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Odds to win 2016 British Open

The 2016 British Open will take place from Royal Troon Golf Club in Troon, South Ayrshire, Scotland on July 14.

This venue hasn’t hosted the event since 2004 when Todd Hamilton won his first and only major. Bettors should note that Americans, including Hamilton, have won the last three Open Championships played at this course.

Rory McIlroy has been installed as a 15/2 favorite (Bet $100 to win $750).

The Northern Ireland golfer captured the Open Championship in 2014 but hasn’t played up to his level in the first two majors this season.

McIlroy finished tied for 10th at the Masters this past April and recently missed the cut at the U.S. Open.

2016 Masters winner Danny Willett is listed as a 30/1 betting choice to win this year’s British Open while Dustin Johnson, the 2016 U.S. Open winner, has 21/2 (Bet $100 to win $1,050) odds to capture his second major of the season.

Last year’s winner at the British Open was Zach Johnson. The Open Championship hasn’t seen a golfer capture back-to-back victories since Padraig Harrington (2007, 2008) and Tiger Woods (2005, 2006) accomplished the feats over a four-year span beginning in 2005.

His odds to repeat are 55/1.


Odds to win 2016 British Open Championship (7/14/16)
Rory McIlroy 15/2
Jason Day 8/1
Jordan Spieth 8/1
Dustin Johnson 21/2 Adam Scott 20/1
Justin Rose 24/1
Sergio Garcia 25/1
Rickie Fowler 27/1
Branden Grace 29/1
Danny Willett 30/1
Henrik Stenson 30/1
Hideki Matsuyama 35/1
Louis Oosthuizen 35/1
Phil Mickelson 35/1
Shane Lowry 35/1
Brooks Koepka 40/1
Lee Westwood 40/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 50/1
Paul Casey 50/1
Bubba Watson 55/1
Jim Furyk 55/1
Zach Johnson 55/1
Brandt Snedeker 60/1
Martin Kaymer 60/1
Patrick Reed 65/1
Charl Schwartzel 70/1
Marc Leishman 70/1
Matt Kuchar 70/1
Graeme McDowell 75/1
Justin Thomas 75/1
Tiger Woods 80/1
Bernd Wiesberger 85/1
Bernhard Langer 85/1
Jimmy Walker 85/1
Kevin Na 95/1
Victor Dubuisson 95/1
Billy Horschel 100/1
Chris Kirk 110/1
Keegan Bradley 110/1
Bill Haas 120/1
Ian Poulter 120/1
Joost Luiten 120/1
Ryan Moore 120/1
Webb Simpson 120/1
Lasse Jensen 130/1
Charley Hoffman 150/1
Hunter Mahan 150/1
Jamie Donaldson 150/1
Brian Gay 170/1
Matt Jones 170/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 170/1
J.B. Holmes 190/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 190/1
Clement Sordet 220/1
Russell Henley 220/1
Stephen Gallacher 250/1
Steve Stricker 250/1
Zander Lombard 250/1
Haydn Porteous 350/1
Seung yul Noh 350/1
Anthony Wall 400/1
Marco Dawson 400/1
Mark Calcavecchia 400/1
Nick Cullen 450/1
Rod Pampling 450/1
Hideto Tanihara 500/1
Kodai Ichihara 500/1
Mark OMeara 500/1
Phachara Khongwatmai 500/1
Sandy Lyle 500/1
Sang Hee Lee 500/1
Shugo Imahira 500/1

Odds Subject to Change
 
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Golf glance
By The Sports Xchange

COMING UP
PGA TOUR: 145th Open Championship at Royal Troon Golf Club in South Ayrshire, Scotland, Thursday through Sunday.
TV: Thursday and Friday, 1:30 a.m.-4 p.m. EDT on the Golf Channel; Saturday, 4-7 a.m. EDT on the Golf Channel and 7 a.m.-2:30 p.m. EDT on NBC, and Sunday, 4-7 a.m. EDT on the Golf Channel and 7 a.m.-2:30 p.m. EDT on NBC.
LAST YEAR: American Zach Johnson claimed his second major title, outlasting Louis Oosthuizen of South Africa by one stroke and Marc Leishman of Australia by three in a four-hole aggregate playoff on the Old Course at St. Andrews. Johnson, who also won the 2007 Masters, closed with a 5-under-par 66, holing a 30-foot birdie putt on the 18th hole to get into the playoff. Leishman also finished with a 66, but missed a 12-foot birdie putt on the last hole that would have given him the Claret Jug, while Oosthuizen, the 2010 Open champion at St. Andrews, sank a five-foot birdie putt on the last to join the playoff with a 69. Johnson birdied the first two holes of the playoff and finished the four holes in 15 strokes, while Oosthuizen had 16 and Leishman totaled 18. Jordan Spieth, coming off victories in the Masters and U.S. Open, closed with a 69 and missed the playoff by one stroke.

PGA TOUR: Barbasol Championship at Grand National Golf Club on the Robert Trent Jones Golf Trail in Opelika, Ala., Thursday through Sunday.
TV: Thursday and Friday, 5-8 p.m. EDT on the Golf Channel; Saturday and Sunday, 3-6 p.m. EDT, on the Golf Channel each day.
LAST YEAR: Scott Piercy shot 65-65 on the weekend to collect his third PGA Tour victory by three strokes over Will Wilcox. Piercy birdied four of the first six holes in the final round to build a four-stroke lead and coasted to his first victory since the 2012 RBC Canadian Open. It capped a career comeback for Piercy, who started the season on a major medical extension after undergoing surgery in 2014 to repair a torn flexor digitorum superficialis in his right arm. Piercy will not defend his title because he is playing in the 145th Open Championship at Royal Troon in Scotland.

PGA TOUR CHAMPIONS: The Senior Open Championship at Carnoustie Golf Club in Carnoustie, Scotland, July 21-24.
TV: Thursday and Friday, 6-8 a.m. EDT and 10 a.m.-noon EDT on the Golf Channel; Saturday, 9:30-noon EDT on the Golf Channel and noon-2 p.m. EDT on NBC, and Sunday, 8:30 a.m.-1 p.m. EDT on the Golf Channel.
LAST YEAR: Marco Dawson sank a 25-foot birdie putt on the final hole to claim his first major title of any kind by one stroke over Bernhard Langer of Germany at Sunningdale Golf Club in Sunningdale, England. Dawson, who won the Tucson Conquistadores Classic earlier in the season for his first title on the PGA Tour Champions after never winning on the PGA Tour, finished with a 6-under-par 64. Langer, the two-time Masters champion who has won seven more major titles on the senior circuit, also shot 64 and made a 12-foot birdie putt after Dawson holed the winner.

LPGA TOUR: Marathon Classic at Highland Meadow Golf Club in Sylvania, Ohio, Thursday through Sunday.
TV: Thursday and Friday, 8-10 p.m. EDT on the Golf Channel; Friday, 6-8 p.m. on the Golf Channel, and Saturday, 4-6 p.m. on CBS.
LAST YEAR: Chella Choi of South Korea tapped in for a winning birdie on the first playoff hole, earning her first LPGA Tour victory in 157 starts after Ha Na Jang, also of South Korea, hit her approach shot into high rough on the way to a bogey. Choi shot 5-under-par 66 in the final round to catch Jang, a two-time winner on the LPGA Tour this year, who led after each of the first three rounds and then closed with a 68. Choi opened with a 73, but bounced back into contention by shooting 66-65 in the middle rounds.
 
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Golf notebook: Van Zyl opts for Olympics in place of majors
By The Sports Xchange

