The "REAL" Fade Brandon Lang Thread

[steve021]

The Pick: My 200 Dime winner is the Jacksonville State Gamecocks..

The Line: The current line is +3 at the majority of books in Vegas and offshore as of 10:30 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.

Note: If your line is anywhere from +2 1/2 to +4, I advise you buying the 1/2 point up on Jax State.

My Analysis
Going right back to the well again tonight.

Well, it's Deja Vu for the 2nd straight week.

Last Saturday in Conference USA I handed you a 100 dime winner on the Ragin Cajuns (+3) at home over Texas State and they won outright 42-39.

Well, it's Deja Vu for the 2nd straight week.

Same Conference. Home dog. I expect the same result.

Now I get the fact Kennesaw has won 7 in a row since opening the season 0-2 with losses at Wake Forest 10-9 and Indiana 56-9.

And in this 7 game winning streak they have played only 2 road games but look who they beat.

Let's start with 4-5 FIU, who has lost 4 of their last 6 and 3-6 New Mexico State, who after trailing 24-7 at the half, had multiple chances in the 2nd half to pull off the upset.

They held the Owls scoreless in the 2nd half and after getting it to 24-21, threw a pick at the KSU 35 with 3:25 to go and missed a 50-yard field goal to force OT with 32 seconds left.

In this winning streak, they have only beat one winning team: 5-4 Louisiana Tech.

For the life of me I can't believe they are favored against this Jacksonville St team.

The Gamecocks are riding a 4-game winning streak and playing just their 4th home game of the year.

In the previous 3 they ripped Liberty 34-24 as a 6 1/2 point dog, ripped Murray State 45-10 and ripped Delaward 38-25 getting the same number they are getting today.

I know they say Kennesaw State has a solid run defense but against the #1 run defense in the conference, Jax State ran for 275.

This is a Jax State team that since joining division one are 22-12 SU and ATS including 11-3 ATS at home.

Conversely, Kennesaw State is still just 2-5 SU against winning opponents and 6-13 ATS in their division one history.

Last perspective: Last year when these two met Kennesaw State was a 17-point underdog.....and lost by 39 points!!!!!!

And they are laying points today????????

Just like last week, the wrong team is favored and I will gladly bring down the house with this monster play on the home team.

I will be shocked if the Gamecocks don't win the game outright!!!!!!

 

[backdoorcover1]

another "RARE" 200 DIMER.....

 

[fadethemushestowin]

He has been red hot this week time for a cool down

 

[jamesconte]

Faders on this thread are clearly so mentally ill. The infatuation with Lang and seeing him fail overrides common sense and logic. Guys lose 5 games in a row and all they care about is Lang lying about a 1/2 point on his record keeping.
Worst part is this football / nba season has been one of the best for bettors. Im up over 4k after starting with 200$ bankroll on Houston U over Colorado U in early September.
200 outta pocket. 2500 collected in tax free cash.
1400 left of house money.
I haven't faded Lang in a week. Read the room bros.
Do some research.
I fade Lang here and there. But blindly fading him is idiotic.
He got yall to bet a 2 win team a week ago.
I understand long-term your up if you dedicate a bankroll solely to fade.
But why would you bet a Lang play when UMASS played N Illinois 3 days ago. Ive made 1400 of betting against UMASS this season.
And like last night with the heat over and trailblazerz over
Between Umass and nba overs im up almost 4k.
Ill be fading today for a minimum bet 50$
Allowing Lang to dictate your winning and earnings is so bizarre.
Fading is the same as tailing. Your Allowing some stranger to dictate your success. Crazy if you ask me.

 

[XENO]

yeah i lost the spread but hit the teaser -louis had 6 penalties in the 4th qrt alone and missed 3 fg + idiot coach n refs killed em

 

[vegassahara]

Vegas “you” are not 5-0 on the week stop pretending that you are betting one game a day. But regardless of that, why don’t you show a picture of your 5k bet slip

Sure, post your 0-5 slips. Don't care if you believe me or not. He is documented.

 

[Typhoon]

Sure, post your 0-5 slips. Don't care if you believe me or not. He is documented.

This poster imposter is Lang !

 

[sniperpicks]

Mark L also on Jax st

I will fade small. Lang can’t name 1 guy playing in this game

Mark L

 

[StackinGreen]

I fade Lang here and there. But blindly fading him is idiotic.

You're making a larger point, which is that no matter which way you look at it, you yourself have to 'cap to be successful - whatever that means. The game and purpose of "betting" then changes according to what you do, and don't do, in life. I've talked about why sports betting isn't, of course, going to be the be all and end all of monetary things, and it should be obvious to most. But most don't have major assets or know what big money really is, or what big markets are, or have to possibly worry about CTRs and all that other banking stuff.

