Tony George
Georgia Tech vs. Miami Florida
Play: Miami -5.5
While I am passing on this game as an official play as I think it is a risky call, no matter what side you are on, which means I will not put my own money on this one, as there are better ones upcoming, I will give you my opinion on how I see it.
When losing money on GT last week against Clemson after the Yellow Jackets blew a 24 point lead only to win and not cover on a last second field goal, it was apparent to me that they have issues on offense. They are completely one dimensional with the running game. There is no doubt they have a great RB in Dwyer, and their QB is capable of making big plays running it as well.. A varied triple option attack used by head coach Paul Johnson works against teams who either do not have a strong A-gap containment or no ability to use speed to get linebackers outside to shut down the corner. They won their game against Clemson with 2 big plays, and a special teams TD. They were totally dominated in the second half of that game.
Being a fan of the old Tom Osborne led Huskers in the 90’s using this same approach, I totally under how it works. That being said, QB Nesbit has a 36% completion rate on the season, is a poor passer and GT cannot play from behind and win games against good opponents if they get bottled up on the option attack which Clemson shut down last week. Their defense is suspect to the vertical passing game, as Jacoby Ford from Clemson destroyed them downfield last week and RB Spiller ran all over them. In essence, speed killed GT in the second half, on offense and defense.
Miami has speed on both sides of the ball. They won a huge game at Florida State on Labor Day and won it with speed, depth, and a balanced attack and QB Harris is better than advertised and has some chops. They are avenging a 41-23 loss last year in this game and revenge is a big factor in college football. While the defensive numbers favor GT, bear in mind the yards given up by Miami were mostly through the air against Florida State, and as mentioned, GT does not throw the ball well at all. They held FSU to 109 rushing. If Miami gets out to a fast start and GT has to get out of their game plan and throw to win, Miami walks away with it. If not, expect a 4 quarter battle, but I will lean with the home team in this one.
Georgia Tech vs. Miami Florida
Play: Miami -5.5
While I am passing on this game as an official play as I think it is a risky call, no matter what side you are on, which means I will not put my own money on this one, as there are better ones upcoming, I will give you my opinion on how I see it.
When losing money on GT last week against Clemson after the Yellow Jackets blew a 24 point lead only to win and not cover on a last second field goal, it was apparent to me that they have issues on offense. They are completely one dimensional with the running game. There is no doubt they have a great RB in Dwyer, and their QB is capable of making big plays running it as well.. A varied triple option attack used by head coach Paul Johnson works against teams who either do not have a strong A-gap containment or no ability to use speed to get linebackers outside to shut down the corner. They won their game against Clemson with 2 big plays, and a special teams TD. They were totally dominated in the second half of that game.
Being a fan of the old Tom Osborne led Huskers in the 90’s using this same approach, I totally under how it works. That being said, QB Nesbit has a 36% completion rate on the season, is a poor passer and GT cannot play from behind and win games against good opponents if they get bottled up on the option attack which Clemson shut down last week. Their defense is suspect to the vertical passing game, as Jacoby Ford from Clemson destroyed them downfield last week and RB Spiller ran all over them. In essence, speed killed GT in the second half, on offense and defense.
Miami has speed on both sides of the ball. They won a huge game at Florida State on Labor Day and won it with speed, depth, and a balanced attack and QB Harris is better than advertised and has some chops. They are avenging a 41-23 loss last year in this game and revenge is a big factor in college football. While the defensive numbers favor GT, bear in mind the yards given up by Miami were mostly through the air against Florida State, and as mentioned, GT does not throw the ball well at all. They held FSU to 109 rushing. If Miami gets out to a fast start and GT has to get out of their game plan and throw to win, Miami walks away with it. If not, expect a 4 quarter battle, but I will lean with the home team in this one.
John Ryan
LAA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston as they face Anaheim set to start at 7:05 EST. Boston is a solid 24-7 (+18.1 Units) against the money line versus excellent fielding teams averaging <=0.5 errors/game this season; 16-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better this season; 38-12 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season. Anaheim starter Santana is a weak 6-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. For many of the same reason I had a 10* winner on Boston yesterday apply to this game as well. Anaheim can hit. No doubt there as they rank 1st in team batting average, 3rd in OPS, 5th in total bases, but 12th in home runs. The fact that they are not an elite power hitting team is exactly what makes them tough to face. BUT, they have one of the worst bullpens. In fact, it is the worst bullpen by far of the playoff teams. Boston, by the way, ranks second in OPS and has a far superior bullpen. Take Boston.
LAA Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston as they face Anaheim set to start at 7:05 EST. Boston is a solid 24-7 (+18.1 Units) against the money line versus excellent fielding teams averaging <=0.5 errors/game this season; 16-3 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus an AL team with an on base percentage of .345 or better this season; 38-12 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season. Anaheim starter Santana is a weak 6-14 (-11.9 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. For many of the same reason I had a 10* winner on Boston yesterday apply to this game as well. Anaheim can hit. No doubt there as they rank 1st in team batting average, 3rd in OPS, 5th in total bases, but 12th in home runs. The fact that they are not an elite power hitting team is exactly what makes them tough to face. BUT, they have one of the worst bullpens. In fact, it is the worst bullpen by far of the playoff teams. Boston, by the way, ranks second in OPS and has a far superior bullpen. Take Boston.
