ACE-ACE has put together as a statistical projection method that is purely grounded in math... refer:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=639913
<TABLE style="WIDTH: 853pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=1138 border=0 x:str><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 14.25pt" height=19><TD style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; HEIGHT: 14.25pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" height=19>
Thursday</TD><TD style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num>
14</TD><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8">
CHARGERS</TD><TD style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num>
-9.5</TD><TD class=xl27 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8">
Raiders</TD><TD style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num>
43</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num="35.655555555555551">
35.66</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND: yellow; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8; mso-ignore: style; mso-pattern: auto none" align=right x:num="7.3444444444444485">
7.34</TD><TD style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" x:str=""></TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num>
2.05</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num="0.92666666666666664">
0.93</TD><TD style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num>
-1.47</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num>
0.00</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8" align=right x:num="-0.4933333333333334">
-0.49</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND: lime; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8; mso-ignore: style; mso-pattern: auto none" align=right x:num="9.0066666666666659">
9.01</TD><TD class=xl28 style="BORDER-LEFT-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-BOTTOM-COLOR: #ece9d8; BORDER-TOP-COLOR: #ece9d8; BACKGROUND-COLOR: transparent; BORDER-RIGHT-COLOR: #ece9d8">
Raiders</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
His stats suggest: Raiders strongly... and the Under (not strong enough to play with extreme confidence but a good size lean). In my opinion the under is a very good pick.
Take it from me betting against the stats is dumb... I made the mistakes 2 weeks ago and jumped on board last week and am now up +7 UNITs for the week between CFB and NFL using strictly his stat sheet to affirm or disaffirm my current picks.
**Another thing I would note for the game is an inner conference game and those always seem to end close... and low scoring, especially in the AFC West.
(Raiders +10, Under 43):aktion033