2012 NFL Betting Record: 15-10-1, +$59
*Over/Unders: 6-4-1 (My main strength)
Spreads: 1-2
Teasers: 5-2
Props: 2-2
2nd Halves: 1-0
After a 10-2 performance in Week 1, I slipped a bit last week by going 5-8-1, which I’m pretty sure was a tough week for 90-percent of people out there because A)New England screwed up everyone’s big teasers (You’re supposed to take them in that instance), which also screwed up my big Cardinals/Patriots over because of their very rare dreadful performance, B)Josh Morgan completely screwed the Redskins bet with his mos tunusual unsportsmanlike penalty, which cost me a big swing, and C)Dallas was absolutely horrendous in a spot where many people, such as myself, thought they could jump to 2-0. Also consider the fact that I pushed my best bet Broncos/Falcons over 48 (Good thing I bought 2 points) and last week certainly had a lot left to be desired. Let’s just move on to Week 3 already...
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (Best Bet) -$56 for $40
OVER 41 (Bought 1.5 points)
Here we have an intriguing matchup between two potentially emerging AFC South bottom-feeders. The Colts initiated that thought last week with an impressive home win over the Vikings, and in this second straight game at Lucas Oil, they have a very favorable matchup in possibly going over .500, which could really give them some momentum, even this early in the season. Andrew Luck has looked solid, while Reggie Wayne has been playing like his vintage self in having two really big games to kick his season off. Plus, I’ve always loved Donald Brown ever since college. As for the Jaguars, they, too, have shown some significant progress offensively. Blaine Gabbert is far from the joke he was last year, and with Maurice Jones-Drew already in mid-season form, not to mention a very underrated wide receiver corps (Cecil Shorts, even though he’s down on the depth chart, was a sleeper of mine coming into 2012), this is an offense that could surprise people on any given Sunday. It also helps that some key defensive players (Daryl Smith,Dwight Freeney) are out for both teams.
Other Week 3 Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Texans @ Broncos OVER 41 (Bought 3 points) - $34 for $20
Steelers @ Raiders UNDER 47 (Bought 2.5 points) - $32 for $20
Buccaneers @ Cowboys OVER 44 (Bought 2 points) - $30 for $20
Lions @ Texans OVER 45 (Bought 2 points) - $30 for $20
DetroitLions @ Tennessee Titans - $52 for $40
LIONS -3 (Bought 0.5 point)
So many times, bettors fall into the helpless trap of taking a really good or emerging team on the road with a curiously low spread against a much inferior team, only to see said good team inexplicably lose (Ex. Dallas last week). At first glance, this particular matchup has the potential to conclude in the aforementioned scenario, but if you look further in, there’s really nothing to be paranoid about. The Lions, as we know, are for real - something I’ve been preaching since 2010, even when Shaun Hill was starting at QB. At this point in time, this is a team that is knocking on the door of the elite, and thus, these are the types of road games they will secure; the ones against bad teams. The Titans are a mess right now.I mean, I actually like Jake Locker, and was very impressed with him when he was pressed into action a few times last year (Ex. Leading a late comeback in Atlanta and almost pulling out the win), but he hasn’t really shown considerable progression thus far in 2012. The biggest reason for the Titans’ misfortunes has most to do with prima-donna running back Chris Johnson, who, instead of searching within himself about improving his overall horrendous performance, is actually simply searching for excuses to explain his well-documented misery. He just recently criticized his offensive line, and if that’s the case, how can you be motivated to block for this guy in the game after? It’s just a messy situation the Titans are in right in now offensively, and with an unspectacular defense, the Lions’ high-powered offense can run wild.
