Thursday 11/30/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[Pesos]

NBA Long Sheet

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PHILADELPHIA (12 _8) at BOSTON (18 - 4) - 11/30/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (14 - 7) at ATLANTA (4 - 16) - 11/30/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (3 - 16) at DENVER (11 - 9) - 11/30/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 264-323 ATS (-91.3 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CHICAGO is 155-120 ATS (+23.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (10 - 9) at PORTLAND (13 _8) - 11/30/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 51-75 ATS (-31.5 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 257-313 ATS (-87.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (10 - 11) at LA CLIPPERS (8 - 11) - 11/30/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-6 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Pesos]

Game of the Night – Milwaukee (10-9 SU, 8-9-2 ATS at Portland (13-8 SU, 8-11-2 ATS)

These clubs battled in the first week of the season from the BMO Harris Bradley Center and it looked like Portland was going to remain undefeated at 3-0. The Trail Blazers led the Bucks 110-109 late in the fourth quarter and they had possession. Then, Bucks All-Star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo took over the game with a steal and game-winning dunk and Milwaukee snuck out with a 113-110 victory as a three-point home favorite.

Fast forward to Thursday’s rematch in Portland and the oddsmakers have installed the Trail Blazers as three-point home favorites.

Portland enters this game with momentum again, winners in three straight and seven of its last nine games. The club just finished off a 4-1 road trip and the first game back at home is never an easy matchup but the Blazers have been off since Monday.

If you haven’t followed the Trail Blazers this season, then you’re probably not aware that they’ve become much better defensively. The unit is ranked first in field goal defense (43.3%) and third in scoring defense (98.8 PPG). Last season, they allowed 109 PPG which was ranked 25[SUP]th[/SUP] in the league.

While the defense has improved, Portland has taken a step back this season. It’s averaging 103.2 PPG compared to 107.6 PPG and that production has led to a league-best 15-6 ‘under’ mark. The club is expected to get forward Al-Farouq Aminu back in the lineup tonight after missing 13 games and while he’s not well known to many, he can spread the floor and take the pressure off the talented backcourt of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum.

The Bucks will counter the Blazers top pair tonight with point guard Eric Bledsoe, who they acquired via trade from the Suns in early November. Since he’s been in the lineup, Milwaukee has gone 6-3 and that includes a 112-87 win at Sacramento on Tuesday.

Even with Bledsoe, the Bucks have been a tough team to figure out and their 5-5 record (5-4-1 ATS) on the road sums that statement up. Including the win over Portland, the Bucks have gone 6-3 versus the West this season.

The Trail Blazers have gone 7-4 at the Moda Center this season but they’ve won their last three games while holding opponents to 88.6 PPG. The ‘under’ has gone 9-2 at home this season. Tonight’s total opened 200 ½ and was listed as high as 203 this morning. The low side is on a 5-2 run in this series and that includes the last three games between the pair played in Portland.

Tip-off is slated for 10:05 p.m. ET and NBATV will provide national coverage.

Along with this matchup, we have four other games slated in the NBA on Thursday.

Philadelphia (11-8 SU, 14-5 ATS) at Boston (18-4 SU, 17-4-1 ATS)

This had potential to be a great game but the 76ers are expected to give center Joel Embiid the night off with the team facing a back-to-back spot. Last night, Philadelphia defeated Washington 118-113 but failed to cover as a seven-point home favorite. The win came two days after the 76ers were blasted by 22 points (113-91) at home on Monday to the Cavaliers. This will be the second game this season for Philadelphia on zero days rest and the first outcome was a 128-94 blowout loss at Toronto and Embiid didn’t suit up in the loss.

Since winning 16 straight, the Celtics have gone 2-2 both SU and ATS which includes a 118-108 home loss to the Pistons on Monday. Despite the setback, Boston has gone 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS at TD Garden this season. The Celtics defeated the 76ers 102-92 on Oct. 20 as three-point road underdogs and that win improved their record to 12-1 in the last 13 meetings.

It’s hard to make a case for the 76ers without Embiid and Philadelphia hasn’t been great against opponents above .500 (5-7) this season. Also, Boston is 4-0 versus teams in the Atlantic Division while Philadelphia remains winless (0-2). NBATV will provide national coverage of this game at 7:35 p.m. ET.

Cleveland (14-7 SU, 8-12-1 ATS) at Atlanta (4-16 SU, 8-11-1 ATS)

The Cavaliers opened as 7 ½-point road favorites in this matchup and I thought the line would be a tad higher based on their form and the clear-cut edge in talent they have over the Hawks. Cleveland has won nine straight (5-4 ATS) and five of those wins came on the road.

Atlanta has four wins on the season and it averaged 119 PPG in those victories which tells you that it can’t beat anybody unless it shoots lights out. Ironically, one of those victories for the Hawks came in a 117-115 result at Cleveland on Nov. 5 as 11 ½-point road underdogs. Can the Hawks capture lightning in a bottle again? Including the recent win, Atlanta is 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five meetings against Cleveland while the ‘over’ has gone 5-0.

