Thursday 1/1/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
Good luck on all your plays.

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Make sure to enjoy the rest of what the RX has to offer.

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Scottish Premiership Th 1Jan 12:15
Dundee UtdvDundee
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
17/20

11/4

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KEY STAT: Dundee United have won six of their last seven home matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Dundee United have the best home record in the SPL and should keep the Tannadice faithful happy by beating Dundee. Four of Dundee's five league wins have been secured on the road but they have taken one point from the last four and have not beaten their city rivals in the last eight attempts.

RECOMMENDATION: Dundee Utd
3


REFEREE: Kevin Clancy STADIUM: Tannadice Park

 

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English Premier Th 1Jan 12:45
StokevMan Utd
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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KEY STAT: United have averaged 2.1 goals a game in their last eight matches

EXPERT VERDICT: The Britannia Stadium is not the fortress it once was - Stoke have already lost four home games this season. Furthermore, they face a Manchester United side whose last four away games have seen them beat Arsenal and Southampton and post of the most one-sided 0-0 draws of the season at Tottenham.

RECOMMENDATION: Man Utd
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REFEREE: Michael Oliver STADIUM:

 

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English Premier Th 1Jan 15:00
SouthamptonvArsenal
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19/10
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KEY STAT: Arsenal have drawn their last three at St Mary's

EXPERT VERDICT: Arsenal scraped a 1-0 home win over Southampton last month but they are far less convincing on the road and may have to settle for a point at St Mary's. Arsenal have won just four away games, losing at Stoke and Swansea, while Saints again proved their resilience by drawing with Chelsea last time out.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
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REFEREE: Craig Pawson STADIUM:

 

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English Premier Th 1Jan 15:00
QPRvSwansea
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KEY STAT: QPR have lost nine of ten games against top-half sides

EXPERT VERDICT: Swansea outclassed QPR in the reverse fixture and their pacy counter-attacking style can offset Rangers' excellent home form. And while much has been made of Swansea's poor away form, their four defeats have come at Chelsea, Stoke, Man City, Liverpool and West Ham.

RECOMMENDATION: Swansea
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REFEREE: Anthony Taylor STADIUM:

 

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English Premier Th 1Jan 15:00
West HamvWest Brom
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KEY STAT: West Brom have won only one of their last nine league games

EXPERT VERDICT: West Ham's form continues to defy many predictions, with the Hammers hunting up a top-six finish in 2015 on the back of some cracking home form. They have lost only one of their last eight league tussles with West Brom, who are dropping like a stone in the league.

RECOMMENDATION: West Ham
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REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:



 

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English Premier Th 1Jan 15:00
Aston VillavC Palace
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KEY STAT: Crystal Palace have won only one away league game this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Crystal Palace have beaten Aston Villa in two of their last three league meetings, but the Eagles are woeful on the road. Villa are showing signs of life and beat these opponents away as recently as early December at Selhurst Park.

RECOMMENDATION: Aston Villa
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REFEREE: Robert Madley STADIUM:











 
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NHL Grand Salami - December

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
12/1 5 26.5 31 OVER
12/2 10 55.5 45 UNDER
12/3 4 21 22 OVER
12/4 11 60.5 65 OVER
12/5 3 15.5 24 OVER
12/6 12 64 65 OVER
12/7 4 21.5 21 UNDER
12/8 3 15.5 16 OVER
12/9 10 55.5 54 UNDER
12/10 2 11.5 6 UNDER
12/11 10 54.5 58 OVER
12/12 4 21 23 OVER
12/13 13 69 73 OVER
12/14 3 16.5 12 UNDER
12/15 3 16 20 OVER
12/16 11 58 57 UNDER
12/17 3 16.5 9 UNDER
12/18 7 38.5 38 UNDER
12/19 5 27 22 UNDER
12/20 12 63.5 71 OVER
12/21 6 31.5 32 OVER
12/22 6 31.5 36 OVER
12/23 11 60.5 65 OVER
12/24 No games scheduled
12/25 No games scheduled
12/26 No games scheduled
12/27 13 69.5 68 UNDER
12/28 2 11 13 OVER
12/29 12 64 65 OVER
12/30 4 20 17 UNDER
12/31 11 - - -
 
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NHL Preview: Blackhawks (25-10) at Capitals (18-11)

Date: January 01, 2015 1:00 PM EDT

WASHINGTON (AP) - For the first time, the Winter Classic is sharing New Year's Day with college football games that actually have something to do with the national championship.

Watch outdoor hockey in the afternoon and then go out for dinner? Or plan your day so that you're home in time for the Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl in the evening?

Brooks Laich thinks it should be a slam-dunk decision.

'This is one of my favorite catchphrases to use of all time: `Who cares? It's college,'' the Washington Capitals defenseman said. 'I hope the rest of America has the same mindset I do.'

The NHL's annual showcase has been able to establish a beachhead on Jan. 1 in part because college football essentially abandoned what used to be its biggest day, populating it with run-of-the-mill bowl games and saving the big ones for later. This year, they're trying to take it back, with the College Football Playoff semifinals highlighting the schedule.

Then again, there might be room for both. Now in its seventh year, the Classic has established enough of a presence to withstand a bit of competition.

