Here is an interesting article I found for the OVER argument.
Thanks to the likes of Manziel, McCarron, Mettenberger, Murry, and Shaw, 2013 was not like the SEC we grew up with. High-caliber QB play dictated high-scoring results. In tonight’s opener you have to ask was it because of the talent of Manziel and Shaw or the systems they played in? I can only tell you after watching a month of NFL preseason, Manziel has no advantage in speed at the pro level. I saw him get caught from behind by a Washington Redskin defensive end. Last year Texas A&M averaged 44.2 points per game but allowed 32.2. Their average total in their 13 games was 71. The last time we saw the Aggies was the Chick-fil-A Bowl beating Duke 52-48 and reaching the century mark in points.
Needless to say I like the ‘OVER’ in our SEC Network opener. Dylan Thompson is a fifth-year senior that threw for 783 yards in two games last year after playing quite a bit in 2012. Connor Shaw had a 24-1 ratio of touchdowns to picks last year in Coach Spurrier’s system. Thompson is more of a pocket passer than Shaw which means he will have to throw for first downs but the advantage for this total is he will stop the clock more. RB Mike Davis has to be licking his chops considering A&M allowed 222 yards a game on the ground last season and 475.8 yards per game for #109 in the country in that category. Plus the A&M defense is down three starters in their front 7 because of injury, dismissal, or suspension. But offensively A&M scored an amazing 41 or more points in their first 10 games last year.
South Carolina doesn’t figure to be as good defensively without DE Clowney and DT Quarles. You can make the case the Gamecocks lost their top three defensive line players from a year ago. That should make it easier for Kenny Hill, the replacement for Manziel, and like Johnny Football, he is a dual-threat. WR Mike Evans is a huge loss for A&M but their receiving unit as a whole looks very talented and should have an edge on the thin South Carolina secondary. A&M has ranked in the top 25 nationally in passing and total offense in each of the past five seasons since shifting to fast-paced no-huddle offense in 2009. Under Coach Sumlin, the Aggies have led the SEC in passing, scoring, and total offense each of the past two years. Texas A&M has broken and rebroken its passing record four times in five seasons. They have scored 500-plus points in three straight seasons. This is remarkable: After two years in the SEC, the Aggies hold conference records for season passing yards, season total offense, season yards/game, season passing first downs, and season total first downs.
This total opened at 56 and is now 60 ½ or 61. South Carolina scored 35 or more in all but one of their last six home games last year. Thompson has been a very good deep thrower as a starter and he should destroy this suspect A&M defense. But I’m not comfortable laying 2-plus scores with the Gamecocks. Go ‘OVER’ like ‘ROVER’.