you could have waited 7 more hours.
This line will.never get to +3.5 at respectable books
Huh?? You stated that Dog could have waited 7 more hours......your statement was assuming the line would go up to +3.5 because he bought the hook at -135.......why else would your comment state that?
What exactly are you stating that he should have waited 7 hours? He likes Denver, not Carolina .......your statement is for Carolina backers, not Denver.
Morning boys, 1-0 YTD after Denver game.
Here are my plays for today as well as my picks for the LVH contest. Hoping to go 5-0 to start the season.
Tampa Bay +2.5 (bought to +3 for today)
Balty -3 (bought to -2.5 for today)
Minny -2.5
Detroit +3.5
San Diego +7(bought to +7.5)
good luck to me and those who follow. FOOTBALL BABY.....!!
Just win.
Here are my plays for today as well as my picks for the LVH contest. Hoping to go 5-0 to start the season.
Tampa Bay +2.5 (bought to +3 for today)
Balty -3 (bought to -2.5 for today)
Minny -2.5
Detroit +3.5
San Diego +7(bought to +7.5)
good luck to me and those who follow. FOOTBALL BABY.....!!
Just win.
Me too. I assume some algorythm but I would like to know what the variables are.
I know a lot of data-driven tools usually seem as fallabile as the rest of us. At 538 the guys even acknowledge that, while they give their own lines for games, the tell people it is not statistically speaking, worth tailing them.
And on Oddshark there is always a CPU predicted score. I don't know where it comes from, but i don't pay much attention to it, just because without knowing the variables, trusting that is no different than just following a hunch.
And if they have some great record, they aren't mentioning it (I don't think OddShark makes the score, it may be contracted from another site -- I am not sure -- if Oddsharks tries to sell picks I have never noticed.
Love your card. I am on all of them except Baltimore (but I like Baltimore-- you just can't bet on every game). I will say this: the book, rightly, is not treating B-more as a 4-win team (or whatever it was last year) -- last year was an outlier,I suspect. Baltimore is almost always a good team and were burned by tons of injures and several fluky endings.