Other Week 3 Spreads I’m Taking:
Bengals @ REDSKINS -3 - $18 for $15
Week 3 Teaser Bets:
Saints +4
Falcons +16
Broncos +14.5
Patriots +15 - $52 for $40
Week 3 Prop Bets:
Donald Brown OVER 58.5 Rush Yards - $18 for $15
Tony Romo OVER 22.5 Completions - $15 for $10
**May add more bets throughout the day leading up to gametime**
**If you have a question, comment or opinion about any over/under on the schedule, feel free to mention it and I’ll assist you with it in the best way possible. I study over/unders so much that I have at least a small vibe on each individual matchup**
*Over/Unders: 6-4-1 (My main strength)
Spreads: 1-2
Teasers: 5-2
Props: 2-2
2nd Halves: 1-0
After a 10-2 performance in Week 1, I slipped a bit last week by going 5-8-1, which I’m pretty sure was a tough week for 90-percent of people out there because A)New England screwed up everyone’s big teasers (You’re supposed to take them in that instance), which also screwed up my big Cardinals/Patriots over because of their very rare dreadful performance, B)Josh Morgan completely screwed the Redskins bet with his mos tunusual unsportsmanlike penalty, which cost me a big swing, and C)Dallas was absolutely horrendous in a spot where many people, such as myself, thought they could jump to 2-0. Also consider the fact that I pushed my best bet Broncos/Falcons over 48 (Good thing I bought 2 points) and last week certainly had a lot left to be desired. Let’s just move on to Week 3 already...
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (Best Bet) -$56 for $40
OVER 41 (Bought 1.5 points)
Here we have an intriguing matchup between two potentially emerging AFC South bottom-feeders. The Colts initiated that thought last week with an impressive home win over the Vikings, and in this second straight game at Lucas Oil, they have a very favorable matchup in possibly going over .500, which could really give them some momentum, even this early in the season. Andrew Luck has looked solid, while Reggie Wayne has been playing like his vintage self in having two really big games to kick his season off. Plus, I’ve always loved Donald Brown ever since college. As for the Jaguars, they, too, have shown some significant progress offensively. Blaine Gabbert is far from the joke he was last year, and with Maurice Jones-Drew already in mid-season form, not to mention a very underrated wide receiver corps (Cecil Shorts, even though he’s down on the depth chart, was a sleeper of mine coming into 2012), this is an offense that could surprise people on any given Sunday. It also helps that some key defensive players (Daryl Smith,Dwight Freeney) are out for both teams.
Other Week 3 Over/Under Bets I’m Taking:
Texans @ Broncos OVER 41 (Bought 3 points) - $34 for $20
Steelers @ Raiders UNDER 47 (Bought 2.5 points) - $32 for $20
Buccaneers @ Cowboys OVER 44 (Bought 2 points) - $30 for $20
Lions @ Texans OVER 45 (Bought 2 points) - $30 for $20
DetroitLions @ Tennessee Titans - $52 for $40
LIONS -3 (Bought 0.5 point)
So many times, bettors fall into the helpless trap of taking a really good or emerging team on the road with a curiously low spread against a much inferior team, only to see said good team inexplicably lose (Ex. Dallas last week). At first glance, this particular matchup has the potential to conclude in the aforementioned scenario, but if you look further in, there’s really nothing to be paranoid about. The Lions, as we know, are for real - something I’ve been preaching since 2010, even when Shaun Hill was starting at QB. At this point in time, this is a team that is knocking on the door of the elite, and thus, these are the types of road games they will secure; the ones against bad teams. The Titans are a mess right now.I mean, I actually like Jake Locker, and was very impressed with him when he was pressed into action a few times last year (Ex. Leading a late comeback in Atlanta and almost pulling out the win), but he hasn’t really shown considerable progression thus far in 2012. The biggest reason for the Titans’ misfortunes has most to do with prima-donna running back Chris Johnson, who, instead of searching within himself about improving his overall horrendous performance, is actually simply searching for excuses to explain his well-documented misery. He just recently criticized his offensive line, and if that’s the case, how can you be motivated to block for this guy in the game after? It’s just a messy situation the Titans are in right in now offensively, and with an unspectacular defense, the Lions’ high-powered offense can run wild.
Other Week 3 Spreads I’m Taking:
Bengals @ REDSKINS -3 - $18 for $15
Week 3 Teaser Bets:
Saints +4
Falcons +16
Broncos +14.5
Patriots +15 - $52 for $40
Week 3 Prop Bets:
Donald Brown OVER 58.5 Rush Yards - $18 for $15
Tony Romo OVER 22.5 Completions - $15 for $10
**May add more bets throughout the day leading up to gametime**
**If you have a question, comment or opinion about any over/under on the schedule, feel free to mention it and I’ll assist you with it in the best way possible. I study over/unders so much that I have at least a small vibe on each individual matchup**