'I'm a football fan like most people in this country,' Washington coach Barry Trotz said. 'I think there's a lot of football and it's great, but you also get tired of it, too, and I think the Winter Classic is that one thing that's different during this time of year that I think everybody gravitates to.'

It would help if the games don't go head-to-head. That's the plan, but the big ol' sun might mess it up.

The 1 p.m. start Thursday between the Chicago Blackhawks and Washington Capitals at Nationals Park is in jeopardy because brilliant, cloudless skies are in the forecast. The sun would create a potentially dangerous glare, making the puck hard to see and causing the ice to get too soft. If faceoff is moved to, say, 3 p.m. - after the shadows from the stands have covered the rink - then the end of the game could conflict with the early minutes of the Rose Bowl.

A decision isn't expected until shortly before the scheduled game time. There's talk of switching sides halfway through the first period so that the glare would hamper both teams equally, and some players say they might emulate Capitals defenseman Karl Alzner, who wore sunglasses during Wednesday's practice.

'Nobody wants to delay the game,' NHL Deputy Commissioner Bill Daly said Wednesday. 'So if there's any way we can avoid delaying the game, we're going to avoid delaying the game.'

Almost a remarkable as the quick rise of the Winter Classic as a sporting event is the fact that the NHL has decided to play it in the nation's capital.

Ten years ago, nobody would have called this a hockey town. Then came Alex Ovechkin, the team's 'Rock the Red' campaign and lots of winning. Tickets are no longer easy to get; every game is a sellout. There was even a large crowd at the optional skate on Tuesday morning at the team's regular practice rink.

But it all started with Ovechkin. Without the three-time league MVP, there is no Winter Classic in D.C., no replica of the Capitol sitting in center field, no fake snow on the baseball diamond.

This week, the face of the franchise was uncharacteristically introspective about his career, talking about how things have changed since he arrived in 2005, and how he has evolved to focus more on team goals, including the pursuit of that elusive Stanley Cup title.

'I'm just growing up, getting mature, getting older,' the 29-year-old forward said. 'I look at the game a different way right now.'

Teammates have noticed as well.

'Alex has won everything there is to win as an individual,' Laich said. 'Your trophy case is full as an individual, but ultimately players are always judged by championships, and that's the one thing that's missing. For him, the realization of that, I think, is coming to the forefront.'

Depending on your point of view, the Classic is either nostalgia or novelty. For hockey-lifers from the North, it's a reminder of games played on makeshift ice in freezing weather every night until called home for supper. Those memories are so etched in Laich's mind that he recited every childhood friend who used to gather at the end of the street in the tiny town of Wawota, Saskatchewan, even creating a makeshift diagram of the houses at his locker as an illustration.

That's an alien lifestyle for people from the South, where there are non-hockey fans who watch outdoor hockey once a year out of curiosity.

Either way, it's a unique event.

'Last time, I don't think I enjoyed the Winter Classic enough,' said Laich, who was on the Capitals team that won in the New Year's Day rain in Pittsburgh in 2011. 'I don't think I took it in enough. I was just focused on winning the hockey game.

'This year, a little more composed, a little older, I really realize how lucky we are to have this game and how far this sport has come in D.C.'
 
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Expect road wins and low scores for outdoor NHL games

The 2015 Heritage Classic hits the ice on New Year's Day from Washington, with the Capitals hosting the Chicago Blackhawks. The game will be played at Nationals Park, which will provide plenty of sunlight and wind chill temperatures int the mid-30's.

Players will notice a few significant differences between playing indoors and plying their trade in an open-air environment. Most notably, temperature fluctuations can play havoc with both the quality of the ice surface and the hardness of the puck.

If past history is any indication, the game Thursday will make for prime Under bets. Here's a look at the 13 previous outdoor games, along with the relevant betting numbers:

November 22, 2003: Montreal 4 at Edmonton 3 (O/U: 5)

The first of two Heritage classics went to the visiting team, while the bone-chilling temperatures at Edmonton's Commonwealth Stadium didn't deter the teams from easily going Over.

January 1, 2008: Pittsburgh 2 at Buffalo 1 (SO) (O/U: 5.5)

The Penguins edged the Sabres at Ralph Wilson Stadium, with the teams combining for 62 shots but still falling well below the total.

January 1, 2009: Detroit 6 at Chicago 4 (O/U: 5.5)

The Red Wings made it three straight outdoor victories for the road team, prevailing in a Wrigley Field slugfest that remains the highest-scoring outdoor game in NHL history.

January 1, 2010: Philadelphia 1 at Boston 2 (OT) (O/U: 5.5)

The Bruins provided the Fenway Park faithful with the first home victory at an outdoor contest, shading the Flyers in a thrilling overtime contest that saw the teams combine for just 51 shots.

January 1, 2011: Washington 3 at Pittsburgh 1 (O/U: 6)

Despite a premium matchup featuring two of the league's most potent offenses, the Capitals and Penguins played to the Under in the Heinz Field showdown that will be best remembered for Sidney Crosby's career-altering concussion.

February 20, 2011: Montreal 0 at Calgary 4 (O/U: 5)

The Flames earned the first shutout in NHL outdoor history, clinching an Under while giving the home side just its second victory in six outdoor games.

