Aloha Gang. Well, as you may have already guessed, I am on the Warriors again this week. I was asked by a capping service here at this forum, if I ever bet against the Warriors, in which, I answered of course. Still, as I explained to him, that this year was different because of the scheduling of games, along with losses Hawaii suffered early in the season, has put them in very advantatious situations as well as important must win situations. I think that the lines posted by Vegas also helped to make the choice on the Warriors much easier also. However, like anything else, nothing is a guarantee in this sport, but this year did provide me great opportunities to take advantage of these setups, and allowed me and those that followed, big winnings backing the Warriors so far.
Todays Alabama/Hawaii game, is yet another perfect opportunity for me to capitalize on again, by backing the Warriors. It is very rare where you can cap a game and end up with all the confidence in your selection, where you list it as your GOY, and also be complimented with that same team your backing to also have the same feelings, thinking, emotions, because to them, this game also represents their season's GOY. With all the situational and motivational edges which I feel Hawaii has on their side today, and along with this being the game they above all want to win, I could not see anything that could or would, at this time, cause them not to achieve a victory over Alabama today. Thus, it is because of these edges and the Warriors present desire today, that I am confident in releasing this as my Hawaii Game of the Year , played for 10 Units. This is my highest rated play, and also my first this year that I have released. I have been waiting for this game all year, and I am confident in it coming home a winner for us. Below is a list which explains the reasons I feel the Hawaii Warriors will not disappoint me today. (OUT RIGHT WINNER 37-29 HAWAII)
I wont go into stats, trends, or athletic comparisons between the two schools here, as I know most here can get those information and also debate those issues before, during, and even after, the game is completed. So instead, I would like to just list some edges in which I personally feel gives the Warriors an overwhelming advantage today over an Alabama team, who just stepped into this seemingly perfect setup for the Warriors to exploit.
These edges are listed in the order of their importance, inwhich I felt will play the major roles leading to victory for Hawaii today.
1. No intimidation factor exist. Last year, the guys were all playing under very mixed emotions and not in a controlled manner. Being that they faced Alabama last year and almost won, they go into this game fully focused and with a controlled enthusiasm and energy. No intimidation=no fear=more confidence=overwhelming desire to win=victory.
2. Everyone for Hawaii, enters this game at full strength and without any major injuries, both physically as well as mentally. Complete Focus on the objective at hand.
3. National TV(ESPN), only helps to bring out the best in everyone, especially dangerous teams at home. The Warriors always puts on a great performance and gets extra motivation to showcase their ability to play football here in the islands. Its an opportunity for Hawaii to show the people on the mainland what they are all about, an beating a name brand team like Alabama is just the way to do it.
4.Home field advantage. Hawaii is undefeated at home this year. Hawaii also has an impeccable record as a home dog, especially when in the double digits. But Vegas to cautious of this Home Field of the Warriors. Point spread of -2.5 on Alabama. The multi-time National Champions, from the powerful SEC, whose name says it all, and whose loaded with talent that only a school with their traditon, reputation, and stature can attract, only a 2.5 to 3 pt. favorite over a Hawaii squad from the weak and wacky WAC. That says alot in way of respect for the Warriors, and their House.
5. To many distractions for this Alabama squad to stay completely focused on this game. This trip, will represent for most of them their only chance to ever visit these islands and its treasures, "if you know what I mean". You know they have been fully complimented and accommadated with an overwhelming abundance of distrations since they stepped off the plane. And it will only continue until to game is over. How does one keep their young, horny ass, minds on a stupid game, which can only be reminding them of their fvcked up season.
6.The weather, I would have listed this as a higher advantage for the Warriors, had it been a bit more colder in Tuscaloosa. Just like how a team from a sunny state goes to play a team from a cold weather state. The same can be said about a team from a cold or lower temp. weather, surely being affected when they now have to play in warmer temperatures with high humidity. Alabama's home is 51 degress with a low of 27 degress. Hawaii is steadily at a high of 84 degrees and low of 73 degrees , but with high humidity of 79%. Dont forget last years game and how it affected Alabama. It was predicted that this weather would be a factor for Alabama. And sure enough, by mid 3rd Quarter, RB Williams and QB Watts were constantly gasping for air. This year though, they may get a break, as it is scheduled to rain some, which should cool the temp. alittle. But their is still that dam humidity, they must deal with.
