2013-14 NFL Postseason Betting Record: 7-4-1 (63.6%), +$344
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 3-1 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 1-0-1
Props………………………..... 2-2
Live………………………....... 1-1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2013 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 119-98-7 (54.8%), -$418
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 36-32-4 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 15-12-1
Teasers…………………….... 23-20
Props………………………..... 29-28-1
2nd Halves……………….... 7-1
Live………………………....... 4-1
Underdog MLs……………… 1-1
Parlays……………………..... 1-1
Futures……………………….. 3-2-1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 139-106-8 (56.7%), +$622
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 48-39-2 (*My main strength)
Sides…..……….………….... 14-8-2
Teasers…………………….... 41-27
Props………………………..... 27-22-4
Moneylines……………...... 1-2
2nd Halves……………….... 5-7
Parlays……………………..... 0-1
Futures……………………….. 3-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
So this is it, huh? Hard to believe the 2013-14 NFL season is just about to reach its conclusion, as I remember Opening Sunday like it was only a few weeks ago. If there’s any good to that, it signals that seemingly the light is at the end of the tunnel known as the baseball offseason, which will soon pave the way for another season of the greatest sport in the world (And easiest to bet on). In any event, this is one of the few times where it actually genuinely feels like the best team from each conference made it to the end, as there’s no denying that Denver was the best team in the AFC this year, while Seattle, despite being legitimately outplayed for most of last week’s NFC Championship against rival San Francisco, was, for the most part, the best team in their conference this year as well (Which, personally, made it easier for me to swallow that Saints loss and accept out elimination, losing to the superior team in a relatively close ballgame). Now let’s see what I have for this landmark Super Bowl…
Super Bowl XLVIII
Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos
Broncos -2.5 - $77 for $70
OVER 47 (Bought 0.5 point) - $42 for $35
In my opinion, this is a matchup that shouldn’t be overthought: Just choose to go with what has been absolutely the safest and more consistent bet throughout the entire NFL season, that being the Denver Broncos. You can even argue that they’ve been one of the most consistent and steady organizations out of any in the past ten or so years, if you’ve truly kept up with them on a weekly basis (I know from experience, as I had an excellent overs record with them this season, thanks in large part to their incredible efforts every Sunday or Monday). It’s significant that as a team, they broke all of these offensive records, performing admirably consistent on an every-week basis, as the great Peyton Manning once again lashed out a considerable stamp on the individual record book. I get tired of seeing all these criticisms of him in the postseason when it’s a much shorter sample size (And people fail to realize that anything can happen in a short sample size), especially when he was a much different quarterback in the beginning of his career, still trying to deal with the mental aspect of these high-pressure situations, but then again, these are the same morons that blamed Manning after last season’s once-in-a-lifetime fluke playoff loss on the deep pass (For those keeping track, that’s actually a wrongful two-game swing on his playoff record that shouldn’t even have happened), so I don’t hold as much merit to that. At the end of the day, this is arguably the greatest quarterback of all-time with arguably the best cast of weapons he’s ever had, featuring several Pro Bowl-caliber talents, and the thing that makes him most dangerous is that he truly gets everyone involved, so you even have to pay attention to the Virgil Green’s and Jacob Tamme’s of this offense. The running game has been solid, which should help to ensure that their offense is as productive as usual come Sunday, even against the best defense in football.
