The Limper NBA 2024 Playoffs – Week 6

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Slowly, the model is showing improvement. At least, it’s pulling away from Vegas’ straight-up results, now by 6%. ATS the model’s still struggling. However, sneaking up to a 50% win rate are the models’ totals’ results, with a total score variation (TSV) improvement last week, down to 9.6 pts. (TSV is a simple measure of projected game total vs actual (tossing OT scores as unrepresentative). Went 5-3 last week using the models O/U numbers, including nailing Friday’s game total; hoping it keeps it up. FWIW - If Boston and Dallas keep winning (and the Pacers and Wolves keep shitting the bed), we would have to wait about 10 days of no hoops until the Finals. GLTA

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