thestrategy wnba 15-2 ytd (wednesday play)

[THESTRATEGY]

15-2 ytd (I also had 1 push but no reason to count it in my record)

wednesday play:
UNDER 183.5

Minnesota is the first WNBA team to play their 6th game this season. It is going to be their 4th game in 8 days. Their only game with no rest this season was against Indiana and pace wise that was their slowest game of the season. It stil went over the total thanks to an amazing shooting performance by Minnesota (63.2% from the field) but the total points scored was under 183.5. I doubt they will repeat that here because they are playing both of their btb games on the road compared to their other btb series when they played the first one at home. Last season the under was 3-0 in Minnesota games with no rest. Phoenix is 7-0 UNDER in last 7 when their total was 177.5 or higher but not as high as 184.5. Phoenix has two more big games after this one, against Los Angeles and Seattle, both at home, in the next four days, and it would be wise for them not to run too much against Minnesota, especially if they ever build a solid lead. This is the highest total YTD, which is not a surprise as we have the best two offensive teams in the league facing each other. But I believe that the overall situation favors the under here. No opinion on the side here. Minnesota will be tired but Phoenix could be looking ahead to the next 2.

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks for the early post.

Up until now it looks like the line has been going up. It started out at 179 at Pinnacle.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

Been watching it closely today. Actually it opened at 177. Jumped a few points in the following minutes. Stabilized at 183.5. I doubt that we will see anything higher than 183.5 especially after seeing how close and high scoring this Minnesota game was on Tuesday. Anyways, I never really let line moves influence my decisions. Good luck mate !

 

[TheSaint]

you're on a great run, keep up the great work :toast:

 

[THESTRATEGY]

Doing my best to keep the run alive.

 

[Degenerate7]

would you tease the under and mercury since minn should be gassed for this one? just to play it safe

 

[THESTRATEGY]

No. First, teasers are no-no for me in Basketball. Second, I'm not so sure about Phoenix winning. They should, because of the hca and Minnesota's btb situation, but Minnesota is the better team right now.

 

[ivan722]

TheStrategy do you have any idea how many of your 15 victories have been by the 'totals' recipe or what your W-L record is so far for wagering on 'totals'?

 

[THESTRATEGY]

I believe that I lost 1 side and 1 total.

 

[degengambler]

Tease hoops

Have to agree. Got to be nuts to tease
hoops. So many points. Especially totals--
might be one of the dummest plays in all
wagering

 

[ivan722]

I believe that I lost 1 side and 1 total.

Sorry about that TheStrategy. I actually meant how many of your 17 plays have been made wagering on the over/under total of a game?
Just wondering as you have made a play on tonight's total.

 

[themailman59]

excellent!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Dr.T]

54-48 (102) at the half.

Over/under is 93 for the 2Half.

 

[ivan722]

Unfortunately this one is going over the high number afterall. I suppose there's a reason for everything at times.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

15-3 YTD

We couldn't recover from that wild first quarter. The second quarter started well but got wild in the final minutes. That's when I realized that it was over. Congrats to the OVER backers. The UNDER never had a chance in this game. Minnesota much improved but stil inexperienced and soft. Not sold on Phoenix yet. The real tests are comming up for them.

Looking forward to the Friday games. Pinnacle usually releases the lines at about 11 AM eastern time, so I expect to have my plays by 1 PM or about an hour after Olympic comes up with their lines. Good luck.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

2nd loss this season by 0.5

Lost this under as MIN and PHX scored 0.5 pts over the total and lost with Atlanta +5.5 when they lost by 6 at Washington earlier this season.

:lol:

 

[quantumleap]

Unfortunately this one is going over the high number afterall. I suppose there's a reason for everything at times.

Yeah. There's a reason you shouldn't count your chickens before they hatch! Is this the first time you've ever watched a sporting event? You know, they sometimes score fewer points in the 2nd half especially when one team is tired as has been pointed out.

 

[quantumleap]

2nd loss this season by 0.5

Lost this under as MIN and PHX scored 0.5 pts over the total and lost with Atlanta +5.5 when they lost by 6 at Washington earlier this season.

:lol:

Nice job anyway to have it be so close.

 

[THESTRATEGY]

Nice job anyway to have it be so close.

Law of averages. Fatigue. Blowout situation. I expected it to slow down at one point but didn't expect 2 pts scored in last 2 minutes.

:lol:

 

[quantumleap]

Law of averages. Fatigue. Blowout situation. I expected it to slow down at one point but didn't expect 2 pts scored in last 2 minutes.

:lol:

I hate to be a Monday Afternoon Quarterback, but sometimes when a team gets fatigued they let their defense slip. I think the next time I see a team play a lot of games just before playing Phoenix, I'll take the team total over for Phoenix.

Looking forward to your future picks.

:toast: