Thursday 06/21/18 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[bmd1803]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Oak Tree at Pleasanton - Race #7 - Post: 5:08pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 BELLIGERENT (ML=8/5)
#7 BLAZIN ON BY (ML=5/2)


BELLIGERENT - This filly is in nice physical condition. Finished third on Jun 2nd. Martin drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to believe this animal should have a chance to win at this level. Ranks uppermost in EPS (earnings per start). A solid outing right here in this race can increase the lifetime earnings. The 70 latest race speed fig looks sound in the TrackMaster PPs. Ran a nice speed figure of 71 on May 12th. Followed it up with another Equibase speed figure of 70. Either effort is good enough to beat this field. BLAZIN ON BY - I am keen on that recent contest on May 27th at Golden Gate Fields where she ran fourth. Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than in the last race at Golden Gate Fields. While the finish was disappointing, this race horse made a good stretch move last time out at Golden Gate Fields. Expect better in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 MISSALMA (ML=9/2),

MISSALMA - Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance races of late. Doubtful to see her doing it this time around either.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - BLAZIN ON BY - Number one with a bullet (workout). This thoroughbred is going to top the charts today.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 BELLIGERENT to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

 

[bmd1803]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Presque Isle Downs
Presque Isle Downs - Race 3

$2 WPS / $2 Exacta / Trifecta (min .50 cent) / Superfecta (min .10 cent) $2 Daily Double / Pick 3 (min .50 cent) (Races 3-4-5) Jackpot Pick 6 (min .20 cent) (Races 3-8)


Claiming $25,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 6:15P
(PLUS UP TO 30% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES) (LIMITED TO10 STARTERS).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. YAAFOUR (GB) is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * YAAFOUR (GB): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RI VER EVANGELIST: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. O'MALLEY'S MARCH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed F igure at the distance/surface.
3
YAAFOUR (GB)
6/1

2/1
7
RIVER EVANGELIST
9/5

6/1
5
O'MALLEY'S MARCH
9/2

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
COLD SOBER
6

10/1
Front-runner
67

66

79.6

52.6

41.1
3
YAAFOUR (GB)
3

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
93

91

110.9

78.7

73.2
7
RIVER EVANGELIST
7

9/5
Alternator/Stalker
100

87

105.2

23.7

19.2
5
O'MALLEY'S MARCH
5

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
86

73

68.2

72.6

65.6
2
DOUBLE RAINBOW
2

8/1
Trailer
80

77

41.9

57.0

47.5
1
PROMETHEAN
1

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
82

80

68.6

76.6

68.1
4
SOUPER PLATINUM
4

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

75

97.5

66.3

56.8

 

[bmd1803]

Jimmy Boyd
Jun 21 '18, 10:15 PM in 13h
MLB | Padres vs Giants
Play on: Giants -131

Free pick on Giants -

I like the value here with San Francisco at what I feel is a very short line given who they have on the mound. The Giants will turn to their ace Madison Bumgarner, who is one of the elite starting pitching talents in the game. Bumgarner missed the first 2+ months of the season and has posted a mere 4.67 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in his 3 starts since returning from the DL.

He didn't have his best stuff in his last outing at the Dodgers, but still only gave up 3 runs in 6 innings of work. He's only made one of his three starts at home and in that outing he allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings. Now that he's got his feet wet, it's only a matter of time before he's back to dominating the opposition. Either way, I like his chances of out-performing Padres starter Tyson Ross, who has a 4.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. San Diego is also just 7-19 in their last 26 road games vs a left-handed starer and 1-5 in Ross' last 6 starts during game 1 of a series. Take San Francisco!

 

[bmd1803]

Brandon Lee
Jun 21 '18, 10:15 PM in 13h
MLB | Padres vs Giants
Play on: Giants -131

10* FREE MLB PICK (Giants -131)

I'll take my chances here with San Francisco at home against the Padres on Thursday. I just feel like this is a great price to back the Giants at home with their ace Madison Bumgarner on the mound. This is now the fourth start for Bumgarner since returning from injury and while he hasn't been putting up Cy Young numbers, he's been rock solid so far and should only keep getting better. His best start also came at home (other two on the road) and that's another big reason why I like him to pitch well here. The other thing is the Giants are swinging a hot bat right now. They have scored 6 in each of their last 2 and no fewer than 4 over their last 4. Give me the Giants -131!

 

[bmd1803]

Brad Diamond
Jun 21 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Croatia vs Argentina
Play on: OVER 2 -140

LATE AFTERNOON FIFA TOTAL.

