Thursday 09/03/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday 09/03/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be used for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 1

Thursday, September 3

S CAROLINA (7 - 6) at NC STATE (6 - 7) - 9/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (3 - 9) at UTAH (13 - 0) - 9/3/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (10 - 3) at BOISE ST (12 - 1) - 9/3/2009, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 79-45 ATS (+29.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 61-35 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-18 ATS (+22.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63 since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (8 - 5) at BOWLING GREEN (6 - 6) - 9/3/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NORTH TEXAS (1 - 11) at BALL ST (12 - 2) - 9/3/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
BALL ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF SHORT SHEET


Week 1

Thursday, 9/3/2009

S CAROLINA at NC STATE, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
S CAROLINA: 6-0 Under 1st month of the season
NC STATE: 13-3 Under on Thursdays

UTAH ST at UTAH, 9:00 PM ET MTN
UTAH ST: 8-4 ATS in road games
UTAH: 6-0 Over when the total is between 49.5 and 56

OREGON at BOISE ST, 10:15 PM ET ESPN
OREGON: 7-0 Over vs. WAC
BOISE ST: 42-18 ATS in home games

TROY at BOWLING GREEN, 7:00 PM ET
TROY: 13-4 Over in non-conf road games
BOWLING GREEN: 7-2 ATS as an underdog

(TC) NORTH TEXAS at BALL ST, 7:30 PM ET ESPNU
NORTH TEXAS: 23-40 ATS in non-conf games
BALL ST: 7-0 ATS in September

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF WRITE-UP

Thursday's games

NC State covered just four of last 19 as a home favorite; they lost 34-0 to Gamecocks LY (+14), completing 5-20 passes for 49 yards. Wolfpack covered just three of last ten non-ACC games. South Carolina is 11-15 vs spread in non-SEC games since '02, 4-5-1 in last ten on road-- their SEC opener at Georgia is next week. Both teams have soph QBs and three of LY's starters on offensive line back this season.

Utah won its last 11 games vs Utah State, winning last five by average score of 44-8; Utes have new starting QB and only 12 starters back, but they're 21-12 vs spread in last 33 home games, 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games in this series. Aggies have new coach, 16 starters back- they lost last five visits here by average of 17 points. Utes won 58-10 last year.

Oregon has new coach, only nine starters back from LY; they lost six of top 10 guys on OL, but are 16-11 vs spread on road since '04. Boise St. (+10) won 37-32 in Eugene two years ago, passing for 286 yards. Ducks covered 14 of last 22 non-league games, are 9-5 in last 14 as a road dog. Boise is 10-6 as home favorite under Peterson. Neither team has senior starter on OL, but lefty soph Moore started at QB all last year.

North Texas is 8-39 SU last four years, 11-21 vs spread as road dog the last six years- they have all five starters back on OL, but have new QB, who happens to be the coach's son. Ball State has new coach, new QB and only four starters back on offense- they're 11-5 vs spread as a home favorite since '02. Mean Green has veteran OL with 103 career starts.

Troy covered seven of last nine tries as road favorite- this is same team that led 31-3 in third quarter at LSU LY, so they have talent, but they're also playing at Florida next year, could be looking ahead. Bowling Green covered six of last seven as home dog, but this is first time they've been home dog in few years. Falcons have senior QB with 25 career starts, but have only three starters back on defense, and a new coach.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 1

Trend Report

Thursday, September 3

1:00 PM
NORTH DAKOTA STATE vs. IOWA STATE
No trends available
Iowa State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
South Carolina is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
South Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
North Carolina State is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
VILLANOVA vs. TEMPLE
Villanova is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Villanova is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Temple is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Temple's last 19 games

7:00 PM
TROY vs. BOWLING GREEN
Troy is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Troy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Bowling Green is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
COASTAL CAROLINA vs. KENT STATE
No trends available
Kent State is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Kent State is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games

7:30 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. BALL STATE
North Texas is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
North Texas is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Ball State is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Ball State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

8:00 PM
EASTERN KENTUCKY vs. INDIANA
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Indiana is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

9:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. UTAH
Utah State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah
Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:15 PM
OREGON vs. BOISE STATE
Oregon is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oregon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boise State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Boise State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

your in the wrong thread

 

[FalconPhan]

any of the drs?

