Thursday 2/5/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Dutch Eredivisie TODAY 19:45

Ajax

v

AZ Alkmaar

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		4/7	3	9/2	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT AJAX	RECENT FORM
HWHWAWHWHDAL​ Most recent​	4 - 0 2 - 2 2 - 2 4 - 0	HWADHLHWADHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Ajax have lost one of their last 16 league fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: AZ Alkmaar have not won on any of their last three road trips and are unlikely to succeed at the Amsterdam ArenA, where the home side will be eager to close the gap on title rivals PSV. Ajax lost ground with a 1-0 defeat at Vitesse on Sunday but should bounce back with a seventh successive home league win.

RECOMMENDATION: Ajax
2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Maywood Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Post: 8:30 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 65 - Purse:$2500 - NON-WINNERS OF 2 RACES OR $4,000 LIFETIME TO BE CLAIMED FOR $7,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 WHATA SLINGSHOT 8/1


# 2 BUTTERED NOODLES 7/2


# 6 REGAL HONOR 12/1


WHATA SLINGSHOT is the most solid wager in this race may be overlooked at 8/1 on the line. The 5 position sports a well above average win stat at Maywood Park. Starting from the 5 post increases this horse's chances for a nice return on investment. BUTTERED NOODLES - The number crunching team noted a very compelling race out of this horse last time. Looking for a repeat effort of that to score. This horse and Rath have a very good relationship. In the money percent for this tandem is high. REGAL HONOR - Most definitely the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 69. A nice choice.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 7 - Post: 9:28 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 84 - Purse:$25000 - C-2 FILLIES & MARES DASH FOR THE C NOTES - FINAL


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 4 MARTY PARTY 7/2


# 5 DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY 9/2


# 6 CAVIART SHELLY 3/1


Hard not to give the nod to MARTY PARTY as the top selection in here. Has formidable TrackMaster Speed Ratings and definitely has to be thought of for a wager for this one. This harness racer looks dangerous considering the high class figures. Not a good idea to throw out of any exotics. The handicapping team noted a bang-up outing out of this nice horse last time. Hoping for a repeat of that to dominate. DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY - Hard to put finger on it, but favor her in this one. Hands down the best position at Meadowlands is the 5. The win percentage is tremendous. CAVIART SHELLY - Driver-trainer are no strangers to the winners circle and should have this mare breaking away from the grouping. Gingras will be looking to win today, has been real tough within the recent past. Win stat this last month is a sparkling 26.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 93

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 1, 2014 ALLOWED 3 LBS. ONE SUCH RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 RIO HONDO 5/2


# 1 PORT STANLEY 3/1


# 6 SHUN 2/1


My pick here is RIO HONDO. Morey has this gelding racing well and is a very good choice based on the formidable speed figures put up in route races recently. I like the rider on this gelding - formidable chance to win the contest. Is a key contender - given the 91 speed figure from his most recent race. PORT STANLEY - Might best this group here, showing quite good figures of late. With a reliable jockey who has won at a respectable 22 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections. SHUN - Looks solid versus this field and ought to be one of the front-runners. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run recently.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 8.2f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 90

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 5. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 10 SKY BLUE PINK 9/2


# 7 ULTRAPASSANDO (BRZ) 5/2


# 4 MOONLIT PARK 10/1


SKY BLUE PINK appears to be the wager in here. Has to be given a chance versus this group of animals displaying decent figs recently and an average speed figure of 83 under similar conditions. Garnered a formidable speed fig last time out. Is tough not to consider based on speed figures which have been respectable - 84 avg - of late. ULTRAPASSANDO (BRZ) - This gelding is coming back soon to race. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. MOONLIT PARK - Will likely be one of the leaders of the pack going into the halfway point of the affair. Jackson has a very strong win percent with horses running in dirt route races.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Dubai World Cup - Race #6 - Post: 12:40pm - Stakes - 9.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $250,000 Class Rating: 111 Al Maktoum Challenge R2 Empowered By IPIC S. (Grade 2)

Rating: Golden Dollar

#4 AFRICAN STORY (GB) (ML=4/1)
#3 COOPTADO (ARG) (ML=10/1)
#2 PRINCE BISHOP (IRE) (ML=6/1)
#10 LE BERNARDIN (ML=12/1)
#7 EMIRATES FLYER (GB) (ML=12/1)