The Broncos defense certainly gives up its fair share of points (Although a good chunk of that throughout the season was surrendered in garbage time, since they were blowing so many teams out, so it’s not as bad as it looks), which is why I’m favored towards the over, but overall, I think they have enough to settle down a Seattle offense that might have some jitters in the biggest game of their careers. Yes, Russell Wilson, if you actually listen to him in his interviews or read his quotes, really impresses me as a true, genuine leader, a quality a lot of quarterbacks don’t actually have, but I’m not sure he’ll be at his best this game. The Seahawks offense actually looked limited on the big stage in their showdown with San Francisco, and as I was saying throughout the days after that, the 49ers legitimately outplayed them. In fact, if not for the completely fluke 4th-and-7 touchdown pass, which was only thrown because it was a Bonus Play, odds are the Seahawks’ offense would have continued to be lackluster, ensuring defeat in the NFC Championship. After that, they got going, but it makes you wonder when they’re facing that much adversity and things aren’t going their way, will Denver give them that type of break? This is a hungry defense with impact players, and considering how little credit and respect they get in the media, I think their mindset of wanting to prove people wrong and having a lot to show will greatly aid them in providing an outstanding performance, or at least one in which that preserves a victory. As a result, that is why I have more on Broncos -2.5 than I do the over.
Props
This is my absolute favorite game of the year in any sport for props (Although nothing will top the enjoyment I got out of making my biggest bet of the year on a Griff Whalen prop from a few weeks ago, which won in the first half), and I truthfully still haven’t even looked at all of them, but here’s one that I have to take, even at the ridiculous odds…
Broncos WILL Score in Both Halves - $240 for $20
Yes, you read right - an absurd -1200 bet. I look at it this way: A free $20. The only concern with this bet was the weather and potential precipitation, but since it looks like the weather will be more-than-manageable without any precipitation, then that means this bet looks safe; all they have to do is score once in each half! Let me rephrase that: The greatest offense in the illustrious and storied history of professional football, at least statistically, just has to score one time in the first half and one time in the second half - at the very conclusion of a year where they set the single-season record for most points scored. Listen, I never take these type of bets, and I know some people will inevitably complain, “Are you kidding me? And you’re going to put that on your record?” but I say this: Whatever. It’s the Super Bowl. It’s a free $20 that I’d like to have for some of these other bets, and you can be sure I’ll be adding at least a few more props leading up to Sunday.
**Will DEFINITELY be adding more plays leading up to the Super Bowl so be on the look-out for those**
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 3-1 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 1-0-1
Props………………………..... 2-2
Live………………………....... 1-1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2013 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 119-98-7 (54.8%), -$418
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 36-32-4 (*My main strength)
Sides..….………………….... 15-12-1
Teasers…………………….... 23-20
Props………………………..... 29-28-1
2nd Halves……………….... 7-1
Live………………………....... 4-1
Underdog MLs……………… 1-1
Parlays……………………..... 1-1
Futures……………………….. 3-2-1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2012 NFL Regular Season Betting Record: 139-106-8 (56.7%), +$622
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Over/Unders…………….. 48-39-2 (*My main strength)
Sides…..……….………….... 14-8-2
Teasers…………………….... 41-27
Props………………………..... 27-22-4
Moneylines……………...... 1-2
2nd Halves……………….... 5-7
Parlays……………………..... 0-1
Futures……………………….. 3-0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
So this is it, huh? Hard to believe the 2013-14 NFL season is just about to reach its conclusion, as I remember Opening Sunday like it was only a few weeks ago. If there’s any good to that, it signals that seemingly the light is at the end of the tunnel known as the baseball offseason, which will soon pave the way for another season of the greatest sport in the world (And easiest to bet on). In any event, this is one of the few times where it actually genuinely feels like the best team from each conference made it to the end, as there’s no denying that Denver was the best team in the AFC this year, while Seattle, despite being legitimately outplayed for most of last week’s NFC Championship against rival San Francisco, was, for the most part, the best team in their conference this year as well (Which, personally, made it easier for me to swallow that Saints loss and accept out elimination, losing to the superior team in a relatively close ballgame). Now let’s see what I have for this landmark Super Bowl…
Super Bowl XLVIII
Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos
Broncos -2.5 - $77 for $70
OVER 47 (Bought 0.5 point) - $42 for $35
In my opinion, this is a matchup that shouldn’t be overthought: Just choose to go with what has been absolutely the safest and more consistent bet throughout the entire NFL season, that being the Denver Broncos. You can even argue that they’ve been one of the most consistent and steady organizations out of any in the past ten or so years, if you’ve truly kept up with them on a weekly basis (I know from experience, as I had an excellent overs record with them this season, thanks in large part to their incredible efforts every Sunday or Monday). It’s significant that as a team, they broke all of these offensive records, performing admirably consistent on an every-week basis, as the great Peyton Manning once again lashed out a considerable stamp on the individual record book. I get tired of seeing all these criticisms of him in the postseason when it’s a much shorter sample size (And people fail to realize that anything can happen in a short sample size), especially when he was a much different quarterback in the beginning of his career, still trying to deal with the mental aspect of these high-pressure situations, but then again, these are the same morons that blamed Manning after last season’s once-in-a-lifetime fluke playoff loss on the deep pass (For those keeping track, that’s actually a wrongful two-game swing on his playoff record that shouldn’t even have happened), so I don’t hold as much merit to that. At the end of the day, this is arguably the greatest quarterback of all-time with arguably the best cast of weapons he’s ever had, featuring several Pro Bowl-caliber talents, and the thing that makes him most dangerous is that he truly gets everyone involved, so you even have to pay attention to the Virgil Green’s and Jacob Tamme’s of this offense. The running game has been solid, which should help to ensure that their offense is as productive as usual come Sunday, even against the best defense in football.
The Broncos defense certainly gives up its fair share of points (Although a good chunk of that throughout the season was surrendered in garbage time, since they were blowing so many teams out, so it’s not as bad as it looks), which is why I’m favored towards the over, but overall, I think they have enough to settle down a Seattle offense that might have some jitters in the biggest game of their careers. Yes, Russell Wilson, if you actually listen to him in his interviews or read his quotes, really impresses me as a true, genuine leader, a quality a lot of quarterbacks don’t actually have, but I’m not sure he’ll be at his best this game. The Seahawks offense actually looked limited on the big stage in their showdown with San Francisco, and as I was saying throughout the days after that, the 49ers legitimately outplayed them. In fact, if not for the completely fluke 4th-and-7 touchdown pass, which was only thrown because it was a Bonus Play, odds are the Seahawks’ offense would have continued to be lackluster, ensuring defeat in the NFC Championship. After that, they got going, but it makes you wonder when they’re facing that much adversity and things aren’t going their way, will Denver give them that type of break? This is a hungry defense with impact players, and considering how little credit and respect they get in the media, I think their mindset of wanting to prove people wrong and having a lot to show will greatly aid them in providing an outstanding performance, or at least one in which that preserves a victory. As a result, that is why I have more on Broncos -2.5 than I do the over.
Props
This is my absolute favorite game of the year in any sport for props (Although nothing will top the enjoyment I got out of making my biggest bet of the year on a Griff Whalen prop from a few weeks ago, which won in the first half), and I truthfully still haven’t even looked at all of them, but here’s one that I have to take, even at the ridiculous odds…
Broncos WILL Score in Both Halves - $240 for $20
Yes, you read right - an absurd -1200 bet. I look at it this way: A free $20. The only concern with this bet was the weather and potential precipitation, but since it looks like the weather will be more-than-manageable without any precipitation, then that means this bet looks safe; all they have to do is score once in each half! Let me rephrase that: The greatest offense in the illustrious and storied history of professional football, at least statistically, just has to score one time in the first half and one time in the second half - at the very conclusion of a year where they set the single-season record for most points scored. Listen, I never take these type of bets, and I know some people will inevitably complain, “Are you kidding me? And you’re going to put that on your record?” but I say this: Whatever. It’s the Super Bowl. It’s a free $20 that I’d like to have for some of these other bets, and you can be sure I’ll be adding at least a few more props leading up to Sunday.
**Will DEFINITELY be adding more plays leading up to the Super Bowl so be on the look-out for those**