January 2, 2012: New York Rangers 3 at Philadelphia 2 (O/U: 5)

Citizens Bank Park was the site of the Rangers' first taste of outdoor action, an entertaining victory over the Flyers. The teams narrowly missed surpassing the total despite combining for 69 shots.

January 1, 2014: Toronto 3 at Detroit 2 (SO) (O/U: 5)

The Maple Leafs and Red Wings did battle at the Big House in front of a record crowd of more than 105,000 people; Toronto made it six wins in eight tries for the road team, while the clubs provided the first push in outdoor history.

January 25, 2014: Anaheim Ducks 3 at Los Angeles Kings 0 (O/U: 5)

The Ducks and Kings skated at Dodger Stadium among the sunshine, palm trees and Kiss halftime show. The road team prevailed again as the Ducks dominated play in this low scoring affair.

January 26, 2014: New York Rangers 7 at New Jersey Devils 3 (O/U: 5)

This game got out of hand. Early. The teams combined for nine goals through the first two periods and the road team - the Rangers in this case - prevailed once again in Stadium games.

January 29, 2014: New York Rangers 2, New York Islanders 1 (O/U: 5.5)

And finally, the road team wins again. The Rangers prevailed in their second game at Yankee Stadium in a matter of days in this game, which pushed the road team to nine victories.

March 1, 2014: Pittsburgh Penguins 1 at Chicago Blackhawks 5 (O/U: 5.5)

The Blackhawks took control of this game early, outshooting the Penguins 14-5 in the first period. Chicago poured on the offense notching a win for the home teams and topping the total.

March 2, 2014: Ottawa Senators 4 at Vancouver Canucks 2 (O/U: 5)

Vancouver came out to a quick 2-0 lead in the first before surrendering four unanswered goals to the Senators. Home fans left sad again with the Sens lighting the lamp.

Total: Road team 10-3-0; O/U 4-8-1
 
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NBA Preview: Nuggets (13-19) at Bulls (22-10)

Date: January 01, 2015 8:00 PM EDT

After relying heavily on Jimmy Butler and the offense, the Chicago Bulls are suddenly struggling to find their shot.

A home game against the defensively challenged Denver Nuggets may help them regain their scoring touch.

Butler and the Bulls try to bounce back from their worst offensive performance of the season and send the Nuggets to a seventh straight road loss for the first time in a decade when they meet New Year's Day.

Chicago's season-high seven-game winning streak ended with Tuesday's 96-82 loss to Brooklyn, but its shooting woes emerged the night before in Indiana. The Bulls (22-10) missed 19 of 21 shots in the fourth quarter Monday and ended up shooting a season-low 34.5 percent but managed to escape with a 92-90 victory.

Chicago, which averaged 109.0 points and shot 47.3 percent during the first six games of its streak, couldn't overcome its 38.4 percent shooting against the Nets and finished with a season-low point total.

Butler and Derrick Rose are in the middle of the cold shooting.

After averaging 26.4 points and shooting 49.6 percent during the win streak, Butler had a season-low eight points on 3-of-12 shooting Tuesday. Rose has totaled 21 points on 7-of-35 shooting in the last two games after averaging 23.3 points on 54.4 percent shooting in his previous four.

"I thought we were flat from the start," coach Tom Thibodeau said. "Not just those two guys, our whole team.

"The important thing is we have to play with more of an edge. Overall, I think we are making good progress, but things weren't going our way. When they don't go our way, we have to do other things to help ourselves to win."

The Bulls may have a good shot at getting their offense back on track against a Denver team that has allowed opponents to average 108.2 points in losing four of five.

Even with Rose limited to 10 minutes due to a tight hamstring, Chicago had no trouble offensively in Denver on Nov. 25. Butler went 18 of 20 from the foul line and scored 32 points, but the Bulls were let down by their defense in a 114-109 loss.

Ty Lawson, averaging 22.3 points in his last four games, had 20 points and 12 assists to lead Denver to a sixth victory in the last seven meetings.

The Nuggets (13-19) had few answers for the Los Angeles Lakers in Tuesday's 111-103 home defeat, letting them shoot 52.6 percent and make 14 of 25 3-point attempts. Denver fell behind by as many as 23 before pulling within five with 4:04 to play.

"The problem with us was we waited too late to start playing with that kind of energy and intensity," coach Brian Shaw said.

That's been an ongoing problem for the Nuggets, who are allowing an average of 27.2 first-quarter points for one of the league's worst marks.

Another problem has been their play away from Denver.

The Nuggets have been outscored by an average of 15.5 points in losing six straight road games since beating Utah 103-101 on Dec. 1. They haven't dropped seven in a row since an eight-game skid from Dec. 17, 2004-Jan. 17, 2005.

Denver is averaging 92.3 points during its road slide - 9.2 less than its season average - and could be without Wilson Chandler after he bruised his right quadriceps Tuesday. Chandler is tied with Arron Afflalo for second on the team in scoring at 14.3 points per game but is averaging 8.7 and has missed 13 of 15 from long range in his last three road contests.
 
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Exhaustion catching up to Kings without rest
Justin Hartling

The Sacramento Kings are 2-4 straight up and 2-3-1 against the spread this season when playing with no days rest. The Kings have been outscored by an average of 5.5-points per game in those contests with teams combining for an average of 216.5 points.

Sacramento will travel to Minnesota Thursday.
 
