thepig's monday winner.

[thepig]

Thepig is telling you to take the TIGERS monday night at Comerica Park, downtown Detroit. Ledezma (-200) is a fine young pitcher and will be ready to go. ROYALS send rookie Denny Bautista for the TIGER real game batting practice. Tough to make $ at -200, but Remember a small win is better than any loss. Play it or don't, but don't say I didn't tell you.

Godspeed, thepig.

 

[quantumleap]

Well, the Orioles made a game of it until the end mr. pig. In that thread you said you pick 88% of Detroit's games correctly. That's quite a feat.

I'm following you on this one.

 

[thepig]

Thepig wanted to note that this game starts at 1:05 est. I had originaly thought it was a night game. I could not get to the site all morning or I would have posted this update earlier.

Godspeed, thepig.

 

[quantumleap]

Would you consider taking this at the RL?

 

[thepig]

Yes. However, I never play the RL. It just is not worth it. I have this for 200 tw 100. On RL it would be 200 tw 200. If Tigs win I have $300 pumped back into my account. If I had RL win I would have $400. (this is only 25% more). If tigs win by 1 or lose I have $0. 30% of games are 1 run games.(see cbs sportsline expanded standings real quick).

It is just not worth it to get a game right and then lose money on it. I will accept that this will be a small step in the right direction, but at least it is in the right direction.

Godspeed, thepig.

 

[quantumleap]

Thanks for the winner pig.

 

[curt]

I agree with you on the -1.5 runline pig. I will never do that again.

 

[quantumleap]

Regarding the RL, www.thelogicalapproach.com has a good article on the percentages of 1-run games. This cbs.sportsline.com page is a great reference. Thanks again pig.

However, if a team is winning by more than 1 run in recent games I think it bears taking a look at. Especially if the line is significantly different between the ML and the RL.