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Preview: Cardinals at Cubs
Gracenote
Jul 18, 2018

The Chicago Cubs hope three days off didn’t upend the momentum they had established before the All-Star break as they prepare to begin a five-game series against the visiting St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday. The Cardinals, on the other hand, hope the second half brings a fresh start.


The Cubs won 12 of their last 15 before the break, going from 2 1/2 games behind Milwaukee in the National League Central to a 2 1/2-game division lead. St. Louis won its first-half finale - its first game under interim manager Mike Shildt - but begins the second half at a crossroads. The Cardinals are 48-46 and 7 1/2 games behind the Cubs, and this week’s series could go a long way toward determining whether they are buyers or sellers at the trade deadline. St. Louis has won five of eight meetings this season, but the teams have split two games at Wrigley Field.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, ESPN


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Carlos Martinez (6-5, 3.08 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Kyle Hendricks (6-8, 3.92)

Martinez had won three straight starts, posting quality starts in all three, before losing to Cincinnati in his last outing of the first half. The 26-year-old Dominican allowed three runs over five innings in suffering his first loss at home since May 8. Martinez is 4-4 with a 4.58 ERA in 25 games (15 starts) against the Cubs, including a no-decision June 16 in which he gave up three runs over five frames.

Hendricks had a bumpy first half as he battled his fastball command, but he also suffered from a lack of run support. The Cubs scored a single run in eight of the 28-year-old’s 19 starts. Hendricks is 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA in 11 starts against the Cardinals, including a win June 16 in St. Louis.


WALK-OFFS

1. The Cubs activated RHP Carl Edwards Jr. from paternity leave on Tuesday and expect to have CF Albert Almora Jr. back Thursday.

2. St. Louis SS Yairo Munoz is 8-for-24 with two homers and seven RBIs during a six-game hitting streak.

3. Chicago RF Jason Heyward (8-for-23) and 2B Javier Baez (7-for-24) are both riding five-game hitting streaks entering the second half.


PREDICTION: Cardinals 5, Cubs 3
 

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Trends - St. Louis at Chi. Cubs

W/L Trends
St. Louis

Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cardinals are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games.
Cardinals are 20-43 in their last 63 games following an off day.
Cardinals are 6-14 in their last 20 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win.

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 12-3 in their last 15 overall.
Cubs are 12-3 in their last 15 games on grass.
Cubs are 39-14 in their last 54 Thursday games.
Cubs are 8-3 in their last 11 games following a win.
Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cubs are 36-16 in their last 52 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Cubs are 47-23 in their last 70 home games.
Cubs are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 8-2 in Hendricks' last 10 Thursday starts.
Cubs are 7-3 in Hendricks' last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
Cubs are 2-6 in Hendricks' last 8 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 1-4 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
Cubs are 1-4 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Cubs are 1-6 in Hendricks' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.

OU Trends
St. Louis

Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 overall.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following an off day.

Chi. Cubs

Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 overall.
Over is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Cubs last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 vs. National League Central.
Under is 9-2 in Cubs last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 games following a win.
Under is 6-2 in Cubs last 8 during game 1 of a series.
Over is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 games following an off day.
Over is 5-2 in Cubs last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
Under is 22-4-1 in Hendricks' last 27 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 15-3 in Hendricks' last 18 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Hendricks' last 5 Thursday starts.
Under is 12-3 in Hendricks' last 15 starts vs. National League Central.
Under is 21-7 in Hendricks' last 28 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 8-3 in Hendricks' last 11 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 19-8 in Hendricks' last 27 starts on grass.
Under is 19-8 in Hendricks' last 27 starts overall.
Under is 35-15-1 in Hendricks' last 51 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 37-16-1 in Hendricks' last 54 home starts.

Head to Head

Cubs are 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.
Cardinals are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 19


Top Five OVER Teams:

1. Reds 51-40-5
2. Indians 50-41-4
3. Athletics 47-42-8
4. Marlins 50-46-2
5. Pirates 47-44-6


Top Five UNDER Teams:

1. Nationals 56-38-2
2. Tigers 56-39-3
3. Orioles 54-39-4
4. Rays 54-40-4
5. Royals 51-40-4


Top Five Homer Umpires (based on home win %, min. 6 games behind home plate):

1. Nick Mahrley (6-0) $647
2. Mike DiMuro (14-2) $1410
3. Roberto Ortiz (8-2) $798
4. David Rackley (11-3) $745
5. Bill Welke (14-5) $844


Top Five Roadie Umpires (based on away team win %, min. 6 games behind home plate):