AFRICAN STORY (GB) - This gelding's last race was back on March 29th but I do believe he can run a good one coming off a layoff. I like wagering on this trainer with foreign imports. I like this gelding. Has the uppermost earnings per race in here. Even though he isn't from around here, when a horse has finished in the money at a major foreign racing venue he will usually give a good account of himself soon after shipping. COOPTADO (ARG) - I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this horse's PPs. Almost always in the money. Even though he isn't from around here, when a mount has finished in the money at a big time foreign racing venue he will usually give a good account of himself soon after shipping. PRINCE BISHOP (IRE) - Every now and then I take some time off, when I come back to the track I feel refreshed. I think it's the same with this gelding as he always seems to run well after a layoff. Bin Suroor gets a break on this entrant carrying 12 pounds less than last out. Could make the difference in today's race. This equine tops my list of contenders. Three solid outings leading into this event can prove Moochie here is right. LE BERNARDIN - Believe in this horse. No other viable pace gives this horse a strong chance at the winner's circle. This horse likes to win at different tracks. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. Recent Equibase speed figs show dominant pattern of improvement. EMIRATES FLYER (GB) - This gelding is a gem of consistency, almost always in the top three. This gelding is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of bin Suroor. Even though he isn't from around here, when a racer has hit the board at a major foreign race track he will usually give a good account of himself soon after shipping. Last ran at MEY and finished fifth. Reviewing his PP data, I see he was close at the end, within five of the winner.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SURFER (ML=3/1), #9 FRANKYFOURFINGERS (FR) (ML=6/1),

SURFER - Morning line odds of 3/1 make this racer a pass by my criteria. FRANKYFOURFINGERS (FR) - I don't possess a good vibe about this steed in this affair.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 COOPTADO (ARG) to win if you can get at least 8/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4] Box [2,3] Box [3,10] Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
[2,3,4] with [2,3,4,7,10] with [2,3,4,7,10] Total Cost: $36

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,4] with [2,3,4] with [2,3,4,7,10] with [2,3,4,7,10] Total Cost: $24

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream - Race #1 - Post: 12:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 LOVE MY EMPIRE (ML=6/1)
#3 LEMONSRGOODONGRASS (ML=3/1)


LOVE MY EMPIRE - Jock jumped on this filly's back for the first ride on January 7th. Should be in touch with the equine even better today. This horse's last race was at Gulfstream in a race with a class figure of 84. Dropping significantly in class figure this time out puts her in a solid position in today's race. LEMONSRGOODONGRASS - When Saez and Dickey partner up on equines the return on investment has been fabulous at +152. Taking a trip to a lower class rank; has the class ability to make her presence felt. Saez is back for another event today after getting on board this horse for the first ride on Jan 7th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. PP lines show this thoroughbred with 3 improving speed ratings. Saez should be on a live one in this event. This pony broke from the outside at Gulfstream last time out, racing 1 mile, but is getting a low post position in this race, which should help her chances today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 FAMOUS STING (ML=5/2), #11 QUARLA (ML=7/2), #12 MORE EVERYTHING (ML=6/1),

FAMOUS STING - Would have to get more than the morning line odds of 5/2 to wager on this thoroughbred. QUARLA - You figure that this horse is going to be victorious just because she's always close. Just doesn't win often. MORE EVERYTHING - This filly finished out of the money on Aug 3rd and wasn't near the winner in the last race either.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 LOVE MY EMPIRE to win. Have to have odds of at least 8/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 2:18 PM EASTERN POST

8.0 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $69,000.00 PURSE

#5 WAVELL AVENUE
#3 LOTSA NOODLES
#7 LUNAR SURGE
#6 EVENING SHOW

#5 WAVELL AVENUE is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this O.C. field this afternoon, and comes off back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last three outings. Jockey Irad Ortiz was in her irons for one of those wins, teams with Trainer Chad Brown to send her to the post ... they've hit the board with an impressive 59% of their entries saddled as a team to date, winning at an equally impressive, 30% clip! #3 LOTSA NOODLES, a 12-1 BOMB, has won half of her 10 career starts to date racing at the mile distance on the dirt, and has hit the board in four of her last five outings overall, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Woodbine Harness: Thursday 2/5 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale

DRF HARNESS

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4 TICKET:

2 /10 /1,3,4,5,8 / 2,3,5,6,9 = $25

MEET STATS: 42 - 124 / $239.10 BEST BETS: 5 - 12 / $25.40 SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 11 / $43.50

BEST BET: ONE BADLAND NIGHT (4th)

SPOT PLAY: TAROT (2nd)


Race 1

With so much early speed signed on here – much of it suspect to last the mile – we’ll take a swing for the fences with (7) ONE NITE DANCE. She closed with a nice rush in her penultimate mile but last time got hung first-up in a race with no flow due to a dominant leader who scored easily. This race could set up for her. (4) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN raced last week at Flamboro and chased an unbeatable winner that debuted in a new barn and left from the rail. She could trip out here. (8) JANIE BAY drops into claimers to face much easier but will have plenty of other early speed to contend with if she blasts as expected.

Race 2

(5) TAROT – tonight’s Spot Play – was making a big move in the lane last week when he went funky-gaited briefly requiring him to be snatched up by Rekila. He paced a big third 1/4 on a bad track to get into contention and may well have been on his way to victory had he not started skipping in the lane; top call. (7) RANDOM LIGHTNING trotted a huge debut mile in the same race to fall just short at long odds. He is the main threat. (10) WAITING ON NO ONE took big money at the windows last time but failed to enter contention. He can get a piece of this if A Mac can get him a spot in mid-pack from the outset. (6) PL HOUDINI is getting closer to getting off the schneid but appears to need a perfect trip to do it, which makes him an underlay in here.