--Jaco Van Zyl, taking the opposite approach to several players, said he will not play in the Open Championship and the PGA Championship because he wants to be 100 percent for the Olympics next month in Rio de Janeiro.
At least 14 players have withdrawn from Olympic consideration, most because of the Zika virus fears.
"I expect that there will be a camp that will criticize me for withdrawing from the majors, but I feel very passionate about golf's debut at the Olympics," Van Zyl said.
"Rory (McIlroy) said in a recent press conference that we play four Olympics a year because major titles are what we play for, but I don't agree. To me, the Olympics is the pinnacle of all sporting events, and to have the chance to represent Team South Africa on sports' biggest stage is an honor I don't take for granted.
"I need to go to Brazil with the rest of the South African team knowing I am in peak mental and physical health and that I can give my best over four rounds. The majors will still be there next year, but I don't know if I will get another chance (to play in the Olympics) in 2020."
Van Zyl has 14 victories on the Sunshine Tour in South Africa, but has never won on the PGA Tour and missed the cut in his only four major championship appearances, including the Open Championship last month at Oakmont.
He will get his chance to play for South Africa because Branden Grace, Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel have withdrawn.
--Dustin Johnson, Hideki Matsuyama of Japan and Brendon de Jonge of Zimbabwe became the latest players to withdraw from the Olympic Games next month in Rio de Janeiro,
Johnson and Matsuyama said they will not be going because of Zika virus fears, like most of the others who have withdrawn.
"This was not an easy decision for me," Johnson, the U.S. Open champion said in a statement released by his management company. "But my concerns about the Zika virus cannot be ignored.
"I feel it would be irresponsible to put myself ... or our family at risk. I believe I am making the right decision for me and, most importantly, my family. While I am sure some will be critical of my decision, my hope is that most will understand and support it."
Said Matsuyama: "I know that players who are married and players who have kids are more concerned about it. I am not married but it still bothers me.
"I have not been contacted by (the Japanese Olympic Committee) and it is a bit much under the current circumstances to have someone tell you to go."
De Jonge became the 13th player to withdraw, but he had a different reason.
He's fighting to keep his PGA Tour card.
"The reason for my decision is not my concern about the Zika virus," de Jonge, who is 160th in the FedEx Cup point standings, told the Golf Channel. "It is truly a business decision. It would have been a great honor to play for my country.
"I am truly disappointed, but my current position on the FedEx Cup points list does not allow me the luxury to skip the John Deere Classic or the Travelers Championship. "I must finish in the top 125 to gain entry into our FedEx Cup Playoffs.
"This has to be a priority for me and my family."
Others who have decided not to go to the Olympics include Jason Day, Adam Scott and Marc Leishman of Australia; Rory McIlroy, Shane Lowry and Graeme McDowell, who would represent Ireland, Branden Grace, Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel of South Africa, and Vijay Singh of Fiji.
--Beau Hossler, the Fred Haskins Award winner as the best college player in the nation last season, announced that he will pass on his senior season and turn pro, although he can't play until October because of an injury.
Hossler won five times last season, third in Texas Longhorn history behind Ben Crensahw's seven titles in 1973 and Crenshaw's six in 1072.
"After months of weighing options and discussing with my loved ones, I have decided to turn professional and forgo my senior year at the University of Texas," said Hossler, who finished fifth in the NCAA Championships last month.
"I have been preparing to become a professional golfer, and have dreamed of this day for more than 10 years. I am blessed to have surrounded myself with some of the greatest people in the world. Without each one of their contributions, I would not be in this position today."
Hossler, a three-time All-American, sustained a torn labrum in his left shoulder while helping the Longhorns win their semifinal match in the NCAA Championships, and was forced to concede his point in the match-play final--which was won by Oregon, 3-2.
After undergoing surgery, he had to miss the PGA Tour's John Deere Classic, to which he received a sponsors exemption.
Hossler won the 2014 Western Amateur and the 2016 Jones Cup Invitational, and as a 16-year-old he briefly held the lead in the U.S. Open at the Olympic Club in San Francisco before finishing in a tie for 29th.
Ranked No. 2 in the Golfweek men's college rankings at the end of last season, Hossler signed with Dallas-based Hambric Sports Management and will be represented by David Winkle, agent for world No. 2 Dustin Johnson.
--Charles Howell III removed his name from the alternate list at the 145h Open Championship this week at Royal Troon because of a medical procedure that will sideline him for about a month.
Stewart Cink, who won the 2009 Open in a playoff over Tom Watson at Turnberry and Jaco Van Zyl of South Africa also withdrew from the tournament, which would have put Howell in the field.
Howell's management team said he hoped to return for the Barclays, the FedEx Cup opener, on Aug. 25.
Luke Donald of England, former world No. 1, and Daniel Summerhays were added to the field to replace Cink and Van Zyl.
There was no announcement as to why Cink will not play in the third major of the year for the first time since 1999, but he has played only twice on the PGA Tour since his wife, Lisa, was diagnosed with breast cancer earlier this year.
Cink said at the time that his schedule would be limited, revolving around his wife's treatment schedule and overall health.
Van Zyl said he will not play in the Open Championship and the PGA Championship, but plans to play for South Africa in the Olympics next month in Rio de Janeiro.
--Se Ri Pak of South Korea said her appearance in U.S. Women's Open last week probably will be her final tournament in the United States and perhaps her last tournament as a player, period.
The 38-year-old Pak is captain of the South Korean Olympic team for the Games next month in Rio de Janeiro.
"After the Olympics, I think I'm pretty much done," Pak said.
Pak, a member of the World Golf Hall of Fame, inspired young girls in South Korea to play golf and her country has become a dominant force on the LPGA Tour.
After the Olympics, Pak said she might play in some events in Asia, put plans to devote most of her time to build a sports academy in South Korea to train young athletes.
"It's not too difficult to find happiness in mentoring," said Pak, who played in the U.S. Women's Open for the 20th time. "I know some fans who are out there always, every week. They said they are going to miss me. I am going to miss them, too."
Pak, who was the LPGA Tour's Rookie of the Year in 1998, won 25 times on the circuit including five majors, and has 38 victories around the world.
In her last U.S. event, Pak shot 73-80 -- 153 and missed the cut by five strokes.
--The Charles Schwab Cup Championship, season-ending event on the PGA Tour Champions, will move to Phoenix Country Club for 2017 and 2018.
This year's event, which will determine the winner of the season-long Race to the Charles Schwab Cup, will be played Nov. 10-13 at nearby Desert Mountain Club in Scottsdale, Ariz., where it also was played in 2011, 2012, 2014 and 2015.
"Phoenix Country Club is a wonderful venue on which to contest our most prestigious event of the year," President Greg McLaughlin of the PGA Tour Champions said.
"The Charles Schwab Cup Championship provides an exciting conclusion to our Charles Schwab Cup Playoffs, and I am confident our players and fans will embrace this new venue for our season-ending tournament."
Phoenix Country Club was the original home of the PGA Tour's Phoenix Open in 1932, with Ralph Guldhal winning the inaugural event, and the tournament was played there more than 50 times.
The event, now known as the Waste Management Phoenix Open, moved permanently to TPC Scottsdale in 1987.
The Charles Schwab Cup Championship also has been played at Hyatt Dorado Beach in Dorado, Puerto Rico (1990-93), Dunes Golf and Beach Club in Myrtle Beach. S.C. (1994-99), TPC Myrtle Beach (2000), Gallardia Golf and Country Club in Oklahoma City (2001-02), Sonoma Golf Club in Sonoma, Calif. (2003-09), TPC Harding Park in San Francisco (2010-11, 2013), and on the Cochise Course at Desert Mountain (2012, 2014).
 
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The Open Championship Preview
By Dan Daly

After going three for four in the 2015 Majors, admittedly my 2016 Major picks couldn’t have gotten off to a worse start (thanks Rory). However just like NBC and my man Johnny Miller, this is the week I make my “Ali like return to the ring.” Outside of the Masters, the British Open is my second favorite Major of the year, and with the return of Johnny to the booth, what’s not to love?

Royal Troon will host its ninth British Open this week. Like most British Open courses, Troon couldn’t play any more different going out than coming in. The front nine plays much easier going out (downwind) and much more difficult on the back nine coming in (into the wind), which should make the final nine holes Sunday afternoon very interesting if the wind is up. To put it another way, Gary Player famously said, the back nine at Troon is, “the most difficult in the world when the wind is blowing.”

So the question as always is; who will survive the wind and be holding the Claret Jug come Sunday afternoon?

Here are the 18 to watch (sorted by odds):

18. Jason Day (8/1): Let’s start at the top with the number one player in the world. Despite winning seven of his last 19 tournaments, Day still “only” has one Major win to his credit. I don’t think anyone would be surprised if he added a second win this week but I don’t see it happening. Day’s ball flight along with his forgettable Sunday at the WGC leave cause for concern. I think a sixth straight Top 10 this week is all but a lock, just not his second Major victory.

17. Rory McIlroy (8/1): After refusing to buy into the Rory hype for the last two years I reluctantly drank the kool-aid this year not once (Masters - T-10), but twice (US Open - MC) and got burned badly each time. So Rory is officially dead to me…which probably means he will win the British Open. Outside of his win at the Irish Open, McIlroy frankly has done very little the last 22 months to indicate any chance of winning this week.

16. Jordan Spieth (8/1): The past six British Open winners at Royal Troon have been American, with the last two (Leonard and Hamilton) having Dallas ties. This will of course mean absolutely nothing when he tees it up starting Thursday morning. Spieth has always seemed to play his best golf with a chip on his shoulder and has several coming into this week. Most recently he got passed by DJ to drop to number three in the OWGR last week. I know he said he's trying to play quicker and have more fun, but you have to wonder if that’s working against him based on his recent play? Spieth is the biggest wildcard in the field to me this week. Nothing he does, from winning, to missing the cut, will surprise me.

15. Dustin Johnson (17/2): After finally getting his first major last month at Oakmont, DJ could win the next six Majors and it wouldn’t surprise me in the least. Day might be the number one player in the world but DJ is the hottest. With that said, I think the British Open and this course in particular might be the one place DJ could struggle a little. And by struggle, I mean finish outside of first but inside the Top 10.