Drew Gordon
Chi. White Sox at SEATTLE +115
Now on a 56-46 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Chicago White Sox/Seattle match up.
Good spot to grab some of that plus money, as the Mariners look to close the series with the White Sox with a W, and they've got just the pitching match up to do it. Read on...
Don't be fooled by John Danks recent quality win at Safeco, as he's had little success against the Mariners in his career, going 1-4 with an ugly 6.11 ERA. Coupled with the fact the White Sox are just 4-10 in their L14 meetings in Seattle, and this match up does not bode well for the talented southpaw. Prior to his last win against the Mariners, they roughed him up for 5 runs in on 8 hits over just 4 innings in late April.
On the flip side, I know a lot of bettors were hardly impressed with Brandon Morrow's first win of the season in his last start. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits over 5 innings, but a win is a win, and Morrow needed to get than monkey off his back. If you saw him in that contest, you saw a more confident pitcher, changing speeds, using his breaking stuff, and limiting his walks somewhat... Overall a solid effort the young righty can build off of tonight.
Finally, one of the White Sox's biggest problems has been at the plate, where their offense has fallen asleep at the wheel, especially with men in scoring position. With Seattle having better than average success against Danks in the past, a sputtering White Sox offense will have to produce tonight, and I just don't see that happening. They're averaging 2.8 runs per game on this roadtrip and while Danks has the edge over Morrow on paper, that hasn't been the case when Seattle matches up against Chiacago's southpaw. Mariners circle the wagons at Safeco, handing Danks and the White Sox another disappointing loss in Seattle tonight.
Take Seattle behind Morrow over the Chicago White Sox and Danks in this MLB match up.
1♦ SEATTLE
Chi. White Sox at SEATTLE +115
Now on a 56-46 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Chicago White Sox/Seattle match up.
Good spot to grab some of that plus money, as the Mariners look to close the series with the White Sox with a W, and they've got just the pitching match up to do it. Read on...
Don't be fooled by John Danks recent quality win at Safeco, as he's had little success against the Mariners in his career, going 1-4 with an ugly 6.11 ERA. Coupled with the fact the White Sox are just 4-10 in their L14 meetings in Seattle, and this match up does not bode well for the talented southpaw. Prior to his last win against the Mariners, they roughed him up for 5 runs in on 8 hits over just 4 innings in late April.
On the flip side, I know a lot of bettors were hardly impressed with Brandon Morrow's first win of the season in his last start. He allowed 3 runs on 5 hits over 5 innings, but a win is a win, and Morrow needed to get than monkey off his back. If you saw him in that contest, you saw a more confident pitcher, changing speeds, using his breaking stuff, and limiting his walks somewhat... Overall a solid effort the young righty can build off of tonight.
Finally, one of the White Sox's biggest problems has been at the plate, where their offense has fallen asleep at the wheel, especially with men in scoring position. With Seattle having better than average success against Danks in the past, a sputtering White Sox offense will have to produce tonight, and I just don't see that happening. They're averaging 2.8 runs per game on this roadtrip and while Danks has the edge over Morrow on paper, that hasn't been the case when Seattle matches up against Chiacago's southpaw. Mariners circle the wagons at Safeco, handing Danks and the White Sox another disappointing loss in Seattle tonight.
Take Seattle behind Morrow over the Chicago White Sox and Danks in this MLB match up.
1♦ SEATTLE
Mr. Vegas Wins
Marlins at Reds
On September 8 the Reds called up SP Matt Maloney up from minors. He is 0-4 with a 5.65 ERA. The Marlins have been playing good ball the last 2 weeks, a second place team behind the defending champion Phillies. Righty Anibal Sanchez has very good stuff and sports a 2.87 ERA his last three starts. The Florida offense is strong, 9th in all of baseball in runs scored, while the Reds are 27th. Play Marlins.
Marlins at Reds
On September 8 the Reds called up SP Matt Maloney up from minors. He is 0-4 with a 5.65 ERA. The Marlins have been playing good ball the last 2 weeks, a second place team behind the defending champion Phillies. Righty Anibal Sanchez has very good stuff and sports a 2.87 ERA his last three starts. The Florida offense is strong, 9th in all of baseball in runs scored, while the Reds are 27th. Play Marlins.
Michael Cannon
Chicago White Sox -125 at SEATTLE
Take the White Sox for the road win over the Mariners.
Chicago has the advantage in the pitching matchup, as John Danks goes against Brandon Morrow.
Danks is 12-9 with a 3.71 ERA on the year and has recorded seven straight quality starts. The left-hander is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA during that stretch.
Morrow recorded his first win in more than two months on Saturday against Texas. The right-hander started the season in the bullpen before being moved into the rotation. He’s 1-4 with a 5.29 ERA on the year.
The White Sox have had problems getting hits with runners in scoring position, but they should get plenty of opportunities to right that ship against Morrow.
Chicago has alternated wins and losses over its last 10 games and is coming off a 4-1 defeat last night.
Take the White Sox as they keep that trend going with the win tonight.
2♦ CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Chicago White Sox -125 at SEATTLE
Take the White Sox for the road win over the Mariners.
Chicago has the advantage in the pitching matchup, as John Danks goes against Brandon Morrow.
Danks is 12-9 with a 3.71 ERA on the year and has recorded seven straight quality starts. The left-hander is 3-1 with a 2.31 ERA during that stretch.
Morrow recorded his first win in more than two months on Saturday against Texas. The right-hander started the season in the bullpen before being moved into the rotation. He’s 1-4 with a 5.29 ERA on the year.
The White Sox have had problems getting hits with runners in scoring position, but they should get plenty of opportunities to right that ship against Morrow.
Chicago has alternated wins and losses over its last 10 games and is coming off a 4-1 defeat last night.
Take the White Sox as they keep that trend going with the win tonight.
2♦ CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Lenny Del Genio
PHI (-300) vs WAS
Slim pickings on the Thursday MLB card, so we might as well go with the easiest call on the board here as Philadelphia hosts division rival Washington. The Nationals are 17-41 in division games this year, which is obviously terrible. Even worse is that they are 0-11 on the road since the start of the 2008 season when revenging consecutive losses by two runs or less. They are 13-45 after scoring one run or less over that same time, a record that speaks for itself considering it means they've scored zero or one run 58 times in two years. Toeing the rubber for Washington will be Ross Detwiler, and all he's done is go 0-5 in 10 starts (NINE team losses!) with an 11.68 ERA in his last three starts. Philly has dominated lefties this year, going 28-15.
PHI (-300) vs WAS
Slim pickings on the Thursday MLB card, so we might as well go with the easiest call on the board here as Philadelphia hosts division rival Washington. The Nationals are 17-41 in division games this year, which is obviously terrible. Even worse is that they are 0-11 on the road since the start of the 2008 season when revenging consecutive losses by two runs or less. They are 13-45 after scoring one run or less over that same time, a record that speaks for itself considering it means they've scored zero or one run 58 times in two years. Toeing the rubber for Washington will be Ross Detwiler, and all he's done is go 0-5 in 10 starts (NINE team losses!) with an 11.68 ERA in his last three starts. Philly has dominated lefties this year, going 28-15.
philadelphia .....home of the famous "tony lutes roast pork sandwich with broccoli rabe & provolone"
later on in the night jim's steaks at 4th & south......"green pepper cheese steak"
then.............tastycake choc cupcakes
ope:
its "tony lukes"
and if your in the city weekdays the best pork and steak by far in the city is
johns roast pork right down the raod from the stadiums
@)
I subscribe to his plays but can tell you that he will not release his play until 20 minutes before the game. He does not want his subscribers to lose value on his plays by there being posted. All plays are documented on the blog "THE GAMNLERS FINAL WORD" and will vouch that his record is accurate.
Posted record:
RANDIZZLES *POD* TRACKING:
(35-10-1 L 46 *POD'S*)
Randizzles (cfb) Week 1&2 Record:
Colo St +11.5 (5 Units) *WIN*
Cincy +5 (5 Units) *WIN*
Miami +6.5 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
G.Tech -5 (5.5 Units) *Lose*
Toledo/Colorado -Over 54 (5 Units) *WIN*
N.Dame -ml (7.5 Units) *Lose*
Ohio St +7.5 (15 Units) *WIN* *POD*
Sc/Georgia Over 39.5 (5 Units) *WIN*
Record Week 1&2 = 11-4 +59 Units=+$5,950
Colo St +11.5 (5 Units) *WIN*
Cincy +5 (5 Units) *WIN*
Miami +6.5 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
G.Tech -5 (5.5 Units) *Lose*
Toledo/Colorado -Over 54 (5 Units) *WIN*
N.Dame -ml (7.5 Units) *Lose*
Ohio St +7.5 (15 Units) *WIN* *POD*
Sc/Georgia Over 39.5 (5 Units) *WIN*
Record Week 1&2 = 11-4 +59 Units=+$5,950
Randizzles (nfl) Week 1 Record:
Titans +7 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
Miami +4.5 (5.5 Units) *Lose*
Washington +7 (5 Units) *WIN*
GB Packers -4 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
Pats/Bills Over 47 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
La Raiders +11 (5 Units) *WIN*
Record Week 1 = 5-1 +34 Units=+$3,400
Note:All members plays are posted on the blog & twitter right after kickoff
or 1st pitch etc....done for tracking purposes. Bonus Plays are posted 30 minutes
before games start.
Titans +7 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
Miami +4.5 (5.5 Units) *Lose*
Washington +7 (5 Units) *WIN*
GB Packers -4 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
Pats/Bills Over 47 (10 Units) *WIN* *POD*
La Raiders +11 (5 Units) *WIN*
Record Week 1 = 5-1 +34 Units=+$3,400
Note:All members plays are posted on the blog & twitter right after kickoff
or 1st pitch etc....done for tracking purposes. Bonus Plays are posted 30 minutes
before games start.
:money8:
