Thursday 07/16/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Sunday 07/12/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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FYI, let's limit the comps to the first 2 pages, I need this thread to be utilized for chatter and what games members would like to pick up or split. Service thread getting way to much chatter. Ty.
 
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MLB LONG SHEET


Thursday, July 16

CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 43) at WASHINGTON (26 - 61) - 7:05 PM
RICH HARDEN (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-43 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-25 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-43 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 496-472 (-105.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 26-61 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 23-53 (-22.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 21-46 (-21.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-27 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-58 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 16-44 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-44 (-21.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 4-20 (-15.0 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-42 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICH HARDEN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HARDEN is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LANNAN is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.350.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

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MILWAUKEE (45 - 43) at CINCINNATI (42 - 45) - 7:10 PM
BRADEN LOOPER (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 16-29 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 26-18 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 34-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 34-24 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 43-55 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BAILEY is 1-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 0-7 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 1-11 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
LOOPER is 5-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.19 and a WHIP of 0.961.
His team's record is 7-2 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (+0.1 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
BAILEY is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.55 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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NY METS (42 - 45) at ATLANTA (43 - 45) - 7:10 PM
OLIVER PEREZ (L) vs. DEREK LOWE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 47-61 (-29.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 87-87 (-15.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 67-66 (-14.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PEREZ is 24-12 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 43-45 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 43-45 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 79-91 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 19-25 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 14-21 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LOWE is 0-5 (-9.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -175 to -200 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-3 (-0.4 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

OLIVER PEREZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
PEREZ is 6-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 8-6 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.7 units)

DEREK LOWE vs. NY METS since 1997
LOWE is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.762.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)

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COLORADO (47 - 41) at SAN DIEGO (36 - 52) - 10:05 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. CHAD GAUDIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 7-16 (-10.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 48-113 (-51.8 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 13-21 (-10.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 155-141 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 34-27 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 119-99 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
COOK is 10-3 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 99-150 (-47.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 11-26 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 99-150 (-47.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-111 (-39.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 18-33 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 38-70 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-3 (+1.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

AARON COOK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
COOK is 12-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.37 and a WHIP of 1.115.
His team's record is 12-8 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-11. (-4.8 units)

CHAD GAUDIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
GAUDIN is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

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HOUSTON (44 - 44) at LA DODGERS (56 - 32) - 10:10 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. RANDY WOLF (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 56-32 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 12-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
LA DODGERS are 56-32 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 41-22 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WOLF is 30-22 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 19-6 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 30-22 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WOLF is 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 130-119 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 59-63 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 126-117 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 69-60 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-15 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.281.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

RANDY WOLF vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WOLF is 4-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.89 and a WHIP of 1.140.
His team's record is 5-7 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)

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SEATTLE (46 - 42) at CLEVELAND (35 - 54) - 7:05 PM
GARRETT OLSON (L) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 69-99 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 238-224 (-74.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 21-4 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 46-42 (+6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 43-38 (+6.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 44-42 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 35-54 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-25 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 32-48 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 18-29 (-11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LEE is 5-14 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
LEE is 4-14 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
LEE is 3-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
LEE is 2-9 (-8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GARRETT OLSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
OLSON is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.833.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
LEE is 7-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.173.
His team's record is 8-2 (+5.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.7 units)

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LA ANGELS (49 - 37) at OAKLAND (37 - 49) - 10:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. DALLAS BRADEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 49-37 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 73-51 (+27.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 9-2 (+8.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 26-10 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 17-6 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 46-31 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 53-38 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 49-28 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-27 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 37-21 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-40 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-78 (-25.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-31 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANTANA is 9-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.38 and a WHIP of 1.018.
His team's record is 10-3 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-10. (-7.8 units)

DALLAS BRADEN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BRADEN is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (48 - 38) at FLORIDA (46 - 44) - 7:10 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. CHRIS VOLSTAD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 130-121 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 76-56 (+27.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 19-10 (+11.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
FLORIDA is 126-116 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 21-11 (+11.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
FLORIDA is 62-61 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 253-266 (+47.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 151-111 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-15 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-20 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-12 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-38 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-9 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-19 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MOYER is 33-20 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 18-9 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 11-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 12-2 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 14-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 55-42 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against FLORIDA this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
MOYER is 12-2 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.098.
His team's record is 12-2 (+9.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-6. (+1.8 units)

