Thoughts on Ok St @ Baylor

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My line is 28...I see Baylor putting up 55 giving up 10-17...leaning Baylor...anyone have any good insight?



thanks
 

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Baylor looking for playoff spot, what do you think.
 

Chomping at the bits
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Ok State has been pretty dreadful, but Baylor doesn't have a big enough advantage with their run offense to pad the lead later in the game. I think the line is right on.
 

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Going to wait for first half line. Baylor should cover first and then no backdoor worries Thoughts?
 

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I hate to give this many points in conference play this late in the year. But there really is no argument for taking OSU here. The Pokes have either punted or turned the ball over on offense in 50 of their last 59 possessions dating to halftime against Kansas on Oct. 11. OSU now ranks dead last in the Big 12 in total offense in conference games. In other words, they're awful.
 

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I can't believe that the line is so low. Baylor needs all the brownie points it can get if it hopes to get into the playoff. A close game knoocks them out, just like TCU will find out tomorrow then the Committee shows this weeks top 25 teams.
 

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Big time revenge game for Baylor too after OSU skull dragged them in Stoolwater last year to knock Baylor out of the national title hunt. I'm sure Briles had this game circled
 

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Revenge and brownie points are nice, but at what point is it worth risking Petty? Russell has been good in mop up duty, I guess it will come down to how much Baylor decides to pass if they have a big lead late in the game. Ok State certainly doesn't look capable of a back door right now if Baylor builds a huge lead before garbage time.
 

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I live here in waco and have been following the bears over 40 yrs. Briles will not take the pedal off this one. It is also black out night here. These last three games will be statement games for the bears in order to push the button with the committee. Really like the bears big saturday and could easily see them scoring over 60.
 

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When I went through the lines this morning, Baylor -27 was the only one that played right away. OK St is real bad and Baylor needs to run it up and has the means to do so, IMO.
 

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Revenge and brownie points are nice, but at what point is it worth risking Petty? Russell has been good in mop up duty, I guess it will come down to how much Baylor decides to pass if they have a big lead late in the game. Ok State certainly doesn't look capable of a back door right now if Baylor builds a huge lead before garbage time.
The backdoor always scares me when playing games in the Big 12 with a big number. Tech backdoored my OU play last week. As a rule I seldom give this many points at anytime during the season unless I'm betting against an absolutely helpless team. I'm not sure i would call OSU hopelsss. But they are getting there with these last few embarrassing blowout losses.. They faced the best defense in the Big 12 last week. I'm sure they'll have a bit more success this week on O. OSU's QB is actually pretty solid when he gets the time. Problem is he has a terrible OL and he seldom gets a pass off upright in the pocket. It usually collapses or he's running for his life. But he does have a sweet long ball that can burn you when they give him the time back there.
 

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Yeah, I watched the OKST-Texas game last week, and the OKST QB was constantly running for his life or getting smeared. The fade OKST money train has been a sweet ride this past month, but now there's a number big enough to make me let it pass this week.
 

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Big time revenge game for Baylor too after OSU skull dragged them in Stoolwater last year to knock Baylor out of the national title hunt. I'm sure Briles had this game circled
Completely agree with you. They've had this one Circled in gold from coaches on down to players including QB Petty. One of the main reasons he returned to school. Even though they won two more conference games after the Okie St game they were never really the same team on the field. I don't think 28 points is enough, especially considering they need style points and should be relatively healthy
 

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I still maintain it comes down to how aggressive the play-calling and tempo are if the game is out of hand late. If you really think Baylor won't let up than that is an advantageous metric in terms of covering a large spread. Has one of Baylor's coaches said anything to this effect about this game? Even if a coach had thoughts about pouring it on coming into a game, who's to say he actually goes through with in the 4th quarter? Does anyone have examples of coaches pouring it on that they recall?

I'm not a believer in "The Magic Switch" that one team can turn on in special situations that suddenly gives them a significant advantage versus an opponent that they didn't already have, and that somehow negates the ability of the opponent to turn on a Magic Switch of their own. Certainly there are motivational ebbs and flows coming into certain games, but when it comes down to it, the % difference in effort players give once they're on the field isn't going to be that magnified or diminished. Sure these are young men who can't be relied upon for complete consistency in effort, but by and large they haven't got to where they are by putting in a dog performance when they're not in the mood. Players come to play.
 

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With Gundy being the favorite for the Florida job, I really cannot see Okie State getting up for two straight games. I rather doubt that they really care about a game in a town that is most remembered for the Branch Dividians shootout with Federal Agent rathers than their football team. Okie State wants to beat OU much more than Baylor. Baylor is the play here, if you must play this game.
 

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Thx, GS. Adding some more to the Under 68.5 I have with some Under 67.5. It's off the board at BOL, but still up at 5D and BM.
 

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Thx, GS. Adding some more to the Under 68.5 I have with some Under 67.5. It's off the board at BOL, but still up at 5D and BM.
They might as well keep it on the board since any QB they play is going to get killed behind that bad O-line. I think Gundy would be crazy to burn a redshirt with just two games left and their season already in the tank. OSU has basically never been the same at that position since Wes Lunt decided to transfer. That completely put a kink into Gundy's future QB plans.
 

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