Race 3

(2) PINOT GRIGIO is out of a dam that won her racing debut and produced 7 winners from 8 foals that raced. This daughter of Tell All won’t need to improve her speed a great deal to take this group. (7) WARAWEE QUALLY continues to display hanging qualities in the lane despite getting good trips. She’ll win one in spite of herself eventually, but we’ll keep playing against at a short price for now. (4) PUT YOUR BAD ON showed some late life behind a dominant winner; looks ready to pop soon.

Race 4

(2) ONE BADLAND NITE dropped (into claimers) and popped. A repeat at a very short price looks likely as tonight’s BEST BET. (1) PLAY GROUND had trouble keeping up to a dominant winner but still only missed the place by two lengths. She could go better here at a big price. (8) NUCLEAR LIMITS ships in from Flamboro where she has been on a tear. She may have trouble dealing with the choice early, however.

Race 5

(10) KIWI PRES switched barns and last Friday fired off a qualifying win that is certainly good enough to beat these, defeating the classy Windsong Geant in the process. If this one is all systems go he will likely go right down the road. He won’t find an easier spot. (7) STEPHANA DREAM also debuts for a new barn off the claim looking to atone for a poor performance as chalk last week when she broke on the final turn. (4) ELIZA DREAM is another who had issues with gait last week but fits in this class if she minds her manners.

Race 6

(5) NIPPY W HANOVER bottomed out her field after stealing a slow 2nd quarter, but she looks formidable again facing mostly inexperienced foes. We’ll give her the nod here. (4) MAPLELEA uncorked a wicked final 1/4 two back to win going away then missed a week and hung a bit in the lane vs. a perfect-trip winner. She might get a pace setup here that falls right into her wheelhouse and she should be a decent price; the main danger. (3) HAPPY ENDING GAL had a nice debut win but the waters are considerably deeper here. For a minor share only.

Race 7

(6) CAPELO debuts for the Fine barn off the claim and is a good bet to take this in his current form. (9) NEW PATROL is in the best form and condition of his career and will break through for his 2nd win soon. (5) JUST PLAIN LUCK used the choice’s good cover to his advantage and parlayed it into a win. He is sharp and dangerous.

Race 8

(6) STEALTH JETTA won easily as expected last week; no reason why he can’t double up for owner/driver Allard here. (5) SIMPLY CLASS closed a big gap but wasn’t threatening the winner. He would need a perfect trip to beat him here; dicey. (1) WIRE ME CASH is one that can take a lot of air and keep coming if flat, which seems to be a big IF lately.

Race 9

(8) BAD FOX was taken out of his last mile by trainer Waxman for himself; automatic play for us considering his recent tear with new acquisitions. (2) ELECTRIFY got rolling a bit too late to threaten the winner but is sharp and could upset if he gets moving earlier with decent cover here. (7) SEA STAR paced the fastest mile of the night last Thursday, but is likely to face some early heat from the choice here and may have to race from behind which is not his best style; your call.

Race 10

(9) TOMEI SEELSTER was noticeably motoring in the lane while trying to stickhandle through traffic last out. Maybe she fires for better position early here; top call. (4) CAST NO SHADOW was an easy winner in her season debut but that was in a weak group and got no pressure at all throughout. Beware of taking a short price to win. (10) REGAL ROXY fell just short in her first start on the bigger oval and improved her overall speed. She can get a good slice of this. (5) MOREMUNKYBUSINESS ships in from Yonkers with good form but has missed almost a month, so she may need one to show her best. (2) FROSTY DELIGHT continues to rally for minor shares and this race should be no different for her.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Meadowlands: Thursday 2/5 Analysis
By Derick Giwner

DRF HARNESS

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 3 - $25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 7 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

MEET STATS: 84 - 339 / $474.50 BEST BETS: 10 - 25 / $37.00

Best Bet: FLAMING YANKEE (5th)

Spot Play: PINSTRIPE PROMISE (1st)


Race 1

(6) PINSTRIPE PROMISE was on hold much of the stretch before kicking in with a nice sprint when clear midway down the lane. I’d expect this 3-year-old to get a more aggressive steer in his second trip for this barn. (5) RC MARQUEE comes off his best effort in some time and could be ready to take a step forward. (2) RILEY’S DREAM chased a slow half before making a big move in her most recent qualifier. It wasn’t a great effort, but she did show some ability.

Race 2

(7) OPULENT YANKEE should easily make the front in this short field and sit no worse than the pocket; big upset chance. (4) JL CRUZE best the top choice convincingly in the Super Bowl final and deserves to be the favorite. (3) PASSING JETTA is fast enough to play with this bunch but I like her better underneath.

Race 3

(2) WESTERN TSUNAMI wired them in this class last week from an outside post. In a field with few contenders, this nine time winner from 2014 can go back to back. (10) FOX VALLEY TYRESE charged home despite following poor cover and almost got the win. The post hurts again, but I’d expect to see early speed this time. (1) LLC DELIGHT should save ground and be an exotics player.

