Woodbine Harness: Thursday 12/1 Analysis
By Garnet Barnsdale
DRF
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 7,8,9/1,3,5/1,2,8/6/2,6,7 = $16.20
EARLY PICK 4: 6/2,6,7/1,2,6,9/1,5,9 = $36
LATE PICK 4: 1,5,9/4,6,10/4,6,8/2,5
MEET STATS: 32 - 125 / $188.60 BEST BETS: 7 - 12 / $22.30
SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 12 / $9.50
Best Bet: MR MATCH ON BEACH (4th)
Spot Play: ROCKABELLA (10th)
Race 1
(8) MONOPOLY had some trot in the lane last week and he would have been a clear second had he found some room. I'll give him the nod here thinking Jamieson rolls him early. (9) DEVILS ADVOCATE has been racing well for Vanderkemp when she has stayed flat; using. (5) DAYLINER wasn't far off in the Autumn series now she gets a driver switch here. She is another that can win this with the right trip. (7) MAJESTIC MISTRESS is yet another possibility in a Pick 5 “spread” race.
Race 2
(5) KLOOF STREET showed promise in her debut in the summer and comes into her second start sporting two decent qualifiers. This isn't the toughest spot; top call. (3) KIMBERLEYS BABY is another that resumes from a spell showing good late speed in her two qualifiers. Again, this isn't the toughest race to resume a career in. (1) VOW TO WOW raced decently in her Woodbine debut. She isn't out of this and she could get a better trip here. (4) STYLE SNAPSHOT has won three of her last five out of town and although she will need more speed here, her consistency should be respected.
Race 3
(8) UNITED BI comes up tagged here for Henry so expect an all-out effort, especially if there is a claim entered. (2) TYMAL WIZARD comes off a powerful first-up win at Flamboro and these aren't that much tougher; musing. (1) ONE TOO MANY is obviously one of the best in here, but she comes up tagged after missing 3 1/2 weeks of action; your call. (9) LMC MASS OAK should go better here in a claimer and he isn't out of this despite his post.
Race 4
(6) MR MATCH ON BEACH had by far his best race ever last week, now he returns to a 7-day cycle and picks up Henry. I'll single him expecting an aggressive steer. (7) HUGHGETTHECREDIT looks next best but he has trouble finishing off a mile. (4) SEDONA SEELSTER can take another share off a following trip. (10) CASIMIR PILOT is worth a look for the exotics at a price here.
Race 5
(7) CURATOR should have lots of early speed to chase here and he could blow by them all late. (2) CALGARY SEELSTER isn't the soundest horse on the track, but he does get brave on the lead and has to be considered for multi-race bets. (6) CRANKIN IT UP should go better in his second start over the track; using. (8) BEIBER HANOVER raced much better last time after being heavily-bet early in the wagering cycle. Perhaps the tote can provide some clues with this one.
Race 6
(6) FREE WILLY HANOVER had a sharp qualifier at the Meadowlands, but that was close to a month ago now. Obviously, if he brings anything close to that race, he jogs here, but I would caution taking a low price in the win pool. (1) PERFECT LOVER hasn't missed the board racing out of town vs. lesser. He is worth inclusion on Pick 4 tickets here. (2) MISTER BLUES should go forward off an even debut effort here. (9) IGOCRAZY WITHOUT U has gained ground in the stretch the past two starts and she can sneak into the exotics at a price here.
Race 7
(8) EMPTYTHETILL was sold right after his most recent start and he goes for Auciello here. I would expect McNair to have him rolling early. (1) HOOTER SHOOTER moves up off a sharp win and he has some upside. (5) BUGATTI raced well in the Autumn series and he is another to consider for Pick 4 bets. (4) TOY COP can take a share moving up off his maiden win.
Race 8
(6) MR MACH JIMMY goes first off the claim for Cullen here after a good second-place finish when leaving from the 10-hole. He should be tough in here. (4) JUST A THOUGHT continues to close well and he should be out closer to the front this time leaving from a better post; using, (10) IMSPORTY comes off a sharp win and the 10-hole shouldn't matter much considering where he is normally placed early. He can win this if there is a decent flow. (3) EAST END comes up tagged off a non-winners of two conditioned win which maybe isn't the best sign.
Race 9
(4) ABOUT A BOY finished quickly in both November starts. He can beat these if he is put into the race earlier. (8) EAS IDEAL gets the stable's #1 driver here; beware. (6) BADSTORMANYPORT had no punch in his return race. Maybe he needed that start. (2) SOUTHWIND SAVAGE continues to pile up losses while taking smaller shares. Expect more of the same here.
Race 10
(2) ROCKABELLA won last time he raced this low and has some darkened form racing against better. I'm hoping for a price here based on his most recent chart lines. (5) HES A SENSATION left as hard as he possibly could last week when dropped to the bottom, but the speed mission was aborted when three others had the same plan. He fits well here. (7) MAC RAIDER has won here many times in the past and is sure to be sent hard early by Davis Jr.; using. (9) HIDDEN POTENTIAL often gets brutal trips but he does figure at this level and he can make the ticket if he doesn't get hung out to dry. (6) REAL KID popped and stopped five days ago. He could last longer this time in his second start over the Woodbine oval.