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Nuggets quietly one of the top under plays
Justin Hartling

The Denver Nuggets have a 12-18-2 over/under record this season, impressively going 3-12-1 O/U in their past 16 contests. The Nuggets have averaged 97.5 points during those 16 contests, which is a full four points less than their season average.

Denver will travel to Chicago Thursday.
 
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Soccer EPL Best Bets - Week 20
By Toby Maxtone-Smith

Manchester City missed a huge opportunity to close the gap on Chelsea on the December 28th. After Chelsea’s 1-1 draw at Southampton City only had to beat Burnley, they pre-season favourites for relegation, at home to move to within a point of the Londoners. Things started well enough, with the hosts racing into a two goal lead, but strikes from Danny Ings and Ashley Barnes earned a stunning 2-2 draw for Burnley. With Manchester United also drawing, away to Tottenham, there was little change in the race for the title.

In the quest for Champions League football, Arsenal secured a vital 2-1 win at West Ham, while Liverpool’s recent mini-revival continued as they impressively saw off Swansea City 4-1 at Anfield. Chelsea remain the 2/5 favourites to win the league ahead of 5/2 Man City. Of the outsiders, Manchester United are seen as the third most likely at 20/1, with Arsenal all the way out at 80/1.

Let's handicap Week 20 of the Premier League.

The Banker: Chelsea to win at Tottenham Hotspur at 4/5

New Year’s Day’s late kick-off is a big rivalry as Chelsea travel to North London to face Spurs. The Blues’ record in this fixture is simply stunning. They have lost it only three times in the league since 1990, and were by far the superior team in the recent reverse match at Stamford Bridge, which Chelsea won 3-0. Many of Spurs’s best work has come in grinding out wins in tricky-looking away games: they have won 2-1 at Swansea, Leicester, Hull and Villa. Each time they have scored the winner in the last 20 matches.

A home game to Chelsea is a completely different scenario. There is more pressure on Spurs at White Hart Lane, and the sense is that the team struggles to deal with it. They have already lost at home to Stoke, Newcastle and Crystal Palace, while their record against big teams is typically disappointing. Chelsea have the motivation and the quality to make short work of Spurs here.

The Solid Bet: QPR to beat Swansea City at 19/10

QPR look very underrated here. After a dreadful start to the season their performances have picked up significantly. This is only the case at home, but at Loftus Road the Hoops really are a force to be reckoned with. Having lost all nine away games, they have picked up 17 points from 10 games at home, and may well pick up another three as Swansea come to town.

I thought that the hard-fought 1-0 win at Hull would be a turning point for Swansea away from home, but they were limp at Anfield in a 4-1 loss, and it is extremely difficult to make a case for them being favourites here. They are a team who can be overrated because they play attractive football. However, their defence is still far from perfect and, in Charlie Austin, QPR have a striker able to exploit that. The former-Burnley man has twelve league goals - ahead of Alexis Sanchez and behind just Aguero and Costa.

The Outsider: Sunderland to draw or win at Manchester City at 10/3

Man City’s surrender of a 2-0 lead on Sunday could have a big effect from the season. For about a month, City had been riding the crest of a wave that had started with their 3-2 win against Bayern Munich. Despite the absence of Sergio Aguero, City just kept on grinding out results and edging closer to Chelsea. However, messing up so spectacularly against Burnley could seriously damage their confidence. And of all the bottom-half teams, Sunderland are the ones most prone to deliver huge results.

The Black Cats have drawn a huge number of games this season - 11 out of 19 - and lie 13th in the table. They were unlucky to lose to Hull last time out in a game they dominated, and the feel-good factor around their last-minute win against deadly rivals Newcastle still lingers. In their escape from danger last season, Sunderland drew at Man City and won at Chelsea. They have lost just twice on the road all season and look an interesting outsider at 10/3 to get a result in Manchester.

The First Goalscorer: Wayne Rooney for Manchester United at Stoke City at 5/1

United are decent looking value at 1/1 here, but it is the 5/1 about England captain Wayne Rooney scoring first that attracts me most. This is particularly the case when you see that Robin van Persie is 4/1, despite having scored the same number of goals. Rooney was superb in United’s last win - a 3-0 home victory over Newcastle. He scored twice and there was a ruthlessness about him that has been absent for a couple of years. With service from Juan Mata, Angel Di Maria and Robin van Persie, Rooney looks a good shout to break the deadlock. He has eight in his last ten games, and his good form has been a major factor in United’s run of positive results since the beginning of October.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Thursday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (6th) Vinhdication Spot, 10-1
(8th) La Bella Valeria, 3-1


Delta Downs (1st) Gold Production, 6-1
(7th) Fancy Behind, 5-1


Fair Grounds (3rd) Profluent, 7-2
(7th) Whoz Talkin Now, 8-1


Golden Gate Fields (2nd) Councilman, 10-1
(5th) The Sunol Grade, 4-1


Gulfstream Park (6th) Seeking, 3-1
(10th) Mike the Hab, 10-1


Hawthorne (5th) Dr. Clark, 3-1
(9th) Prissy Ruler, 3-1


Laurel (1st) Royal Avenger, 8-1
(3rd) Bo Badger, 10-1


Santa Anita (4th) My Monet, 9-2
(5th) Hot and Pleasing, 5-1


Turfway Park (1st) Thunder But Norain, 5-1
(7th) The Pink Wildcat, 5-1
 
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College Football Bowl Betting Bible: Book I - Capping Thy Coaches
By JASON LOGAN

The names are different but the situations stay the same.