CHRIS VOLSTAD vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
VOLSTAD is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 1.084.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)
 
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MLB SHORT SHEET


Thursday, 7/16/2009

National League

CHICAGO CUBS at WASHINGTON, 7:05 PM ET
HARDEN: Cubs 117-67 as favorite
LANNAN: WAS 4-20 off shutout loss

MILWAUKEE at CINCINNATI, 7:10 PM ET
LOOPER: 7-2 TSR, 3.19 ERA vs. Cincinnati
BAILEY: 0-7 TSR at home

NY METS at ATLANTA, 7:10 PM ET
PEREZ: NYM 13-1 Over off 3+ home games
LOWE: 0-5 TSR as a home favorite of -175 to -200

COLORADO at SAN DIEGO, 10:05 PM ET
COOK: 10-3 TSR off win
GAUDIN: SD 10-27 off BB road games

HOUSTON at LA DODGERS, 10:10 PM ET
RODRIGUEZ: HOU 30-18 Under as underdog
WOLF: LAD 19-3 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

American League

SEATTLE at CLEVELAND, 7:05 PM ET
OLSON: SEA as a road underdog of +150 or more
LEE: 2-9 TSR vs. teams with winning records

LA ANGELS at OAKLAND, 10:05 PM ET
SANTANA: 17-5 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10
BRADEN: 3-11 TSR as a favorite

Write-In Game

PHILADELPHIA at FLORIDA, 7:10 PM ET
MOYER: 18-9 TSR in road games
VOLSTAD: FLA 14-6 Over at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Thursday, July 16

Hot Pitchers
-- Lannan is 4-1, 3.42 in his last six starts.
-- Bailey has a 2.81 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Cook is 4-0, 1.24 in his last four road starts. Gaudin is 2-1, 3.04 in his last four outings.
-- Astros won last four Rodriguez starts (3-0, 1.86). Wolf is 1-0, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Phillies won last four Moyer starts, scoring 28 runs.

-- Mariners won Olson's last four road starts (3-0, 3.57).
-- Braden is 2-0, 2.07 in his last couple starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Harden is 1-3, 7.77 in his last five starts.
-- Looper has a 6.29 RA in his last thirteen starts.
-- Lowe is 1-4, 7.50 in his last six starts. Mets are 0-3 on in Perez' three road starts (0-1, 12.71).
-- Volstad is 1-2, 7.98 in his last three home starts.

-- Indians lost Lee's last five starts (0-3, 5.40).
-- Santana is 0-3, 11.19 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won their last four home games.
-- Rockies are 27-9 in their last 36 games, 13-4 in last 17 on road.
-- Astros won six of their last eight games. Dodgers won seven of their last ten contests.
-- Phillies won nine of their last ten games. Marlins won ten of their last eleven home games.

-- Angels won seven of their last ten games. A's won five of their last seven home games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost nine of their last twelve road games. Nationals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Reds lost six of their last eight games. Brewers lost eight of last 11.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Padres lost ten of their last twelve games.

-- Indians lost five of their last seven games. Mariners lost nine of last twelve road series openers.

Totals
-- Under is 11-4-1 in Cubs' last sixteen road games.
-- Eight of last eleven Cincinnati home games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Colorado road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven games at Dodger Stadium stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last eleven Philly games stayed under the total.

-- Under is 18-6-1 in Seattle's last 25 road games.
-- 12 of Oakland's last 15 home games stayed under the total.
 
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Trend Report

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
Chi Cubs are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 4-9 SU in their last 13 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Chi Cubs

7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. CLEVELAND
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home

7:10 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games on the road
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
NY Mets are 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. FLORIDA
Philadelphia is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida
Florida is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

10:05 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN DIEGO
Colorado is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games
San Diego is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:05 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
LA Angels are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Oakland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels

10:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA DODGERS
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-175, 9)

The Atlanta Braves probably used the three-day All-Star break to recover from the painful 8-7 loss they suffered at Colorado on July 12. The Braves were leading 7-3 going into the seventh inning when the bullpen collapsed and allowed five runs in the last three frames.

Right-handed reliever Luis Valdez, who was appearing in his first Major League game, gave up an RBI double to Brad Hawpe in the ninth inning allowing the Rockies to take an 8-7 lead and win the game.

A win would have allowed the Braves to make it to the .500 mark for the first time since June 12.