7.Alabama may be already running on empty as far as energy and emotions for this game. One reason being that this is diffinately a step down for them. The SEC is also 4-0 against WAC teams this year. But I think more so, it is because they just left everything they had on the field at Auburn. This was a very disappointing an emotional loss against their arch rivals, inwhich they fought hard all game long only to fall short by a score of 28-23. They could be just going through the motions today.
8.These lasts edges, I feel may have a part in determining the outcome of the game, but I feel that they together create stronger situational edges for the Warriors , then if depended upon alone by themselves.
A. The Revenge Factor, Hawaii knows how close they came last year to upsetting this team and they are hungry to get payback.
B. Alabama will lack the support of their fans in this ball game as only approx. 3200 fans made this years trip, as compared to the almost 10,000 fans that came last season.
C. This years Alabama team is just simply a weaker version then that of last years 10 win team. And the Warriors are much stronger this year than last.
D. Last game for the Tide this season, and they are more focused of having a vacation, then on playing a game.
Well, I think that I will stop here, and let everyone else add or subtract to this list, their own advantages or disadvantages to which ever side they will follow today. One main factor here and there are others, but this is probably the most important, is if QB Timmy Chang will be able to minimize his turnovers today. If he does this, then with his ability to light it up, along with 5 very active receivers who all have 400+ yards on the season, at his disposal, he will definately be able to guide this Warrior squad to one of their biggest victories in school history. I feel, that an added plus in this game for Hawaii, will also the ability to utilize backup QB Weldon who is more than capable of running this Offense without skipping a beat. Thus, if he is called on to lead the Offense, Weldon will bring the benefit of another player who is able to run for big yardage, something Chang is forbidden to do.
So, to close this off, if Alabama or anyone else thinks this game rides on the sole shoulders of QB Timmy Chang, they will be surprised that this is no longer the case, for this already potent Hawaii Offense. A poor day for Chang, could mean a great day for Weldon. On the other hand, a great day for Chang, means only one thing, a victory for the Warriors and another loss for Alabama. Either way, this game I see will end up being a proud victory for the Warriors, and I wouldn't be surprised if it comes along by way of double digits. Good Luck all and Alooooooooooha, CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on November 29, 2003 at 04:11 PM.]
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on November 29, 2003 at 11:40 PM.]
Todays Alabama/Hawaii game, is yet another perfect opportunity for me to capitalize on again, by backing the Warriors. It is very rare where you can cap a game and end up with all the confidence in your selection, where you list it as your GOY, and also be complimented with that same team your backing to also have the same feelings, thinking, emotions, because to them, this game also represents their season's GOY. With all the situational and motivational edges which I feel Hawaii has on their side today, and along with this being the game they above all want to win, I could not see anything that could or would, at this time, cause them not to achieve a victory over Alabama today. Thus, it is because of these edges and the Warriors present desire today, that I am confident in releasing this as my Hawaii Game of the Year , played for 10 Units. This is my highest rated play, and also my first this year that I have released. I have been waiting for this game all year, and I am confident in it coming home a winner for us. Below is a list which explains the reasons I feel the Hawaii Warriors will not disappoint me today. (OUT RIGHT WINNER 37-29 HAWAII)
I wont go into stats, trends, or athletic comparisons between the two schools here, as I know most here can get those information and also debate those issues before, during, and even after, the game is completed. So instead, I would like to just list some edges in which I personally feel gives the Warriors an overwhelming advantage today over an Alabama team, who just stepped into this seemingly perfect setup for the Warriors to exploit.
These edges are listed in the order of their importance, inwhich I felt will play the major roles leading to victory for Hawaii today.
1. No intimidation factor exist. Last year, the guys were all playing under very mixed emotions and not in a controlled manner. Being that they faced Alabama last year and almost won, they go into this game fully focused and with a controlled enthusiasm and energy. No intimidation=no fear=more confidence=overwhelming desire to win=victory.
2. Everyone for Hawaii, enters this game at full strength and without any major injuries, both physically as well as mentally. Complete Focus on the objective at hand.