14. Justin Rose (24/1): Rose has three missed cuts in his last six British Open’s and only one Top 10 as a pro (last year). My bigger issue with Rose though is his back problem. He tried to give it a go at the US Open and missed the cut. I don’t bet on golfers that are injured. Until his back is fully healthy, I’ll pass on Rose.

13. Sergio Garcia (25/1): If Sergio is ever going to win a major, one would have to assume the British Open would be it with nine top 10’s, including two runner-up finishes. But…it’s Sergio Garcia and it’s a major.

12. Henrik Stenson (25/1): Stenson finally ended his winless drought last month at the BMW International Open in Germany and followed it up with a respectable T-13 at the Scottish Open this past weekend. Will he continue his solid play at the British Open? Probably. Will it be solid enough to get him the Claret Jug come Sunday? No.

11. Rickie Fowler (27/1): Yes, Rickie Fowler has two top 5’s in only six British Open starts, and yes Fowler has always thrived when it comes to playing in the wind. But the guy has four missed cuts in his last eight starts including both Majors in 2016 as well the PLAYERS and the Memorial. At this point, just making the cut at the British Open would be a victory for Fowler.

10. Branden Grace (29/1): The good news for Grace is that he has made the cut in all five of his British Open starts. The bad news, his best finish so far is a T-20 (coming last year). I think if Grace were to win a major it would come at the US Open, not the British Open.

9. Danny Willett (30/1): Todd Hamilton’s win here in 2004 put him in the conversation of the most out of nowhere Major Champions in golf history. Even as the 9th ranked player in the world, Danny Willett joining the very small list of multiple Major winners in the same year wouldn’t be quite as shocking as Hamilton’s win but it wouldn’t be too far off either. I’ll play the odds here that Willett doesn’t join that list.

8. Louis Oosthuizen (33/1): Louis has a win and runner up when playing the British Open at St Andrews. In his seven other British Open starts…his best finish is a T-19 with two missed cuts. Until the British Open returns to St Andrews in 2020 I’ll pass on Louis.

7. Shane Lowry (35/1): Can he put that final round at the Oakmont behind him this quickly? Based on his play at the WGC I would have to say no.

6. Phil Mickelson (35/1): Mickelson comes in with a lot of momentum off his final round 66 at the Scottish Open…very similar to DJ coming into the US Open off his final round 63 at the St Jude. He also finished solo 3rd here at the 2004 British Open (one shot out of the playoff). But two missed cuts in his first two majors of 2016 are much more concerning. I think Phil is around for the weekend but that’s about as good as you can expect from him this week.

5. Zach Johnson (55/1): Believe it or not, Zach Johnson has one of the best recent records of anyone on tour at the British Open. Along with his win last year, he also has top 10’s in three of last four years. With his history here and coming off a T-8 at the U.S. Open I fully expect Johnson to be somewhere on or near the leaderboard this week but the words “Zach Johnson wins back-to-back British Opens” just aren’t plausible to me.

4. Patrick Reed (65/1): Top 10 finishes by Patrick Reed in a major prior to the 2016 British Open…zero. Top 10 finishes by Patrick Reed in a major following the 2016 British Open…zero

As for my top three picks this week. With a good variety in odds, I’m taking a piece of each of them, all for different reasons.

3. Brandt Snedeker (60/1): At 60/1, this is my dark horse pick…or my weather insurance pick. Sneds could win or miss the cut by 5 shots, and it will probably all depend on the weather. The nastier the weather the more I like this pick. There might not be a better bad weather player on the planet than Sneds. His win earlier this year at Torrey Pines came in a monsoon similar to that of the Bishop’s round from Caddyshack. The guy gets better as the weather gets worse. The forecast for Troon as of today is calling for a relatively calm four days by British Open standards; but as everyone knows that can change in a moment’s notice. And if it does change for the worse, having a smaller play on Snedeker at 60/1 should be well rewarded.

2. Lee Westwood (40/1): At 40/1, this is both an emotional and gut pick. He finished 4th here in 2004 and has four total top 5 finishes in the British Open. The fact that he was T-2 at the Masters this year and was in the penultimate group of the final round at Oakmont, I’d say he is clearly playing well in 2016. My general rule has always been, if it’s a major stay away from Westwood, Sergio and DJ. But if DJ can finally get the monkey off his back of winning a major…why not Westwood four weeks later? And at 40/1 no less.

1. Adam Scott (20/1): At 20/1, this is the best value and safest pick in the field. The guy is simply a stalwart on the British Open leaderboard lately with five top 10’s…including four in a row. Quite frankly it's hard to believe he hasn't claimed a claret jug already with the way he's played in this event the past few years. If not for four straight bogeys out of nowhere on the back nine in both 2012 AND 2013 the guy would probably have back to back Claret Jugs already. While he’s obviously cooled down from his torrid start to 2016, I think this is the year he finally keeps it together on the back nine Sunday and wins his first British Open turning my 2016 back into a profitable year.

19th hole – Of course, the smart thing to do is just ignore everything I have said to this point and bet on the one and only…the 1995 British Open Champion…John Patrick Daly at 1000/1.
 
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2016 British Open at Royal Troon betting preview and odds
By MATT FARGO

We hit our third Major of the season with the 145th edition of The Open Championship taking place from Royal Troon located in South Ayrshire, Scotland.

This is the 9th time Royal Troon has hosted The Open Championship which will be tied for seventh most among all venues to host. Established in 1878, Royal Troon is a par 71 that stretches out to 7,190 yards and set against the rugged coastline of the western coast of Scotland.

Weather can play a big role.

The last Open Championship that was contested at Royal Troon was back in 2004 when Todd Hamilton defeated Ernie Els in a playoff. Hamilton became the sixth straight American to win at Royal Troon going back to 1962 - when Arnold Palmer rolled over the field by six strokes.

Since 1998, there have been seven playoffs to determine the winner of The Open Championship including last year when Zach Johnson prevailed over Marc Leishman and Louis Oosthuizen at St. Andrews.

American players had won three straight Majors after Webb Simpson's victory at the 2012 U.S. Open, but the American's went 0-4 in the next four. Since then though, U.S. players have captured seven of the last 12. History could be on their side as since 1995 at St. Andrews, Americans have won 13 of the 21 Open Championships. However, just three of the last nine winners have been Americans, Stewart Cink in 2009, Phil Mickelson in 2013 and Johnson last year.

While the thought is that the Majors are dominated by the world's best players, that has hardly been the case. Of the last 30 Majors, there have been 22 different winners with Rory McIlroy, Phil Mickelson, Martin Kaymer, Bubba Watson and Jordan Spieth being the only two-time or more Major winners over that stretch. We have seen first time Major winners to start 2016 with Danny Willett winning the Masters and Dustin Johnson winning the U.S. Open.

The field is a loaded one as usual - highlighted by World No. 1 Jason Day and now World No. 2 Dustin Johnson. In total, 82 of the top 85 players in the world will be playing this week with Daniel Berger (shoulder), Brooks Koepka (Ankle) and Jaco Van Zyl sitting out. Rory McIlroy is back at The Open Championship after missing last year because of the ankle injury he sustained in a soccer game.

There are four clear cut favorites this week with Jason Day (+770), Dustin Johnson (+805), Rory McIlroy (+940) and Jordan Spieth (+1,055) leading the way. There are just six other players coming in at less than +4,000 with just two being previous Major winners. Adam Scott (+2,150) and Justin Rose (+3,005) are those two and the other four are Sergio Garcia (+2,340), Henrik Stenson (+2,605), Rickie Fowler (+2,735) and Branden Grace (+3,005).
 