Each college football bowl season, select teams pack their bags and head off for their postseason matchup, giving sports bettors a fresh set of intriguing non-conference competitions. While there is an aura of the unknown when it comes to bowl teams – these programs don’t know much about each other – football bettors can find familiarity – and value – looking for teams in these certain situations.

We break down some of the important factors to figure into your bowl betting this December with our Bowl Betting Bible.

BOOK I: CAPPING THY COACHES

One of the biggest differences between wagering on college and professional sports is the impact of the coaching. In the college ranks, these coaches are the molders of young men and build a program from the bottom up, having a bigger influence on how the game is played. Oddsmakers factor coaching into the lines in college sports more than any other option.

That’s why it’s such a big deal when coaches are swapped out just before bowl season. Whether it be a coach taking a new job and leaving his former team in the hands of his assistants or a team firing its coach just before the postseason and pretty much hoping for the best in the bowl game. Bettors can find added value when handicapping the turnover on the sidelines.

“Teams and players often rally behind a new coach or departing coach, while other times players and teams are disappointed and provide a weak effort,” says Steve Merril.

Wisconsin is one team undergoing a transformation in the coaching department. The Badgers were stunned when Gary Andersen decided to leave Madison for Oregon State, putting the team and its Outback Bowl battle with Auburn (Wisconsin is a 6.5-point underdog) in the hands of Barry Alvarez.

This is familiar territory for Alvarez, who stepped in for the departed Bret Bielema in 2012 and coached Wisconsin to a loss versus Stanford in the Rose Bowl. The Badgers are coming off a terrible loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and are dealing with another punch to the stomach following Anderson’s departure. These letdowns could be a lot for Wisconsin to overcome as a program.

Another school swapping out head coaches is Florida, which canned Will Muschamp after another disappointing season. The Gators fired Muschamp following a Week 12 loss to South Carolina and left the team in the hands of defensive coordinator D.J. Durkin.

The team rallied around Durkin, going 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS including a near upset of Florida State in the finale. Programs are courting Durkin and a solid performance versus East Carolina in the Birmingham Bowl on Jan. 3 could help him land a new gig. The Gators are touchdown favorites over the Pirates.

The situation is a little different for another Florida program bowling after a down year. The Miami Hurricanes, coming off a 6-6 campaign, are 3-point favorites over South Carolina in the Independence Bowl on Dec, 27.

Head coach Al Golden has been the target of animosity from the Coral Gables faithful heading into bowl season, but the athletics department has given Golden the vote of confidence. Players have also come to Golden’s aid, and could hold his job in their hands this postseason. The ax may not fall right away but if push comes to shove, one of the first things an AD will do is size up a coach’s bowl record. Golden lost to Louisville in the 2013 Russell Athletic Bowl, 36-9, as a 5.5-point underdog. He’s only been to two bowls in four years at Miami despite being eligible each season.

Here are teams undergoing changes at head coach this bowl season: Colorado State, Florida, Houston, Nebraska, Wisconsin.
 
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College Football Bowl Betting Bible: Book II - Motivation
By JASON LOGAN

BOOK 2: DO NOT PLACE MONEY WITHOUT KNOWING MOTIVATION

Bowl season is many things to many teams.

To some, it’s the culmination of a hard-fought season. To others, it’s a relief from years of losing. And to a few programs, it’s a reminder of missed opportunities and wasted potential. Understanding the mindset of a bowl team is paramount before placing any bets.

“Which teams are just happy to be playing in a bowl and which ones are serious about winning?,” says Sean Murphy. “It is important not to write off teams that are disappointed by the bowl game they've drawn, as sometimes that perceived snub can result in a team playing with a big chip on their shoulder and can serve as a motivating factor.”

No bigger snub was dished out this bowl season than that of the Big 12 when it came to the Final Four teams for the first ever College Football Playoff. Baylor and TCU (which was ranked third in the CFB rankings heading into the final game of the season) were left out of the playoffs and handed big-name bowl matchups instead.

Baylor, which has only one loss to West Virginia and a win over TCU, settled for a showdown with Michigan State in the Cotton Bowl (BU -3). The Horned Frogs aren’t even playing on New Year’s Day, facing 9-3 Ole Miss in the Peach Bowl on Dec. 31 (TCU -3).

Bettors must determine whether or not these Big 12 programs try to prove the playoff committee wrong by rolling their bowl opponents or if they'll come out flat, disappointed with a season gone sour based on the opinion of a bunch of NCAA suits.

Alabama suffered from a major letdown in bowl season last year. The Crimson Tide were booked into the national title game until the stunning upset to Auburn in the Iron Bowl. Alabama never overcame that loss or the disappointment, and was rolled by Oklahoma 45-31 as a 17-point favorite in the Sugar Bowl.

Motivation just isn’t reserved for the big boys, though. Programs that barely qualified for bowl eligibility and still earned a berth in a postseason game can often times feel a sense of accomplishment. Art Aronson calls these “Just glad to be there” teams, and has his eye on one program in particular this bowl season.

