SPORTS WAGERS
Florida -107 over PHILADELPHIA
OT Included. This is without question one of the biggest games of the night, as both teams are in it with only three points separating them. However, a month ago the Flyers were in a much better position than the Panthers but failed to distance themselves from anyone. Philadelphia has three wins over its past 10 games with two of those victories occurring against Vancouver and Colorado. Over their last 17 games, Philly has scored one goal or less nine times and two goals or less 13 times. The Flyers turned to Steve Mason last time out and then went on to defeat the Avalanche 4-0. Coming off a shutout, Mason gets the call here again and that is pure sweetness because not many goaltenders are worse, as his .903 save percentage will attest to. Philly may look appealing at home here in an evenly priced game but a deep look into the numbers reveal that the Panthers are superior in every way. That includes current form.
Thomas Vanek was the first player on the ice for the Panthers in this morning’s skate around. He joins a slew of other snipers to form a formidable offense that features some of the best talent in the game. Vanek just adds another dimension to a team that is going to be difficult to defend. The Panthers have won nine of 13 to reside one point behind Toronto in the race for the second Wild-Card spot in the Eastern Conference. Vanek’s 38 points match Aleksander Barkov for second-best on the Panthers, with the latter joining Jonathan Huberdeau with 11 in their last 11 games. Had Huberdeau and Barkov played a full season, they would be among the league leaders in production. The Panthers are 0-2 against Philadelphia this season but the last time they saw one another was way back on December 6. This is a much different and more powerful Panthers squad than the last one the Flyers saw and frankly speaking, we can’t find one good reason to get behind the inferior team here.
N.Y. Rangers +144 over BOSTON
The Bruins are one of the hottest teams in the NHL. Since firing head coach Claude Julien, Boston has ripped off four wins in its last five games. If you add the three wins the Bruins had going into the bye, Boston has won seven of its last eight. The Bruins are now in the thick of things in the Atlantic division but their recent success has their stock at a season high. Boston is scoring in bunches too by putting up four goals or more in three straight and in six of its last eight. A closer look however, shows that the B's dominance has come at the expense of some of the league's weakest clubs. Two of those teams, Arizona and Dallas give up the most shots in the NHL. Against that pair, Boston only managed to fire away 25 and 28 shots on net respectively. Boston is winning games but danger signs are present everywhere. Boston's inability to stay out of the box after taking 12 penalties in its last four games is going to come back to bite them soon enough. Contrarily and against two of the weaker defensive teams in the league (Dallas and Arizona), the B’s have drawn a mere five minors in its last three games combined. The B's are 1-3 this season in their second game back after a road trip of three games or more. And they just returned home to defeat Arizona. Boston's only win in this spot this year came over Buffalo in November. The last time the Bruins were in this spot (second game back after a trip) the dropped a 4-0 decision to the Islanders. Yes indeed the Bruins are winning game but the many flaws are hidden because that’s what W’s do. We now get a sweet price on a team that can score goals with the best of them.
New York made an under the radar pickup on trade deadline day by adding defenseman Brendan Smith from the Red Wings. The Rangers have an elite selection of forwards but have had trouble getting the puck out and getting them the puck. Smith should help shore things up on the back end. What this market sees is Boston hot and the Rags losing two in a row. However, New York’s two losses were to Washington and Columbus. Prior to that, New York had won nine of 11 including victories over Nashville, Toronto, Calgary, Anaheim and Washington. Let’s not ignore that despite losing the Rags were -120 over Columbus and opened as a favorite against Washington. Two losses later to the two best teams in the East and they go from a -120 favorite over the Jackets to +144 or more against Boston? That’s so ridiculous and it’s all because the market puts way more emphasis on results than performances. Huge overlay here.
Colorado +192 over OTTAWA
OT included. Ottawa returns home from a four-game trip here in which it went 2-2 but failed to score more than two goals in any of those games. In fact, the Sens have now scored two or less in five straight and have allowed 44, 38 and 38 shots on net in their last three. Coming home from a four-game trip that included the last two in sunny Florida, Ottawa is in big danger of overlooking the Avalanche here in anticipation of its big home game against Columbus on Saturday night’s Hockey Night in Canada. Aside from being in a difficult spot, the Sens aren’t good enough to be a 2-1 or better favorite over anyone and that includes the Avalanche.
Have you ever been to Colorado? Anyone that ever has, loved it. Anyone that lives there wants to stay there so even though the Avalanche are in the midst of an abhorrent season, none of the players wanted to uproot their families and move elsewhere. Losing Jerome Iginla opens the door for a quicker and more effective player. The dust has settled and Landeskog, MacKinnon and Duchene are all still intact. Aside from those three great talents, the Avalanche also have Tyson Barrie, Mikko Rantanen, Fedor Tyutin, John Mitchell and several other proven NHLers. Joe Colborne is starting to get minutes again and he’s looking better with each passing game. The point is that Colorado should be better. They have scored a measly and almost unbelievable 121 goals in 61 games this year, which has to improve because of the talent on the roster. Their puck luck has been awful but now that the pressure is off and the trade deadline has come and gone, Colorado can just play hockey and compete. The Avs are coming off a 4-0 loss to Philly in which they were the better team but three early PP goals against did them in. They are not going to just lie down and mail it in the rest of the way and the players have to be feeling pretty good (and thankful) that management did not panic at the deadline. This is the thank you response game and now they’re in a favorable and very sneaky spot to pull off an unsuspecting upset.
Toronto +144 over LOS ANGELES
OT included. Yesterday was not a good day for Kings GM Dean Lombardi. It wasn’t a good week either. First, he couldn’t unload Marian Gaborik’s (dude is on the fourth line now) $4.8M that he’ll earn until 2021. Secondly, Steve Yzerman miraculously sucked him into taking Ben Bishop’s contract PLUS Yzerman got a backup in return, not to mention a d-man in Erik Cernak. The Jerome Iginla move (for a fourth round pick) adds nothing to this already aging and dull lineup except another aging and dull player. The Kings moved out Dwight King to make room for Iginla, which was another curious move since King is 27-years old and he brings more than Iginla with his size, net presence and more. King had 23 points this season playing for a team that cannot score while Iginla has 18 points playing for a team that has to score. The Kings regression continues.
What we have here is two teams headed in opposite directions. Most “experts” have suggested that the Kings have one final push in them to make the playoffs and if that is the case, it’ll be because the Blues will continue their horrible slide and not because Los Angeles is going to win a bunch of games. The Kings are not capable of winning a bunch of games in a row on the square. They’ll win because of their hard work and experience and not because of their talent. Winning three out of four or six out of seven is extremely unlikely to happen because L.A. is offensively challenged and its goaltending is very beatable. Jonathan Quick is the most overrated goaltender in the game that is 15 steps behind everyone else.
The Maple Leafs are hearing footsteps and we’re pretty sure that Mike Babcock was steamed up over the way his team came out in the first period against the Sharks on Tuesday. The period ended with San Jose and Toronto being scoreless but Toronto was fortunate to not be down three goals. The Leafs would end up losing 3-1 and now the Maple Leafs are trying to fend off four teams from taking that final Wild Card spot them. Four teams (Islanders, Panthers, Lightning and Flyers) are within four points of Toronto and two teams are behind by just one point. The good news is that the Maple Leafs are healthy again. Mitch Marner is a difference maker. Tyler Bozak and now Brian Boyle gives them some depth up the middle and Fredrick Andersen has been solid and reliable almost all year long. Toronto figures to be focused and hungry and as long as they play a smart game, Los Angeles on its best day cannot keep up with the Maple Leafs speed or talent. Nice overlay here.