Thursday - 1st Inning - 12-10 -1.27 units

[lazzonya]

New York Mets @ Pittsburgh - YES (-115) - 12:35ET - 1 Unit

bookmaker

Mets
43.8% scored / 39.6% allowed / 31.8% scored road / 50.0% allowed road
Pirates
32.7% scored / 36.7% allowed / 40.0% scored home / 20.0% allowed home

Pelfrey
3 allowed in 8 starts / 2 of 3 on the road
Ohlendorf
3 allowed in 9 starts / 1 of 5 at home

Mets' 1-4 hitters 4-5 (.800) off Ohlendorf
Pirates' 1-4 hitters 3-9 (.333) off Pelfrey

my calculated line is -128/-102

more to follow.............

peace

lazzonya

Season:

12-10 -1.27 units

1 unit - 8-5 +2.63u
2 unit - 4-4 -0.90u
3 unit - 0-1 -3.00u
4 unit - 0-0 +0.00u

YES - 7-2 +3.99u
NO - 5-8 -5.26u

 

[lazzonya]

Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto - YES (-115) - 12:37ET - 1 Unit

bookmaker

Angels
22.9% scored / 41.7% allowed / 22.7% scored road / 54.5% allowed road
Jays
38.5% scored / 36.5% allowed / 29.6% scored home / 40.7% allowed home

Lackey
1 allowed in 2 starts / 1 of 1 on the road
Tallet
4 allowed in 9 starts / 3 of 4 at home

Angels' 1-4 hitters 3-11 (.273) off Tallet
Jays' 1-4 hitters 24-89 (.270) off Lackey

my calculated line is -126/-104

 

[rnaude241]

GL... Laz

 

[lazzonya]

Cleveland @ Minnesota - NO (+110) - 1:05ET - 2 Units

bookmaker

Indians
21.2% scored / 26.9% allowed / 11.5% scored road / 23.1% allowed road
Twins
31.4% scored / 19.6% allowed / 37.9% scored home / 17.2% allowed home

Carmona
3 allowed in 11 starts / 2 of 6 on the road
Baker
2 allowed in 8 starts / 1 of 5 at home

Indians' 1-4 hitters 12-39 (.308) off Baker
Twins' 1-4 hitters 11-42 (.262) off Carmona

my calculated line is -110/-120

 

[rnaude241]

you need the BUCS to score LAZ

 

[parlayallday]

lead off man on so good chance.

 

[parlayallday]

1st and 3rd no out you got it!

 

[rnaude241]

nice calls on LA and PITT

 

[parlayallday]

good job laz. your numbers are coming around fast

 

[rnaude241]

Cleveland @ Minnesota - NO (+110) - 1:05ET - 2 Units

bookmaker

Indians
21.2% scored / 26.9% allowed / 11.5% scored road / 23.1% allowed road
Twins
31.4% scored / 19.6% allowed / 37.9% scored home / 17.2% allowed home

Carmona
3 allowed in 11 starts / 2 of 6 on the road
Baker
2 allowed in 8 starts / 1 of 5 at home

Indians' 1-4 hitters 12-39 (.308) off Baker
Twins' 1-4 hitters 11-42 (.262) off Carmona

my calculated line is -110/-120

I'm on this one with you. Hope you go 3 for 3!

 

[ScreaminPain]

Nice work..Lazz...

I use very similar data, but I'm using 2008 data for both pitcher and team. Do you know of a site that provides the data that can be brought into Excel?

 

[rnaude241]

UGH twins have 2 on with no outs.... not looking good. Carmona get's emotional when he pitches, he's able to lose his composure at any time.

 

[lazzonya]

at least the twins game followed the pattern of the data.

twins score well at home and carmona is pretty average.

should have 1 more by 4:30

 

[lazzonya]

Colorado @ Houston - YES (-110) - 8:05ET - 1 Unit

bookmaker

Rockies
22.5% scored / 36.7% allowed / 19.2% scored road / 30.8% allowed road
Astros
38.8% scored / 32.7% allowed / 33.3% scored home / 129.2% allowed home

Hammel
4 allowed in 6 starts / 1 of 2 on the road
Rodriguez
4 allowed in 11 starts / 1 of 5 at home

Rockies' 1-4 hitters 19-54 (.352) off Rodriguez
Astros' 1-4 hitters 8-21 (.381) off Hammel

my calculated line is -128/-102

 

[rnaude241]

I took no score in 1st for 1 unit in Royals @ Rays

 

[rnaude241]

Finally got 1!!!!!!!!!!!!