1. Ben May 12-0
2. Jim Reynolds 14-5
3. Dan Iassogna 5-2
t4. Mike Winters 11-6
t4. Adam Hamari 11-6


Top Five Money Starters (based on $100 wager per start):

1. Luis Severino, NYY (18-2) $1435
2. Jon Lester, CHC (16-3) $1275
3. Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS (16-3) $1160
4. Mike Fiers, DET (11-7) $943
5. Gerrit Cole, HOU (16-4) $893


Worst Five Money Starters (based on $100 wager per start):

278. Tanner Roark, WAS (5-14) $-1263
277. Kyle Hendricks, CHC (7-12) $-1251
276. Alex Cobb, BAL (3-14) $-1085
275. Kevin Gausman, BAL (5-14) $-974
274. Justin Verlander, HOU (12-9) $-952


Top Five Money Teams (based on $100 wager per game):

1. Boston Red Sox (68-30) $2318
2. Oakland A's (55-42) $1874
3. Seattle Mariners (58-39) $1589
4. Atlanta Braves (52-42) $1208
5. Philadelphia Phillies (53-42) $1140


Worst Five Money Teams (based on $100 wager per game):

30. Baltimore Orioles (28-69) $-3716
29. Kansas City Royals (27-68) $-3033
28. Chicago White Sox (33-62) $-1813
27. Washington Nationals (48-48) $-1782
26. New York Mets (39-55) $1667
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 19


National League
Cardinals (48-46) @ Cubs (55-38)
Martinez is 3-1, 3.00 in his last four starts; over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Team in his starts: 9-7, 4-3 on road.
5-inning record: 7-7-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-16

Hendricks is 1-0, 2.95 in his last three starts; under is 10-4-1 in his last 15. Team in his starts: 7-12, 4-5 at home
5-inning record: 5-8-6. Allowed run in 1st inning: 10-19

St Louis lost three of its last four games; they’re 8-7 in road series openers. Five of their last six games went over. Cubs won six of their last eight games; they’re 8-8 in home series openers. Last four Chicago games went over.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 7/15
Ariz 24-19-5……22-18-8……..46-37
Atl 22-20-7…..21-16-8………43-36
Cubs 18-20-12……20-16-7…….38-36
Reds 16-29-4……18-24-4….…34-53
Colo 26-14-12……26-15-5……51-30
LA 21-17-6…….25-18-11……47-35
Miami 18-24-5…..20-22-10…….38-46
Milw 20-22-8…..26-18-4…….46-40
Mets 19-23-2……17-21-13…..36-42
Philly 20-19-10…..24-14-7……44-33
Pitt 18-20-6……25-17-11……..43-37
StL 23-18-5……21-23-4………44-41
SD 17-24-9……17-25-6…….34-48
SF 21-19-10…..17-20-11………38-38
Wash 21-19-10..…18-21-7………39-40

Orioles 12-26-10…….14-28-8……26-54
Boston 26-16-10……27-14-5……..53-30
W Sox 13-31-4…..…15-26-7…..…28-57
Indians 20-17-8……32-12-7……52-29
Det 18-24-8……20-21-10.……38-45
Astros 22-14-11……28-15-10…….50-28
KC 15-26-8…….15-25-7…..30-51
Angels 24-19-7……18-21-8……42-40
Twins 16-21-8……22-23-7…..38-44
NYY 25-15-9……27-13-7…….52-27
A’s 18-24-10……14-21-10……32-45
Seattle 26-19-7……23-15-10……49-33
TB 23-19-11……22-15-6……45-33
Texas 17-26-7…..14-27-6…….31-53
Toronto 13-25-8……16-23-11……29-48

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 7/15)
Ariz 21-48…….16-49…..…36
Atl 16-49……16-45………32
Cubs 9-50……..17-43………26
Reds 11-49……..11-47………22
Colo 19-50…….21-46.……40
LA 13-44……..20-52..…..33
Miami 12-47……..14-51…….26
Milw 16-50…..…15-48……..31
Mets 17-43……..15-51…….32
Philly 10-49……..15-46…….25
Pitt 11-44……..16-53……..27
StL 15-46……..14-48…….29
SD 13-50……..12-49…….25
SF 10-48………17-51..…..27
Wash 18-50……..11-46……..29