Even though the Cavs have been much better defensively (101 PPG) during their winning streak, the Hawks own the best ‘over’ mark (7-2) at home this season and I would expect a hot pace in this spot.

Chicago (3-16 SU, 8-10-1 ATS) at Denver (11-9 SU, 8-12 ATS)

The Bulls (+11) are catching a healthy number again and this will likely be the ninth time this season that the club closes as double-digit ‘dogs. Chicago has gone 0-8 in this role so far and a 4-4 ATS mark isn’t horrible but a couple of those losses watched them get drubbed by 39 and 49 points to the Spurs and Warriors respectively.

Denver certainly isn’t in the same class as that pair, but it has won its last five games (4-1 ATS) when laying 10-plus points. I like Mike Malone as a coach and while he’s got a young team that is now short-handed (Paul Millsap injury), they bounce back quickly. The Nuggets just had a rough loss on Tuesday at Utah (106-77) but the club has only dropped back-to-back games once this season. Off a loss, Denver has gone 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS.

A couple other reasons you could lay the points tonight – Denver owns an 8-4 record vs. sub .500 teams and they’ve won six of their last seven games versus foes from the East. Meanwhile, Chicago is a dreadful 0-10 against the West this season and it’s 1-9 ATS in those games with nine of the setbacks decided by double digits. Now you see why Denver is a healthy favorite.

Utah (10-11 SU, 11-10 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (8-11 SU, 8-11 ATS)

These teams met on Oct. 24 from the Staples Center and the Clippers captured a 102-84 win over the Jazz as five-point home favorites. Blake Griffin (22, 9, 6) and Patrick Beverly (19, 4, 5) and combined for 41 points, 13 rebounds and 11 assists in the win. I mention the pair because L.A. lost Beverly for the season due to a knee injury on Nov. 20 and Griffin just went down with a knee sprain in Monday’s win 120-115 win over the Lakers. He’s expected to miss up to two months.

Along with those guys, key offseason acquisitions Danilo Gallinari (hip) and Milos Teodosic (foot) aren’t expected back until late December. Utah was dealt an injury blow this season as well with center Rudy Gobert (knee) going down in early November and he’s not expected back until January at the earliest. Also, Rodney Hood (ankle) sat out Tuesday’s win over Denver and is ‘questionable’ for Thursday.

Despite all the absences, both clubs bring three-game winning streaks into this matchup and guessing who will win their fourth is a toss-up. If Hood plays for the Jazz, I would expect Utah to close as a short road favorite.

 

[Pesos]

Hoop Trends

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Nuggets are 11-0 ATS (17.45 ppg) at home with rest off a loss in a road game.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Nuggets are 10-0 OU (13.95 ppg) after they had more turnovers than assists last game.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
-- The Celtics are 0-8 ATS (-11.06 ppg) at home after Marcus Smart had the highest plus/minus on the team last game.

CHOICE TREND:
-- The Bucks are 0-10 ATS (-8.95 ppg) with rest off a double-digit win as a favorite in which they shot over 50% from the field.

ACTIVE TRENDS:
-- The Hawks are 10-0 OU (21.70 ppg) as a home dog with rest.
-- The Bulls are 0-9 ATS (-12.61 ppg) when they are off two games straight in which they allowed 100-plus points

 

[Pesos]

Statfox Super Situations

Philadelphia @ Boston
Play OVER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season, after a game outrebounding opponent by 20 or more
32-10 since 1997 (76.2% l 21.0 units)
2-1 this year (66.7% l 0.9 units)

Cleveland @ Atlanta
Play ON - Favorites vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an embarrassing home loss scoring less than 80 points
91-21 since 1997 (81.3% l 45.8 units)

Utah @ LA Clippers
Play UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 off 3 or more consecutive home wins
46-18 over the last 5 seasons (71.9% l 26.2 units)
3-1 this year (75.0% l 1.9 units)

 

[Pesos]

Jim Feist ; NFL

Washington Under

 

[Pesos]

Sean Murphy ; NHL

Nashville -189

 

[Pesos]

Scott Spreitzer ; CBB

North Texas O154.5

 

[Pesos]

Brad Diamond ; NHL

Minnesota -162

 

[Pesos]

Wesley Scott ; CBB

Pacific -2

 

[Pesos]

Arthur Ralph Sports ; CBB

Michigan State -6

 

[Pesos]

Ben Burns ; NBA

Cleveland -7.5

 

[Pesos]

Big Al ; CBB

Michigan state -6

 

[Pesos]

Jeff Benton ; NBA

Cleveland

 

[Pesos]

Tommy Brunson ; NFL

Washington -2

 

[Pesos]

Joey Juice ; NBA

Cleveland -7

 

[Pesos]

NSA ; NBA

Boston -9

 

[Pesos]

[FONT=&quot]Gameday Network ; NBA

portland O203
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[FONT=&quot]Vegas Line Crushers ; CBB

Notre Dame O137
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[FONT=&quot]Lou Panelli ; CBB

Notre Dame O137
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[Pesos]

[FONT=&quot]William E. Stockton ; CBB

Temple pk
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