“This might take some digging, but there are teams which are just happy to be aboard the gravy train,” says Aronson. “Coaches get a little more job security and players get to brag when they go home for semester break. With dozens of games, it’s a win-win for everyone.”

He points to the UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns and their bowl matchup with Nevada in the New Orleans Bowl, with oddmakers setting them as 1-point favorites. The Ragin’ Cajuns went 8-4 SU on the season but don’t have any notable wins on their resume and recently lost to FCS Appalachian State, 35-16 at home as 8-point favorites.

Bettors must also measure the motivation of teams that are ending an extended bowl drought, and determine whether they're feeling a false sense of accomplishment – bound for a letdown – or using that big stage to push the program even further up the food chain.

The Memphis Tigers earned a postseason showcase for the first time since 2008 after going 9-3 this season, and are 1-point favorites against BYU in the Miami Beach Bowl. The Cougars, however, have been bowling for 10 straight years, going 6-3 SU in the previous nine postseason games, and are used to the bright lights of bowl season.

South Alabama is another program that is in unfamiliar territory. The Jaguars have cracked a bowl game for first time since jumping from the FCS to FBS six years ago, and are tagged as 2.5-point favorites versus Bowling Green in the inaugural Camellia Bowl. While they could be ripe for a letdown, South Alabama is making the two-hour drive to Montgomery and should have a strong home-field edge at the Cramton Bowl.

One of the most underlying motivational capping tools is finding a team playing in the same bowl as it did last season. The 2013-14 bowl schedule finds Arkansas State back in the GoDaddy Bowl, set as a 3-point underdog to Toledo. The Red Wolves will have played in four straight GoDaddy Bowls in Mobile, Alabama, including last season’s on Jan. 5, edging Ball State 23-20 as 6.5-point underdogs. They’re 2-1 SU and ATS in their three GoDaddy Bowl appearances.

“Teams returning to the same minor bowl game they played in last year tend to become dis-interested,” notes Marc Lawrence.

Another program that may not be all that excited for its bowl matchup is San Diego State, which is set to appear in the Poinsettia Bowl for the third time in five years. The Aztecs, who are 3-point favorites versus Navy, are pretty much playing a home game in Qualcomm Stadium. These teams played in the 2010 Poinsettia Bowl, with SDSU winning 35-14 as a field-goal favorite.
 
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College Football Bowl Betting Bible: Book III - The Waiting Game
By JASON LOGAN

BOOK III: TIME BETWEEN BOWLS GIVETH AND TAKETH AWAY

The Ravages of time. Idle hands do the Devil’s work. Time, time time… is my on my side - yes it is!

All three phrases have everything to do with the time between a college football team’s final game of the regular season and it postseason bowl appearance.

Some programs are thrust right into the bowl schedule with a small break between the finale, finals and the bowl game. Other teams are collecting dust for almost a month while they prepare for their year-end showcase.

“The long layoff - several weeks - before the game is played can often lead to bizarre over or under-performance by teams involved,” says Steve Merril.

A team that gained momentum late in the year may not have that same mojo working for them in bowl season, thanks to the extended hiatus. Depending on the break between games, programs could be completely different come game day and that opens up a lot of value to go against with oddsmakers setting these lines based on their past accomplishments.

The gap between the end of the regular season to the bowl game can be more than a month, so what difference does it make if a team won its last six in a row?” asks Art Aronson.

He points to the Central Florida Knights as an example. They closed the regular season with four straight victories, going 4-0 ATS in that span, but have now been sitting idle for more than three weeks (last game on Dec. 4) before facing North Carolina State as 2-point favorites in the St. Petersburg Bowl on Dec. 26.

“Central Florida, which somehow managed to lose to Connecticut, gives two points to N.C. State, which played a much tougher schedule and still won three of its last four,” notes Aronson.

The gap between season finale and bowl game, however, can also work in a team’s favor. A late-season swoon or a rash of injuries toward the end of the year can be remedied by a few weeks off.

One program that is relishing the bowl break is Penn State. The Nittany Lions dropped their final two games of the schedule – losing to Illinois and Michigan State – and finished with 2-6 SU and 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight games.

Penn State is slated to face Boston College in the Pinstripe Bowl on Dec. 27, giving head coach James Franklin plenty of time to study his opponent and get his players in the right frame of mind for what will be the program’s first bowl appearance since the Sandusky scandal. Not only is PSU anxious to turn the page on that ugly chapter but the time off will allow LB Brandon Bell to return from a shoulder injury. He missed the final two games of the season and is an important cog to the Nittany Lions’ running defense.

Some other programs returning key players thanks to the time off are Oklahoma and QB Trevor Knight, as well as Marshall and RB Devon Johnson.

Knight suffered a neck injury versus Baylor on Nov. 8 but with the Sooners not taking the field against Clemson in the Russell Athletic Bowl until Dec. 29 – and Knight cleared to play – OU’s offense could be back in top form by then. He passed for 2,197 yards and 14 touchdowns before getting hurt.

The Thundering Herd should have their biggest weapon back at full strength after running back Devon Johnson was limited down the home stretch. Johnson, who rushed for 1,636 yards and 18 touchdowns, was nursing a bum shoulder and saw his workload trimmed significantly in the final two games of the year. Marshall is a 10-point favorite against Northern Illinois in the Boca Raton Bowl on Dec. 23.

