Thinking about 3 juicy home dogs.....thoughts?

[PatrickMcIrish]

Mem +9
Hou +4-
Sac +8



I do like the Pistons tonight, expensive but feel good with them posting at least a ML win, probably a cover as well. Any thoughts on the other 3 games?

 

[gabbana]

i like mem and dislike hou and sac from your card. bol

 

[DJDalamar]

Yeah I was looking at that Mem as well. Seems like they always take Lebron out early.

 

[CarolinaKid]

i like memphis and imo sac at 8 is a very good play.gl......ck

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

Thanks guys, haven't pulled the trigger yet but feel pretty good about 2 of these 3 games winning. I think the public will be on the other side of all 3 of these games.

 

[barman]

McIrish, I am using all three if I can confirm Mayo is playing for Memphis (lineups should post about 20 minutes prior)

Also think Charlotte can hang within the seven if one or both of ailing Pistons (Sheed, Rip) sit out

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

 

[miamiboy86]

good luck tonight Patrick...I really like Sac getting 8 and Memphis 9...good luck tonight

 

[jdub6810]

Lakers look like a good fade. But Cavs & Magic are #1 & 2 ATS in the league. IMO there are better fade opps than the top 2 teams in the east.

GL

 

[King83]

Lakers look like a good fade. But Cavs & Magic are #1 & 2 ATS in the league. IMO there are better fade opps than the top 2 teams in the east.

GL

this

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

good luck tonight Patrick...I really like Sac getting 8 and Memphis 9...good luck tonight

Thanks man, good luck to you as well.



Jdub - already mentioned I know what side the public likes, of course they like Cleveland, Miami, LAL and so on, appreciate your comments anyway.

 

[jdub6810]

Jdub - already mentioned I know what side the public likes, of course they like Cleveland, Miami, LAL and so on, appreciate your comments anyway.

Just saying there are "strong" favorites & "false" favorites...fading the top 2 teams ATS give you the worst odds of covering, unless your angle is the due factor. i know you're a board vet & respect your take on things. GL

 

[PatrickMcIrish]

No bud, I don't play the "due" factor. Keep in mind though every game is a unique situation. In fact when teams like this keep covering the books make adjustments, and keep making them until things begin to balance out. Of course every now and then a team will be hot ATS and carry that through the season but for the most part things begin to balance out as the year goes on. It's funny I warned a few weeks ago about laying big points with the Lakers and everyone told me that was the one team you could do that with, I think they went like 1-10 ATS right after that. Anyway I don't play the due theory but I do like home dogs, perhaps I overvalued them tonight, I just thought this was too many points for these team to lay while out on the road. With Memphis down by 20 points in the 4th quarter it looks good for you at this point, congrats on a solid night if it continues, won't be the first or last time I was wrong.

 

[crzbrave]

1/3