Race 4

(5) VEGLIATINO has been just missing of late, but you can’t fault the most recent loss after she came home in 27 3/5. Andrew Harris-trained mare will be sitting first or second with a huge shot at the win. (4) DRESS FOR SUCCESS gets away from a tough crowd in the Super Bowl series. (7) BIG VALLEY SPEED certainly looked good last time, but this group is much better than the lackluster bunch he beat up on.

Race 5

(3) FLAMING YANKEE was stuck behind bad cover in an awful outer flow but still trotted home willingly last time. This looks like a prime spot for him to score. (8) LINDY MCDREAMY was used up vying for the lead in his latest race. With a smoother trip he’ll get a nice piece. (6) BERKSHIRE picks up Gingras and could wake up in a hurry. (2) MOST WANTED LINDY comes off a decent effort and hails from a barn that has a 50% in-the-money rate this meet. (1) LEXIS AMIGO can save ground for a minor exotics award.

Race 6

(6) TWO HIP DIP certainly had a scenic trip in the Super Bowl final, moving wide before the quarter and then pulling the pocket later in the mile. It seems the talent is there and maybe new driver Brett Miller will have better success. (3) WALK THE WALK lures David Miller off my top choice. Chris Ryder trainee has a right to keep getting better. (5) PROPULSION came up flat in the Super Bowl final but is definitely better than that effort. (1) DONNIE DARKO seems to be moving in the right direction for Burke.

Race 7

(4) MARTY PARTY dropped to this level and went a pretty big mile in defeat. Classy veteran pacing mare deserves a second chance and drew perfectly for this mini-series final. (6) CAVIART SHELLY comes off an improved effort and could be placed near the lead this week. (3) WEEKEND GETAWAY rode the top one’s cover to victory last time but shouldn’t be faulted for winning. (8) ANTIGUA HANOVER posted a strong mile in the preliminary round.

Race 8

(7) BATTLESHOE TOM caught my eye with a bold move around the turn back on 1-15-15. I’m not so sure he wouldn’t have won that race at 79-1 if he didn’t break. (5) FIRETOWERS STAND returns to the Meadowlands at a reduced level and adds Gingras. (2) UF BETTORS HANOVER also gets class relief and could respond.

Race 9

(7) MARION MAYFLOWER gets to drop into the basement condition and should take charge. (5) KLM EXPRESS tackles a tougher group but one that has enough early speed to set him up from off the pace. (6) DC FLASHBACK wasn’t bad in his first start for this barn; more now? (3) BORN TO FIGHT has early speed and should be flaunting it.

Race 10

(6) PANCAKES just can’t seem to buy the right trip. I’ll roll the dice one final time with Gingras taking over the lines. (8) FREETIME is the uncoupled stablemate of the top choice. She raced well in her first start for this barn. (4) SUMMER SNOW lured Brett Miller off three other horses including my top choice; capable. (1) RHAPSODY ROSE has speed and inside position.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Yonkers: Thursday 2/5 Analysis
By Brewster Smith

DRF HARNESS

MEET STATS: 15 - 84 / $205.50 BEST BETS: 1 - 7 / $6.10

Best Bet: BAGS OF MONEY (7th)

Spot Play: RD IOU (10th)


Race 1

(3) CANTTAKEITWITHYOU faced better last time out, so the drop in class might be what this mare needs to bring her A game to the table. (2) YOU LITTLE RASCAL should do much better from the 2-hole. (5) SHELIKESITHERWAY could land a share of the purse.

Race 2

(1) GRACE SEELSTER was quite sharp in her previous try and now the move to the fence can get her right back into the winner's circle. (2) MY IDEAL was second best last time around and Brennan stays aboard. (4) BITTERSWEET DREAMS was sent down the road and just held on to get the job done last out.

Race 3

(5) TINYS MILLION showed signs of life recently and this pacer is very capable of moving forward against these. (1) LILSHARKSHOOTER moves to the pole position and appears to be a threat from there. (3) BESTNOTLIE HANOVER is a Jersey invader that has some early zip.

Race 4

(6) RED CARPET DUDE put in a nice run last time around. With a repeat effort, this gelding can mow these down. (3) H HALL has tactical speed and figures to contend in this event. (8) DONT FOOL WITH ME moves to the 8-hole but is capable of being right in the mix.

Race 5

(3) ANGEL OFTHE WEST is clearly knocking at the door based on her last two trips to the post; all systems go. (2) ZINDERELLA retains the two slot and has good speed; main danger. (1) TASHIA stayed in the pocket for most of the mile run last out and held the placing; watch out.

Race 6

(2) SUPERBOWL PARTY gets post relief and the good news is Brennan has the assignment; threat at his best. (1) IDEAL CARVER could get involved early and make some noise in the final stretch drive. (5) GIDDY UP DELIGHT was quite sharp in his latest; not out of this.

Race 7

(1) BAGS OF MONEY posted an even finish in his last start. Gelding could boss this group given a perfect trip from the rail. (6) IM THE REAL MAJOR has good speed and could contend with these. (7) ABBEYLARA has hit the board in his last two tries.

