thestrategy wnba 7-0 ytd

[THESTRATEGY]

Stil looking at some dogs, will update when and if I place another wagers.

Taking the Under 145 in the Indiana vs LA game. Indiana has three overs and no unders according to the closing total but that record is somewhat missleading. One of those overs was helped by 31 overtime points, when Indiana and Atlanta combined for only 38.7% from the field but went over the total in overtime. The second one happened a few days ago and that one can also be counted as an under vs the opening total. Finally, the only 'true' over came vs Minnesota and that one was no surprise at all as it happened against a team that led the WNBA in overs in last two seasons by a mile (23-11 last year and 22-10-1 the year before). LA has 1 over (against Minnesota - see above) and 2 unders. Both unders won by double digits. These two offenses are ranked #10 and #11 in the WNBA (fg %) and both defenses average 10+ steals per game. In head to head meetings the under prevailed in 6 of last 9 and one of those three overs came in overtime (the regulation total was 15 pts under the game total).

 

[LAyZbOi]

Stil looking at some dogs, will update when and if I place another wagers.

Taking the Under 145 in the Indiana vs LA game. Indiana has three overs and no unders according to the closing total but that record is somewhat missleading. One of those overs was helped by 31 overtime points, when Indiana and Atlanta combined for only 38.7% from the field but went over the total in overtime. The second one happened a few days ago and that one can also be counted as an under vs the opening total. Finally, the only 'true' over came vs Minnesota and that one was no surprise at all as it happened against a team that led the WNBA in overs in last two seasons by a mile (23-11 last year and 22-10-1 the year before). LA has 1 over (against Minnesota - see above) and 2 unders. Both unders won by double digits. These two offenses are ranked #10 and #11 in the WNBA (fg %) and both defenses average 10+ steals per game. In head to head meetings the under prevailed in 6 of last 9 and one of those three overs came in overtime (the regulation total was 15 pts under the game total).

On it, thanks bro.... turn on your pm

 

[THESTRATEGY]

I know it's always a risky biz taking unders in Minnesota games (leaders in overs in last two seasons). They started this season with three overs and last year the over was perfect 3-0 against Seattle. However, in their only home game vs Seattle, these two teams totaled 149 points and that is not a surprise since Seattle tends to play slow on the road, and even slower after a loss, and that's exactly the situation they were in last year and this year. Seattle is 2-1 over against the closing total and 2-1 under against the opening total this season. Not a single game this season came close to 159 points. They had the best under record last season at 21-12-1. Minnesota started the season with total of 187 pts scored in game 1, and that went down to 170 in game 2 and 163 in game 3. No doubt that they are a better team this season but their tempo should go down after a fast pace revenge game vs LA. Under 159


Atlanta +5.5. I believe that we are getting some value here after Atlanta's no cover at Washington. The truth is, Atlanta is a much better team this season, and they should improve on their 4-30 record from last season. Chicago faced Atlanta 4 times last season and went 3-1 against them, but all 4 meetings came before mid July. Atlanta was a hopeless team during that time. However, Atlanta's first win last season came against Chicago and all 4 of their wins came in the second half of the season. They closed the season with 4 covers including a road win at LA, and they started this season with an upset win vs Indiana. Unfortunately they had to travel to Washington the next day and they couldn't protect their 14 pts lead built in the 1st quarter. As it turned out, Washington is too good of a team this season to be beaten at home, especially on back-to-back nights after overtime. By the way, Atlanta was 47.7% from the field in that losing cause and Washington was 37.3%.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

Thegreek usually has solid overnight leans in the WNBA.

Their LA at IND total is 143.5
Their Seattle total is 158
They have Atlanta +5 and they actually had it at +4.5 earlier tonight.

Good luck all

 

[THESTRATEGY]

Small 200$ play Under 169 Phoenix at Sacramento.

that's all. Here's to a 3-1 day

:toast:

 

[quantumleap]

Bump.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

After seeing the opener for the Phoenix vs Sacramento game I believe that at least one game in this series will go under and at least one will be won by Sacramento.

Adding:
Sacramento pk (today)


Tomorrow:
New York +6

 

[THESTRATEGY]

Love tomorrow's card but will wait to see what happens today.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

3-1-1 today, 10-1-1 ytd. saturday plays are now posted.

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks for the winner on the LA/Indy under.



Keep up the hot hand.

 

[kraz]

gl on the NY thanks