 

[BobSakamano]

I'd love to see Boooj if anyone has him

 

[ace911]

BOB VALENTINO

The College Football season kicks off Thursday, and I'm coming out firing!​

30 DIME WINNER #5 IN A ROW

College Football Bookie Basher
Utah State at Utah​

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Rickenbach

NFL Pre-Season Free Pick Opinion Play for Week Four:

Play the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (+) @ New York Jets on Thursday, September 3rd at 7 PM ET:

Consider a small play on the EAGLES in this match-up. We faded the Eagles right here AGAIN last week (and it AGAIN paid off) as Philadelphia AGAIN lost outright as a favorite. We are a perfect 3-0 right here in this spot in going against the Eagles as we’ve done it in each of their first three preseason games. Once again, in Week Four, we are going to turn to the Eagles game to make some cash. However, unlike the first three weeks of the Preseason, the Eagles are not favored in this spot. As a result, we’ll grab the value with the points (as of Tuesday morning: a full +3) on the road dog Eagles! As noted previously, the Eagles training camp definitely was dealt some tough injuries. First it was linebacker Stewart Bradley (a starter!) and rookie tight end Cornelius Ingram. They were each lost to season-ending ACL injuries. Then, QB Kevin Kolb and defensive end Trent Cole were each lost to injury and were forced to miss some valuable pre-season time. However, in the Week Four game is when these injury factors take on the least significance.

After the ‘dress rehearsal’ games of Week Three, Week Four is simply a chance for all the back-ups to see some time and we feel the Eagles back-ups are superior to the Jets in this match-up. Additionally, the Jets are coming off of a very tight win over the Giants last week so there is certainly very little motivation for them this week to win, let alone cover this game. Note that Philadelphia has already failed to cover each of their first three preseason games but they were favored in all three. The dogs have been barking loudly in the preseason and we look for more of the same in Week Four. Note that in Thursday games, home favorites are currently on a 6-19-2 ATS run and that includes an ugly 3-5 mark this season. Last Thursday, in Week Three, all three home teams were favored and all three failed to cover the spread with two losing outright. Only one home team won their Thursday game and the Eagles – favored by a TD – only won their game by a single point. Now the Eagles are finally on the right side of the point spread equation and we look for them to be the “barking dog” in this Thursday match-up. Look for the QB rotations to give the Eagles the edge in this one! Consider a small play on the EAGLES on Thursday evening. Thanks for checking in here and best of luck always in all your sports gaming from Scott Rickenbach!

 

[doncrizz]

From Lt. Dan

RAS early College FB for 9/5/2009... watch the #'s move!

#147 Akron +27

#170 E Mich -5

#183 ID +3

#199 MTSU +19'

All for 1 Unit

All those lines have moved 1/2 point or full point already, including the under ball state(now 58)

 

[Spaded707]

Does anyone subscribe to Adam Meyer, I wanna see how he does this year?

 

[SteveMcQueen]

If anyone is interested in getting in on the next month of our soccer group, let me know. Our current month ends on Sunday.

I also would love to see who the Boooj has.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free college football pick from Doc's Sports - #206 Take Memphis +16 ½ over Mississippi (Sunday 3:30 pm ESPN)

The Rebels are getting a lot of pub this season and many experts have them winning the SEC West. They have a top notch quarterback in Jevan Snead, but I wonder if they are good enough to lay this much wood on the road against a team that is only 85 miles away from there campus. Ole Miss was just 9-4 last year and four of their five road games were decided by four points or less. Memphis is bad, but they lost by just 17 points last season in Oxford and I suspect this will be a much closer game then what the experts believe. Doc’s Sports has a strong card going to open up college football, jump on the victory train now!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free college football pick from: Dave Busk - Take #158 Miami, Ohio (+15) over Kentucky (Noon, Saturday, Sept. 5)

The oddsmakers open this line at Kentucky (-13.5) and some early betting has pushed this number past the key number fourteen. This Miami program has gone through some changes since their 2-10 season last year with the biggest change coming with the new head coach Mike Heywood. Heywood has been a assistant with some high profiled schools (Texas, Notre Dame and LSU) has immediately installed discipline into this program. This team has some pieces in place including starting quarterback Daniel Raudadaugh who from what I gather has been sharp in the offseason. I expect Miami, Ohio to be competitive in this game. I made this line Kentucky -9 and I will back the overlay with the doggie here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free college football pick from: Vegas Sports Informer - Take #154 Notre Dame (-14.5) over Nevada (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)

The Irish are set for a big season and will get off to a great start. They are 5-2 against the spared as a favorite and have had all summer to prepare for Nevada’s dangerous running game.