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10 to Watch: Open Championship
By Tom LaMarre, The Sports Xchange

1. Dustin Johnson, United States -- It's hard to bet against DJ, not only because he won the U.S. Open and the WGC Bridgestone Invitational in his last two starts, but because of the way he has played all season. It took him a while to win for the ninth consecutive season, longest active streak on the PGA Tour, but he has 10 results in the top 10 and 13 in the top 25 in 15 tournaments without missing the cut. Johnson is making his eighth appearance in the oldest championship in the world and he was in the chase all the way before tying for second, three shots behind Darren Clarke 2011 at Royal St. George's. DJ, who has finished in the top 10 in four of the last five majors, was tied for the lead with Clarke until driving out of bounds on the 14th hole.
2. Jason Day, Australia -- The No. 1 player in the World Golf Rankings will try to bounce back from his back nine meltdown when it appeared he was heading to victory in the U.S. Open at Oakmont. He also faltered in the final round of the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, but finished in a tie for third that was his eighth top-10 finish of the season, including three victories. Day has been the best player in the world since last July by winning seven times in that span, including his first major title in the PGA Championship at Whistling Straits last August. He has five top-10 results in the last six majors, including a tie for fourth in the Open Championship last year at St. Andrews, missing the playoff won by Zach Johnson after leading after 54 holes. That was his first top 10 in five Open starts.
3. Rory McIlroy, Northern Ireland -- Although he hasn't been as dominant as he was two years ago, when the was the best player in the world, Rory has had his moments this year, including a victory in the Irish Open and seven finishes in the top 10 on both major tours. He rallied to tie for third in the Scottish Open, but might still be smarting from missing the cut in the U.S. Open last month at Oakmont. McIlroy has four major titles to his credit and won the Open Championship the last time he played it, in 2014, by two strokes over Rickie Fowler and Sergio Garcia of Spain at Royal Liverpool. He has six top-10 results in the majors in the last three years, but missed his title defense last year at St. Andrews because of an ankle injury sustained playing soccer.
4. Jordan Spieth, United States -- Despite victories in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and the Dean & DeLuca Invitation, and a tie for second in the Masters, it's been something of an up-and-down season for Spieth after his brilliant 2015 took him to No. l in the world. He tied for 57th in the Memorial Tournament before tying for 37th in his title defense in the U.S. Open, but bounced back with a tie for third in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in his last start. After winning the Masters and U.S. Open last year, Spieth was in the hunt all the way to the finish in the Open Championship at St. Andrews. After making a 50-foot birdie putt on the 16th hole to tie for the lead, he made bogey on the infamous road hole and tied for fourth, one shot out of the playoff won by Zach Johnson.
5. Adam Scott, Australia -- Much of the talk is before the Grand Slam events is about the best players without a major title, but Scott is among the very best with only one. When he became the first Aussie to win the Masters in 2013, there was talk that it might open the floodgates, but it hasn't happened. Scott had victories in the Honda Classic and the WGC-Cadillac Championship to start the Florida Swing early this year, but he finished out of the top 10 in seven consecutive events until tying for 10th in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in his last start. The Aussie is making his 16th start in the Open Championship and has finished in the top 10 each of the last four years, including second in 2012, when he blew the 54-hole lead with a 75 and wound up two shots behind Ernie Els.
6. Rickie Fowler, United States -- When Rickie finished in the top five of all four majors two years ago, it appeared he was going to be a fixture in the Grand Slam events, but it hasn't worked out that way. In fact, he has failed to finish in the top 10 in the last six majors, missing the cut three times. Perhaps he is putting too much pressure on himself after getting so close. Fowler missed the cut in three straight events recently, but seemed to be back on his game when he tied for 10th his last time out in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. He has finished in the top 10 twice in five appearances in the Open Championship, including a tie for second two years ago at Royal Liverpool, where he wound up two strokes behind Rory McIlroy. Fowler also tied for fifth in 2011 at Royal St. George's.
7. Henrik Stenson, Sweden -- The big Swede broke a winless streak that lasted nearly two years when he captured the BMW International Open in Germany late last month, and he bounced back from an opening 76 last week to tie for 13th in the Aberdeen Asset Management Scottish Open. This will be his latest chance to become the first Swedish male to win a major golf title and he has finished in the top 10 on nine occasions in the Grand Slam events, but none of those have come in the last two years. Stenson is playing in the Open Championship for the 12th time and his best chance to win came in 2013, when he couldn't keep up with Phil Mickelson down the stretch and finished solo second, three strokes back at Muirfield. He also tied for third in 2008 and 2010.
8. Sergio Garcia, Spain -- Another player near the top of the list of best golfers who have never won a major, Sergio has finished in the top 10 of Grand Slam events a whopping 21 times without lifting a trophy. The latest was a tie for fifth last month in the U.S. Open at Oakmont, where he tied for fifth. Garcia has had some other good results lately, including a victory in the AT&T Byron Nelson, third in the Open de Espana and a tie for fifth in the BMW International Open. He will be making his 20th start in the Open Championship and he finished two shots back in a tie for second behind Rory McIlroy at Royal Liverpool two years ago, and was solo second in 2007, when he lipped out a 10-foot putt to win on the 72nd hole and lost a playoff to Padraig Harrington at Carnoustie.
9. Phil Mickelson, United States -- Lefty hasn't won since his unlikely victory in the 2013 Open Championship at Muirfield, which gave him three-fourths of the Career Grand Slam. He has had chances to win this year with runner-up finishes in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am and the FedEx St. Jude Classic, and last week he closed with a 66 to wind up 13th in the Scottish Open. Mickelson used that mostly as links practice for this week at Royal Troon, where he finished third, one stroke out of the playoff in which Todd Hamilton defeated Ernie Els in 2004. This will be Lefty's 19th appearance in the Open Championship, and he also finished three shots behind Darren Clarke in 2011 at Royal St. George's. Mickelson has only those three top-10 results in the oldest championship in the world.
10. Danny Willett, England -- The Masters champion flew under the radar before his surprise victory at Augusta, and he isn't getting very much attention heading into the third major of the year on home soil. However, this is a guy who must be considered, because he has claimed three of his five professional victories since last July and he leads the European Tour's season-long Race to Dubai thanks to five finishes in the top four. Willett, No. 9 in the World Golf Rankings, did not crack the top 10 in his first nine appearances in the major championships until he tied for sixth last year at St. Andrews and he obviously took what he learned to Augusta. This will be his fifth start in the Open Championship and he missed the cut in two of his first three, but tied for 15th in 2013 at Muirfield, pulling his game together after opening with a 75.
 
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2016 British Open Picks with Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews

Don't bet against Sweden's Alex Noren on the European Tour when he has a 54-hole lead! Noren had that at least week's Scottish Open and brought home his fifth career Euro Tour title, all coming with a lead entering the final round. Noren shot a final-round 2-under 70 to finish at 14 under at Castle Stuart in northern Scotland and win by a shot over Tyrrell Hatton, with Nicolas Colsaerts, Danny Lee and Matteo Manassero a shot further back. Noren hadn't finished better than sixth in any event this year, but it was his fourth Top-10 finish in his last eight tournaments. Noren was the 15th winner this season on the Euro Tour to have led going into the final round. Remember, there was no PGA Tour event last week.

There were a handful of Americans playing as a warm-up to the British Open. Patrick Reed had the best result of them in Scotland with a tie for 10th at 9 under. Phil Mickelson was 13th at 7 under. I'm familiar with Noren but didn't have him winning last week or on any props. I did get Reed at +450 for a Top 10 and at +250 as the top American. Also hit on Padraig Harrington at +450 as the top Irishman. Just missed on another Swede, Henrik Stenson, for a Top 10 as he was T13. My pick to win was Branden Grace, but he was T29.

So now it's on to Royal Troon in Scotland for the 145th British Open. It's the ninth time the course has hosted the third major championship of the season. It last did in 2004 when unknown American Todd Hamilton beat Ernie Els in a playoff -- keep in mind that the British Open playoff format is four holes with an aggregate score. If it's still tied after that, it goes to sudden death. Hamilton has done virtually nothing since taking home the Claret Jug. Only four players from the Top 10 in 2004 are teeing it up this week: Mickelson, Lee Westwood, Els and Hamilton, who was the sixth straight American winner at Royal Troon.

Royal Troon is a par 71 at 7,190 yards. The most well-known hole is the par-3 8th, called "Postage Stamp." At 123 yards, it's the shortest hole in the British Open course rotation. Els had an ace there 12 years ago. The toughest hole during the 2004 Open was the par-4 11th, which played to a 4.41 stroke average. Needless to say, weather is likely to be a big factor this week.

The defending champion is Zach Johnson, who beat Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff at St. Andrews. Johnson birdied the 72nd hole to get to 15 under par for the tournament, the first to post that score. It was Oosthuizen's second playoff loss in a major (2013 Masters). Jordan Spieth entered having won the 2015 Masters and U.S. Open and missed the playoff by just a shot. He missed a crucial par putt on the 17th and then couldn't birdie No. 18 to get in the playoff. Spieth had nine holes of bogey or worse in the tournament. Jason Day also was a shot from the playoff. Remember that 2014 British Open champion Rory McIlroy missed last year's event due to injury.

There are 16 former Open champions in the 156-man field this week. Also playing are Justin Leonard and Mark Calcavecchia, who won the Open at Royal Troon in 1997 and 1989, respectively. The Open Championship is maybe my favorite major because when you get up in the morning on the weekend, the leaders are already playing. And links golf and that United Kingdom weather make it nearly a different sport than on the pristine courses on which we play golf in the USA.

Golf Odds: British Open Favorites

Dustin Johnson and Jason Day are the +800 favorites. Not a big fan of Johnson this week only because he has won his past two events, the U.S. Open and WGC-Bridgestone. You just don't win three tournaments in a row these days. He hasn't contended in a British Open since a T2 in 2011. And, frankly, his length isn't a big advantage on this shorter course. Day doesn't have a great British Open track record other than last year. He was third last time out at the WGC-Bridgestone.

