Thursday - 1st Inning - 33-19 +$831.00 (16.62u)

[lazzonya]

arizona @ colorado (3:05ET) - NO - $50.00/$50.00

a run is scored in the 1st inning of arizona games 48.33% of the time
dbacks score a run in the 1st inning in 30.83% of those
dbacks allow a run in the 1st inning in 25.83% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of colorado games 54.92% of the time
rockies score a run in the 1st inning in 30.33% of those
rockies allow a run in the 1st inning in 34.43% of those

in haren's 24 starts, a run has been scored 14 times - he's allowed 5 (20.83%)
in rusch's 7 starts, a run has been scored 4 times - he's allowed 1 (14.29%)

haren has allowed 3 runs in 11 road starts (27.27%)
rusch has allowed 0 runs in 3 home starts (00.00%)

not too keen on playing a NO at coors field, but i have to follow the numbers.

current league averages are 51.16%, 30.48%, & 30.50%

leans:

new york @ washington - 7:10 PM - YES (EV)


Current Leaders/Trends:

rangers - 64.46% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
blue jays - 39.34% of their games have a run scored in the 1st inning
rangers - score a run in the 1st inning 44.63% of games
orioles - allow a run in the 1st inning 41.18% of games
reds - score a run in the 1st innning 23.97% of games
blue jays - allow a run in the 1st inning 22.95% of games

YTD:

33-19 +$831.00 (16.62 units)

Current Streak:

0-1 -$60.00

ROI: 21.45%

 

[LouHoltz]

I know its -180 but can you really see a run coming from San Diego and Brew Crew? Just want to hear your thoughts on this?

 

[lazzonya]

I know its -180 but can you really see a run coming from San Diego and Brew Crew? Just want to hear your thoughts on this?

here are the #'s:

a run is scored in the 1st inning of milwaukee games 56.20% of the time
brewers score a run in the 1st inning in 32.23% of those
brewers allow a run in the 1st inning in 33.06% of those

a run is scored in the 1st inning of san diego games 51.24% of the time
padres score a run in the 1st inning in 28.10% of those
padres allow a run in the 1st inning in 34.71% of those

in sheets' 23 starts, a run has been scored 9 times - he's allowed 5 (21.74%)
in peavy's 20 starts, a run has been scored 10 times - he's allowed 6 (30.00%)

sheets has allowed 5 runs in 14 road starts (35.71%)
peavy has allowed 1 run in 10 home starts (10.00%)

personally, i never lay above -130. peavy's overall numbers are average (home is lights out). sheets has good overall numbers, but he has allowed all his 1st inning runs on the road (at a high %). my fuzzy math actually assigns small value to the YES on this game. nowhere near a play though.

also, the brewers have the 6th highest 1st inning % in baseball.

bookmaker has it at -155 FYI.

peace

lazzonya

 

[LouHoltz]

Thanks alot lazzonya

 

[VenomousSanction]

GL Lazz

 

[lazzonya]

GL Lazz

thanks.

yesterday sucked. i hate losing a NO bet on a game that goes 4-0 final.

onward....

 

[VenomousSanction]

for real!!! kinda bullshit but...

BOL today mang

 

[Brotherwo]

I don't take No Run 1st bets when it comes to the Rockies. They have a knack at scoring runs in the 1st. And Rusch can't be completely trusted even with his previous solid home starts

However, there is Haren so the story changes a bit

Anyways I'll sit this one out but good luck with your play:toast:

 

[SlashednThrashed]

On it

GLuck lets cash...

 

[TakingTheBookiesMoney]

Winner Winner Chicken Dinner

 

[Brotherwo]

nice hit! congrats

 

[lazzonya]

no one reached second base. that's how we like it.

peace

lazzonya

 

[geeze]

Very nice play.

Thank you, Lazz.

 

[ticktock00]

Thanks Lazz...