Orioles 15-48……..15-49………29
Boston 14-51……19-47………32
White Sox 13-47……14-48…….26
Clev 13-45…….20-50……..33
Detroit 15-50……..15-48….…30
Astros 13-46…..…13-53………26
KC 14-49..…….12-46…….26
Angels 14-50…..….12-47…….26
Twins 12-43………12-51…….23
NYY 11-49……..18-46………29
A’s 11-52…..…..11-45…….22
Seattle 19-49………15-48……..33
TB 16-53..……14-43……..30
Texas 9-50…….…10-47……18
Toronto 9-46………11-49….…20

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 48-45 NL, favorites +$117
AL @ NL– 53-40 NL, favorites -$976
Total: 101-85 NL, favorites -$859
 

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MLB

Thursday, July 19

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Trend Report
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St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
St. Louis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Chi Cubs is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 15 games at home
Chi Cubs is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis
 

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MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, July 19

St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 951-952
July 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Mrtinez) 13.996
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 17.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-155
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-155); N/A
 

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MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, July 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (48 - 46) at CHICAGO CUBS (55 - 38) - 7:05 PM
CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 48-46 (-9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-29 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1750-1800 (-264.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 375-308 (-77.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 934-838 (-156.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 432-385 (-82.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 111-90 (-19.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 82-69 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 125-111 (-36.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
HENDRICKS is 7-12 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HENDRICKS is 4-12 (-15.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-3 (+2.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)

CARLOS MARTINEZ vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
MARTINEZ is 4-4 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.570.
His team's record is 9-6 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-5. (+3.0 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HENDRICKS is 3-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.109.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-5. (+1.7 units)
 

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Frank Sawyer
Jul 19 '18, 7:30 PM in 11h
CFL | Saskatchewan vs Hamilton
Play on: UNDER 51½ -109


Take Under the Total in the game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and the Hamilton Tiger-Cats. These two teams had a bye last week after Saskatchewan (2-2) defeated Hamilton by an 18-13 score back on July 5th. The Roughriders have played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. Saskatchewan has also played 6 of their last 7 games Under the Total on the road. Hamilton (2-2) played 6 of their last 8 games Under the Total after a straight-up loss. The Tiger-Cats have also played a decisive 38 of their last 52 games at home. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.
 

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Scott Rickenbach
Jul 19 '18, 7:30 PM in 11h
CFL | Saskatchewan vs Hamilton
Play on: OVER 51 -109


Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach CFL Game #371 Thursday Free Pick OVER the total in Hamilton Tigercats vs Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 7:30 ET - Two weeks ago the match-up between these teams in Saskatchewan stayed well under the total but the over is 7-2 in Hamilton's games between Games 5 and 9 the past two seasons. Also, despite that under, the Roughriders are still 6-3 to the over in their last 9 July games. In other words, this is a point in a season in which both of these teams have trended strongly toward high-scoring games. Also, as a road dog of 10.5 to 14 points, Saskatchewan is a long-term 15-8 to the over. Overall, look for the over to improve to 4-0 the last 4 times the Riders have been a double digit dog. In their game two weeks ago the Ti-cats somehow managed only 13 points despite 25 first downs in the game plus 322 passing yards in the game. You know they're going to be extra hungry at home after the way that one played out but the Roughriders have averaged 27.3 points per game in their last 3 meetings with the Tigercats. Considering that as well as the double digit line here one can see why it would not be a big surprise to see this game total reach into the 60s on Thursday! Free Pick OVER the total in Hamilton
 

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Bobby Conn
Jul 19 '18, 10:05 PM in 9h
WNBA | Aces vs Mercury
Play on: Aces +9½ -102
 

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Alex Smart
Jul 19 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Cardinals vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -145 at betonline


CARLOS MARTINEZ (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)


Hendricks after some surprising early season struggles has pitched well of late and has started to find himself including in his last outing when he allowed a pair of runs and five hits in five innings in an 11-6 victory over the San Diego Padres."That's the Kyle we know and love," Cubs manager Joe Maddon told reporters after Hendricks' gem in San Francisco. With Hendricks in top form and well rested Im betting the Cubs have an edge over a St.Louis cards group with a 20-43 record in their last 63 games following time off.


Cardinals are also just 1-5 in their starters Martinezs last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.Cardinals are 0-4 in Martinezs last 4 starts vs. National League Central.Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter


Cubs are 12-3 in their last 15 overall.


Cubs are 5-0 in Hendricks' last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.


Play on the Chicago Cubs on the moneyline
 

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Totals4U


Thursday's Free Selection: Saskatchewan/Hamilton under 50 1/2
 

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Atlantic Sports


Thursday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Hamilton - 10
 

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John Anthony Sports


Thursday's Free Selection: Washington Mystics + 4 (WNBA)
 

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