McIlroy (+900), Spieth (+1000) and then a huge falloff to Adam Scott and Grace (+2200 each) round out the favorites. McIlroy hasn't actually played all that great on the PGA Tour this year but does have a recent win and a third-place finish in Europe. Spieth didn't contend his first two British Opens until last year. He comes off a third at the WGC-Bridgestone. Scott has four straight Top 10s in this tournament. Grace hasn't played too well at the British Open but has three Top 10s in his past four events this season.

Golf Odds: British Open Picks

Here are a few eliminator facts: 10 of the past 11 winners of The Open Championship had all made at least six prior starts in the event; of the past 11 winners at The Open Championship, 10 had a finish of sixth or better in a past one; and the past 15 major winners overall were all ranked 28th in the world or better.

Sportsbooks have too many props to address this week, including the score for several top players on their first hole of the tournament. There are a few groups vs. the field props. You can get Dustin Johnson, Day, McIlroy and Spieth at +150 vs. the field (-190). Or Scott, Sergio Garcia, Rickie Fowler and Mickelson at +600 vs. the field (-1100).

For a Top-10 finish, I like Day (-120), Spieth (even), Scott (+200) and Sergio (+225). Head-to-head, go Scott (-120) over Sergio (-110), Spieth (-105) over Dustin Johnson (-125), Day (-120) over McIlroy (-110), Reed (-125) over Charl Schwartzel (-105), Lee Westwood (-130) over Bubba Watson (even), and Fowler (-125) over Justin Rose (-105).

The past three major champions have been first-timers. So that makes me really ponder Sergio here. But I'm going with Scott. You best option thus might be the Scott/Garcia/Fowler/Mickelson vs. the field prop. Fowler's also looking for his first major.
 
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
By David Schwab

Week 3 Betting Recap

The new CFL regular season continues to heavily favor the underdog with a straight-up record of 8-2-1 and a very profitable 10-1 record against the spread through the first three weeks of play.

Last week’s action started with Winnipeg upsetting Hamilton 28-24 as a 10-point road underdog on Thursday night. Toronto followed suit later that night as a 4 ½-point underdog on the road in a 25-14 victory against British Columbia.

In a rare tie in the CFL, Calgary and Ottawa ended their Friday inter-division showdown knotted at 26 with the Stampeders covering as slight one-point road underdogs.

Also on Friday night’s slate, Edmonton was able to get past Saskatchewan 39-36 in overtime, but it could not cover the spread as a heavy 11 ½-point home favorite.

Thursday, July 14

Edmonton Eskimos (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -3 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

The Eskimos had the stingiest defense in the league last season when it came to points allowed, but this unit has been torched for 81 points in its first two games. They have been able to pretty much keep pace on offense with 76 points behind the play of Mike Reilly at quarterback and John White running the ball. Reilly has thrown for 761 yards and five touchdowns while completing 71.4 percent of his 77 passing attempts. White is tied for third in the league in rushing yards (139) and he has two rushing touchdowns so far.

Winnipeg closed out the 2015 season with just two SU wins in its last 12 games and after dropping its first two contests this season both SU and against the spread, last week’s win was quite a surprise. Credit the play of quarterback Drew Willy for pacing that win. He went 32-for-42 throwing the ball and ended the day with 279 passing yards and one scoring throw. Also credit the Blue Bombers’ defense for sacking Hamilton quarterback Jeremiah Masoli four times and picking him off twice.

Betting Trends

Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall, but it falls to just 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games against Winnipeg. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of the last 15 meetings.

Friday, July 15

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -1
Total: 49.5

Game Overview

The Tiger-Cats will look to quickly bounce back from a poor effort last week against a familiar East Division foe in Montreal. They are going to have to find a way to get more out of a running game that only managed to gain 44 yards against Winnipeg. Chad Owens and Andrew Fantuz continue to light things up in the passing game with a combined 12 receptions for 181 yards and two scores in last week’s loss.

Montreal had the week off after starting season with a road win against Winnipeg as an underdog followed by a loss to Ottawa in a game that closed as a PICK. The total has stayed UNDER in both of those contests. The Alouettes have failed to cover ATS in eight of their last 10 games in Week 4 and with the loss in Week 2 they are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. Kevin Glenn should get the start at quarterback after throwing for 591 yards and two scores in his first two games.

Betting Trends

Hamilton has won three of its last five games against Montreal SU, but it has failed to cover ATS in seven of its last 10 games in this East Division rivalry. The total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings.

Saturday, July 16

British Columbia Lions (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: PICK
Total: 50

Game Overview

The Lions fell from the ranks of the undefeated with last week’s loss after posting impressive victories against Calgary as an underdog at home and Hamilton as a road underdog in their first two games. The total has stayed UNDER in all three of their games. BC turned to veteran quarterback Travis Lulay last week for a struggling Jonathan Jennings and he completed 12-of-15 attempts for 156 yards and a score in the losing cause.

A 0-2 start for a team that only won three games last season is not what new head coach Chris Jones was looking for when he left Edmonton to take over the reins at Saskatchewan. The one bright spot has been the play of quarterback Darian Durant, who basically missed the entire 2015 season due to injury. In a losing cause last week against the Eskimos, he threw for 317 yards and four touchdowns while connecting on 27 of his 38 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

The Lions have won four of the last five meetings SU and they hold a 3-1-1 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of those five games and it has stayed UNDER in seven of the last eight meetings in Saskatchewan.
 
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Underdogs continue to dominate CFL betting, now 10-1 ATS
By JASON LOGAN

The Calgary Stampeders are in rare company through three weeks of the 2016 CFL season. The Stamps, who have started 1-1-1 after a tie with the Ottawa Redblacks Friday, are the only CFL team to cover the spread as a favorite so far this summer.

Heading into Week 4 of the CFL schedule, underdogs are 10-1 ATS (8-2-1 SU) with Calgary’s 36-22 Week 2 home win over the Winnipeg Blue Bombers as a 10.5-point favorite as the lone blemish for pups. Ottawa knocked off the Montreal Alouettes 28-13 that same week with the spread closing at a pick’em.

“Unusual start to say the least but in reality, it's a small sample size,” renowned CFL oddsmaker Randle “The Handle” says of this underdog betting trend. “Things will balance out over time. Bettors are rarely dissuaded from backing faves no matter what kind of run the dogs might be on. In fact, they tend to apply the 'due' factor. For me, 'due' only exists with library books and expectant mothers.”

Week 3 finished with a perfect 4-0 ATS mark for teams getting the points. The Blue Bombers won outright 28-24 as 9-point dogs visiting the Hamilton Ti-Cats, the Toronto Argonauts won 25-14 as 6.5-point dogs at the BC Lions, the Edmonton Eskimos squeaked out a 39-36 OT victory against the rival Saskatchewan Roughriders but failed to cover as 9.5-point home chalk, and as mentioned above, Ottawa and Calgary played to a 26-26 deadlock with the Stamps getting 1.5 points from sportsbooks.

Oddsmakers aren’t making any knee-jerk reactions to this trend and won’t be slimming down their odds on the favorites simply because the other side is over-performing. The betting public still has a ferocious appetite for the faves.

As an example, Randle “The Handle” points to his opening number of British Columbia -4 for its home date with Toronto this past week. The money pushed the Lions as high as a touchdown before buyback on the Argos settled the number at its closing spot of BC -6.5.

“We'll keep an eye on things but trends do not typically influence pointspreads,” he tells us. “As always, the objective of the line is to draw equal action on both sides and not to have an opinion on the event.”

CFL bettors will be keeping a close eye on this trend as the Week 4 odds hit the board later this weekend.
 
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CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Underdogs went 2-1-1 SU in Week 3
-- Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 3
-- Road teams posted a 2-1-1 SU record in Week 3
-- Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 2-1-1 in Week 3

Team Betting Notes

-- Ottawa (2-0-1) and Calgary (1-1-1) battled to a 26-26 tie in a great game in the nation's capital. It was the first non-cover for the RedBlacks all season, while the Stampeders covered for the second consecutive weekend. The Stamps are 0-2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in their past three games away from home including last season's playoffs.

-- After an impressive opening week win, Hamilton (1-2) tumbled into the basement with a surprising 28-24 setback against Winnipeg (1-2). The Tiger-Cats have averaged just 13.5 points per game after posting 42 in the opener, and they have allowed 28.0 PPG in the past two with the 'under' cashing in each game.

-- The Blue Bombers picked up their first win and cover, and their offense continues to improve each week. After opening with 14 points, they posted 22 points in Week 2 and 28 in Week 3. The 'under is 2-1 heading into their showdown with Edmonton (1-1).

-- Saskatchewan (0-2)'s rough ride continued in Edmonton Friday night, narrowly missing out on a breakthrough victory. While they covered against the Esks, the Roughriders haven't won in regulation in their past 15 road games, including the playoffs.

-- The BC Lions (2-1) tasted defeat for the first time this season, tumbling at home against Toronto (2-1). However, for the third straight week the 'under' cashed for the Lions.