Although Atlanta does not hold a stellar record, it has managed to keep games low scoring. The under is 7-2 in the Braves’ last nine games and 7-3 in their last 10 at home.

The Mets have also been a solid under bet. They have failed to surpass the total in six of their last nine games.

Pick: Under


Chicago Cubs at Washington Nationals (+100, 8.5)

The Washington Nationals’ disappointing first half of the season and MLB worst 26-61 record prompted manager Manny Acta’s firing on Monday.

“We feel that with a different voice and possibly a different feel in the ballclub, we can have a more successful second half of the season,” acting general manager Mike Rizzo told reporters.

“We think we have pieces in place here to have some type of success. We also acknowledge our flaws as a ballclub, and we're working hard before the trade deadline to address the flaws and make prudent baseball deals to address the flaws.”

The flaws that new manager Jim Riggleman adopts are numerous. The bullpen is a mess, the starting rotation is young and untested, and the club's defence is among the worst in the majors.

Riggleman will need more than a few days to correct the problems.

Pick: Cubs
 
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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Dallas Braden (Oakland Athletics)

Braden (7-7, 3.12 ERA) has delivered a quality start in nine of 10 games since May 16. During that span, he has allowed no more than three earned runs in a game and lasted at least six innings in all but one start. He also yielded two or fewer runs in eight straight starts.

In two starts this month, Braden has given up just three runs in 13 innings. Braden’s most recent start was a 7-2 win over the Rays in which he allowed only two runs on five hits in six innings. He missed time earlier this month to be with his ailing grandmother.

"These guys are absolutely throwing the snot out of the ball and you just want to go out there and do your job," Braden said of the team’s pitching staff to the Associated Press. "As a whole we want to put together a nice body of work and I think we're kind of on the right track to doing so."

Homer Bailey (Cincinnati Reds)

A month ago, Bailey would have thought his chances of solidifying a spot in the Reds rotation to be a long shot. But after turning in three straight strong starts, the 23-year-old has muscled himself back into the team’s plans.

Bailey (1-0, 5.16 ERA) has allowed just seven runs in his past 18 1-3 innings, including no more than three in each of his previous three starts since being recalled from Triple-A Louisville on June 27. In Bailey’s most recent start, a 3-2 loss at Philadelphia, the right-hander allowed two runs in six innings. He struke out six and didn't hand out any free passes in the outing as well.

The improved control has been the key for Bailey. He has 11 strikeouts against just two walks in his past two starts after issuing seven base on balls in a game earlier this year.


Slumping

Ervin Santana (Los Angeles Angels)

Santana probably should have stayed on the DL.

The right-hander has been hammered in his past two outings, allowing 11 runs in just nine innings. In his most recent start, an 8-1 loss to Texas, Santana (1-5, 7.81 ERA) allowed five runs on seven hits in four innings. The Rangers took advantage of Santana's location problems by tagging him with three long balls.

"It's simple pitching,” Angels manager Mike Scioscia told reporters. “It's getting ahead and putting guys away and tonight he struggled with that. Pitchers are going to go through stages like that, but they still find ways to win. That's what Ervin is searching for."

Rich Harden (Chicago Cubs)

The right-hander has been consistent for Chicago this season. However, that was before July.

Harden (5-6, 5.47 ERA) was roughed up in each of his previous two games – an 11-2 loss to Milwaukee and an 8-3 loss to St. Louis. The Brewers lit him up for seven runs on eight hits in only two innings, the shortest outing of his career. Against the Cardinals, Harden gave up four runs on seven hits and walked four in just five innings.

When asked to describe his recent performance, Harden had only two words: “Batting practice.”
 
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CFL LONG SHEET


Week 3

Thursday, July 16

BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at EDMONTON (1 - 1) - 7/16/2009, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 4-3 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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CFL WRITE-UP

Week 3 CFL games

Thursday, July 16

BC Lions (0-2) @ Edmonton (1-1)-- Brutal start to year for Lions, who lost first two games by combined total of seven points, including losing to 13-point underdog Hamilton last week. Edmonton was -3 in turnovers in both of its first two games; they've been outrushed 280-95 so far this season. Eskimos have been outscored 46-20 in second half of games.
 