 

[bmd1803]

Steve Janus
Jun 21 '18, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Red Sox vs Twins
Play on: Red Sox -125 at BMaker

1* Free Sharp Play on Red Sox -125

 

[bmd1803]

Dustin Hawkins
Jun 21 '18, 10:05 PM in 13h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Angels
Play on: Blue Jays +146

Bonus Play on Blue Jays +146

 

[bmd1803]

Marc Lawrence
Jun 21 '18, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Red Sox vs Twins
Play on: Twins +107

Play - Minnesota Twins w/Gibson vs Porcello (Game 914).

Edges - Twins: 6-1 home Game Three of a series this season; and Gibson 3.04 ERA with 1.14 WHIP last seven starts… Red Sox: Porcello 2-6 last eight team starts in this series; and 4-8 last twelve away team starts during June… With that we recommend a 1* play on Minnesota. Thank you and good luck as always.

 

[bmd1803]

Red Dog Sports
Jun 21 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Croatia vs Argentina
Play on: Argentina +112 at BMaker

Argentina +112

Take Argentina +112 over Croatia in World Cup soccer action on Thursday. Look for Lionel Messi to play well.

Croatia 1

Argentina 2

 

[bmd1803]

Mike Lundin
Jun 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | A's vs White Sox
Play on: A's -139

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Oakland Athetlics have heated up and are gunning for their season-high fifth win in a row when they take on the Chicago White Sox Thursday night.

They slugged five homers in a 12-4 rout of the Padres on Wednesday and I think their bats will find plenty of success off White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito (4-7, 7.19 ERA) as well. He's 1-4 with a 11.05 ERA in seven home starts on the season and gave up five runs on six hits with a pair of homers in 5 1/3 innings his last time out.

Chris Bassitt (0-2, 2.45 ERA) will take the ball for Oakland for his third start of the season. He was it up by the Halos his last time out but here he'll face a White Sox team which has averaged just 3.70 rpg on the season.

Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. White Sox are 1-8 in Giolito's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Free pick on Oakland Athletics.

 

[bmd1803]

Larry Ness
Jun 21 '18, 10:05 PM in 13h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Angels
Play on: Angels -152

My Bonus Play is on the LA Angels at 10:05 ET. The LA Angels were once 13-3 but as the team's superstar Mike Trout gets sets to play his 1,000th career game, the Angels sit 39-35 and find themselves 10 games back of the first-place Houston Astros. The two-time AL Most Valuable Player leads the majors in HRs (23), runs (60) and on-base percentage (.469) and is 16-for-23 with four HRs, nine RBI and 11 walks during his eight-game hitting streak to boost his June batting average to a .448 (26-for-58. However, the Angels are just 2-6 during his eight-game hitting streak. LA opens a four-game series vs the visiting Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday. Toronto has answered a demoralizing 4-15 stretch by winning eight of its last 12 but the team's modest 35-39 record leaves them a whopping 16 games back of the first-place NY Yankees in the AL East.

Thursday night's pitching matchup features Toronto's Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 4.35 ERA) going up LA lefty Tyler Skaggs (6-4, 2.81 ERA). Sanchez is coming off striking out a season high-tying eight battlers while allowing three runs in six innings against Washington last Friday, failing to earn a decision in a 6-5 Blue Jays win. The Blue Jays are just 6-8 in Sanchez 2018 starts and Sanchez owns an 0-1 mark with a 2.03 ERA in three career appearances against the Angels. Meanwhile, LA's Skaggs improved to 3-0 with an 0.45 ERA in his last three starts after allowing two runs and striking out eight over seven innings in an 8-4 triumph at Oakland. The Angels are now 8-6 in all of his 2018 starts. Skaggs owns a 2-2 record with a 4.11 ERA in five career starts versus Toronto, including getting a no decision in a 5-4 Toronto win back on May 23 when he surrendered two HRs over five innings but just three runs.

Sure, Trout continues to make a strong case as MLB's best player but his team limps in just 2-7 in its last nine games and welcomes Toronto to Anaheim only 18-19 at home (minus-$564 vs the moneyline) on the season. The Blue Jays have played much better lately but note that in going 8-4 over their last 12 games, the breakdown is 8-1 at home and 0-3 on the road. Those three losses at Tampa Bay (June 11-13) leaves Toronto 1-8 in its last nine road games. Facing a red-hot Skaggs extends Toronto's road woes. Play the Angels.

Good luck...Larry

 

[bmd1803]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
David Schwab

Thursday, June 21

Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 51

Game Overview

Saskatchewan will be looking to take down its second-straight opponent from the East coming off last week’s win. Zach Collaros made a successful debut as the Roughriders’ new starting quarterback with 203 yards passing and one touchdown throw, while completing 72 percent of his 25 passing attempts. Jerome Messam was another big offseason addition at running back and he added 72 yards rushing on 21 carries in Friday’s victory.

Credit Saskatchewan’s defense for holding Ricky Ray to just 232 yards through the air and Toronto’s ground game to 54 total yards.

