Things you should know. Wisconisn-Florida St

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Wisconsin- appears to be a bit of a fraud. Anytime they played anyone with Defense, they did not score and they did not win. They played 5 consecutive games against Top 50 Defenses and went 1-4 averaging 18 PPG. Florida St is ranked 14th.

Wisconsin played only 3 Top 50 Offenses: Fresno St, Penn St, and Illinois. They went 2-1 in those games, and the 2 wins were against teams with terrible defense. The Defense proved worthy against 2 of 3 Top 50 Offenses, allowing 10 and 17 PPG, while giving up 48 to Penn St in the other. FSU just misses out on Top 50 Offense @ 55. Statistically, Wisconsin is 32nd in Defense.

Again, the obvious weak link for Wisconsin is their Offense. When playing Top 50 Defense their PPG reduces from 28 PPG to 18 PPG. They played 5 of the Top 60 Defenses. FSU is ranked 14th.

Florida ST- Faced 7 Top 50 Defenses and 8 in the Top 60. They averaged 25 PPG in those games. They rank 55th in Total O which is good considering the toughness of Defense they played.

The fraud for Florida St is the greatness of Defense @ 14th in Total D. They only played 2 Top 50 Offenses all season, giving up 31 to Georgia Tech and 45 to Florida, losing both games. Wisconsin is ranked 32nd in Total Offense. Florida ST Defense is ranked 14th. Factor in the weak schedule against Total Offenses and you still probably have Top 50 Defense for FSU that will give Wisky some trouble.

Prediction: FSU's fraud D vs Wisky's fraud O. The Wisky O PPG reduces by 10 to 18PPG against good Defense. I think that happens today. They were consistently below average, while FSU's Defense showed moments of greatness. Wisconsin will have to force a ground control game because they know their stats and cannot get into a shootout with FSU and win. They win by running and they must stick to the plan. The FSU Defense will force them to struggle. FSU loves to run as well, and if they get ahead they will run the clock to minimize mistakes from a young QB.

My prediction for this game is UNDER the Total of 52.5 points. Mind leans towards FSU. They have the ability to score points when hot and they are playing in Orlando, which could wear on Wisky. Feel Free to add your thoughts.

Under 52.5 GL!
 

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I'm on the under also. I believe both coaches love to establish the run and play field position and rely on their defenses to control the game.
Neither team has a quality QB that could turn this game into a one sided affair.

Defensive, Ugly, Grind it out game in the making.:103631605
 

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