Thursday - 1st Inning - 54-30 +$1179.50 (23.59u)

[lazzonya]

cincinnati @ houston (8:05ET) - YES - $35.00/$38.50 (+110)

a run is scored in the 1st inning of cincy games 51.59% of the time
reds score a run in the 1st inning in 26.11% of those
reds allow a run in the 1st inning in 31.85% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of houston games 62.18% of the time
stros score a run in the 1st inning in 33.97% of those
stros allow a run in the 1st inning in 41.67% of those

in cuento's 29 starts, a run has been scored 14 times - he's allowed 9 (31.03%)
in oswalt's 29 starts, a run has been scored 19 times - he's allowed 10 (34.48%)

cuento has allowed 6 runs in 15 road starts (40.00%)
oswalt has allowed 5 runs in 15 home starts (33.33%)

CIN's 1-4 are 11 for 44 off oswalt (.250)
HOU's 1-4 are 11 for 24 off cuento (.458)


current league averages are 51.84%, 30.80%, & 30.78%

leans:

san diego @ los angeles - YES (+110)


Current Leaders/Trends:

astros - 62.18% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
giants - 44.59% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
mets - score a run in the 1st inning 45.22% of games
astros - allow a run in the 1st inning 41.67% of games
a's - score a run in the 1st innning 24.20% of games
giants - allow a run in the 1st inning 22.93% of games

YTD:

54-30 +$1179.50 (23.59 units)

Current Streak:

4-0 +$158.50
YTD ROI: 21.21%

a few asked for my breakdown:

$35 plays - 17/8 - 68.00%
$50 plays - 24/14 - 63.16%
$75 plays - 8/6 - 57.14%
$100 plays - 4/2 - 66.67%
$125 plays - 1/0 - 100.00%
$150 plays - 0/0 - N/A

 

[Rightbyu]

thanks ! good job.
By the way, how u determine which play are 35, 50, 100 or more.......?

 

[lazzonya]

thanks ! good job.
By the way, how u determine which play are 35, 50, 100 or more.......?

after i run all the numbers, the results give me a level of 'confidence'. i then use that to pick a wager level.

i rarely go big on large dogs (like today) because i have no balls. i should, though, as i have hit a lot of them this season. i seem to lose more on favorites when i play them. go figure.

peace

lazzonya

 

[chrishansen]

lazz you have some great info and picks, nice job my friend

i used to always take a no run 1st inning bet here and there and almost always lost

yesterday just for the hell of it i took yes on every game except cubs and rays risking 25 on every play

it amazes me that looking thru the box scores here and there that i would say 65-70 % of the time they scor in the 1st inning

im took yes on every bet 2day again just for fun, cant take a big loss i wouldnt think

2-0 so far 2day

gonna keep an eye on this next year

 

[lazzonya]

lazz you have some great info and picks, nice job my friend

i used to always take a no run 1st inning bet here and there and almost always lost

yesterday just for the hell of it i took yes on every game except cubs and rays risking 25 on every play

it amazes me that looking thru the box scores here and there that i would say 65-70 % of the time they scor in the 1st inning

im took yes on every bet 2day again just for fun, cant take a big loss i wouldnt think

2-0 so far 2day

gonna keep an eye on this next year

some others may need to verify this, but i believe that the YES has a history of hitting about 53% or so. the figure i show of 51.84% is this years number.

peace

lazzonya

 

[chrishansen]

going back to sept 14

record on over vs under 1st inning
13-4
5-5
5-10
10-5
8-4
10-5
7-8
9-7
5-4
9-7
9-6

now i understand the juice will be going both ways from plus to minus depending the team, but it just seems that on average there are more games with a run... 70 % may be a little high but it justs seems every time i chk the box scores i see runs more times than not

anyway keep up the winners, that is an impressive record

 

[joe361]

lazz: is this the first year you played this system?

 

[FearTheRaven]

thanks for all these damn winners

 

[cover2win]

Lazz you are the real deal!! Nice work.

 

[LockStock2SB]

Learned my lesson not to bet against you yesterday. Nice cash today. Keep 'em coming

 

[MesaChaser]

Thanks again man. Amazing.

 

[sdf]

thanks man..appreciate it

 

[BOOTZY]

Thanks Lazz To Bad The Season Is Almost Over Your Info Is The Best On The Baseball Forum

 

[yanni_gogolak]

thanks again. (actually got it at +125!)