-- After an opening week defeat, the Argos have won and covered in their past two games, both on the road. The 'under' also hit after an 'over' result in Week 1. Toronto covered has won and covered four straight regular season games on the road, and the 'under' is 5-1 in their past six away games including the postseason.
 
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18 need-to-know golf betting notes for the 2016 British Open Championship
By JOE FORTENBAUGH

More than $1.73 million is on the line for the 156 golfers who will be gunning for the legendary Claret Jug beginning Thursday morning at Royal Troon Golf Club in the United Kingdom for the 145th Open Championship.

Personally, this is my favorite of golf’s four major championships because it includes high winds and precipitation more often than the Masters, U.S. Open and PGA Championship. In addition, the Open Championship’s history is littered with both long-shots and grinders who have braved the four-day test to emerge with the sport’s oldest trophy.

You don’t get lucky at the Open Championship. You simply find a way to endure and outlast the competition.

With that in mind, here are 18 need-to-know betting notes for this week’s Open Championship.

1. One of the most important statistics to study in regards to this week’s Open Championship is Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, primarily because Royal Troon’s putting surfaces are relatively flat with little undulation, meaning weaker putters shouldn’t struggle as mightily as they would at a tournament like the U.S. Open.

Those in this week’s field who rank in the Top 10 in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green include: Adam Scott (1), Dustin Johnson (2), Rory McIlroy (3), Justin Rose (4), Bubba Watson (5), Rickie Fowler (6), Henrik Stenson (7), Hideki Matsuyama (8), Charl Schwartzel (9) and Kevin Chappell (10).

2. Weather update: Yeah, this tournament is not for the faint of heart, as the Open Championship will once again feature a pleasant combination of precipitation and wind.

Thursday’s opening round looks to have the best weather with a high of 61 degrees, low of 54 degrees, a zero percent chance of precipitation and winds out of the northwest at 9 mph. Friday’s forecast calls for a high of 64 degrees, low of 57 degrees, 10 percent chance of precipitation and winds out of the southwest at 13 mph.

Saturday’s third round could get messy with a high of 64 degrees, low of 57 degrees, 40 percent chance of precipitation and winds out of the west-southwest at 9 mph. As for Sunday’s final round? Look for a high of 63 degrees, low of 55 degrees, 10 percent chance of precipitation and winds out of the north-northwest at 10 mph.

3. Of the last seven Open Championship victors, five entered the tournament with odds of 40/1 or higher while four entered with odds of 80/1 or higher. Those long shots include Stewart Cink at 125/1 in 2009, Louis Oosthuizen at 200/1 in 2010, Darren Clarke at 150/1 in 2011, Ernie Els at 40/1 in 2012 and Zach Johnson at 80/1 in 2015. Translation: Don’t be afraid to take a couple of fliers this week like Charl Schwartzel (50/1), Marc Leishman (80/1) or Scott Piercy (80/1).

4. Interesting fact: American golfers have won the Claret Jug in each of the last six Open Championships held at Royal Troon (Arnold Palmer in 1962, Tom Weiskopf in 1973, Tom Watson in 1982, Mark Calcavecchia in 1989, Justin Leonard in 1997 and Todd Hamilton in 2004).

5. Only one of the past 12 Open Championship victors found himself outside of the Top 10 on the leaderboard at the conclusion of the first round (Padraig Harrington at Royal Birkdale in 2008).

6. A favorite hasn’t won the Open Championship since Tiger Woods emerged victorious at Royal Liverpool in 2006. This year’s favorite is currently Jason Day at 8/1 (Dustin Johnson is second at 9/1, with Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth each posted at 10/1).

7. Of the last 10 Open Championship winners, only Rory McIlroy (Royal Liverpool, 2014) didn’t possess at least eight years of professional golf experience.

8. Of the golfers who finished in the Top 6 the last time the Open Championship visited Royal Troon in 2004 (Todd Hamilton, Ernie Els, Phil Mickelson, Lee Westwood, Thomas Levet and Davis Love III), none ranked worse than 15th in Driving Distance and 33rd in Driving Accuracy during the tournament.

9. Four-round matchup I love: Adam Scott (-130) over Rickie Fowler. For starters, here are Scott’s results for the last four Open Championships, beginning with 2015: T10, T5, T3, 2. Now, here are Fowler’s results for the last four Open Championships, beginning with 2015: T30, T2, Missed Cut, T31. In addition, here are the results for Fowler’s last five major championships beginning with this year’s U.S. Open: Missed Cut, Missed Cut, T30, T30, Missed Cut.

10. Another four-round matchup I love: Sergio Garcia (-140) over Rickie Fowler. You can probably tell that there’s a pattern emerging here regarding my thoughts on Fowler’s recent form in major championships. Combine that with the fact that Garcia has finished in the Top 10 in nine of the last 15 Open Championships and you have the recipe for a strong four-round head-to-head matchup.

11. Key statistic: Scrambling. What we’re looking for here this is the percentage of time a golfer misses the green in regulation, but still finds a way to make par or better. Notable golfers in this week’s field who rank high in this metric include: Justin Leonard (4), Luke Donald (6), Patrick Reed (8), Jamie Lovemark (10), Jordan Spieth (T12), Phil Mickelson (14), Brandt Snedeker (17) and Matt Kuchar (18).

12. Prop: Finish position for Sergio Garcia: Over/Under 22.5 (-110 both ways): As mentioned above, Garcia has an excellent track record in this event, with Top-10 finishes in nine of the last 15 Open Championships. Unfortunately, the naysayers will point to the fact that the 36-year-old Spaniard missed the cut the last time this event was held at Royal Troon, but I would counter with the fact that Garcia has finished 22nd or better at the Open Championship in five of his last six tries.

13. Only two golfers in the last 25 years (Todd Hamilton at Royal Troon in 2004 and Zach Johnson at St. Andrews in 2015) won the Open Championship after participating in a tournament in the United States the week prior. However, here’s an interesting twist: due to severe flooding, last week’s Greenbriar Classic was cancelled, meaning there was no tournament held in America last week.

14. Prop: Over/Under winning score: 273.5 (-110 both ways): Of the eight Open Championships held at Royal Troon since 1923, only one produced a winning score of fewer than 273 total strokes (Justin Leonard, 272 strokes in 1997).

In addition, of the 15 Open Championships played since 2001, only five have featured a winning score of 273 or lower. However, three of the last four Open Championship victors have fired 273 or lower en route to winning the Claret Jug.

15. Ten of the last 11 Open Championship winners had finished sixth or better in a previous Open Championship. Take note that elite golfers like Dustin Johnson, Jason Day, Jordan Spieth and Adam Scott all have at least one T6 finish or better at The Open Championship on their respective resumes.

16. Seven of the last 10 Open Championship winners claimed the Claret Jug at the age of 35 or older. As an example, Zach Johnson won last year’s tournament at St. Andrews at the age of 39.

17. Be weary of: Bubba Watson (60/1). Here’s how the 37-year-old Floridian has fared in his seven Open Championship appearances beginning in 2009: Missed Cut, Missed Cut, T30, T23, T32, Missed Cut, Missed Cut.

18. Speaking of which: Let’s go ahead and fade Bubba Watson (-110) in his four-round matchup against Hideki Matsuyama (-110), who has finished T6, T39 and T18 in his three Open Championship starts beginning in 2013.

*Note: All odds courtesy of the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas.
 
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10 to Watch: Open Championship
By Tom LaMarre, The Sports Xchange