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Trend Report

Thursday, July 16

9:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. EDMONTON
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Edmonton is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against British Columbia
 
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Canadian Bacon: Week 3 CFL predictions

Thursday, July 16

B.C. Lions (0-2) at Edmonton Eskimos (1-1) -4.5, 53

The Eskimos’ offensive line got crushed last week in Montreal, allowing the Alouettes to sack QB Ricky Ray six times. The same thing may happen against the B.C. Lions, who registered seven sacks in their first two games.

The Lions have their own issues on the O-line after releasing import left tackle Walter Stith earlier this week. He will be replaced by Daren Heerspink who was signed 10 days ago. Can he do a better job protecting Buck Pierce in his first game with the Lions?

Expect both defensive units to dominate this game by neutralizing the opposing quarterback. This game will be a close one, but the loss of kicker Paul McCallum might be too much for B.C. to overcome.

Pick: Edmonton
 
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Alex Smart

Oakland Athletics (-128)
Thu Jul 16 '09 10:05p

The LA Angels when they are healthy are an explosive offense team, but they now start the 2nd half of the season with a few key bats out of the lineup including Torii Hunter Vladimir Guerrero and possibly Juan Rivera who is is day-to-day with a tight hamstring). Considering the Angles banged up wings, the Oakland Athletics look like a very viable wagering option with the very capable Dallas Braden(7-7, 3.12 ERA) on the hill. It must be noted that the As are 7-2 L/9 when Braden starts against a wining team with a win % of .540 to .620 like LAA. The Halos are also at a disadvantage with their starting hurler Ervin Santana(1-5, 7.81 ERA), who has recorded a ugly 0-3 record along with a nasty looking 9.88 ERA in his last three trips to the hill. I know Santana has pitched well in the past vs the As, but all good things must eventually come to end.......... Play on the Oakland As
 
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Bob Harvey

Colorado Rockies (-124)
Thu Jul 16 '09 10:05p

Aaron Cook and the Rockies continue their pursuit of a playoff spot when they open the second half of the season against the Padres.

Cook has sizzled against San Diego in his career and he’s been especially dominate at Petco Park. Cooke is 5-1 with a 1.61 ERA in his last eight starts and is 12-4 with a 2.71 ERA lifetime against the Padres. He figures to improve on those numbers tonight against a San Diego squad that had lost seven in a row, averaging less than three runs per game before erupting for a 10-4 victory over San Francisco in the final game before the break. Overall Cooke is 8-3 with a 3.98 ERA. He along with all-star Jason Marquis have given Colorado a nice 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation.

Offensively, the Rockies remain one of the most dangerous teams in the NL. They’ve scored seven runs or more in three of its last five games, including an 8-7 win over Atlanta on Sunday to enter the break on a high note.

Colorado is 29-13 since Jim Tracy took over as manager and they’ve been a real cash cow especially on the road. The Rockies are 6th best in the majors with a 24-22 record and +879 units.

On the flip side, San Diego doesn’t have much going for it right now. The Padres are 8-21 in their last 29 games and 36-52 overall. They’ve played better at home posting a 23-20 record but the problem is scoring. They average just 3.8 runs per game and if it weren’t for Adrian Gonzalez they’d be dregging in Washington Nationals territory. Gonzalez has accounted for nearly 60% of the Padres offense with his 24 homeruns, 52 rbi’s and 49 runs scored. Even with Gonzo, San Diego ranks 30th in runs per game, batting average and OPS.

Chad Gaudin gets the start for the Padres. He’s 4-7 with a 5.03 ERA but has pitched better over his last three starts posting a 3.20 ERA with a WHIP of 1.07. He’ll need a huge effort tonight if San Diego is to have a shot.

Colorado is 5-3 on the season against San Diego but split their first two series meetings in the border city.

The Rockies are nine games behind the first-place Dodgers but just two back of the wild-card leading Giants. They’ve got the playoffs in mind while the Padres are already making plans for next season. Colorado is the play here.
 