Fading is the same as tailing. Your Allowing some stranger to dictate your success. Crazy if you ask me.

There may be some people that all they do is fade, and if that's the entertainment you like, of course that's fine. Its more degenerate in that all you really want to do is purely gamble, since you aren't taking on any of the challenges to truly beat others, make models, have satisfaction that you have a leg up on the others, know how to better analyze the games and manage money, etc.

James may agree with me that the point of all of this is the challenge, and the money is the scorecard/score of the "game", to prove or compare success. The truth that I've talked about is that the rules are set up such that this game isn't really one that is worthwhile for as much attention, since its markets aren't as deep and are far more restricted than the political/adult real game, the stock market. Tax treatment proves this point.

All of this is to say that you all can believe what you want, but you have here someone who has beaten [particular] sports (and yes, it's always for a time, that's the point of markets, one always has to adapt) and knows more about math, risk assessment, and the stock markets than 99% of people. I can also tell you the other uncomfortable truth, which is that you only really get good, or rise above the rest, when you have the capital to do so, and not worry about the money long term. It's the interesting paradox of life - the more money you have and less you need it, the easier to make it and more successful you end up being. It is a bit chicken and egg but most of it is that you don't get trapped by emotions and both wins and losses don't affect you like smaller players who react far too much to results owing to the fact that they don't have a big bankroll, or a bankroll they can "afford" to lose.

 

[seth]

I will be shocked if the Gamecocks don't win the game outright!!!!!!

But don't just take the +3 that's available buy hem up to 3.5. Just in case. Its embarrassing

 

[vegassahara]

Just got back, I got +3. Anyone know what Lang's biggest streak is? 7-0 is going to be crazy!

 

[jamesconte]

James may agree with me that the point of all of this is the challenge, and the money is the scorecard/score of the "game", to prove or compare success.

Brother I do this for the money. Only for the money.
Im 47. I been gambling on sports since 1997.
Ego. Addiction. Satisfaction,. All mean absolutely nothing to me .
As a child my pattern recognition was off the charts due to toxic chaotic adults managing my life.
My pattern recognition as an adult has earned me 10s of 1000s of dollars.
I agree LANG is a total complete lowlife scumbag.
But there's zero loyalty in gambling.
And the bottom line is its our hard earned money at stake.
Im not hating on the fade bros at all.
Im just very experienced and don't like seeing the btos get smoke honestly.
As for today , and Kenny state-3. I like it.
Ive had Kenny St 3x this season
and won all 3 for $250 profits.
Ill have them for 50-100 $ today.
Lets go broskis. Good luck yall

 

[sniperpicks]

Lang big streak ?

I remember 14 or 16 in a row LOSS maybe bowl season 2016

 

[PimpyMcPimp]

Just got back, I got +3. Anyone know what Lang's biggest streak is? 7-0 is going to be crazy!

I do know he lost 16 in a row back when I also tracked him at SBR. That's his record.

 

[StackinGreen]

Lang big streak ?

I remember 14 or 16 in a row LOSS maybe bowl season 2016

In 2012 or 2013, he lost 17 in a row before the NCAA (hoops) tournament.

 

[kleiner21]

Sure, post your 0-5 slips. Don't care if you believe me or not. He is documented.

You are right and I shouldn’t even have said anything so I apologize for that, and yes he’s documented as a losing handicapper long term, the numbers don’t lie.

It doesn’t matter if you’re betting 5k a game or not, nobody cares. I don’t play every lang play, he picks low end teams pretty often and flips a coin most likely. I do make money fading him though so I guess we are both happy

 

[seth]

 

[vegassahara]

Boom! Jax St. WINNER! 6-0 on the week! Legend!

 

[jamesconte]

Lang cooking hardcore. So sick.
Glad I only went minimum bet 50 $
Need Georgia-4 and Byu -3 for a decent profit today

 

[backdoorcover1]

are they promoting the fade Lang or something with these lol.....this episode shows even if he's on a 9-0 winning streak last last 9 up $240k....he will go all in with it and lose it and then lose more after that? What is the point of them making/posting this for their benefit? Seems odd.....
"I'll rally back I always rally back".....rally back doesn't matter when you go all in and lose it all each time with a few plays. Constantly going bigger and bigger until he loses it is his theme. It's like "hey we are up $75k which means we have that to go all in with before even touching our regular bankroll.....when it should be "this IS our new bankroll up $75k and we will look to continue to build on it"