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<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=3 width=500 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Yesterday</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">0.00 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Last 30 Days</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">5</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">1</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+9.36 Units</TD></TR><TR><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=left width="50%">Season To Date (Since November 2008)</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">5</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">2</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="10%">0</TD><TD class=rs_value vAlign=top align=right width="20%">+7.16 Units</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

HOME TEAM IN CAPS
NC WILMINGTON +7½ over Drexel (7:00 PM)
The Dragons are coming off a very nice win over Hofstra to run its record to 3-3 in the conference and 7-8 overall. That’s nice, it really is and the Seahawks are on the bottom of a weak conference. However, laying points with bad teams on the road is usually a detriment to your bankroll and this one is no different. Yeah, the Dragons had a good game but Hofstra was way off its game, committing a ton of fouls while shooting a putrid 29% from the field. The Dragons caught the Pride way off their game and that impressive win along with five wins in seven games has the Dragons overpriced here. The Seahawks might be the weakest defensive team in the nation but man, they’ll score a ton of points and the Dragons might have trouble keeping pace. Drexel is a poor shooting team and with the pace of this one certain to be up-tempo, the Dragons could easily get caught playing “schoolyard basketball” and get them way off their game. The Seahawks have already hung an 88 on Wake, 108 on Appalachian State, 107 and 92 on Troy and it’s very possible for them to start off very warm and build a significant lead. Yes, the Seahawks are a bad team too but this isn’t about that. This is about taking back significant points against another bad team on the road in a game in which the host can absolutely win outright. Play: #606 NC Wilmington (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).
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PROVIDENCE +1.09 over Marquette
One of my favorite angles is playing against small ranked favorites on the road against an unranked opponent. The Golden Eagles are an incredible 15-2 overall and 4-0 in the conference and they’ve crept into 14th spot in the rankings. The books have made the Golden Eagles a very appealing 1½-point choice on the road and you know for sure that that’s going to attract some attention. Also note that this one goes off at 9 PM EST, after most of the games will be long over, attracting even more attention to this game and the oddsmakers are aware of that too. The Golden Eagles have reeled off seven in a row and that includes a pasting over #22 West Virginia it its latest. However, playing on the road is a completely different animal and that’s what my focus is here. A close look reveals that the Golden Eagles were tooth and nails to beat Rutgers on the road by just five. At N.C. State they squeaked out a three-point win. Combined, that duo is 0-7 in conference play. Those are really the Golden Eagles only true road games of the year thus far and the Friars are a tough out indeed. Providence went into Georgetown last Saturday and gave the Hoyas a big scare before falling by just seven. Providence led with 15 minutes to go before they went scoreless for six minutes. That was the team’s first real test of the year and they passed with flying colors and actually had a chance to win. They recently went into Cincinnati and easily beat the Bearcats. Keno Davis has the Friars playing some damn tough basketball and the Friars have to be feeling pretty good after that sound game in at #10 Georgetown. The Friars might be one of the most underrated teams in the land and the oddsmakers know that they have a great chance for a win here. This line could shoot up close to game time as late money comes in on the Golden Eagles so you might want to wait til later if you’re on board. What I know for sure is that the Friars have a great chance here and will likely pull this one out. The line says so. Play: #666 Providence +1.09 (Risking 2 units).

CLEMSON –2½ over Wake Forest (3:30 PM)
The Deacs are good, nobody can dispute that but they might just be getting a little too much credit here, as the Tigers are a juggernaut at Littlejohn Coliseum and you know the place will be rockin’ for this one. Outside of a win at home against the Tar Heels, the Deacs have played a slew of cupcakes. In fact, they opened the year with 13 straight games against cupcake after cupcake after cupcake and some of those wins were not impressive. The Deacs can be excused for some narrow wins because it’s hard to stay focused against tomato cans, but still, if they were really that strong games against Richmond and UTEP should not have been that close, not to mention one against BYU in which they won but allowed 87 points. In fact, Wake has allowed a number of teams to put up some alarming numbers against them and on the road at this venue, the Tigers will be testing that defense big time. The Tigers have some close calls against some weak opponents too but their defense has been relentless and that could be the big difference in this one. The Tigers held the Crimson Tide to a mere 59 points and overall, they’re limiting the opposition to just an average of 62 a game. You really can’t knock the Deacs for what they’ve accomplished but scheduling games against marshmallows usually doesn’t work in one’s favor. Show me a win in Clemson and I’ll get on board. Frankly, I don’t think it’s going to happen because I’ve seen too many teams get some real easy looks on this intruder and a well-coached squad like the Tigers will exploit that all day. Play:#560 Clemson –2½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).
 

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Cupcake schedules look at who Clemson has played. BYU had won 58 straight home games and Wake beat UNC at home.
 

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I gotta disagree with the Clemson analysis. Wake gives up a lot of points because they run the entire game. Against UNC, both teams were up and down the floor all night long. BYU had the nations longest home winning streak before Wake beat them and beating UNC in the Dean Dome is pretty good. Clemson always plays the role of pretender. They start off 15 or 16-0 and then play .500 ball in conference. Wake is much better at the FT line and the last 5 games have been close bewteen these two. I'll take Wake and the points. Good luck on your games, just not this one, haha.
 

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Sherwood always a pleasure...

To read your analysis and picks. However I strongly disagree with Clemson. One reason for Clemson's bevy of late-season struggles is a 2-12 mark in its last 14 games against Top 25 opponents. The Tigers are also 1-34 against Top 5 foes over the last 12 seasons, including 17 straight losses. While they have been impressive in winning the early non-league games they should win, the talented ACC brings with it a grinding conference season chock full of ranked teams.
True to form, Clemson hasn't played a ranked opponent yet, and the Demons Deacons' 92-89 victory Sunday over North Carolina was their only win over a ranked team. It was also their second victory in the past three meetings with a Top 10 opponent. GL on the rest of the card, love the Friars, GL2US!
 

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