Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day:
-- The Nationals are 14-0 SU as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings and they are off a game as a dog.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
-- The Giants are 0-9 SU in the first game of a series with no rest after a one-run loss as a road dog.
Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:
-- The Tigers are 0-10 SU off a road game in which Mikie Mahtook was hitless in at least three at bats.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day:
-- The Giants are 12-0 OU when Johnny Cueto starts at home and they won in his last start. San Francisco has gone over the total by an average of 3.58 rpg.
Vince Akins
SU Play ON Trend of the Day:
-- The Nationals are 14-0 SU as a home favorite over a divisional opponent that is behind them in the standings and they are off a game as a dog.
SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
-- The Giants are 0-9 SU in the first game of a series with no rest after a one-run loss as a road dog.
Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:
-- The Tigers are 0-10 SU off a road game in which Mikie Mahtook was hitless in at least three at bats.
Starter-Based Trend of the Day:
-- The Giants are 12-0 OU when Johnny Cueto starts at home and they won in his last start. San Francisco has gone over the total by an average of 3.58 rpg.
CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
Joe Williams
League Betting Notes
-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 3
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3
Analysis
The games on Thursday and Friday nights were pretty cut and dry. The favorites and the home teams each covered, rather handily in the Friday contests, and there was a good amount of defense with the exception of one game.
Calgary (3-0) is off to its usual solid start, humbling Ottawa (1-1) in a 2016 Grey Cup rematch by a 24-14 margin to cover seven and a hook. The two teams played a defensive battle which saw just one quarter with more than 10 points, the final stanza. As such, the 'over' (56.5) was never seriously threatened. The RedBlacks are 0-4-2 SU in the past five regular-season meetings (yep, two ties), and 2-4 ATS in the past six. The RedBlacks do have that win in the Grey Cup against the Stamps, however.
Hamilton (2-1) is off to a solid start, winning and covering for a second straight game in a 31-17 victory over Winnipeg (1-2) behind QB Jeremiah Masoli. The former standout at Oregon has recorded eight straight 300-yard games, just in case you were wondering why Johnny Manziel isn't playing.
Edmonton (2-1) got off to a sluggish start in their divisional battle with BC Lions (1-1). In fact, the visitors fired out to an 11-0 lead thanks to some early miscues by the Eskimos. However, the Esks outscored the Lions 15-3 in the second quarter, and 24-8 in the second half to run away from the visitors and easily cover a 6 1/2-point number. Edmonton is having no problem putting points on the board, averaging 31.7 PPG through three outings. As you would imagine, the 'over' is a perfect 3-0.
The surprise of the weekend was in Regina, as Montreal (1-2) surprised Saskatchewan (1-2) by a 23-17, winning straight up as 10 1/2-point underdogs to make any moneyline bettors (+425) very happy.
Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead
-- The red-hot Ti-Cats hit the road for Regina to try and keep the Roughriders down. Hamilton hasn't had luck against the Mean Green lately, getting swept in two non-covers last season. They have dropped three in a row in the series dating back to a 53-7 win in the Hammer back on Aug. 20, 2016. Hamilton's last win in Saskatchewan came in a 31-21 victory July 26, 2015 as 1 1/2-point road 'dogs.
-- The RedBlacks and Alouettes will play their first divisional games of the season in Week 4. Ottawa had its way with Montreal last season, sweeping all three meetings while also going 3-0 ATS. The 'under' cashed in each of the three contests, too. Montreal has dropped four in a row and went 0-4 ATS against Ottawa dating back to Aug. 19, 2016. The 'under' is also 5-1 in the past six meetings.
-- The Esks catch Toronto (0-2) coming off a bye. The Argos hope the rest does them some good. They're 0-2 SU/ATS so far, with an average of just 13.0 PPG on the board while allowing 34.0 PPG. The 'under' has hit in both contests. These sides split a pair of regular-season meetings last season, with both teams protecting their home field. The Argos are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS across the past five in this series.
-- In Saturday's late game, the Lions and Bombers square off. Winnipeg has dominated this series of late, at least against the number, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. That includes a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in their past four home meetings with BC. The 'over' is an impressive 6-2 in the past eight in this series, too.
Joe Williams
League Betting Notes
-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 3
-- Favorites went 3-1 ATS in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 3
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 3
Analysis
The games on Thursday and Friday nights were pretty cut and dry. The favorites and the home teams each covered, rather handily in the Friday contests, and there was a good amount of defense with the exception of one game.
Calgary (3-0) is off to its usual solid start, humbling Ottawa (1-1) in a 2016 Grey Cup rematch by a 24-14 margin to cover seven and a hook. The two teams played a defensive battle which saw just one quarter with more than 10 points, the final stanza. As such, the 'over' (56.5) was never seriously threatened. The RedBlacks are 0-4-2 SU in the past five regular-season meetings (yep, two ties), and 2-4 ATS in the past six. The RedBlacks do have that win in the Grey Cup against the Stamps, however.
