Thursday 5/8/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Arlington (3rd) Sweet Jess, 7-2
(7th) Lewderhoo, 4-1

Belmont Park (5th) Days Ride, 3-1
(7th) Aesthetique, 7-2

Belterra Park (5th) Red Danger, 7-2
(7th) Rivers Run Deep, 5-1

Charles Town (5th) Santorini Sun, 3-1
(9th) Sangria Wilko, 6-1

Churchill Downs (1st) Ariadna, 5-1
(5th) Kerisma, 3-1

Evangeline Downs (1st) Thursday, 9-2
(3rd) Intimidator's Cat, 3-1

Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Lil Sneaker, 4-1
(7th) Rathbaun, 5-1

Lone Star Park (1st) Fly'n Lion, 9-2
(9th) K D Queen, 5-1

Louisiana Downs (4th) Smokealittlesmoke, 3-1
(5th) Miss Louis M, 5-1

Penn National (2nd) Potus, 3-1
(3rd) Just Ask Robert, 3-1

Pimlico (3rd) Bumpy Ride, 4-1
(4th) August Osage, 5-1

Prairie Meadows (3rd) Startingold, 4-1
(9th) Aintgotno Home, 5-1

Santa Anita (5th) Jennyway U Want It, 3-1
(8th) Flew Flicker, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Churchill Downs - Race #9 - Post: 4:48pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 TRUE KINECTION (ML=4/1)
#7 BOURBONNMYCOFFEE (ML=20/1)


TRUE KINECTION - Garcia was aboard this filly last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Took a class drop in the last race at Keeneland. Kaelin keeps her at the same level today. I think that's a good move. BOURBONNMYCOFFEE - Filly looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MAYBE LILY (ML=2/1), #8 MS. ZENERGY (ML=4/1), #6 GONNA TELL PAPA (ML=8/1),

MAYBE LILY - This equine doesn't have a winner's temperament. Regularly finishes in the place or show spot. MS. ZENERGY - In the last affair this steed finished seventh. Doesn't bode well for her chances this time around. GONNA TELL PAPA - Oddsmaker's morning line of 8/1 make this horse a pass by my criteria.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 TRUE KINECTION is the play if we get odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI-5 WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Belmont Race 4 for Thursday, May 08, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Belmont - Race #4 - Post: 2:53pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 MIGHTY ZEALOUS (ML=7/2)
#5 BLUEGRASS FLASH (ML=3/1)


MIGHTY ZEALOUS - I look for this pony to sit chilly off the pace and make a big move on the turn, cruising straight on to the finish line. Looking at today's class figure, this pony is up against an easier field than last out at Aqueduct. This trainer sure has a knack for stretching out most any equine. Getting the extra distance sure seems to help Rice's starters perform well. BLUEGRASS FLASH - Got to appreciate a good work horse. This gelding's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Faced tougher in the last race at Aqueduct. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this animal on my list of strong contenders. You should disregard that last event at Aqueduct on a muddy track where he finished outside the top 3. Should do well in today's race without a sloppy track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SALISBURY KNIGHT (ML=5/2), #6 FIDELIUS (ML=6/1), #4 COVIELLO (ML=8/1),

SALISBURY KNIGHT - Didn't hit the board on Mar 15th at Gulfstream. Followed it up with another less than stellar performance. FIDELIUS - Would have to get quite a bit more than the morning line of 6/1 to bet on this mount. COVIELLO - Ran a long time ago on September 8th. We should watch a race first. This runner ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last time out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that number.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BLUEGRASS FLASH - Playing the top earnings per start thoroughbred is an angle which won't steer you wrong in the long run. I'm betting on this one.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #8 MIGHTY ZEALOUS to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
8 with 5 with [1,2,7] Total Cost: $3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Santa Anita Park

RACE #7 - SANTA ANITA PARK - 4:05 PM PACIFIC POST
8.0 FURLONGS TURF FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $58,000.00 PURSE