1. Dustin Johnson, United States -- It's hard to bet against DJ, not only because he won the U.S. Open and the WGC Bridgestone Invitational in his last two starts, but because of the way he has played all season. It took him a while to win for the ninth consecutive season, longest active streak on the PGA Tour, but he has 10 results in the top 10 and 13 in the top 25 in 15 tournaments without missing the cut. Johnson is making his eighth appearance in the oldest championship in the world and he was in the chase all the way before tying for second, three shots behind Darren Clarke 2011 at Royal St. George's. DJ, who has finished in the top 10 in four of the last five majors, was tied for the lead with Clarke until driving out of bounds on the 14th hole.
2. Jason Day, Australia -- The No. 1 player in the World Golf Rankings will try to bounce back from his back nine meltdown when it appeared he was heading to victory in the U.S. Open at Oakmont. He also faltered in the final round of the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, but finished in a tie for third that was his eighth top-10 finish of the season, including three victories. Day has been the best player in the world since last July by winning seven times in that span, including his first major title in the PGA Championship at Whistling Straits last August. He has five top-10 results in the last six majors, including a tie for fourth in the Open Championship last year at St. Andrews, missing the playoff won by Zach Johnson after leading after 54 holes. That was his first top 10 in five Open starts.
3. Rory McIlroy, Northern Ireland -- Although he hasn't been as dominant as he was two years ago, when the was the best player in the world, Rory has had his moments this year, including a victory in the Irish Open and seven finishes in the top 10 on both major tours. He rallied to tie for third in the Scottish Open, but might still be smarting from missing the cut in the U.S. Open last month at Oakmont. McIlroy has four major titles to his credit and won the Open Championship the last time he played it, in 2014, by two strokes over Rickie Fowler and Sergio Garcia of Spain at Royal Liverpool. He has six top-10 results in the majors in the last three years, but missed his title defense last year at St. Andrews because of an ankle injury sustained playing soccer.
4. Jordan Spieth, United States -- Despite victories in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions and the Dean & DeLuca Invitation, and a tie for second in the Masters, it's been something of an up-and-down season for Spieth after his brilliant 2015 took him to No. l in the world. He tied for 57th in the Memorial Tournament before tying for 37th in his title defense in the U.S. Open, but bounced back with a tie for third in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in his last start. After winning the Masters and U.S. Open last year, Spieth was in the hunt all the way to the finish in the Open Championship at St. Andrews. After making a 50-foot birdie putt on the 16th hole to tie for the lead, he made bogey on the infamous road hole and tied for fourth, one shot out of the playoff won by Zach Johnson.
5. Adam Scott, Australia -- Much of the talk is before the Grand Slam events is about the best players without a major title, but Scott is among the very best with only one. When he became the first Aussie to win the Masters in 2013, there was talk that it might open the floodgates, but it hasn't happened. Scott had victories in the Honda Classic and the WGC-Cadillac Championship to start the Florida Swing early this year, but he finished out of the top 10 in seven consecutive events until tying for 10th in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational in his last start. The Aussie is making his 16th start in the Open Championship and has finished in the top 10 each of the last four years, including second in 2012, when he blew the 54-hole lead with a 75 and wound up two shots behind Ernie Els.
6. Rickie Fowler, United States -- When Rickie finished in the top five of all four majors two years ago, it appeared he was going to be a fixture in the Grand Slam events, but it hasn't worked out that way. In fact, he has failed to finish in the top 10 in the last six majors, missing the cut three times. Perhaps he is putting too much pressure on himself after getting so close. Fowler missed the cut in three straight events recently, but seemed to be back on his game when he tied for 10th his last time out in the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. He has finished in the top 10 twice in five appearances in the Open Championship, including a tie for second two years ago at Royal Liverpool, where he wound up two strokes behind Rory McIlroy. Fowler also tied for fifth in 2011 at Royal St. George's.
7. Henrik Stenson, Sweden -- The big Swede broke a winless streak that lasted nearly two years when he captured the BMW International Open in Germany late last month, and he bounced back from an opening 76 last week to tie for 13th in the Aberdeen Asset Management Scottish Open. This will be his latest chance to become the first Swedish male to win a major golf title and he has finished in the top 10 on nine occasions in the Grand Slam events, but none of those have come in the last two years. Stenson is playing in the Open Championship for the 12th time and his best chance to win came in 2013, when he couldn't keep up with Phil Mickelson down the stretch and finished solo second, three strokes back at Muirfield. He also tied for third in 2008 and 2010.
8. Sergio Garcia, Spain -- Another player near the top of the list of best golfers who have never won a major, Sergio has finished in the top 10 of Grand Slam events a whopping 21 times without lifting a trophy. The latest was a tie for fifth last month in the U.S. Open at Oakmont, where he tied for fifth. Garcia has had some other good results lately, including a victory in the AT&T Byron Nelson, third in the Open de Espana and a tie for fifth in the BMW International Open. He will be making his 20th start in the Open Championship and he finished two shots back in a tie for second behind Rory McIlroy at Royal Liverpool two years ago, and was solo second in 2007, when he lipped out a 10-foot putt to win on the 72nd hole and lost a playoff to Padraig Harrington at Carnoustie.
9. Phil Mickelson, United States -- Lefty hasn't won since his unlikely victory in the 2013 Open Championship at Muirfield, which gave him three-fourths of the Career Grand Slam. He has had chances to win this year with runner-up finishes in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am and the FedEx St. Jude Classic, and last week he closed with a 66 to wind up 13th in the Scottish Open. Mickelson used that mostly as links practice for this week at Royal Troon, where he finished third, one stroke out of the playoff in which Todd Hamilton defeated Ernie Els in 2004. This will be Lefty's 19th appearance in the Open Championship, and he also finished three shots behind Darren Clarke in 2011 at Royal St. George's. Mickelson has only those three top-10 results in the oldest championship in the world.
10. Danny Willett, England -- The Masters champion flew under the radar before his surprise victory at Augusta, and he isn't getting very much attention heading into the third major of the year on home soil. However, this is a guy who must be considered, because he has claimed three of his five professional victories since last July and he leads the European Tour's season-long Race to Dubai thanks to five finishes in the top four. Willett, No. 9 in the World Golf Rankings, did not crack the top 10 in his first nine appearances in the major championships until he tied for sixth last year at St. Andrews and he obviously took what he learned to Augusta. This will be his fifth start in the Open Championship and he missed the cut in two of his first three, but tied for 15th in 2013 at Muirfield, pulling his game together after opening with a 75.
 
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2016 British Open Picks with Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
by Alan Matthews

Don't bet against Sweden's Alex Noren on the European Tour when he has a 54-hole lead! Noren had that at least week's Scottish Open and brought home his fifth career Euro Tour title, all coming with a lead entering the final round. Noren shot a final-round 2-under 70 to finish at 14 under at Castle Stuart in northern Scotland and win by a shot over Tyrrell Hatton, with Nicolas Colsaerts, Danny Lee and Matteo Manassero a shot further back. Noren hadn't finished better than sixth in any event this year, but it was his fourth Top-10 finish in his last eight tournaments. Noren was the 15th winner this season on the Euro Tour to have led going into the final round. Remember, there was no PGA Tour event last week.

There were a handful of Americans playing as a warm-up to the British Open. Patrick Reed had the best result of them in Scotland with a tie for 10th at 9 under. Phil Mickelson was 13th at 7 under. I'm familiar with Noren but didn't have him winning last week or on any props. I did get Reed at +450 for a Top 10 and at +250 as the top American. Also hit on Padraig Harrington at +450 as the top Irishman. Just missed on another Swede, Henrik Stenson, for a Top 10 as he was T13. My pick to win was Branden Grace, but he was T29.

So now it's on to Royal Troon in Scotland for the 145th British Open. It's the ninth time the course has hosted the third major championship of the season. It last did in 2004 when unknown American Todd Hamilton beat Ernie Els in a playoff -- keep in mind that the British Open playoff format is four holes with an aggregate score. If it's still tied after that, it goes to sudden death. Hamilton has done virtually nothing since taking home the Claret Jug. Only four players from the Top 10 in 2004 are teeing it up this week: Mickelson, Lee Westwood, Els and Hamilton, who was the sixth straight American winner at Royal Troon.

Royal Troon is a par 71 at 7,190 yards. The most well-known hole is the par-3 8th, called "Postage Stamp." At 123 yards, it's the shortest hole in the British Open course rotation. Els had an ace there 12 years ago. The toughest hole during the 2004 Open was the par-4 11th, which played to a 4.41 stroke average. Needless to say, weather is likely to be a big factor this week.

The defending champion is Zach Johnson, who beat Louis Oosthuizen and Marc Leishman in a playoff at St. Andrews. Johnson birdied the 72nd hole to get to 15 under par for the tournament, the first to post that score. It was Oosthuizen's second playoff loss in a major (2013 Masters). Jordan Spieth entered having won the 2015 Masters and U.S. Open and missed the playoff by just a shot. He missed a crucial par putt on the 17th and then couldn't birdie No. 18 to get in the playoff. Spieth had nine holes of bogey or worse in the tournament. Jason Day also was a shot from the playoff. Remember that 2014 British Open champion Rory McIlroy missed last year's event due to injury.

There are 16 former Open champions in the 156-man field this week. Also playing are Justin Leonard and Mark Calcavecchia, who won the Open at Royal Troon in 1997 and 1989, respectively. The Open Championship is maybe my favorite major because when you get up in the morning on the weekend, the leaders are already playing. And links golf and that United Kingdom weather make it nearly a different sport than on the pristine courses on which we play golf in the USA.

Golf Odds: British Open Favorites

Dustin Johnson and Jason Day are the +800 favorites. Not a big fan of Johnson this week only because he has won his past two events, the U.S. Open and WGC-Bridgestone. You just don't win three tournaments in a row these days. He hasn't contended in a British Open since a T2 in 2011. And, frankly, his length isn't a big advantage on this shorter course. Day doesn't have a great British Open track record other than last year. He was third last time out at the WGC-Bridgestone.