Free college football pick from: Indian Cowboy - Take ‘Under’ 38 Virginia Tech vs. Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 5)

It is always tough being the new quarterback and having to get settled quickly into the season. This is what Greg McElroy will be facing in his first game as a starter with a national audience on ABC. Virginia Tech has a sound defense and this team closed the season winning four straight including defeating a very good Cincinnati team. Alabama still sports one of the best defenses in the country – if not the best on paper. I expect the defense to step up today after having tough results in the final two games of last year. After all, Nick Saban in press conferences continues to remind his players and others that this team gave up 31 points in back to back games to Florida and Utah to close the year. I expect this game to be hard fought with points coming in relatively difficulty as I have this game likely going under the posted total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

Game: Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints Sep 3 2009 8:00PM

Prediction: Miami Dolphins

Reason: Each week of the preseason is unique and Week 4 is no exception. Some teams still want to accomplish something and others have already achieved their goals. I believe that the Saints fall into the latter category. With a 3-0 record and having outscored opponents by a 100-28 margin, they've arguably been the most impressive team in the preseason. While New Orleans' perfect record has helped give us some added line value with the Dolphins, it doesn't necessarily mean that the Saints will win this week's game vs. Miami.

Looking back to last preseason and we find that the Saints entered Week 4 with a 2-1 record and off a double-digit victory. Their Week 4 game came against these same Dolphins and was also played here at New Orleans. What happened? The Saints managed less than 99 yards of offense and lost outright by a score of 14-10.

Like the Saints, the Dolphins have gone 3-0. Getting a field goal or more to work with, I feel that "taking the points" is the way to go. Consider Miami.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JR O'Donnell

NCAA-F | Sep 03

South Carolina vs. NC State

South Carolina +5-106

THE BETTING WORLD LINING UP ON THE NC STATE PACK...... NOT THE RIGHT MOVE HERE THURSDAY... We Note :::: South Carolina Gamecocks +5 as SC is in a [[[83% cover]]] spot in the New season's 1st dog spot...
public gets murdered here

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Craig Trapp

NCAA-F | Sep 03

Oregon vs. Boise State

Boise State -4-104

Boise State returns almost every key offensive star from an undefeated regular season last year. They did lose some key wide receivers but BSU has always spread the ball around and they have plenty of weapons on the outside to replace there losses. One of the biggest strengths of the offense is a great offensive line who only allowed one sack per game last year. Last year freshman QB Kellen Moore burst onto the scene and dominated his opponents leading his team to the 12th best scoring offense in all of college football. But for once the Broncos have a running game to balance out the high powered air attack. This balance makes them almost impossible to stop.

Defensively the Broncos were very stout last year only giving up 12 pts per game which ranked them #3 in points scored for all of college football. They do lose a few players off last years team but depth is very good and the drop off will be very minimal.

Oregon's calling card has been offense in recent years. Last year they averaged over 41 pts per game which was good enough for 7th best in all of college football. Coach Mike Bellotti has moved on to become athletic director and last years offensive coordinator Kelly assumes the head coaching spot. The Ducks will score a ton of points this season even though they lost half there starters. The bigger question last year and this year is the defense. One of the worst defenses in all of football last year they gave up nearly 400 yards per game. The defense will not be much better this year but with such a good offense they don't have to be world beaters to win most games this year.

BSU has equal talent and a better offense they will cover the -4 here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Carlo Campanella

NFL | Sep 03

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Carolina Panthers

Pittsburgh Steelers +3½-110

We cashed on our "Preseason Shocker of the Year" on Saturday, August 22 when Washington upset Pittsburgh, 17-13. Pittsburgh returned from that road loss to pitch a shutout at home, beating Buffalo 17-0 last Saturday. Pittsburgh's defense was awesome, holding the Bills to only 8 first downs, compared to Pittsburgh's 20! Even more impressive was not allowing a 3rd down conversion, as Buffalo was 0-8 on their 3rd down plays. Pittsburgh is now 2-1 SU during Preseason play and expecting this Steelers squad to head into the Regular season with a victory in their final exhibition game as we find them at 3-1 ATS in their final Preseason game the past four years. Must take the points here, knowing that Steelers HC Mike Tomlin likes to build momentum by bringing a win into the Regular season and they own a 3-1 SU & ATS series advantage over Carolina.

7* Play On Pittsburgh