The RedBlacks come off that Week 1 bye fresh and ready to go. They lost to Saskatchewan 31-20 as 2 ½-point home favorites in the opening round of last season’s CFL playoffs with the Roughriders coming over from the West as a crossover team.

Heading into this season, Ottawa has Trevor Harris back as its starting quarterback after missing time in 2017 due to injury. Its offensive line was also banged up heading down the stretch last year. Harris proved he could move the ball down the field through the air with 4,679 yards passing in 15 games.

Betting Trends

-- The road team has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in four of the last six matchups in this inter-division clash.

Friday, June 22

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -2
Total: 46 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers turned to Chris Streveler as their starting quarterback for the injured Matt Nichols and he ended the game against Edmonton with three scoring strikes to keep things interesting for all four quarters.

He ended the game with 178 yards passing on 15 completions. Weston Dressler was his top target with four catches for 74 yards and a score and Andrew Harris racked-up 77 yards on 14 rushing attempts.

Montreal had the fewest straight-up victories of any CFL team last season (three) and its opening-day effort against BC could point towards another long campaign in 2018.

The Alouettes scored all 10 of their points in the opening quarter before their offense ground to a halt. Drew Willy got the start at quarterback and he ended the night with 281 yards passing, but just one touchdown pass against one interception.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has covered in six of its last seven road games against the Alouettes with the total going OVER in the last five meetings in Montreal.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total: 55

Game Overview

CFL fans waiting for the debut of Johnny Manziel as the Tiger-Cats newest quarterback will have to wait a bit longer after starter Jeremiah Masoli put on an aerial show that included 200 yards passing in the first two quarters of last week’s opener. He ended the game with 344 total yards passing, while completing 25 of his 36 attempts, but he did not find the end zone through the air. The Tiger-Cats only gained 56 yards on the ground on 12 rushing attempts.

Edmonton had its hands full with Winnipeg in Week 1 with the only difference in the final score being a field goal as time expired. Mike Reilly led the CFL in both passing yards and touchdown throws last season and he started the 2018 season with 408 yards and one score through the air. He was also the team’s leading rusher last Thursday night with 43 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries. Derel Walker hauled in eight receptions for 176 yards as one of eight different players to catch a ball from Reilly in that game.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five road games against the Eskimos and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six games of this inter-division tilt played in Edmonton.

Saturday, June 23

Calgary Stampeders (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -3 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Calgary needed all four quarters to get past Hamilton last Saturday in a game that was closer than the final score might indicate. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 297 total yards with 200 coming in the first half. It was the Stampeders’ ground game that helped generate 19 points in the fourth quarter. Don Jackson and Terry Williams rushed for a combined 117 yards and a score on 18 rushing attempts overall. Calgary did get a solid effort from its defense when it needed it the most.

The Argonauts scored a grand total of five points in the first three quarters of last week’s loss before posting 14 points in the fourth quarter to keep things interesting. Ricky Ray did not have his best night throwing the ball against Saskatchewan, especially in the first half when Toronto was held to 71 yards through the air. He ended the game with 232 yards passing with no touchdown throws against one interception.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has gone 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall and it is also 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against Toronto. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings.

 

[bmd1803]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, June 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 0) at OTTAWA (0-0) - 6/21/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.
OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in June games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-98 ATS (+27.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[bmd1803]

CFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Thursday, June 21

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games
Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

 

[bmd1803]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Thursday, June 21

Saskatchewan @ Ottawa

Game 361-362
June 21, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
111.779
Ottawa
118.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 6 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-2); Over

 

[bmd1803]

CFL

Week 2


Saskatchewan (1-0) @ Ottawa (0-0)— Roughriders won four of last five games with Ottawa; winning last three visits here, by 2-1-11 points. Underdogs covered last six series games. Over is 6-3 in series games. Riders held off Toronto 27-19 at home LW, breaking open close game with a pick-6 midway thru 4th quarter. RedBlacks had the bye last week. (Ottawa -1.5, 50.5)

 

[bmd1803]

Mike Wynn

Bonus Play: Free St Louis/Milwaukee Under 9 Runs

 

[bmd1803]

Free Selection from Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, June 21, 2018



6/21 10:10 AM PT / 1:10 PM ET

MLB (913) BOSTON RED SOX VS (914) MINNESOTA TWINS

Take: (913) BOSTON RED SOX

Reason: Your Bonus Play for Thursday, June 21, 2018 is in the MLB scheduled contest between the Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins. Your Bonus Play is on the Red Sox

 

[bmd1803]

Jeff Allen Sports

Thursday's Free Selection is on the NY Yankees

 

[bmd1803]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR THURSDAY: Take BALTIMORE/WASHINGTON OVER the total of 7½ runs