Game: (907) Washington Nationals at (908) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Washington Nationals -0.5 (+105)
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Strasburg v. Teheran
On top of getting SS on the mound for us on the road tonight...believe it or not...the hitting matchup for the past week plus here favors the Nats...by a decent margin! Both in wOBA and wRAA the lead is big bet worthy...BEFORE accounting for Strasburg's insane metric pounding of his counterpart Teheran tonight.
This is our bargain basement metric pounding of the week here...and all we need is a healthy Nats lineup to get after the defying all logic performances of Julio Teheran...who in 4 of his past 5 starts has coughed up a lead early.
Game: (923) Houston Astros at (924) Los Angeles Angels
Date/Time: Jul 18 2019 9:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (+100)
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Miley v. Harvey
Miley home/road splits are as bad as you could ask for when looking to an Over.play on the road with the Astros. He drops from stranding most every runner to a 70% clip, has an xFIP at 5.00 or more compared to mid-3s at home and with the Angels already damn near .400 wOBA at home against lefties this.month...Wade again cooperated with the cap at about .330 and a much lower K/BB rate where the Angels are the best team in the MLB here.
Dark Knight on the flip side...came back from injury and looked pretty staunch but hard to fathom this repeats itself in the face of the Astros daunting (healthy) lineup when they have the most PAs facing RHP on the road the past 2 weeks and have been across the board very solid in those 220+ steps to the plate.
10 here feels like a dream as I have the Astros popping for 8 or more in this game alone (decent value on the team total in my opinion as well) but 13 runs feels like a safe spot for this to land and a flat 10 is certainly worth a hard hit tonight!