Race 8

(7) CLIMATE HANOVER moves down the ladder and figures to get a good stalking position; gets the call. (1) HUSTLEONHOME rallied strongly at 60-1 to grab the place spot last time out. (6) LEXUS ARTIST is a Jersey invader that could have a say against this group.

Race 9

This might be a better spot for (3) ROADWAY to bring home the top prize; Brennan keeps the faith. (5) JUST THAT took the pocket route last time around for the score. (2) COLONIAL ROAD was sharp in his last two starts. That puts this guy right in the mix.

Race 10

(6) RD IOU has put in two game efforts and she seems to be ready for a breakout performance. (4) ALHAMBRA raced evenly in her latest. (2) ALWAYS LOVE ME was a pocket-rocket winner in her most recent outing.

Race 11

(4) GROUNDED moves down in class, receives the four slot and Bartlett has the assignment; the pick. (2) CHERRY BLISS was very game to nail down the place spot last week. (8) CRAZY ON YOU moves to the 8-hole but fits well in here.

Race 12

(1) GODDESSS ROSA has fine speed and the rail slot can help her get back into the winner's circle. (2) COOKING THE BOOKS takes the plunge in class; main danger. (3) CANACO STAR just missed the score in her last trip to the post.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (1st) Full of Mine, 3-1
(6th) Indy Tune, 7-2

Charles Town (5th) Dontbothermenow, 6-1
(8th) Twin Six, 5-1


Delta Downs (2nd) Prince Champagne, 9-2
(3rd) Arctic Production, 4-1


Fair Grounds (5th) Aces High, 3-1
(6th) Joyable, 9-2


Golden Gate Fields (5th) Storm Fashion, 9-2
(7th) Astutely, 8-1

Gulfstream Park (2nd) Oak Bluffs, 4-1
(3rd) Broome Street, 6-1


Oaklawn Park (8th) Book Club, 7-2
(9th) Seans Silverdancer, 3-1

Penn National (2nd) Chasing Twilight, 9-2
(8th) Downhill Dale, 4-1

Santa Anita (4th) Vow Me Over, 3-1
(6th) Guy Code, 7-2


Tampa Bay Downs (4th) Signor Martini, 4-1
(9th) Sweet Paola, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Grand Salami - February

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
2/1 4 22.5 22 UNDER
2/2 3 15.5 25 OVER
2/3 11 60 55 UNDER
2/4 3 16.5 7 -
2/5 9 - - -
2/6 5 - - -
2/7 11 - - -
2/8 8 - - -
2/9 5 - - -
2/10 9 - - -
2/11 3 - - -
2/12 9 - - -
2/13 5 - - -
2/14 10 - - -
2/15 5 - - -
2/16 8 - - -
2/17 7 - - -
2/18 6 - - -
2/19 7 - - -
2/20 7 - - -
2/21 11 - - -
2/22 8 - - -
2/23 2 - - -
2/24 11 - - -
2/25 3 - - -
2/26 9 - - -
2/27 6 - - -
2/28 10 - - -

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL Preview: Red Wings (29-12) at Avalanche (22-18)

Date: February 05, 2015 9:00 PM EDT

The Detroit Red Wings have plenty to be exited about with Jimmy Howard nearing a return, but they've more than held their own without him.

The surging Red Wings try to stay hot against the Colorado Avalanche as these once-bitter rivals square off Thursday night at Pepsi Center.

Things are certainly looking up for Detroit (29-12-9), which expects to have Howard back between the pipes by next Wednesday. Howard, among the league leaders with a 2.11 goals-against average, has been sidelined since suffering a torn groin muscle Jan. 10.

However, the Red Wings have won seven of eight during his absence thanks in large part to an uptick in offense. Detroit has averaged 3.9 goals during that stretch while going 8 for 23 on the power play.

"Our forwards are so good at moving the puck and cycling and making plays out of that," defenseman Brendan Smith told the league's official website. "We're trying to spread teams out a little more and it's been effective with us scoring more goals."

Detroit figures to have fresh legs with four days off since beating the New York Islanders 4-1 on Saturday. Gustav Nyquist scored for the fourth time in six games as the Red Wings went 2 for 4 on the man advantage.

"Obviously it's a good thing to take advantage when you have that opportunity," said Henrik Zetterberg, leading the club with 46 points. "I think we've been up and down. We didn't start great, but I think we've found a way to score some goals and it helps to win games."

The Red Wings are hoping to see their momentum carry over on the road, where they're averaging 2.7 goals compared to 3.2 at home. Detroit plays three straight and nine of its next 11 in opposing arenas.

"For us I think we feel pretty confident on the road," defenseman Niklas Kronwall said. "I think we've played some pretty good hockey. Just got to do it night in and night out. It's pretty much that simple."

The Red Wings have gone 4-0-2 over a six-game stretch against the Avalanche after dropping the last two meetings, including a 2-1 shootout loss Dec. 21. Pavel Datsyuk provided the offense for Detroit while Petr Mrazek started in place of Howard, who was out with a minor lower-body injury.

Datsyuk has six goals and five assists during an eight-game point streak in the series, giving him 43 points in 34 games against Colorado dating to March 2003. The Red Wings are 17-4-4 this season when Datsyuk records at least one point.