But while the bowl break has allowed those teams – and many others – to heal up, other programs are wishing the postseason game would just get here already. Every bowl season is plagued with news of player suspensions, from either academics or off-field issues, as well as player injuries suffered in the limited practices allowed during bowl prep.

Arkansas threw the book at two important members of its secondary last week, suspending corner Carroll Washington and safety Rohan Gaines for violating team policy. Both were regular rotation players for the Razorbacks defense. Arkansas is a 6-point favorite facing Texas in the Texas Bowl on Dec. 29.

These will likely not be the only suspensions handed out between now and the end of bowl season. With finals over and classes done, as well as practices limited by NCAA rules, players don’t have the same structured schedule to keep them busy and out of trouble. And trips home over the holidays have been the catalyst for many suspensions with players getting into fights and violating team rules while visiting with friends and family.

Last season, Oregon’s top tight end Pharaoh Brown was suspended for the Alamo Bowl for his role in a snowball fight on campus. An online video captured the hijinks, which included pelting cars with snow as well as hitting a professor with snowballs and dumping snow through the car window.

On the injury front, Tennessee lost one of its top targets in wide receiver Jason Croom, who injured his knee in practice last Sunday. Croom caught 21 balls for 305 yards and was tied for the team lead with four receiving touchdowns. This injury is especially tough for the Volunteers, who have already lost four members of the receiving corps to injury this season. Tennessee is a 3.5-point favorite over Iowa in the TaxSlayer Bowl on Jan. 2.

Local media are usually the first sources to report on these issues, so keeping a close ear to the ground and anticipating either injury or disciplinary news is the best way to stay ahead of the bookmakers during the bowl break.
 
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College Football Bowl Betting Bible: Book IV - Tackling Travels
By JASON LOGAN

The names are different but the situations stay the same.

Each college football bowl season, select teams pack their bags and head off for their postseason matchup, giving sports bettors a fresh set of intriguing non-conference competitions. While there is an aura of the unknown when it comes to bowl teams – these programs don’t know much about each other – football bettors can find familiarity – and value – looking for teams in these certain situations.

We break down some of the important factors to figure into your bowl betting this December with our Bowl Betting Bible.

BOOK IV: BE MINDFUL OF MILES BURNED DURING BOWL SEASON

Earning a spot on the college football bowl calendar is not only rewarding for the money poured into the program or the chance to play in a nationally showcased game.

For many players, a bowl games means a chance to get outside of the norm – to get off campus and travel to far-off exotic places. For some teams, though, bowl season can often mean a two-hour bus trip down the highway, which has its positives and negatives.

“Some teams, or at least their fan bases, have the benefit of staying close to home, leading to a home-field advantage,” says Sean Murphy. “With that being said, not getting to travel can hurt the motivation of the players taking the field. It really is a double-edged sword.”

There are a number of programs staying close to home this bowl season, none more than San Diego State. The Aztecs went 7-5 SU and 6-5-1 ATS in the regular season and were rewarded with a home game against Navy at Qualcomm Stadium on Dec. 23. While having the home-field edge is big – and oddsmakers have set SDSU as a 2.5-point chalk for the Poinsettia Bowl – there could be some letdown from the Aztecs, who are home for the holidays for the third time in five years.

Another bowl competitor making a short trip this postseason is Stanford, which could pretty much hold a half marathon and be at its bowl game in Santa Clara – a mere 13 miles (22-minute drive) from Palo Alto. In fact, that seems like a brilliant conditioning/bounding exercise for the Cardinal (Oh, how’d you guys get here? We ran…).

Books have Stanford pegged as a two-touchdown Foster Farms Bowl favorite versus Maryland, which actually makes the longest trip this bowl season. The Terrapins, at 7-5 SU and 6-6 ATS, cross the country on a 2,425-mile hike. It’s safe to say the Terrapins, who have a 31-day layoff between games, will be in enemy territory on Dec. 30.

Other teams putting some miles on the frequent-flyer card in the next month are Navy (2,302-mile trip to San Diego for Poinsettia Bowl), BYU (2,066-mile trip to Miami for the Miami Beach Bowl), and Nevada (1,805-mile trip to New Orleans for New Orleans Bowl).

Florida State has to jump the country for its showdown with Oregon (-9.5) in the Rose Bowl – a 1,986-mile leap – but the Seminoles are used to these types of challenges and have a rapid fan base that travels extremely well, especially for a New Year’s Day bowl game.

Measuring how much of a home-field edge teams will have for the true neutral-site games is tough. Looking back at road records is a good indicator of how a program performs out of its element but if you want to gauge how the percentage of school colors in the stands you should keep a close eye on ticket sales.

Every bowl team is allotted a certain number of tickets to sell to its faithful. Often times, location (is it a vacation destination like Florida or California?), opponent (is it even worth going to see?), and time of the month (close to Christmas or New Year’s?) have a huge impact on whether fans will travel to the game or not.

Heading into the first weekend of bowl action, Air Force is having a tough time selling its share of tickets for the Idaho Potato Bowl. The Falcons play Western Michigan (-1) – not a marquee team by any means – and are asking fans to leave Colorado Springs to come to Boise on short notice. Not even the “Smurf Turf” of Albertsons Stadium can get Air Force butts in the seats.