3. National TV(ESPN), only helps to bring out the best in everyone, especially dangerous teams at home. The Warriors always puts on a great performance and gets extra motivation to showcase their ability to play football here in the islands. Its an opportunity for Hawaii to show the people on the mainland what they are all about, an beating a name brand team like Alabama is just the way to do it.
4.Home field advantage. Hawaii is undefeated at home this year. Hawaii also has an impeccable record as a home dog, especially when in the double digits. But Vegas to cautious of this Home Field of the Warriors. Point spread of -2.5 on Alabama. The multi-time National Champions, from the powerful SEC, whose name says it all, and whose loaded with talent that only a school with their traditon, reputation, and stature can attract, only a 2.5 to 3 pt. favorite over a Hawaii squad from the weak and wacky WAC. That says alot in way of respect for the Warriors, and their House.
5. To many distractions for this Alabama squad to stay completely focused on this game. This trip, will represent for most of them their only chance to ever visit these islands and its treasures, "if you know what I mean". You know they have been fully complimented and accommadated with an overwhelming abundance of distrations since they stepped off the plane. And it will only continue until to game is over. How does one keep their young, horny ass, minds on a stupid game, which can only be reminding them of their fvcked up season.
6.The weather, I would have listed this as a higher advantage for the Warriors, had it been a bit more colder in Tuscaloosa. Just like how a team from a sunny state goes to play a team from a cold weather state. The same can be said about a team from a cold or lower temp. weather, surely being affected when they now have to play in warmer temperatures with high humidity. Alabama's home is 51 degress with a low of 27 degress. Hawaii is steadily at a high of 84 degrees and low of 73 degrees , but with high humidity of 79%. Dont forget last years game and how it affected Alabama. It was predicted that this weather would be a factor for Alabama. And sure enough, by mid 3rd Quarter, RB Williams and QB Watts were constantly gasping for air. This year though, they may get a break, as it is scheduled to rain some, which should cool the temp. alittle. But their is still that dam humidity, they must deal with.
7.Alabama may be already running on empty as far as energy and emotions for this game. One reason being that this is diffinately a step down for them. The SEC is also 4-0 against WAC teams this year. But I think more so, it is because they just left everything they had on the field at Auburn. This was a very disappointing an emotional loss against their arch rivals, inwhich they fought hard all game long only to fall short by a score of 28-23. They could be just going through the motions today.
8.These lasts edges, I feel may have a part in determining the outcome of the game, but I feel that they together create stronger situational edges for the Warriors , then if depended upon alone by themselves.
A. The Revenge Factor, Hawaii knows how close they came last year to upsetting this team and they are hungry to get payback.
B. Alabama will lack the support of their fans in this ball game as only approx. 3200 fans made this years trip, as compared to the almost 10,000 fans that came last season.
C. This years Alabama team is just simply a weaker version then that of last years 10 win team. And the Warriors are much stronger this year than last.
D. Last game for the Tide this season, and they are more focused of having a vacation, then on playing a game.
Well, I think that I will stop here, and let everyone else add or subtract to this list, their own advantages or disadvantages to which ever side they will follow today. One main factor here and there are others, but this is probably the most important, is if QB Timmy Chang will be able to minimize his turnovers today. If he does this, then with his ability to light it up, along with 5 very active receivers who all have 400+ yards on the season, at his disposal, he will definately be able to guide this Warrior squad to one of their biggest victories in school history. I feel, that an added plus in this game for Hawaii, will also the ability to utilize backup QB Weldon who is more than capable of running this Offense without skipping a beat. Thus, if he is called on to lead the Offense, Weldon will bring the benefit of another player who is able to run for big yardage, something Chang is forbidden to do.
So, to close this off, if Alabama or anyone else thinks this game rides on the sole shoulders of QB Timmy Chang, they will be surprised that this is no longer the case, for this already potent Hawaii Offense. A poor day for Chang, could mean a great day for Weldon. On the other hand, a great day for Chang, means only one thing, a victory for the Warriors and another loss for Alabama. Either way, this game I see will end up being a proud victory for the Warriors, and I wouldn't be surprised if it comes along by way of double digits. Good Luck all and Alooooooooooha, CC.
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on November 29, 2003 at 04:11 PM.]
[This message was edited by Co-Captain on November 29, 2003 at 11:40 PM.]