The Avalanche (22-18-11) return home looking to win a season best-tying three straight for the second time in under a month after storming back to beat Dallas 3-2 in a shootout Tuesday. Ryan O'Reilly scored 6:12 into the third period and Tyson Barrie added the equalizer with 20 seconds left in regulation.

Max Talbot ended the game by converting his first career shootout attempt, Colorado's 11th of the night.

"It's definitely a great feeling because it's for the extra point, and at the end of the season, these points are going to matter," said Talbot, whose team is in third place in the Western Conference wild-card race. "I think it's a sign that we can win some games sometimes maybe when you don't deserve as much."

Semyon Varlamov made 30 saves, improving to 7-2-2 with a 1.98 GAA in his last 11 appearances. He's 1-4-0 against the Red Wings while posting a 3.58 GAA, his highest mark against any opponent.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kings falling apart on both ends of the ice
Justin Hartling

The Los Angeles Kings are ice-cold, going 1-6 in their past seven games. In those contests, the Kings are scoring nearly a goal less and allowing a goal more during that span than their season average.

LA will travel to meet the Florida Panthers Thursday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Win Total Update - February

The first-half of the 2014-15 NBA regular season is in the books with most teams playing at least 45 games.

Before the marathon of the 82-game regular season began, the LVH SuperBook at the Westgate Las Vegas Resort released NBA Win Totals for all 30 teams.

We checked in on teams after the 1st quarter (20 games) and took notice that the Western Conference was dominating with nine teams on pace to go 'over' their win total expectations set by the oddsmakers. Since then, a lot has changed in the West and the East.

The team taking the league by storm right now is Atlanta, who put together a perfect 17-0 mark this month. The Hawks were on pace to bust their win total of 40.5 heading into January, but Atlanta is now several wins away from cashing 'over' tickets.

Golden State also dominated in January with a 12-3 record to own the best winning percentage in the league at .837. The Warriors still have work to do to finish 'over' their win total of 50.5, but Steve Kerr's team is well on its way there.

Three clubs are stuck in the single-digit win category towards the end of January, as bettors who took the 'under' in the Knicks, Timberwolves and 76ers are looking great. The Nets and Lakers each put together a horrible month to pretty much lock up 'under' winners.

Last season, Phoenix was the first team to earn a result on its win total. This year's version of the Suns is Milwaukee, who have gone 25-22 through Jan. 31, 2015. The win total on the Bucks was listed at 24.5 victories, which means they cashed tickets on Saturday night with their home win over Portland.

Listed below are all of the teams, their win totals, record and projection, which is based on current win percentage.


2014-15 NBA Win Totals (**Records as of 1/31/15**)

Team Win Total Current Record Record on 12/31/14
Atlanta Hawks 40.5 40-8 23-8
Boston Celtics 26.5 16-29 11-18
Brooklyn Nets 41.5 18-28 15-16
Charlotte Hornets 45.5 20-27 10-23
Chicago Bulls 55.5 30-19 22-10
Cleveland Cavaliers 58.5 29-20 18-14
Dallas Mavericks 49.5 32-17 23-10
Denver Nuggets 40.5 19-29 13-19
Detroit Pistons 36.5 18-30 8-23
Golden State Warriors 50.5 37-8 25-5
Houston Rockets 49.5 33-15 22-9
Indiana Pacers 32.5 17-32 12-21
Los Angeles Clippers 55.5 33-15 22-11
Los Angeles Lakers 31.5 13-34 10-22
Memphis Grizzlies 48.5 35-12 23-8
Miami Heat 43.5 20-26 14-19
Milwaukee Bucks 24.5 25-22 17-16
Minnesota Timberwolves 25.5 8-39 5-25
New Orleans Pelicans 41.5 25-22 16-16
New York Knicks 40.5 9-38 5-29
Oklahoma City Thunder 57.5 23-24 16-17
Orlando Magic 28.5 15-35 13-22
Philadelphia 76ers 15.5 10-38 4-26
Phoenix Suns 42.5 28-21 18-16
Portland Trail Blazers 48.5 32-16 26-7
Sacramento Kings 30.5 17-29 13-19
San Antonio Spurs 56.5 30-18 20-14
Toronto Raptors 49.5 33-15 24-8
Utah Jazz 25.5 17-30 11-21
Washington Wizards 49.5 31-17 22-9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Game of the Day: Clippers at Cavaliers

Los Angeles Clippers at Cleveland Cavaliers (-4.5, 207)

Cleveland continues to push toward team history and looks to maintain its mastery of the Western Conference when it hosts the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday. The Cavaliers' 11-game winning streak is two shy of the franchise record and they own a seven-game run against the West, including a 126-121 win at the Clippers on Jan. 16. Kyrie Irving had 37 points to lead the way for Cleveland, which seeks the season series sweep against a team it has owned at home, winning 11 of the last 12 matchups.

