRATCOM was very sluggish from the 8-hole last time around. He did score from slot 3 on January 5. Brennan takes over the lines; watch out.

Race 5

(2) TIDEWATER TOMAHAWK had to be urged on turn one by Brennan to grab the front. Lost the lead to favorite Or, but that one broke on the backstretch, so he regained the lead to just hold off Free Love for the score. We will see if this gelding can repeat; many questions. (3) DONT FOOL WITH ME moved outside and appears he was going to mow Tidewater Tomahawk & Free Love down; threat again. (7) JUMP THE SHARK put in a mild rally to dead-heat with Italian Rebel in his latest; price factor.

Race 6

(1) CAMERON LUCKY blasted her way to the lead from post 8, but faded in the stretch drive. Now she moves to the fence and Zeron knows this mare from her May 28th trip; seems ready to fire her best. (5) UPFRONTWHOSURLADY stayed in the 3-hole the entire way against better; contender. (2) LET HER ROCK was along the rail and took to the outside for the stretch run, but could not sustain her rally last time out; may have a chance with these.

Race 7

(4) BABES I SCOOT did not disappoint the longshot players with a pocket-rocket score last time around. Gelding might have found his winning form, so he could be up to the task tonight for the repeat. (2) INTREPID HALL made an outside bid on July 3, but could not get to the top pair. Gets post relief; watch out. (3) FRITZS Z TAM ships in from Pocono with good early zip; beware.

Race 8

(3) IM BLUE TOO made a rallying bid to nail down the place spot last out. Gelding is knocking at the door based on his last three tries; must be considered in all exotics. (6) ROADWAY left from the 3-hole and made an outside bid, but tired in the stretch drive in his latest; factor. (1) SOMEPLACE SPECIAL was on the engine recently but the gas tank ran out; could fare well from the fence.

Race 9

The chalk fans got excited when (6) GAVINS DESIGNER just got up to best longshot Just That for the victory. Gelding is very capable of repeating. (3) ALL WEEK comes by way of Delaware with some nice efforts; big threat. (4) JUST THAT raced huge at a big price against Gavins Designer, but could not hold on against the latter; not out of this.

Race 10

(5) ALITTLEEASTERMAGIC led every step of the way but Cheyenne Robin came up the passing lane to take her down by a neck last time out. She is sharp and fit enough to make amends. (1) GRACE SEELSTER was facing better company in her last trip. She has fine speed, so the rail slot should get her mind back to business. (2) LITTLE MISS HENRY was very dull from post seven recently, but she will get some post relief tonight; don't overlook.

Race 11

(1) COCOA BEACH seemed to gain some ground along the rail in the stretch drive, but couldn't catch the top two recently. Now this pacing mare moves to the fence, so with a fine-timed drive from Stalbaum, this gal can get it done. (4) ROCK N LOAD drops in class, plus get a cozy post to work with; good enough to contend. (2) EYRE HOSTESS N should fare well from the 2-hole; maybe.

Race 12

(2) BLACK MAGIC EYES was sharp in the pocket and was moving up the fence, but Victoria May N followed her along the rail and just nailed her for win honors last time out; good enough to make amends. (5) FANTICIPATION did not fire her best last time around, but she fits well with these; threat. (8) MY TALLIA IDEAL leaves from the 8-hole and will need a lot of gas in the tank to win this; watch out.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington Park (1st) Iker, 3-1
(5th) Navy Seabee, 9-2


Belterra Park (1st) Valleyofthesun, 6-1
(5th) Mountain Gal, 9-2


Canterbury Park (4th) Born Lucky, 3-1
(10th) Red Wolf, 5-1


Charles Town (2nd) City of Admirals, 8-1
(4th) Brae Irish, 7-2


Del Mar (3rd) Rule He Will, 7-2
(8th) West Coast Storm, 8-1


Evangeline Downs (3rd) Zyla, 3-1
(7th) Charming Afleet, 8-1


Finger Lakes (3rd) Jazzy Ginger Belle, 5-1
(9th) Cassie's Harbor, 6-1


Gulfstream Park (2nd) Lots of Chocolate, 6-1
(7th) Dream Come True, 8-1


Louisiana Downs (1st) Goldencajuntribute, 7-2
(5th) Silky Lady, 4-1


Penn National (6th) Downhill Dale, 8-1
(7th) Open Ice Hit, 3-1

Prairie Meadows (5th) Perfect and Elite, 7-2
(6th) Flashy Appeal, 3-1

Presque Isle Downs (1st) Rouge Sur La Tete, 5-1
(4th) Buck Magic, 7-2


Sacramento (4th) Bold Decision, 3-1
(5th) Shesa Ranegade, 10-1