#5 MANGITA
#6 VAN DIEN AVENUE
#4 HIGHLY RATED
#3 WATER ISSUES

#5 MANGITA has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 5th race back. #6 VAN DIEN AVENUE, a 6-1 shot, has also turned in "POWER RUNS" in five straight start, with three of those efforts, including a win in her last "adventure" also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." Jockey Jose Valdivia Jr. was in her irons for that win, 39 days ago here at Santa Anita, and is back this afternoon for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #6 - BELMONT PARK - 3:55 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $20,000.00 CLAIMING $32,000.00 PURSE

#1 PHYSICAL DELIVERY
#3 JEALOUS
#4 CASUAL ELEGANCE
#2 NEWYORK CONSPIRACY

#1 PHYSICAL DELIVERY takes a class drop (-13), and has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" facing better company in three of her last four outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back. #3 JEALOUS has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight starts, including a nearly 6-length, "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start. Jockey Andre Worrie was in her irons for those three"board hit endings," and is back this afternoon here at Belmont Park for his 4th ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Pimlico

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - SA - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $34000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 ROYAL SPARKLE 7/5

# 1 LUCKY LIBERTY 2/1

# 3 LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL 10/1

ROYAL SPARKLE seems to be the bet in here. Last time out, this filly faced a rougher field. Looks strong for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races as of late. With Santiago getting the mount, watch out for this animal. LUCKY LIBERTY - Is hard not to look at based on speed figures which have been solid - 82 avg - of late. Handler boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface. LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL - Is a definite contender - given the 77 speed figure from her most recent race. Have to love when any animal makes a quick turnaround.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 51

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 JOHN'S TRIBUTE 10/1

# 5 KAT'S CADY JO 9/2

# 3 CITY LOVER 6/1

I like JOHN'S TRIBUTE for this race particularly if the morning line of 10/1 holds. Ran a strong last race. She has recorded very good numbers under today's conditions and will almost certainly fare well versus this group. Will make a strong showing versus this lot. KAT'S CADY JO - I like the rider on this filly - competitive chance to win the race. Will almost certainly come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the lead recently. CITY LOVER - She should have a strong outing versus this less demanding field. Rodriguez's return on investment over the last 30 days automatically makes this pony a solid contender.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 8

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BROOKLYN (48 - 42) at MIAMI (59 - 28) - 5/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 103-75 ATS (+20.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (58 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (67 - 23) - 5/8/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 150-118 ATS (+20.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 123-96 ATS (+17.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 432-363 ATS (+32.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 173-132 ATS (+27.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 149-111 ATS (+26.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PORTLAND is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) in road games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 8

Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat, 7:05 ET
Brooklyn: 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more
Miami: 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games

Portland Trail Blazers at San Antonio Spurs, 9:35 ET
Portland: 15-5 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more
SAn Antonio: 51-39 OVER in all games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Thursday, May 8

Trend Report

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Miami is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Brooklyn

9:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 8

Boston Bruins at Montreal Canadiens, 7:35 ET
Boston: 17-4 SU revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals
Montreal: 2-9 SU in home games off an home win scoring 4 or more goals

Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings , 10:05 ET
Anaheim: 12-8 SU as an underdog
LA Kings: 83-89 SU in home games after a win by 2 goals or more

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 8

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BOSTON (59-21-0-10, 128 pts.) at MONTREAL (52-29-0-8, 112 pts.) - 5/8/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 52-37 ATS (+0.9 Units) in all games this season.
MONTREAL is 29-19 ATS (+1.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
MONTREAL is 24-13 ATS (+9.4 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
MONTREAL is 25-16 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MONTREAL is 15-10 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 59-31 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 27-10 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 23-7 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-18 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MONTREAL is 6-18 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 10-7 (+7.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 10-7-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ANAHEIM (58-23-0-9, 125 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (52-30-0-9, 113 pts.) - 5/8/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 58-32 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
ANAHEIM is 188-193 ATS (+416.8 Units) in road games second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 22-9 ATS (+9.2 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
ANAHEIM is 178-135 ATS (+22.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 203-193 ATS (+416.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 10-7 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 10-7-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Thursday, May 8

Trend Report

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. MONTREAL
Boston is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games

10:00 PM
ANAHEIM vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Thursday, May 8

Trend Report

12:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 23 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

1:08 PM
HOUSTON vs. DETROIT
Houston is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Detroit
Houston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
Detroit is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Houston

