<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+2.56 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">19</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">14</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+15.08 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since March 2009)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">19</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">14</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+15.08 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Cleveland +1.92 over NY YANKEES
The Indians got off to a lousy start but everyone knew they would snap out of it and they have. There is too much talent on that team and after opening the year 0-6, they’ve now game 3-1 since and that includes a 10-2 thumping over the mighty Yanks yesterday. The Yanks are grossly overvalued once again this afternoon and at this price there is no reason in the world not to play the Tribe. They have a bullpen that can’t hold a lead, they have four guys in the line-up hitting under a deuce, they’re the only team of three that made Cliff Lee look good, they haven’t beaten a single quality starter yet (losing to Kazmir, Meche, Lee, Guthrie and Uehara) and they’ve beaten all #4 and #5 guys. So, yeah, you want to lay 2-1 with them, go ahead but you’re playing a huge premium to do so and they’re chances of winning are certainly no better than the Indians chances. Anthony Reyes went six strong against the Jays, limiting the hottest hitting team in the AL to just three hits. He had a dazzling spring and he carried that over to the first game. No denying the fact that he has terrific stuff and is capable of another strong start here. Joba Chamberlain has tons of potential but he’s also carrying a load of pressure on him. However, this isn’t about going against Chamberlain. It’s about value and with the Yanks laboring and not beating a quality starter all year this one has plenty value. Note the 1 PM start. Play: Cleveland +1.92 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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TORONTO -½ +1.06 over Oakland (1<SUP>st</SUP> 5 innings)
David Purcey has wicked stuff and his only issue is issuing walks. If he can limit his walks he can be a dominant pitcher at this level and you can be sure he’s working on that. Thus far, in two starts covering 11.2 frames, Purcey has whiffed 15. He has a great minor-league résumé and he’s a former #1 draft pick so it’s not a big surprise that he can pitch. But more than that, he has the hot-hitting Jays behind them and they should be able to put up a few against Josh Outman. Outman is nothing more than a #5 starter. In his season debut he didn’t make it out of the fifth inning against Seattle, as he surrendered three runs in 4.1 innings. His stuff is average at best and he’s taking a big step up in class here at a more difficult park to pitch in. After outscoring Minnesota 31-13 and collecting 56 hits in their third straight series win, the Blue Jays lead the major leagues with 77 runs and 128 hits entering this one and it’s highly unlikely that Outman will slow them down. Play: Toronto in the first five innings -½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
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St. Louis +1.61 over CHICAGO (1<SUP>st</SUP> 5 innings)
Carlos Zambrano’s numbers keep declining and his stats in day games leave plenty to be desired too. He was lit up big time by these Cards at Wrigley last season and in fact, in two home starts vs St. Louis he allowed 17 runs, 16 hits and five bombs in just six innings combined. Ouch. Zambrano’s ERA in day games last season was 5.66 and his second half numbers were brutal. This is a guy that cannot pitch when his stuff is off and this early in the year you’re taking a big risk laying a big price that he’ll be on. The Cardinals are second in the majors with a team batting average of .300 and they’ll send out a rookie by the name of P.J. Walters. Walters was dominant in his lone Triple-A start April 11, allowing two hits and a walk in seven shutout innings while fanning six. In the spring he was also dazzling, allowing just nine hits and one earned run in 16 innings for an ERA of 0.56. The report is that the kid is composed as hell and at this price he’s worth a shot for sure. The Cards know Zambrano well while the Cubbies know very little about Walters. 2:20 start time. Play: St. Louis in the first five innings +1.61 (Risking 2 units). <o></o>
HOME TEAM IN CAPS
All games are listed pitchers unless stated otherwise.
Cleveland +1.92 over NY YANKEES
The Indians got off to a lousy start but everyone knew they would snap out of it and they have. There is too much talent on that team and after opening the year 0-6, they’ve now game 3-1 since and that includes a 10-2 thumping over the mighty Yanks yesterday. The Yanks are grossly overvalued once again this afternoon and at this price there is no reason in the world not to play the Tribe. They have a bullpen that can’t hold a lead, they have four guys in the line-up hitting under a deuce, they’re the only team of three that made Cliff Lee look good, they haven’t beaten a single quality starter yet (losing to Kazmir, Meche, Lee, Guthrie and Uehara) and they’ve beaten all #4 and #5 guys. So, yeah, you want to lay 2-1 with them, go ahead but you’re playing a huge premium to do so and they’re chances of winning are certainly no better than the Indians chances. Anthony Reyes went six strong against the Jays, limiting the hottest hitting team in the AL to just three hits. He had a dazzling spring and he carried that over to the first game. No denying the fact that he has terrific stuff and is capable of another strong start here. Joba Chamberlain has tons of potential but he’s also carrying a load of pressure on him. However, this isn’t about going against Chamberlain. It’s about value and with the Yanks laboring and not beating a quality starter all year this one has plenty value. Note the 1 PM start. Play: Cleveland +1.92 (Risking 2 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
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></o>TORONTO -½ +1.06 over Oakland (1<SUP>st</SUP> 5 innings)
David Purcey has wicked stuff and his only issue is issuing walks. If he can limit his walks he can be a dominant pitcher at this level and you can be sure he’s working on that. Thus far, in two starts covering 11.2 frames, Purcey has whiffed 15. He has a great minor-league résumé and he’s a former #1 draft pick so it’s not a big surprise that he can pitch. But more than that, he has the hot-hitting Jays behind them and they should be able to put up a few against Josh Outman. Outman is nothing more than a #5 starter. In his season debut he didn’t make it out of the fifth inning against Seattle, as he surrendered three runs in 4.1 innings. His stuff is average at best and he’s taking a big step up in class here at a more difficult park to pitch in. After outscoring Minnesota 31-13 and collecting 56 hits in their third straight series win, the Blue Jays lead the major leagues with 77 runs and 128 hits entering this one and it’s highly unlikely that Outman will slow them down. Play: Toronto in the first five innings -½ +1.06 (Risking 2 units). <o
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></o>St. Louis +1.61 over CHICAGO (1<SUP>st</SUP> 5 innings)
Carlos Zambrano’s numbers keep declining and his stats in day games leave plenty to be desired too. He was lit up big time by these Cards at Wrigley last season and in fact, in two home starts vs St. Louis he allowed 17 runs, 16 hits and five bombs in just six innings combined. Ouch. Zambrano’s ERA in day games last season was 5.66 and his second half numbers were brutal. This is a guy that cannot pitch when his stuff is off and this early in the year you’re taking a big risk laying a big price that he’ll be on. The Cardinals are second in the majors with a team batting average of .300 and they’ll send out a rookie by the name of P.J. Walters. Walters was dominant in his lone Triple-A start April 11, allowing two hits and a walk in seven shutout innings while fanning six. In the spring he was also dazzling, allowing just nine hits and one earned run in 16 innings for an ERA of 0.56. The report is that the kid is composed as hell and at this price he’s worth a shot for sure. The Cards know Zambrano well while the Cubbies know very little about Walters. 2:20 start time. Play: St. Louis in the first five innings +1.61 (Risking 2 units). <o
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