Even the lure of the Sunshine State isn’t enough to get football fans on the move this bowl season. Iowa is reporting “sluggish” tickets sales for the Hawkeyes’ showdown with Tennessee (-3.5) in the TaxSlayer Bowl in Jacksonville, Florida on Jan. 2. According to the school, Iowa hasn’t even sold half of its 8,000-ticket allotment while the Volunteers, who have a proximity edge, sold out their 8,000 tickets a few days after the bowl matchup was announced.

Some friendly faces can go a long way when these programs hit the highway for their bowl games. That home-field feel may just before the difference when spreads get tight this postseason.
 
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49 need-to-know betting notes for 49 college football bowl teams
By KEVIN CAUSEY

With the holidays heating up, you might not have time to handicap all the college football bowl action you'd like this month. Enjoy!

Outback Bowl - Thurs Jan. 1

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Auburn Tigers (-6.5, 62)

* Wisconsin has only been an underdog once this year and lost that game to LSU in the opener. They were favored by 4 points versus Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship and got walloped 59-0.

* The Auburn Tigers fired DC Ellis Johnson after giving up 30 points in each of their last six games against FBS opponents.

Cotton Bowl Classic - Thurs Jan. 1

Baylor Bears vs. Michigan State Spartans (+3, 71)

* Baylor head coach Art Briles is the owner of an 89-61 career collegiate record, but is just 2-5 SU and ATS lifetime in bowl games.

* The Spartans set school single-season records for points (517), total offense (5,958 yards), offensive touchdowns (64), rushing touchdowns (40) and made point-after attempts (66).

Buffalo Wild Wings Citrus Bowl - Thurs Jan. 1

Missouri Tigers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers (+5, 48)

* Despite winning the SEC East and playing in the SEC Championship, Missouri was only favored in six of its games this season. As a favorite the Tigers went 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS.

* The Gophers went 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. They were the best red-zone team in the Big Ten scoring TDs on 73.33 percent of their trips inside the 20-yard line.

Rose Bowl (Playoff semifinal) - Thurs Jan. 1

Oregon Ducks vs. Florida State Seminoles (+9.5, 71)

* This is the first time since their 2011 matchup with Clemson that Florida State comes into a game as an underdog. The Seminoles are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 bowl games.

* Marcus Mariota threw five interceptions in his first seven games. Since then he's thrown just seven in his last 33 games. Heisman winners are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS during bowl season since 2009.

Allstate Sugar Bowl (Playoff semifinal) - Thurs Jan. 1

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (+9.5, 58.5)

* Ohio State has been an underdog just twice this season (Michigan State and Wisconsin) and have won both SU.

* Alabama has been a single-digit favorite four time this year and in those four games the Tide have a 1-3 O/U record. Alabama is 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight non-conference clashes.

Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl - Friday Jan. 2

Houston Cougars vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (-3, 53.5)

* After signing a five-year contract earlier this year, the Cougars fired head coach Tony Levine and defensive coordinator David Gibbs will be the interim coach for the bowl game.

* If Paul Chryst takes the Wisconsin job, as rumored, you have to wonder how the team will respond. Pitt has had four head coaches since 2012. If Chryst leaves it will make five.

TaxSlayer Bowl - Friday Jan. 2

Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes (+3.5, 51.5)

* The Vols lead the SEC in sacks allowed (42) and tackles for loss allowed (97). The inability to get their offense going due to negative plays is a big reason for their 6-6 SU and ATS records.

* Teams are completing 14.1 passes per game and boast a 52.7 completion percentage against Iowa. The defense has not been as strong against run, allowing 158.8 rushing yards a game on 4.3 yards per carry.

Valero Alamo Bowl - Friday Jan. 2

Kansas State Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins (Pick, 59)

* The Wildcats have only turned the ball over 11 times this year and have only lost the turnover battle in three games. They lost two of those games (vs. Auburn and TCU).

* UCLA is just 4-8 ATS this year. One of the reasons is that the Bruins have played in seven games that have been decided by 10 or less points.

TicketCity Cactus Bowl - Friday Jan. 2

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Washington Huskies (-5.5, 56)

* Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy is making his ninth straight bowl appearance, going 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS in those previous postseason games.

* In Chris Petersen's debut season at Washington, the Huskies didn't beat a single FBS team that finished with a winning record.

Birmingham Bowl - Saturday Jan. 3

Florida Gators vs. East Carolina Pirates (+7, 57)

* Since inserting QB Treon Harris into the starting lineup the Gators are 4-1 ATS. The offense averaged 32.6 ppg with Harris under center and 28.6 ppg without him - and that includes a 65-point explosion against EMU in their opener.

* Through their first four games, the Pirates had outscored opponents by an average of 18.5 points per game, but since then the team only has a plus-6.5 scoring margin.

GoDaddy Bowl - Sunday, Jan. 4

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Toledo Rockets (-3, 67)

* Arkansas State is a tough team to finish off with nine of its last 14 wins coming when tied or trailing in the third quarter.

* Toledo QB Logan Woodside came back from injury for the last two games of the season, including a five-touchdown performance against Eastern Michigan. At one point this season, the Rockets were down to their fourth-string QB.
 

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