Hey Fellows....It's playoff time....!
Here is what I am playing this weekend... Lines are moving so I'm posting today....
Saturday Games:
Indy +2.5 (-120)
Better to be "Lucky" here... better QB, better O-line very good D-line...O'Brien stinks as a coach and cant beat the colts...they split the series during the season, but should have tied the first game... but beat them at Houston and the game was not as close as the final score. Luck is playing as good as he ever has, and this team is balanced, finally playing well on both sides of the ball. I think the real difference is in the trenches... Indy strong offensive line versus the texans def line, and a very weak texans offensive line versus a stout Indy defensive front... I believe TY Hilton and Ebron have huge games against the texans secondary. Without Will Fuller, they only have one , good receiver, Hopkins, who will most likely be double teamed all day, and is also NOT 100% coming in with an ankle injury. Indianapolis puts up points (5th in the league) This team is on a mission...They are a very dangerous team. Live Dog here for sure...They will win this game...
Dallas PK (-130)
Dak had 2 int last time they played earlier this season, both by Earl Thomas... Thomas is out now. Tyron Smith healthy and really boosts the run game, the Cowboys stats when he plays are so much better then when he is out of the line up, and they wins....Elliot had a decent game in their first meeting and I expect much more with him not only in the run game but in the receiving game as well.. Seattle struggles with RB's catching passes... this will be a huge difference in this game... seattle is a much better/different team IN seattle (6-2 at home... 4-4 on the road). Dallas is 7-1 at home this season 5-2-1 ATS... Sagerin SOS ratings = Dallas 11, Seattle 25...when the difference is more than 10, teams with a more difficult rating, are hitting at a 41-17 ATS clip ...the Cowboys finally wins a playoff game, yes, at home!! .. I Played the ML so all they need to do is Just "win" baby!!!!
Sunday Games:
LA Chargers +3 (-125)
This is most likely Rivers last chance to get to the SB. This is also the Best team he has ever had. Everybody getting healthy at the right time... finally!! (Injuries have been their biggest issue in past years) Chargers are 7-1 away and 7-1 ATS.. I have always loved fading them as a home favorite, but I will run to the window to play them as an away dog... This is a game the Chargers win outright. They just played them a few weeks ago, and now see what Lamar Jackson can do.. that is a big advantage I believe. I think this only helps them prepare for this game.Weather will be in the 50's so that is a non issue. Rivers is playing at the top of his game, probably his best year, and is most definitely in the talks for MVP on the season. This is my Favorite play of the weekend.... A VERY live barking dog...
Phili +6.5 (-125)
I can't put a bet on Mitchell Trubisky in his first PO game... Experience without a doubt goes to Philadelphia. They are battle tested, have been in this position before, and thrive on the underdog role. Philedelphia has had a much more difficult schedule this season, the bears had a very easy schedule. Sagerin SOS ratings = Phili 15, Bears are 31...In the past, during the playoffs, when the difference is more than 10, teams with a more difficult rating, are hitting at a 41-17 ATS clip... Phili has won the last 3 meetings against the Bears. I believe Foles will carve up the bears. Eddie Jackson NOT 100% with his ankle. Fletcher Cox will be THE difference maker in this one.. He can disrupt any play. Low scoring, close game... May come down to a FG either way... give me the points...This team should not be taken lightly, and another VERY live barking dog...
Very Good Luck to me and those who follow....
Just Win....