Los Angeles is 2-2 thus far on a season-high eight-game road trip and has likely needed its last two days off to get past a miserable collapse at Brooklyn on Monday. The Clippers led the Nets by nine points with less than two minutes remaining before fading down the stretch and falling on a jumper in the closing seconds to sink to 5-4 on the road against the East. DeAndre Jordan scored 22 points and grabbed 20 rebounds but was the primary culprit in a woeful 8-of-25 showing from the foul line by Los Angeles, going 2-of-12 at the stripe.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The line opened at CLE -5 before quickly moving to -4.5. The total opened at 207,

INJURY REPORT: Clippers - G J.J. Reddick (Out-Back) Cavaliers - N/A

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "No one is really talking about the Clippers right now, which might be the best thing for them. I have them as the top threat to Golden State in the Western Conference. With Atlanta finally losing, the Cavs now have the league's longest win streak. In my mind, they're still the team to beat in the East come playoff time." - Bryan Powers

ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (33-16 SU, 20-29 ATS, 21-25-3 O/U): Los Angeles' wasted chances at the line was a big reason it failed to hang on at Brooklyn, while the loss of J.J. Redick to back spasms did not help. The veteran, who is enjoying his finest shooting season of a nine-year career, lasted just four minutes before succumbing to the pain that has been bothering him for several days and will not return "until he's right," according to head coach Doc Rivers. Jamal Crawford is next on the team in made 3-pointers but has hit only 31.1 percent since the start of December.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (30-20 SU, 22-28 ATS, 16-33-1 O/U): While LeBron James' scoring average (26.2) is on pace to be his lowest since his rookie campaign, the superstar has been handing out assists at his best rate since the last season of his previous stint with Cleveland in 2009-10 - when he averaged a career-high 8.6 - and his ability to distribute has been vital. James had 11 assists in the 97-84 win over Philadelphia on Monday, his ninth double-digit effort of the season, as the Cavaliers improved to 12-1 in games in which James has at least nine helpers. The effort against the 76ers left James needing 101 assists to catch Mark Price for the all-time franchise lead and 50 to tie former Chicago Bulls great Scottie Pippen for the most in NBA history by a forward.

TRENDS:

*Clippers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.
*Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
*Under is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
*Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 home games.

CONSENSUS: 53.39 percent are backing LAC +4.5, with 61.23 percent on the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

'Wizards Stung Again'

Things are not going well for John Wall and the Washington Wizards. Handed a 105-96 loss in Atlanta last night the Wizards are hitting the hardwood losers of four straight and six of eight with a money-burning 0-8 ATS mark over the span. Wizards now head to Charlotte to face a team that stung them 92-88 this past Monday in the nations capital. Tough spot for Wizards as they're 2-7 ATS last nine vs Hornets, have a 2-8 ATS skid vs the conference this campaign, are just 9-14-1 ATS on the road this year including 3-8-1 ATS when in an underdog roll and a cash draining 1-4 ATS mark this year as road underdogs without rest. Hornets on a 10-4 ATS stretch, 9-3 ATS run playing with two days rest the betting numbers point towards a 'Play-On' Charlotte.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

2015 PGA Preview
By Dan Daly

After the Patriots pulled out an unbelievable win in the Super Bowl on Sunday, I ask Bill Belichick what he thought of the game and he simply said, "We're on to Golf"

So, welcome back to the Weekly Waggle 2015 edition.

I will be with you for the next 30 weeks breaking down everything relevant and more likely irrelevant on and off the course on the PGA Tour.

The 2015 PGA Tour season may have officially started back in September but let’s be honest; was anyone really paying attention until football season was over? I didn’t think so. As far as I’m concerned the 2015 PGA Tour season doesn’t officially kickoff until the week following the Super Bowl. So here are my 18 guaranteed predictions for the “official” 2015 PGA Tour season:

18. Jim Furyk will blow at least one golf tournament this year. Actually…make that two. With zero wins. Ok, ok, so I copied and pasted that one from last year (and the year before that for that matter) but as the great Roy MacAvoy once said, “You ride her ‘til she bucks you…or don't ride at all.”

17. Bubba Watson took his douchebag level to an all-time high in the fall of 2014. First he announced to the world that “The Biebs” is his favorite singer, then he got his wife’s name tattooed on his ring finger before topping it off with some horrible “Bubba Claus” music video. But Bubba wasn’t done there. He tried to raise the bar in 2015 last week with his Brandi Chastain impression at a Putt-Putt of all places. Dude, you won two Green Jackets, act like you’ve been there. Yet somehow, someway Bubba will do something in 2015 that will surpass even those things on the d-bag scale. Oh, and he won’t contend in any majors and will probably win two mediocre Tour events. In case you can’t tell Bubba has officially come in at number one on my least likable athletes in all of sports.

16. Rickie Fowler will FINALLY win another tournament on tour this year, in fact, he will win a major this year. Why? Not because of his swing changes with Butch Harmon, or his incredible run with his putter; but because he will finally dress a little more normal, shave his porn-stache, turn his hat around the right way and most importantly publically break up with his BFF Bubba after the aforementioned incidents leave him no choice.

15. Dustin Johnson will get bored with his comeback attempt on the PGA Tour having to stay clean and sober and by April will retire from professional golf, move to Columbia with his wife Paulina and their kid and make money charging people to see Paulina’s Instagram pictures.