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Vernon Croy

MLB | Jul 16
Los Angeles Angels vs. Oakland Athletics Los Angeles Angels
+120 at SPBOOK > 13h.
Take the L.A. Angels on the Moneyline, We are getting great value here Thursday night with the Angels who have Ervin Santana (1-5, 7.81 ERA) on the mound since he has owned the Athletics in the past with an ERA of just 1.38 over 13 starts against them. Santana is throwing 90 to 94 M.P.H. consistently and he is 9-1 lifetime against the Athletics so I look for him to have a solid outing pitching with several days rest. Jason Giambi is just 1 for 14 (.71) against Santana while Jack Cust is just 2 for 10 (.200) against him so I look for Santana to have plenty of confidence coming into this game after a few rough outings. The Athletics starter Dallas Braden (7-7, 3.12) is 0-2 against the Angels this season with an ERA of 4.50 and the Angels batters have a big advantage since they have faced Braden twice this season while averaging 8.5 hits per game against him. The Angels are a red hot 10-1 in their last 11 games in game 1 of a series and they are 9-1 in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record. The Angels are 10-2 in their last 12 road games against a lefty starter and they are 8-1 in their last 9 games as an underdog including a perfect 6-0 as an underdog of +110 to +150. Oakland is just 3-11 in Braden's last 14 starts as a favorite and they are 0-5 in their last 5 home games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Angels get it done on the road tonight without Vladimir Guerrero (knee) and Torii Hunter (strained adductor) just like they did when they swept the Yankees. Take the L.A. Angels as my MLB Bonus Play for Thursday night.
 
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Robbie Gainous

MLB | Jul 16
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Colorado Rockies
-125 at JAMAICA > 13h.
Petco Park will be the site of a four-game set between the host San Diego Padres and the visiting Colorado Rockies. The Rockies look to continue their recent success winning five of their last seven heading into the break. They will send right-hander Aaron Cook to the bump with his 8-3 W/L record and ERA of 3.98. Cook has dominated the Padres over his career posting a record of 12-4 W/L with an ERA of 2.37 in twenty-two appearances, twenty of those were starts. His success over the Padres has also come on the road going 5-1 W/L his last eight trips here with an ERA of 1.61 although he didn’t earn a win here on May 5th despite pitching eight strong innings, allowing only one run on five hits as the Rockies lost in ten innings by a score of 2 to 1. Cook is 6-1 W/L his last 7 starts overall and 4-0 W/L his last 4 starts on the highway. Colorado is 4-0 W/L on the road versus a team with a losing record, 11-1 W/L their last 12 road games facing a right-handed starter and 15-4 W/L when facing a losing team overall. The Padres will counter with right-hander Chad Gaudin who is 4-7 W/L on the season with an ERA of 5.15. He is 1-3 W/L when he takes the hill at home with an ERA of 6.14. Gaudin is 2-5 W/L his last 7 trips to the bump this season. The Padres are 17-38 W/L when installed as an underdog, 8-21 W/L their last 29 games overall and 7-19 W/L their last 26 versus right-handed starters including 4-0 W/L their last 4 at home. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Rockies win by 2.5 runs and our Math Model also signals a play on the visitor as they get the win by 2.87 runs. Lay the short price as the Rockies continue their run at the playoffs and overwhelm the host Padres on Thursday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Colorado Rockies 5 San Diego Padres 2
 
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Jim Feist

(915) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
(916) FLORIDA MARLINS
Take "Under"

Coming back from the All-Star break, offenses are not always ready to roll. Florida is a good-sized park for pitchers and a pair of hot pitchers are on the hill. Philadelphia lefty Jamie Moyer is 3-0 his last three starts, and over his last four starts he.5?s allowed just one run twice. Florida righty Chris Volstad has also been hot, walking just 4 batters his last 18 innings with a 3.00 ERA. Look for a lower scoring game than oddsmakers expect. Play the Phillies/Marlins Under the total.
 
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Doc's Sports

Take Houston Astros +140 over Los Angeles Dodgers
Coming out of the All-star break, the Astros begin a four-game set vs. the Dodgers. Then they return home to play a three-game series against the NL Central-leading Cardinals. They will have to continue to play consistent baseball in these two series to avoid falling out of the race in the NL Central. After 28 games they were 10 games under .500 Since then, the Astros have posted a 25-15 record. It took awhile for lefty Wandy Rodriguez (8-6, 2.96) to get going, but he has won 3 of his past 4 starts. He faces Randy Wolf (4-3, 3.45) who has been anything but dominating of late. LA appears to be looking over their shoulders as the hot Giants continue to creep closer. We like Wandy, in this spot at a very nice price, to get Houston off on the right foot.
 
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MTi Sports

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds
The Reds are 13-0 in the first game of a home series after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base and the Brewers are 5-16 in the first game of a road series after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Consider Cincinnati.
 

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