McIlroy (+900), Spieth (+1000) and then a huge falloff to Adam Scott and Grace (+2200 each) round out the favorites. McIlroy hasn't actually played all that great on the PGA Tour this year but does have a recent win and a third-place finish in Europe. Spieth didn't contend his first two British Opens until last year. He comes off a third at the WGC-Bridgestone. Scott has four straight Top 10s in this tournament. Grace hasn't played too well at the British Open but has three Top 10s in his past four events this season.

Golf Odds: British Open Picks

Here are a few eliminator facts: 10 of the past 11 winners of The Open Championship had all made at least six prior starts in the event; of the past 11 winners at The Open Championship, 10 had a finish of sixth or better in a past one; and the past 15 major winners overall were all ranked 28th in the world or better.

Sportsbooks have too many props to address this week, including the score for several top players on their first hole of the tournament. There are a few groups vs. the field props. You can get Dustin Johnson, Day, McIlroy and Spieth at +150 vs. the field (-190). Or Scott, Sergio Garcia, Rickie Fowler and Mickelson at +600 vs. the field (-1100).

For a Top-10 finish, I like Day (-120), Spieth (even), Scott (+200) and Sergio (+225). Head-to-head, go Scott (-120) over Sergio (-110), Spieth (-105) over Dustin Johnson (-125), Day (-120) over McIlroy (-110), Reed (-125) over Charl Schwartzel (-105), Lee Westwood (-130) over Bubba Watson (even), and Fowler (-125) over Justin Rose (-105).

The past three major champions have been first-timers. So that makes me really ponder Sergio here. But I'm going with Scott. You best option thus might be the Scott/Garcia/Fowler/Mickelson vs. the field prop. Fowler's also looking for his first major.
 
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At the Gate - Thursday
By Mike Dempsey

Entries were drawn for Saturday’s $750,000 Delaware Handicap, the only Grade 1 race on tap this weekend, with a field of six fillies and mares going 1 ¼ miles at Delaware Park.

The Larry Jones trained I’m a Chatterbox is the 6-5 morning line favorite and she is coming off a big effort winning the prep, the Obeah which she won by 8 ½ lengths.

The filly won four of her eight starts last year including the Cotillion (G1) at Parx Racing and crossed the wire in front in the Coaching Club of American Oaks (G1) at Saratoga only to get disqualified and placed second for causing interference in the stretch.

She faces five foes with the biggest threat likely to be Paid Up Subscriber (2-1), who is coming off a victory in the Fleur de Lis Handicap (G2) at Churchill Downs earning a career top speed figure in the outing. She has won four of her eight career starts for trainer Al Stall.

Todd Pletcher will send out Mei Ling (5-1) who was second in the Rags to Riches in her last outing. Penwith (9-2) is looking to rebound off back to back losses after winning the Royal Delta (G2) at Gulfstream Park back in February. She is trained by Kiaran McLaughlin.

Completing the field are longshots Money’soncharlotte (15-1) and Milaya (15-1).


Here is today’s opener from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Md Sp Wt (1:30 ET)
#5 Diversify 7-2
#4 Dublinyourmoney 3-5
#6 Gucci Factor 8-1
#2 Celtic Scout 6-1

Analysis: Diversify is a $150,000 Spa purchase making his debut for the Violette barn that is 22% winners (with a +ROI) with first time starters. The gelding is by Bellamy Road out of a Street Cry mare that has dropped one other runner, no winners to date. The works are not jumping off the page but this barn tends to have them ready to go and this is not a real tough looking spot facing just five.

Dublinyourmoney ships in from Churchill Downs where least out the colt was off awkwardly and came with a good late run to finish third beaten a length. The winner Jimbo Fallon came back to graduate in his next outing here on June 25 and then beat Alw-1 foes in his most recent outing on July 9. He makes his first start here for the Cox barn that is 18% winners with newcomers to the barn. He looks tough but his price is going to be puny.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 4,5 / 4,5,6
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 7 OClm $40,000N2X (4:41 ET)
#5 Birchwood Road 4-1
#11 Front 6-1
#2 Vincento 7-2
#12 Bullheaded Boy 6-1

Analysis: Birchwood Road came with a mild late run to finish third last out against Alw-1 optional claimers. The runner up Hello Don Julio came back to beat Alw-1 company in his next outing on July 4. Our top pick is back with state breds here and the cut back in ground should suit him. His last win was at this distance at this condition here last September.

Front was a game winner versus $25,000 state bred claimers last out for his third win over the Belmont Park turf. He was claimed out of the race by the Serpe barn that is 17% winners first off the claim. He gets a jock upgrade here to Castellano. The win snapped a 15 race losing streak and he steps into a tougher spot here, but three of his last four figs put him in the mix in this spot and the 6-1 morning line looks fair enough.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 5,11 / 2,5,11,12
TRI: 5,11 / 2,5,11,12 / 2,3,5,11,12

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #6 Gucci Factor 8-1
R2: #7 Harlan’s Harmony 15-1
R4: #3 American Phantom 10-1
R6: #7 Belle Et Bete 8-1
R8: #5 The Truth Or Else 15-1

Good luck today!
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 6:25 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 74 - Purse:$4500 - CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 HEAVENLY BEACHES 6/1


# 4 ONCE A CHEATER 8/1


# 9 NO HABLA 3/1


Hard not to get behind HEAVENLY BEACHES as the top selection in here. A nice class horse should not be be overlooked. With an average class rating of 76 all signs point to this one being the winner. ONCE A CHEATER - Not many folks know, but the 4 slot here at Hoosier Park has been excellent for a much higher than average win percentage. That 67 speed rating clocked in the most recent gathering puts this fine animal in the mix today. NO HABLA - De Long will be looking to end up in the winner's circle in this contest, has been tearing it up recently. Win pct over the last 30 days is a sparkling 21. Can't forget based on speed ratings which have been fantastic (75 avg) in recent times.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Yonkers Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 8:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 86 - Purse:$10500 - F& M NON-WINNERS OF $7,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS WINNERS OVER $37,500 IN 2016 NOT ELIGIBLE. AE. OPTIONAL CLAIMING ALLOWANCE $15,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 JOKES JET 5/1


# 5 THE EMPIRESSISTER N 7/2


# 8 MISCHIEF MAKER N 5/2


We've got good feelings JOKES JET is going to get the win. That 86 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the last outing puts this horse in the mix for this one. When the starter calls, entrants beginning out of the 2 post have more wins than is normal. Don't count out this solid standardbred, especially with Kokinos as the trainer. In the money stat is strong. THE EMPIRESSISTER N - A really strong class horse should not be be overlooked. With an average class rating of 88 all signs point to yes. Talk about a dynamic duo, Bartlett and Bamond have some of the best driver/trainer rankings at the track. MISCHIEF MAKER N - This interesting entrant looks dangerous. Look at the 91 average speed rating. The 88 avg class rating may give this mare a distinct advantage in the grouping.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $5750 Class Rating: 39

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLASIFICADOS EN $3,500 Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 SUDDEN BIDDER 7/2

# 3 EL CONSULTOR 3/1

# 10 ZACK'S CAT 6/1

SUDDEN BIDDER looks to be a formidable contender. Expect a much better outing with the drop. Have to examine solely on class, with some of the most competitive class figures of this group of animals. Garcia has a win percentage of 19 over the last 30 days. EL CONSULTOR - Well above average win clip at this distance/surface.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 77

FOR PA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 14 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 SALSAMON 9/2

# 2 SPRAWLING 3/1

# 6 LITLMISSMARTYPANTS 5/1

SALSAMON looks very good to best this field. Should go to the lead and should never look back. Must be used in the exotic wagers. Ran a very solid last race. SPRAWLING - Has formidable early lick and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group of animals. Must be given a shot - I like the figures from the last contest. LITLMISSMARTYPANTS - I like the jockey on this filly - formidable chance to win the contest.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Lone Star Park - Race #8 - Post: 10:21pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 TAPIT IN THE HOLE (ML=5/2)
#3 SONORAN PEGASUS (ML=3/1)


TAPIT IN THE HOLE - A winning percentage the likes of what Diego and Asmussen have achieved together is outstanding. I like to invest in this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp race within the last 30 days. The most recent speed rating of 68 is the best last race figure in the bunch. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (62-66-68) make this horse a strong contender. SONORAN PEGASUS - A winning percentage the likes of what McMahon and Calhoun have achieved together is out of sight. This gelding is in good form, having run a nice race on June 24th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #12 SAPPHIRE STORM (ML=5/1), #7 DRAPER (ML=8/1), #2 MR. CAMPO (ML=8/1),

SAPPHIRE STORM - Hard to play this colt today since the affair isn't limited to three year olds. 5/1 is not offering enough value for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance affair of late. DRAPER - Hard to wager on this horse out of the June 26th event. Only faced maidens in that one. Tough to put your money on this early speedster. Too much early zip in the race. This pony will probably bounce off of the last strong outing. MR. CAMPO - I cannot play this habitual non-winner. Gets the assignment done infrequently.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #8 TAPIT IN THE HOLE to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 

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