14. Contrary to popular belief, Rory McIllroy will not win the “Rory Slam”, the Grand Slam or pass Jack and Tiger in career majors in 2015 to become the greatest golfer that ever lived. In fact, despite having by far the best odds of anyone to win at least one major in 2015 (8/11), Rory will win exactly Zero majors in 2015. But he will continue to “date” incredibly hot women between the ages of 21-27 and will win three PGA tournaments this year…just not the ones that really matter.

13. Patrick Reed will finish the 2015 PGA tour season having STILL never cracked the top 5 World Rankings, yet will go all Rickie Henderson on us after winning some spare tournament like the Travelers Championship and drop the “Today I am the greatest of all time" line on David Feherty leaving David, and all 489 people watching The Travelers tournament speechless…And he will genuinely believe it.

12. Miguel Angel Jimenez will break every record ever set on the Senior PGA Tour this year and will actually be the greatest of all time. Both on and off the course.

11. Tiger Woods has gone from having arguable the greatest short game in the history of golf to arguably the worst. I’ve never seen anything like it actually. However he will figure it out sooner than later and once he does he will win a Major in 2015, get engaged to Lindsey Vonn, win three other non-majors, chase Dan Jenkins out of a press conference with a 9-iron, and keep a plastic surgeon on permanent retainer.

10. Henrick Stenson/Justin Rose/Jason Day/Matt Kuchar/Jimmy Walker/Martin Kaymer – Will all continue to be very good golfers that will combine to win seven tournaments this year (no majors) between them but do absolutely nothing exciting in the process on or off the course. I mean, unless you consider Matt Kuchar playing mixed doubles with his wife exciting?

9. Sergio Garcia will win the PLAYERS Championship and in a complete state of excitement accidentally admit to punching Tiger Woods in the face and thus the real reason Tiger lost his tooth back in January.

8. Adam Scott will file for divorce citing, ‘having sex with only one beautiful woman at a time is just not acceptable for me.’ He will then immediately pull out the Maxim top 100 issue and start checking them off two to three at a time.

7. FOX will absolutely destroy the US Open coverage. Greg Norman and Joe Buck will make all of you that hated on Johnny Miller beg for him back by Thursday afternoon.

6. Phil Mickelson will continue to be the greatest father and husband this country has ever seen. As a result of focusing ‘all of his time and energy on his family’ he will manage to barely make two of the four cuts in the majors, not finish a single tournament in the top 10 and drop out of the top 30 players in the world. But will continue to drink coffee every morning from his ‘World’s Greatest Dad’ mug.

5. Jordan Spieth will have his break out season by winning a Major, contending in two others and adding three other tournament wins to go with it and claim the Player of the Year award on the PGA Tour. However as an avid Cowboys fan he will get a favorable ruling one week to help him win only to get an equally bad ruling the next week that will cost him a tournament.

4. Masters – Rory will lead through 36 before having an epic Saturday afternoon meltdown and follow that up with a backdoor top-10 on Sunday. Bubba will not be invited to defend because the folks at ANGC don’t take kindly to shirtless men with tattoos on their fingers; and Mickelson’s arthritis will cause him to WD halfway through the second round well above the cut line.

Your winner? Jordan Spieth. With Bubba out of the way this year Jordan will finish what he started last year at Augusta.

3. US Open – Tiger will show signs of getting it together and will hang around but never really contend. Martin Kaymer will play the same golf course as everyone else this year and finish near the middle of the pack. Phil’s career grand slam chances will be an afterthought by Friday and Rory will be right there come Sunday but won’t be able to close it out.

Your winner at Chambers Bay this year? Rickie Fowler. Riding a hot putter and unbelievable iron play Rickie will finally get his second win and first major on the PGA Tour.

2. British Open – The last time the Open Championship was played at St. Andrews Tiger Woods was in the middle of sex therapy and withdrawals. This go around Tiger will be in the middle of his worst slump of his career. But even the great Jack Nicklaus had some pretty brutal stretches late in his career. With six months to get his short game together and returning to his favorite golf course on the planet Tiger will put it all together at least one more time for 72 holes and get major number 15. And if he doesn’t, and he can’t win at St. Andrew’s Tiger is officially done.

1. PGA Championship – Let’s just get right to it. Your winner? Dustin Johnson. Wait, what? Didn’t you just say he would retire from the PGA Tour and move to Columbia? As a matter of fact I did. HOWEVER…I have full faith that his father-in-law will send John Goodman down to clean him up and get him back on his feet just in time to win the PGA Championship at Whistling Straits and totally redeem himself from the screw job he got the last time he should have won a PGA there. At which point he will trump all previous winners by filling the Wannamaker to the brim with Blow and posting a picture of him and Paulina naked on a beach somewhere with the trophy between them and the Hashtag #Itsbeenrealbitches #Imout

19th Hole – Because quite frankly that’s where he is most comfortable…John Patrick Daly will win an official PGA Tour event in 2015. I’m going to get this right one year damnit!