The obvious play of the week

Search

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2004
Messages
8,811
Tokens
Dallas -4 1/2

Coming off a bye with only one focus....Philadelphia. Division game or not. They're set up well here.
 
Joined
Jan 13, 2010
Messages
1,096
Tokens
Teams off a bye have been aweful this year , see Philly , lost to Det , see Vikes , lost to Minn. Dakk due for bad game , he will make rookie mistakes soon , and Philly front 7 pressure will put Dal down early , rendering Elliott as an extra blocker. Let Fletcher Cox and Co pin thier ears back and just pass rush and Romo may be finishing this game at QB. Romo split reps with Dakk today , throwing to mostly backup recievers at 5 to 25 yds ...Romo looked sharp ...can you say QB controversary in Dal? I can. Eags win game 27-14 F Maybe 37-14 if it gets ugly.
 
Joined
Jan 13, 2010
Messages
1,096
Tokens
Vikes off bye lost to Eags last week
If Dal O line protects well and Elliott runs well , dal can win and cover here , I just see Eags getting pressure, and the win . Good Luck...tough week to Capp'
 

New member
Joined
Aug 4, 2012
Messages
2,884
Tokens
Found DAL -3.5 -115 and made it a max play. GLTA

Reviewing the matches...huge DAL advantage on the offensive end.

Check out these trends.

Dallas: 8-1 home vs opponent off a su ats dog win in October
5-0 ats with rest + revenge

Phil: 1-8 ats before the Giants
0-5 ats in 1st of BB div games
1-8 ats dogs vs div opp w/revenge in October
2-16 ats.500>away vs.500>opp in October

@):)
 

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2004
Messages
8,811
Tokens
Vikes off bye lost to Eags last week
If Dal O line protects well and Elliott runs well , dal can win and cover here , I just see Eags getting pressure, and the win . Good Luck...tough week to Capp'

I guess we'll see. Dallas has an excellent offensive line, allowing only 9 sacks so far this year. Their home average is .3 per game. Also #1 in rushing.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
3,595
Tokens
Yeah, I have bet against Dallas once this year and it was over by half-time (cinci was my pick). I figured Dak was due for a bad game. I have good betting Philly this year -- correctly fading them as road favs vs Wash and Det, and then taking them at home vs Minn.

Normally I would say PHI could be due for a let-down, after beating Minny, but how do you not get up for THIS game.

I can't decide. Dallas is starting to remind me of Carolina last year. You keep waiting for them to regress to the mean and they (barely) ever do. And Dak seems to young to feel pressure. In that sense it reminds me of the 2001 Patriots. But laying -4.5 is tough against a team that is right up there as a top Defense, especially in terms of PPG. I may wait until half-time and look for a play
 

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2004
Messages
8,811
Tokens
Yeah, I have bet against Dallas once this year and it was over by half-time (cinci was my pick). I figured Dak was due for a bad game. I have good betting Philly this year -- correctly fading them as road favs vs Wash and Det, and then taking them at home vs Minn.

Normally I would say PHI could be due for a let-down, after beating Minny, but how do you not get up for THIS game.

I can't decide. Dallas is starting to remind me of Carolina last year. You keep waiting for them to regress to the mean and they (barely) ever do. And Dak seems to young to feel pressure. In that sense it reminds me of the 2001 Patriots. But laying -4.5 is tough against a team that is right up there as a top Defense, especially in terms of PPG. I may wait until half-time and look for a play

I'm pretty sure a -4 is readily available. And I agree. All this nonsense about Dak being due is ridiculous. Why don't we address what he's done as opposed to try and predict his demise? It would be one thing if he had a terrible offensive line and a poor running game. But the combination of those two being so excellent helps to give him time to make a proper decision.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 5, 2007
Messages
1,125
Tokens
Found DAL -3.5 -115 and made it a max play. GLTA

Reviewing the matches...huge DAL advantage on the offensive end.

Check out these trends.

Dallas: 8-1 home vs opponent off a su ats dog win in October
5-0 ats with rest + revenge

Phil: 1-8 ats before the Giants
0-5 ats in 1st of BB div games
1-8 ats dogs vs div opp w/revenge in October
2-16 ats.500>away vs.500>opp in October

@):)

Id call those eagle stats 100% irrelevant.
theyve got a new coach , different staff, different players. ETC.
id lean Dallas too but not because of the trends you mention. I think the Cowboys Oline can win up front and create room for Zeek
 

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2004
Messages
8,811
Tokens
:laugh: Those were the first 2 I checked when I first looked at this week.
Now I'm questioning my sanity.

Of all the nerve! :youmad:

Perhaps it's just that great minds think alike.

Dave!!! How are you buddy? I think Willie is going to disown me. He visited my area and all I had for him were suggestions to restaurants (couldn't even make it out your way when he visited Vegas...did you see him?). I've been working my ass off and barely have much time for anything except this nasty hobby of football.
 

