The pick makes sense despite the pitching matchup. Teams like the Red Sox commonly win 90-100 games even though their pitchers don't always match up well to the opposition's pitcher. They find ways to win. They produce runs consistently. The Twins are sending their best pitcher, but this Twins team has found ways to lose unlike Twins' teams of the past. If you look at the Red Sox, Yankees, Phillies, etc. this year, you'll find that they often do beat good pitching. Not only that, but teams like the Red Sox have an energy that is borne of being in the pennant race. The Twins, at this point, have the motivation to beat one of the best teams in baseball at home. But this is not football. Baseball is a day to day marathon where teams are more on an even keel and don't get "up" for games like in other sports. There are exceptions to this, but as for tonight's Sox vs. Twins game, the Red Sox are a decent play.