7:07 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. TORONTO
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:05 PM
COLORADO vs. TEXAS
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Texas's last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home

8:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games

10:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. SEATTLE
Kansas City is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Dodgers's last 14 games
LA Dodgers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games

10:10 PM
MIAMI vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
San Diego is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Miami

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, May 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (21 - 13) at LA DODGERS (19 - 16) - 10:10 PM
RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. JOSH BECKETT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 103-70 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 97-87 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 974-811 (+114.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 516-509 (+47.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 352-355 (+36.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 91-79 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
VOGELSONG is 36-24 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 36-23 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 20-11 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 21-26 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BECKETT is 2-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 6-15 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 2-11 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 1-9 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 5-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BECKETT is 1-8 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-2 (+2.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 4-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.362.
His team's record is 8-4 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-9. (-6.5 units)

JOSH BECKETT vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BECKETT is 4-6 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-3. (+3.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (19 - 15) at SAN DIEGO (15 - 20) - 10:10 PM
JACOB TURNER (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 37-80 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-42 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

JACOB TURNER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
TURNER is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.889.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.2 units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. MIAMI since 1997
KENNEDY is 3-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.239.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (15 - 17) at CLEVELAND (15 - 19) - 12:05 PM
KEVIN CORREIA (R) vs. JUSTIN MASTERSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 107-90 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 29-14 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 64-31 (+26.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-21 (+17.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-42 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-89 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-27 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-33 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CORREIA is 100-95 (+25.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 48-36 (+19.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 98-93 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 57-46 (+25.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+1.7 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
CORREIA is 1-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.140.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

JUSTIN MASTERSON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MASTERSON is 3-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.384.
His team's record is 8-9 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (10 - 24) at DETROIT (20 - 9) - 1:05 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. DREW SMYLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 61-135 (-34.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 25-75 (-37.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-35 (-20.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 94-153 (-47.0 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 13-42 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 58-128 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-95 (-31.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 20-78 (-38.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. DETROIT since 1997
KEUCHEL is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.587.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

DREW SMYLY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (17 - 14) at TAMPA BAY (15 - 19) - 7:10 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. DAVID PRICE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 107-48 (+29.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 528-608 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
PRICE is 52-25 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 199-163 (+43.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-14 (+14.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 98-87 (+32.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 28-13 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 94-80 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 8-2 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 39-26 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-0 (+4.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
JIMENEZ is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

DAVID PRICE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
PRICE is 7-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 10-6 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+0.5 units)

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KANSAS CITY (16 - 17) at SEATTLE (17 - 16) - 10:10 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 10-25 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
IWAKUMA is 30-20 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
IWAKUMA is 29-19 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
IWAKUMA is 17-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 46-38 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 12-20 (-16.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-51 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 138-173 (-48.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 41-51 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-37 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-46 (-22.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANNY DUFFY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
DUFFY is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 2.452.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)


HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
IWAKUMA is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 17) at TORONTO (17 - 17) - 7:05 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. R.A. DICKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 169-187 (-38.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-28 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 62-80 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BURNETT is 83-116 (-39.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 53-82 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TORONTO since 1997
BURNETT is 3-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.467.
His team's record is 4-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.7 units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
DICKEY is 3-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.220.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.4 units)

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COLORADO (22 - 14) at TEXAS (17 - 17) - 8:05 PM
FRANKLIN MORALES (L) vs. MATT HARRISON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 88-167 (-60.9 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 12-29 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 19-49 (-23.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 17-8 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 3-0 (+3.2 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

FRANKLIN MORALES vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT HARRISON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HARRISON is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (11 - 21) at CHI WHITE SOX (18 - 17) - 8:10 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. SCOTT CARROLL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-118 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-118 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-91 (-32.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-35 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 179-134 (+39.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 81-116 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-58 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-47 (-18.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 79-111 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 35-48 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-0 (+3.4 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.17 and a WHIP of 1.595.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

SCOTT CARROLL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Thursday, May 8


White Sox Adam Dunn, questionable Thursday

Dunn has missed the last two with tightness in his calf and is questionable to play Thursday against the Cubs.