Balls Deep
Handicapper
Joined
Sep 26, 2012
Messages
1,492
Tokens
Teams off a bye have been aweful this year , see Philly , lost to Det , see Vikes , lost to Minn. Dakk due for bad game , he will make rookie mistakes soon , and Philly front 7 pressure will put Dal down early , rendering Elliott as an extra blocker. Let Fletcher Cox and Co pin thier ears back and just pass rush and Romo may be finishing this game at QB. Romo split reps with Dakk today , throwing to mostly backup recievers at 5 to 25 yds ...Romo looked sharp ...can you say QB controversary in Dal? I can. Eags win game 27-14 F Maybe 37-14 if it gets ugly.
Teams off bye this year are 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS or 4-3-1 depending on line for GB
 

Life's a bitch, then you die!
Joined
Jul 10, 2007
Messages
28,910
Tokens
Of all the nerve! :youmad:

Perhaps it's just that great minds think alike.

Dave!!! How are you buddy? I think Willie is going to disown me. He visited my area and all I had for him were suggestions to restaurants (couldn't even make it out your way when he visited Vegas...did you see him?). I've been working my ass off and barely have much time for anything except this nasty hobby of football.
I'm doing well. Kind of on fire so far with this years bets.
Sane thing last year then I fizzled out in the 2nd half.

I'll see if I can change it around this year.

Willie and I hooked up earlier this year. Didn't get a chance this last time.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2004
Messages
8,811
Tokens
Id call those eagle stats 100% irrelevant.
theyve got a new coach , different staff, different players. ETC.
id lean Dallas too but not because of the trends you mention. I think the Cowboys Oline can win up front and create room for Zeek
.

I think trends are irrelevant in general, unless the team and its competition has remained relatively the same (and that's not the case on either side of the coin here). In addition, comparing teams off of bye weeks that have nothing to do with the teams playing is also irrelevant. Regardless of the outcome of this game, it will have nothing to do with the trends pointed out about either team here (or bye weeks of other teams). I think Dallas' O line is the best in the NFL and their defense is playing great right now. And for this game, that is what's important to me (plus the fact that they've had more time to prepare).
 
Joined
Jan 13, 2010
Messages
1,096
Tokens
Eagles are now tied for 1st in sacks by D , 3.3 per game. Minny came in #1 in sacks last week and Philly held them to NONE. This is by far the best front 4 and front 7 Dal has faced this year. Eags are also #1 in points allowed so far, something has to give , rumor has eags switching to a 3-4 late in snap count to limit Elliot and confuse Dakk , They may be calling him Duck Prescott by 2nd half. I see Eags D getting up for this and a much improved Eags O line giving Wentz time to make the throws he needs. Beasly scares me , as does Dez. Eags plan to run early and often and use short quick passes to keep Dakk and Co off the field as much as possible. Some local sports talk guys see a close game mostly , with either Dal or Philly winning a 24-20 type game. May buy a half point just for good measure and take Philly +4.5 or so. Good Luck to all, I still say Philly wins game , but not a game i bet big on.
 

Member Emeritus
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
7,690
Tokens
Team success after a bye is not a given. It depends on lots of factors, not unimportant is the skill of the head coach.. These teams have won after a bye, Sea, NO, KC, GB to name a few. All have good coaches.

I like Dal here. Their offensive line sets up the run, which in turn will help Dak hang on to the starting gig a little longer. Pinnacle and the Greek have Dal-4, among many others. One stat oddity that might help dal, is they are a team that scores early, Phil does not. I like Dal alot more playing with a lead.

I'm also looking at..... NE, Oak, Atl and Det.

BOL 2 all.
 

Member
Joined
Nov 17, 2004
Messages
8,811
Tokens
Eagles are now tied for 1st in sacks by D , 3.3 per game. Minny came in #1 in sacks last week and Philly held them to NONE. This is by far the best front 4 and front 7 Dal has faced this year. Eags are also #1 in points allowed so far, something has to give , rumor has eags switching to a 3-4 late in snap count to limit Elliot and confuse Dakk , They may be calling him Duck Prescott by 2nd half. I see Eags D getting up for this and a much improved Eags O line giving Wentz time to make the throws he needs. Beasly scares me , as does Dez. Eags plan to run early and often and use short quick passes to keep Dakk and Co off the field as much as possible. Some local sports talk guys see a close game mostly , with either Dal or Philly winning a 24-20 type game. May buy a half point just for good measure and take Philly +4.5 or so. Good Luck to all, I still say Philly wins game , but not a game i bet big on.

Settle down "Philly". You're obviously just a fan. I'm not of either team. You seem to be throwing a lot of stuff against a wall and trying to see what sticks (and apparently some isn't true as pointed out above). I'm not interested in innuendos, rumors, what some local talk show host says, and the like. I like the Cowboys on this one and I've pointed out the reasons why. We'll let them play the game. If you're right, I'll be happy to tip my hat to you. I just don't think you are.
 

New member
Joined
Apr 14, 2005
Messages
258
Tokens
Philadelphia has the best point differential and SRS rating in the league... they've had several games where they've looked like a dominant team and their losses have been close.

Not comfortable laying more than a field goal against a team that has looked like a juggernaut at times.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 28, 2010
Messages
102
Tokens
Dallas -4 1/2

Coming off a bye with only one focus....Philadelphia. Division game or not. They're set up well here.

I automatically thought it was going to be a New England play LOL
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,908
Messages
13,575,089
Members
100,883
Latest member
iniesta2025
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com