FRIDAY, May 22
3TeamParlay
REDLEG +100 vs Tribe (Arroyo/Reyes)
BREW +125 at Twin (Parra/Slowey)
BUM -122 vs Halo (Kershaw/Weaver)
Lay 12
Pays 86.26
2TeamParlay
RAY +106 at Fish (Sonnanstine/Nolasco)
GIANT +128 at Seamen (Unit/Vargas)
Lay 10
Pays 36.97
3TeamParlay
BIRD -105 at Nat (Hill/Zimmerman)
ROYAL +122 at Redbird (Davies/Wellemeyer)
SNAKE +1.5 (-154) at Athletic (Buckner/Cahill)
Lay 10
Pays 61.49
====
Also have strong leans to
BAL Over 10
TB Over 10
TOR Over 8
NYM Under 9
SEA Under 8.5
But waiting for some more input before using them
Finally, have a pretty decent feeling about LAD -1.5 (+175) but will wait to see how the parlay above with LAD ml is doing come about 10pm EDT
3TeamParlay
REDLEG +100 vs Tribe (Arroyo/Reyes)
BREW +125 at Twin (Parra/Slowey)
BUM -122 vs Halo (Kershaw/Weaver)
Lay 12
Pays 86.26
2TeamParlay
RAY +106 at Fish (Sonnanstine/Nolasco)
GIANT +128 at Seamen (Unit/Vargas)
Lay 10
Pays 36.97
3TeamParlay
BIRD -105 at Nat (Hill/Zimmerman)
ROYAL +122 at Redbird (Davies/Wellemeyer)
SNAKE +1.5 (-154) at Athletic (Buckner/Cahill)
Lay 10
Pays 61.49
====
Also have strong leans to
BAL Over 10
TB Over 10
TOR Over 8
NYM Under 9
SEA Under 8.5
But waiting for some more input before using them
Finally, have a pretty decent feeling about LAD -1.5 (+175) but will wait to see how the parlay above with LAD ml is doing come about 10pm EDT
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TUESDAY, May 26
3TeamParlay
FISH/PHIL Undah 10 (-102) (Miller/Blanton)
NAT/METROPOLITAN Over 10 (-115) (Stammen/Livan)
BRAVE/GIANT Over 7.5 (-104) (Medlen/Lincecum)
Lay 8
Pays 50.10
(Hat tip to JACKAL for each of the above, as well as the STL/MIL Under below)
REDBIRD/BREW Undah 8.5 (-116) (Wainwright/Suppan)
RAY/TRIBE Over 9.5 (-105) (Garza/Pavano)
Lay 11
Pays 29.96
--------------
3TeamParlay
FISH/PHIL Undah 10 (-102) (Miller/Blanton)
NAT/METROPOLITAN Over 10 (-115) (Stammen/Livan)
BRAVE/GIANT Over 7.5 (-104) (Medlen/Lincecum)
Lay 8
Pays 50.10
(Hat tip to JACKAL for each of the above, as well as the STL/MIL Under below)
REDBIRD/BREW Undah 8.5 (-116) (Wainwright/Suppan)
RAY/TRIBE Over 9.5 (-105) (Garza/Pavano)
Lay 11
Pays 29.96
--------------
Just found these two clips, which together comprise one of the greatest live concert recordings of our time
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I find your daily records confusing because you post only parlays, so if one game loses, the whole parlay loses. Would be more informative to show the true parlay records instead of individual game records as that doesn't really matter for parlays. For example, May 25th should be 0-3 (-30.00).
Sorry for any confusion on your end. I can only suggest that if you're sincerely interested in how my parlay groupings are scoring (and I do appreciate your interest) then you should just get a single sheet of paper and title it Barman's Parlays. Track the results and hopefully you'll spot some useful information that helps with your own sports wagers.
Also, it should be noted that about 10% of my selections are wagered Straight and/or within my 2Teamer O' Day thread. Those results are all tallied together here for W/L tracking.
Thus the reader can evaluate my ability to select winners (most recent update was right at .500 using avg price of +115) and also can evaluate the value (or lack thereof) in using small parlays as the primary means of using the selected games.
Also, it should be noted that about 10% of my selections are wagered Straight and/or within my 2Teamer O' Day thread. Those results are all tallied together here for W/L tracking.
Thus the reader can evaluate my ability to select winners (most recent update was right at .500 using avg price of +115) and also can evaluate the value (or lack thereof) in using small parlays as the primary means of using the selected games.
No, it's just that I see your overall record is profitable, so would like to see what % of parlays you can hit and still be profitable. I personally don't play that many parlays myself cause I tend to lose them and then curse about missing that one play which would have made the parlay hit.
