Pac-12 Report - Week 12
By Joe Williams
There are just four games on the slate in the Pac-12 Conference, with the final bye weeks of the regular season. After this, it is a two-week run with a full slate of league teams in action. It all kicks off this week with Cal in the Coliseum against USC in a rare Thursday appearance for the Trojans. All of the other games have tremendous importance, too, especially the Arizona State-Oregon State game. AZ State is viewed as a team on the cusp of a berth in the four-team playoff, and they need to keep winning and hope someone stumbles along the way.
2014 PAC-12 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Arizona 7-2 4-2 3-6 3-6
Arizona State 8-1 5-1 5-4 4-5
California 5-4 3-4 6-3 6-3
Colorado 2-8 0-7 5-5 6-4
Oregon 9-1 6-1 6-4 6-3-1
Oregon State 4-5 1-5 2-7 5-3-1
Southern California 6-3 5-2 6-3 4-5
Stanford 5-4 3-3 4-5 2-6
UCLA 8-2 5-2 3-7 4-5-1
Utah 6-3 3-3 7-2 3-5-1
Washington 6-4 2-4 4-6 4-6
Washington State 3-7 2-5 4-6 5-5
California at Southern California (Thurs. - ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
Cal hits the road looking for a signature win, and they should really turn some heads getting it done on national television against a decent SoCal team. The Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their past four road games, but they're 8-18 ATS in their past 26 overall and 6-13 ATS in their past 19 against a team with a winning record. The Bears are also 6-15 ATS in their past 21 Pac-12 battles. USC is 4-1 ATS in their past five at the Coliseum, and 10-4 ATS in their past 14 league games. They're also 7-3 ATS in their past 10, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 against a team with a winning overall record. In this series, the favorite has cashed in each of the past five, and the Bears are 0-5 ATS in the past five meetings. The road team is 13-5 ATS in the past 18 meetings. The under has hit in eight of the past 10 meetings in this series, while the under has gone 4-1 in the past five at the Coliseum.
Washington at Arizona (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Arizona heads into this one as a nine-point favorite, and that could climb if bettors go off the trends in this series. The favorite has covered in each of the past four meetings, and the home team is 6-0 ATS in the past six battles in this series. The Huskies are just 3-10 ATS in the past 13 road games against a team with a winning home record, and they're 3-9-1 ATS in their past 13 games following a double-digit loss at home. For Arizona, they're just 3-8 ATS in their past 11 Pac-12 battles, and 2-6 ATS in their past eight overall. They're also 0-4 ATS in their past four at home. The under has hit ine nine of the past 11 at home for the Wildcats, and 5-1 in their past six against a team with a winning record. The under is 19-6-1 in the past 26 home games for Arizona against a team with a winning road mark.
Utah at Stanford (Pac-12 Network, 6:00 p.m.)
Utah hit the road for Palo Alto looking to turn things around after a home loss to Oregon. And if they get near the end zone, you can bet everyone on the Utes will take the ball past the goal line. Utah is 7-1 ATS in their past eight against a team with a winning record, and 4-1 ATS in their past five conference games. They're also 4-0 ATS in their past four one the road. They find themselves a 7.5-point underdog in this one. Stanford is 4-1 ATS in their past five at home, and 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games against a team with a winning road record. For Stanford, they are just 1-4 ATS in their past five against a team with a winning overall mark.
Arizona State at Oregon State (ESPN, 10:45 p.m.)
Arizona State heads to Corvallis as a nine-point favorite, looking to keep their playoff hopes on track. Reser Stadium has been a difficult place for AZ State over the years, though, as the Sun Devils are 2-5-1 ATS in their past eight trips to Corvallis, and 0-4-1 ATS in their past five meetings overall against the Beavs. The underdog is also 4-1-1 ATS in their past six meetings, although the road team is also 4-1-1 ATS in the past six. As far as series trends, over is 4-0 in the past four meetings at Oregon State, and 6-2 in the past eight meetings overall. The under is 5-2 in Arizona State's past seven conference games, but 7-3 in their past 10 against a team with a losing overall record. The over has been the dominant trend for Oregon State, going 4-0-1 in their past five, including last weekend's stunning loss to Washington State. The over is 4-0-1 in their past five league games, and 12-5-1 in their past 18 overall against a team with an overall winning mark.
BYE WEEKS
Colorado, Oregon, UCLA, Washington State