Hamilton (2-1) is off to a solid start, winning and covering for a second straight game in a 31-17 victory over Winnipeg (1-2) behind QB Jeremiah Masoli. The former standout at Oregon has recorded eight straight 300-yard games, just in case you were wondering why Johnny Manziel isn't playing.
Edmonton (2-1) got off to a sluggish start in their divisional battle with BC Lions (1-1). In fact, the visitors fired out to an 11-0 lead thanks to some early miscues by the Eskimos. However, the Esks outscored the Lions 15-3 in the second quarter, and 24-8 in the second half to run away from the visitors and easily cover a 6 1/2-point number. Edmonton is having no problem putting points on the board, averaging 31.7 PPG through three outings. As you would imagine, the 'over' is a perfect 3-0.
The surprise of the weekend was in Regina, as Montreal (1-2) surprised Saskatchewan (1-2) by a 23-17, winning straight up as 10 1/2-point underdogs to make any moneyline bettors (+425) very happy.
Team Betting Notes and A Look Ahead
-- The red-hot Ti-Cats hit the road for Regina to try and keep the Roughriders down. Hamilton hasn't had luck against the Mean Green lately, getting swept in two non-covers last season. They have dropped three in a row in the series dating back to a 53-7 win in the Hammer back on Aug. 20, 2016. Hamilton's last win in Saskatchewan came in a 31-21 victory July 26, 2015 as 1 1/2-point road 'dogs.
-- The RedBlacks and Alouettes will play their first divisional games of the season in Week 4. Ottawa had its way with Montreal last season, sweeping all three meetings while also going 3-0 ATS. The 'under' cashed in each of the three contests, too. Montreal has dropped four in a row and went 0-4 ATS against Ottawa dating back to Aug. 19, 2016. The 'under' is also 5-1 in the past six meetings.
-- The Esks catch Toronto (0-2) coming off a bye. The Argos hope the rest does them some good. They're 0-2 SU/ATS so far, with an average of just 13.0 PPG on the board while allowing 34.0 PPG. The 'under' has hit in both contests. These sides split a pair of regular-season meetings last season, with both teams protecting their home field. The Argos are 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS across the past five in this series.
-- In Saturday's late game, the Lions and Bombers square off. Winnipeg has dominated this series of late, at least against the number, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings. That includes a 3-1 SU/ATS mark in their past four home meetings with BC. The 'over' is an impressive 6-2 in the past eight in this series, too.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 4
David Schwab
Thursday, July 5
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -5 ½
Total: 49
Game Overview
Hamilton has won its last two games by a combined 31 points after a tough loss to Calgary in Week 1 that was much closer than the 28-14 final score as a 7 ½-point road underdog. The total has stayed UNDER in two of its first three games after closing at 55 points or higher in all three contests. The Tiger-Cats’ offense has been successfully led by Jeremiah Masoli at quarterback. He threw for 369 yards and a score in Friday’s win against Winnipeg.
Saskatchewan had a rough night against Montreal last week, especially when it came to throwing the ball. Brandon Bridge and David Watford combined for four interceptions filling in for an injured Zach Collaros. The Roughriders ended the game with just 279 yards of total offense. This was the second game in a row where they failed to score more than 17 points. Saskatchewan quarterbacks have now thrown a total of seven interceptions in those two loses.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has covered in five of its last six home games against Hamilton and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those six games.
David Schwab
Thursday, July 5
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -5 ½
Total: 49
Game Overview
Hamilton has won its last two games by a combined 31 points after a tough loss to Calgary in Week 1 that was much closer than the 28-14 final score as a 7 ½-point road underdog. The total has stayed UNDER in two of its first three games after closing at 55 points or higher in all three contests. The Tiger-Cats’ offense has been successfully led by Jeremiah Masoli at quarterback. He threw for 369 yards and a score in Friday’s win against Winnipeg.
Saskatchewan had a rough night against Montreal last week, especially when it came to throwing the ball. Brandon Bridge and David Watford combined for four interceptions filling in for an injured Zach Collaros. The Roughriders ended the game with just 279 yards of total offense. This was the second game in a row where they failed to score more than 17 points. Saskatchewan quarterbacks have now thrown a total of seven interceptions in those two loses.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has covered in five of its last six home games against Hamilton and the total has stayed UNDER in four of those six games.
CFL
Dunkel
Week 4
Thursday, July 5
Hamilton @ Saskatchewan
Game 351-352
July 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
121.097
Saskatchewan
102.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 18 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 6
49
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-6); Under
Dunkel
Week 4
Thursday, July 5
Hamilton @ Saskatchewan
Game 351-352
July 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
121.097
Saskatchewan
102.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 18 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 6
49
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-6); Under
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 4
Thursday, July 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAMILTON (2 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 2) - 7/5/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in July games since 1996.
HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Long Sheet
Week 4
Thursday, July 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HAMILTON (2 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 2) - 7/5/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-99 ATS (+26.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in July games since 1996.
HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CFL
Week 4
Trend Report
Thursday, July 5
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Hamilton is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Week 4
Trend Report
Thursday, July 5
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
Hamilton is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Hamilton is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Hamilton is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Hamilton is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games
Saskatchewan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games when playing Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Saskatchewan is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
CFL
Week 4
Hamilton (2-1; -7.5, 51) @ Saskatchewan (1-2)— Roughriders won last three series games, winning four of last five series games played here, last two by 37-20/20-18 scores. Home side won seven of last nine series games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Ti-Cats scored 38-31 points in winning their last two games; they split pair of road games, winning in Edmonton after losing opener 28-14 in Calgary. Riders scored 17-17 in losing its last two games; they split pair of home games, beating Toronto 27-19, losing 23-17 LW to Montreal.
Week 4
Hamilton (2-1; -7.5, 51) @ Saskatchewan (1-2)— Roughriders won last three series games, winning four of last five series games played here, last two by 37-20/20-18 scores. Home side won seven of last nine series games. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Ti-Cats scored 38-31 points in winning their last two games; they split pair of road games, winning in Edmonton after losing opener 28-14 in Calgary. Riders scored 17-17 in losing its last two games; they split pair of home games, beating Toronto 27-19, losing 23-17 LW to Montreal.
Jack Jones
Jul 05 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Rangers vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -110
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Detroit Tigers -110
The Detroit Tigers have gone a profitable 23-21 (+8.8 units) at home this season. They had a rough month of June, but look to get things turned around here before the All-Star Break with winnable series against both Texas and Tampa Bay coming up.
Matt Boyd has been very sharp at home this season for the Tigers. He is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in seven home starts this season. Boyd has allowed 4 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers.
Yovani Gallardo has managed to make his way up from the minors into the Rangers’ rotation, which just shows how poor their rotation is. It has not gone smoothly for Gallardo, who has posted a 6.12 ERA in his three starts this season.
Boyd is 6-0 (+8.3 units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game this season. The Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 6-0 in Boyd’s last six home starts. Bet the Tigers Thursday.
Jul 05 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Rangers vs Tigers
Play on: Tigers -110
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Detroit Tigers -110
The Detroit Tigers have gone a profitable 23-21 (+8.8 units) at home this season. They had a rough month of June, but look to get things turned around here before the All-Star Break with winnable series against both Texas and Tampa Bay coming up.
Matt Boyd has been very sharp at home this season for the Tigers. He is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in seven home starts this season. Boyd has allowed 4 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers.
Yovani Gallardo has managed to make his way up from the minors into the Rangers’ rotation, which just shows how poor their rotation is. It has not gone smoothly for Gallardo, who has posted a 6.12 ERA in his three starts this season.
Boyd is 6-0 (+8.3 units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game this season. The Rangers are 1-6 in their last seven road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 6-0 in Boyd’s last six home starts. Bet the Tigers Thursday.
Dave Price
Jul 05 '18, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Angels vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -131
Dave’s Thursday Bonus Play:
1* on Seattle Mariners -131
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have gone 8-1 in their last 9 games to improve to 55-32 on the season. I like the price we are getting with them at home tonight against the Los Angeles Angels. Marco Gonzalez is 8-5 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 17 starts this year for the Mariners, including 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 8 home starts. Jamie Barria has struggled of late for the Angels, going 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The Mariners are 18-4 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Gonzalez is 9-0 after giving up one or fewer earned runs in his last start in his career. The Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Los Angeles is 0-4 in Barrio’s last 4 starts. Seattle is 20-6 in its last 26 home games. Take Seattle.
Jul 05 '18, 10:10 PM in 5h
MLB | Angels vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -131
Dave’s Thursday Bonus Play:
1* on Seattle Mariners -131
The Key: The Seattle Mariners have gone 8-1 in their last 9 games to improve to 55-32 on the season. I like the price we are getting with them at home tonight against the Los Angeles Angels. Marco Gonzalez is 8-5 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 17 starts this year for the Mariners, including 3-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 8 home starts. Jamie Barria has struggled of late for the Angels, going 0-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The Mariners are 18-4 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season. Gonzalez is 9-0 after giving up one or fewer earned runs in his last start in his career. The Angels are 1-10 in their last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Los Angeles is 0-4 in Barrio’s last 4 starts. Seattle is 20-6 in its last 26 home games. Take Seattle.
