The Colts should be less than even money to win the Superbowl

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think of it this way

they've got to win 3 playoff games to win the superbowl

do you think the avg of their ML will be over -350 for those 3 playoff games?
off the top of my head, a 3-way parlay of -350 each pays about even, right?

you're basically playing a 3-game parlay at even money...i dont believe that the avg ML of the colts playoffs will be over -350 (thats like -8 or so right?) which makes it a bad bet

correct me if i'm wrong but that's how i see it :103631605
 

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first of all, no way would they be 14 points

second, assuming my math is correct, and its rough, and probably NOT correct but until someone corrects it i'm going forward with it

i dont think the AVERAGE of their lines will be over -350 or over about -8

i cant see them being more than -3 and -6 at the MOST against denver
i see -10 against the pats, maybe...not -14

but just mo
 

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Last year the Colts were -10 over Denver and won 49-24, taking most of the 4th qtr off. If they meet again, the line will be similar.
 

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denver is in no way the same team it was last year, while the colts mostly are with a few defensive improvements

denver is a top3 team in the afc this year, last year they hardly competed...
 

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Who is peyton's backup?
The way Indy, or should I say, Manning runs that offense, he seldom takes hits. When he is at the line calling audibles the defense has to going oh shit!!! Teams can't double anybody, if they blitz he hits the hot reciever quickly, best O since San Fran, maybe better.
I think they do lose though before the year is out. Reg season means nothing if they don't get a ring. Can't see Edge getting 25 carries at Seattle.
 

Rx. Senior
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5 Weeks to go, 2 home games and a Final, not to mention a below par Defense and people are talking about taking EVENS. Books must cream their pants at posts like this, all we need now is somebody to chime in that its the sharp play.
 

J-Man Rx NFL Pick 4 Champion for 2005
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cklennon said:
first of all, no way would they be 14 points

second, assuming my math is correct, and its rough, and probably NOT correct but until someone corrects it i'm going forward with it

i dont think the AVERAGE of their lines will be over -350 or over about -8

i cant see them being more than -3 and -6 at the MOST against denver
i see -10 against the pats, maybe...not -14

but just mo
Keeping in mind that the first 2 games will be home games for the Colts, I think that Denver is really the only team that will pose a serious threat to Indy. Even Money is not a wager that I will make but I still like the + 700 that I bet just yesterday for Colts to go 19-0:toast:
 

Triple digit silver kook
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No way in hell anyone should lay Colts anything close to even money with 5 regular season games still to be played.

They appear to be best team, but no value in an even money play for SB in November.
 

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winbet said:
5 Weeks to go, 2 home games and a Final, not to mention a below par Defense and people are talking about taking EVENS. Books must cream their pants at posts like this, all we need now is somebody to chime in that its the sharp play.
I still think it's more likely they win the whole thing than it is that they don't. 2 home games and a SB against a weak NFC team. Sounds reasonable to me, although the risk of injury is there. I may or may not make the bet, but I will be absolutely shocked if this team doesn't win it all. They are far superior to any other team in the league.
 

drB

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Colts Even $

I still think even money(or very close to it)
will be available after the regular season is completed.
They still must win 3 games, and 2 of which will be against decent
teams, say Denver and Carolina for example.
Probably the first round game they will be super heavy
chalk(at least 10 or 11 points).
Just my opinion but I will admit they look strong and the dome factor
is all in their favor.

JB

:toast:
 

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