Also using these as booked on Outlaw overnight:
2TeamParlay
BUM +141 at Rock (Milton/Cook)
PADRE +146 at Snake (Correia/Schertzer)
Lay 8
Pays 39.43
---------------
LITTLE RANGERS +109 vs Bomber (Millwood/Joba)
TWIN +104 vs Sox (Blackburn/Lester)
Lay 11
Pays 35.90
---------------
Straight - all for $11
CAT +144 at Royal (Jackson/Greinke)
RAY -1.5 (+135) at Tribe (Garza/Pavano)
METROPOLITAN -1.5 (+145) (Livan/Stammen)
ATHLETIC -1.5 (+154) vs Seamen (Braden/Washburn)
ASTRO -1.5 (+128) at Redleg (Oswalt/Owings)
2TeamParlay
BUM +141 at Rock (Milton/Cook)
PADRE +146 at Snake (Correia/Schertzer)
Lay 8
Pays 39.43
---------------
LITTLE RANGERS +109 vs Bomber (Millwood/Joba)
TWIN +104 vs Sox (Blackburn/Lester)
Lay 11
Pays 35.90
---------------
Straight - all for $11
CAT +144 at Royal (Jackson/Greinke)
RAY -1.5 (+135) at Tribe (Garza/Pavano)
METROPOLITAN -1.5 (+145) (Livan/Stammen)
ATHLETIC -1.5 (+154) vs Seamen (Braden/Washburn)
ASTRO -1.5 (+128) at Redleg (Oswalt/Owings)
Okay...I would probably help myself as well by backtracking and scoring the W/L of parlays overall.
For the moment, suffice to say that the Bank has seen some decent profit through first six weeks (About +35%). And that's the bottom line of the entire posted investment strategy.
There's no doubt that losing a parlay(s) when only one leg is wrong makes for some short term frustration.
But if we're honest, we can admit it's purely pyschological and more than made up for by those days when we might go 3-7 (selections) and get one 2TP win which offsets the four 2TP losses. That as opposed to our having played all ten selections Straight and thus losing well over 4 units.
In short, using the Parlay based system slightly cuts in (very small percentage due to juice) on potential overall profit, but it most definitely reduces daily exposure - a very important aspect if you're a true smaller $$ player like nearly everyone who reads our forums here.
Short answer to WELLWOOD's friendly inquiry, if I read him right in the two posts above.
Here's what we do know about our MLB selections so far this season
Avg price risked per selection has been +115
So if we use a base of $10 for parlays a Winning2Teamer would pay $36.22
That tells me that I need to hit at least one in four 2TPs in order to make a profit. (Win 36.22, Lose 30.00)
It's actually a bit less than that needed (about 1 in 4.3 2TPs would still make about a 10% profit versus risk)
For my average 3TParlay, I would need to win at least one in nine to assure a profit (89.38 won, 80.00 lost)
Using parlay based investing requires an adjusted mind set for sure.
If we look at the above examples, I can be making a modest, but steady profit while losing three out of four 2TPs and/or eight out of nine 3TPs.
So over a couple weeks, I review and see (for example)
2TPs - Won 6 Lost 16
3TPs - Won 3 Lost 23
9 winning wagers and THIRTY NINE losing wagers.
And yet a modest, but decent profit for the overall two weeks.
Many sports bettors would have real trouble winning 9 wagers while losing 39 wagers, even if it resulted in bottom line profit.
Thus this style of investing is not for everyone. I can only point to the real, bottomline results I'm getting as explanation for why I'm persisting with this particular style
Thanks again for the friendly feedback.
Here's what we do know about our MLB selections so far this season
Avg price risked per selection has been +115
So if we use a base of $10 for parlays a Winning2Teamer would pay $36.22
That tells me that I need to hit at least one in four 2TPs in order to make a profit. (Win 36.22, Lose 30.00)
It's actually a bit less than that needed (about 1 in 4.3 2TPs would still make about a 10% profit versus risk)
For my average 3TParlay, I would need to win at least one in nine to assure a profit (89.38 won, 80.00 lost)
Using parlay based investing requires an adjusted mind set for sure.
If we look at the above examples, I can be making a modest, but steady profit while losing three out of four 2TPs and/or eight out of nine 3TPs.
So over a couple weeks, I review and see (for example)
2TPs - Won 6 Lost 16
3TPs - Won 3 Lost 23
9 winning wagers and THIRTY NINE losing wagers.
And yet a modest, but decent profit for the overall two weeks.
Many sports bettors would have real trouble winning 9 wagers while losing 39 wagers, even if it resulted in bottom line profit.
Thus this style of investing is not for everyone. I can only point to the real, bottomline results I'm getting as explanation for why I'm persisting with this particular style
Thanks again for the friendly feedback.