Wind, thunderstorms on tap at Rangers Ballpark

Weather forecasts are calling for potential thunderstorms in Arlington for Thursday's game between the Colorado Rockies and Texas Rangers.

According to DailyBaseballData.com, there is up to a 70 percent possibility of thunderstorms prior to the game, which decreases to a 30 percent chance by gametime.

Forecasts are also calling for winds blowing in from right field at 15 mph.

Thursday's scheduled pitchers are Franklin Morales for the Rockies and Matt Harrison for the Rangers.


A's lose two to injuries in doubleheader split

Wednesday was filled with good news and bad for the Oakland A's.

The Athletics split a doubleheader with the Seattle Mariners, losing the opener 6-4 in 10 innings but winning the second game 2-0. They lost center fielder Coco Crisp to a strained neck and reliever Ryan Cook to a strained forearm in the opener, but they got a spectacular outing in Game 2 from reliever Drew Pomeranz, who threw five shutout innings in his first start for Oakland.

In the opener, the A's scored four runs and had 11 hits against Mariners ace Felix Hernandez, their nemesis, knocking him out of the game with a three-run rally in the seventh to take a 4-3 lead. However, for just the third time in his career, Hernandez didn't strike out a single batter. Yet the A's lost.


Orioles' Wieters gets good news about sore elbow

A visit to Dr. James Andrews always sparks a certain dread in the baseball player and his organization.

Catcher Matt Wieters and the Baltimore Orioles felt a lot better Wednesday, however. The orthopedic surgeon based in Pensacola, Fla., diagnosed an irregularity in an MRI of his right elbow taken on Monday as an aggravation of an old injury of the flexor mass -- perhaps from Wieters' time as a pitcher at Georgia Tech. Andrews suggested rest.

Wieters, who is second in the American League in batting at .341, did not start on Wednesday. The 27-year-old Gold Glover and All-Star has thrown out just one of 12 attempted basestealers this season after erasing 35 percent last season. He had allowed five steals against Minnesota in the previous series and had been complaining of soreness in mid-April.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Thursday, May 8


Penguins' Orpik leaves Game 4 vs. Rangers

Pittsburgh Penguins defenseman Brooks Orpik did not play after the first period against the New York Rangers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Second Round series at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday.

Pittsburgh won 4-2 and leads the best-of-7 series 3-1 with Game 5 on Friday at Consol Energy Center (7 p.m. ET; CBC, RDS, NBCSN).

Orpik's absence reduced Pittsburgh to five defensemen. Paul Martin played 30:05, and Kris Letang played 27:56.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, May 8

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Vogelsong: SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 against the money line in road games revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite
Beckett: LA DODGERS are 11-3 OVER in home games after a one run loss

Miami at San Diego, 10:10 ET
Turner: MIAMI is 45-28 UNDERwhen playing against a team with a losing record
Kennedy: SAN DIEGO is 40-18 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%)

Minnesota at Cleveland, 12:05 ET
Correia: MINNESOTA is 24-13 against the money line after batting .225 or worse over a 10 game span
Masterson: CLEVELAND is 59-28 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher

Houston at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Keuchel: HOUSTON is 46-28 OVER on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10
Smyly: DETROIT is 24-12 OVER in home games against left-handed starters

Baltimore at Tampa Bay. 7:10 ET
Jimenez: BALTIMORE is 108-94 against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher
Price: TAMPA BAY is 122-114 against the money line revenging 2 straight home losses

Kansas City at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Duffy: SEATTLE is 34-43 against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5
Iwakuma: SEATTLE is 83-63 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5

Philadelphia at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Burnett: PHILADELPHIA is 25-8 OVER vs. a mediocre bullpen whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550
Dickey: BURNETT is 40-69 against the money line on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5

Colorado at Texas, 8:05 ET
Morales: COLORADO is 18-10 against the money line after batting .300 or better over a 15 game span
Harrison: TEXAS is 5-12 against the money line in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent

Chicago Cubs at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Arrieta: CHICAGO CUBS are 16-11 against the money line in road games after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span
Carroll: CHI WHITE SOX are 29-16 against the money line after scoring 8 runs or more